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An entire afternoon of nonstop scrolling, all screenshots of liquidations.
Some people lost their minds and cursed all over the screen; others seized the chance to show off their short positions, acting like they see through the market. Honestly, it's a bit tiring to watch.
To be honest, there aren't that many prediction gurus. Most of the time, the market just dumps a wave, first washing out leveraged longs, then panic sets in, and the herd rushes in to short. If there's a reverse pull later, those chasing shorts get buried just the same.
ETF outflows, regulatory news—it's all the same old story. Every time the market drops, these get hyped up again. It's not that the news is necessarily bearish, it's just that everyone loves to pick sides based on the latest headlines.
Don't expect anyone to catch your fall or save you, and don't think everything's over just because the market is down. The worst for ordinary people is this: they just want to watch the excitement, but end up getting swept up by the atmosphere, rushing to bet, pulling leverage, and getting hit from both sides.
My feeling today: fighting over longs and shorts is pointless; many times it's just the same wave of funds harvesting back and forth. Controlling leverage is far more useful than trying to guess the next candlestick. #BTC现货ETF连续流出 xQQQ shows a short-term recovery attempt after hitting a recent low near 640.32. Price is now around 659.17, trying to move past MA5 at 655.14. Looking back, xQQQ reached a peak of 762.95 before dropping into a sharp down cycle.
My best prediction of all time: If xQQQ holds support above 650.00, it could push up toward 690.00 and eventually target 750.00. If support fails, expect a fall back toward 620.00.
Where do you think xQQQ goes next?This morning at 05:45, the plunge of $BTC $ETH devastated how many people?
Non-farm payrolls blew past expectations, pushing the rate hike probability to 80%. Post-midterm election regulatory tightening, the old Binance $6 billion theft case fermenting, has made the spot liquidity pool shallower. There was also the investigation of the Huang Renxun incident before and after...
The funding situation is even worse. The spot BTC ETF saw a net outflow of 1.282 billion last week (IBIT alone took 1.2 billion). Hyperliquid whales are still aggressively shorting, with net shorts approaching $1 billion, hitting a new phase high.
The trigger was precisely pulled: Sunday night Asian thin market, Upbit was down for 5 hours, plus the weekly close swept liquidity. At 06:00, shorts started smashing, Drift hackers opened 20x ETH shorts and BTC longs. Instantly igniting a liquidation cluster of longs between 73K-76K!
The stampede was extremely brutal: one ETH long holding 56,667 coins ($118 million) was wiped out with a loss of $44.78 million; another whale’s $253 million long position lost $140 million; even Maji’s 540 ETH was precisely liquidated at 05:51.
Aftershocks: Nearly $1 billion net shorts are a double-edged sword, easily triggering a short squeeze. Tomorrow night’s US CPI will decide whether it’s a shakeout or a trend reversal. Looking forward to it...
#美国10月CPI前瞻：12月加息预期会否改变？ Do you calculate the expected value before opening a position?
My stance: Opening a position without calculating the expected value is like gambling blindfolded at the table.
Before opening a position, I must calculate the expected value. No matter how high the win rate is, if the risk-reward ratio is terrible, you're just working for the exchange.
Many people focus on the win rate, thinking winning 8 out of 10 trades is amazing. But if you win 8 trades and earn 8 units, but lose 2 trades and lose 20 units, the expected value is negative. The more you trade, the faster you lose. With $BTC volatility like this, a single spike can wipe out eight times the profit.
My calculation is straightforward: assuming a stop loss of 2% and a take profit of 6%, as long as the win rate stays above 30%, this trade is viable. If the expected value is positive, I execute decisively; if negative, no matter how fancy the candlestick patterns look, I won't touch it.
In the early days with $ETH, I used to chase trades based on feeling, losing more than I earned and getting frustrated. Later, I forced myself to calculate the risk-reward ratio and win rate before every position. If it doesn't reach 1:2, I skip it. No feelings, only numbers.
My rule is simple: if the expected value is negative, no matter how tempting it looks, I never reach out.
These are just my own trading instincts and plans, not advice.
Before you open a position, do you really calculate the risk-reward ratio, or do you rely entirely on intuition? Let's talk. #交易之声：你的经验值得被听到 ETH is down 4.71% in 24 hours versus BTC's 1.28% decline. That gap suggests risk is being shed more aggressively outside BTC, a pattern worth watching if macro headlines prolong it. With IranBlockadeExpands trending, the concern is a broader liquidity premium, though one session cannot confirm a regime shift.
Not financial advice.$ From the 7-day liquidation chart, over 90% of the bulls have been cleared out, the remaining bulls are mostly low leverage, so further decline doesn't make much sense. Even if the price breaks below 720,000, it would only liquidate about 100 to 200 million USD, and this doesn't account for retail investors increasing margin at that time. With increased margin, the liquidation price would definitely be further away, so the remaining bulls holding on tightly are hard for the market makers to har$BTC plunged to 73,708 overnight, hitting a new low for August, with 855 million in liquidations where longs bore 90.2% of the losses, and 140,000 people were wiped out. But funding rates are still battling; some say it has turned negative with shorts collecting rent, others say it stubbornly holds at 0.0069% without yielding. The long-short ratio even rose to 2.16, indicating that leveraged positions were shaken out, but positions haven't surrendered. 73,000 can't hold; 70,000 is the next stop.
$ETH barely made a sound throughout, too weak to even bother with a decent rebound.
A-shares turnover was 1.48 trillion, shrinking again. Coal, robotics, and PCB sectors took turns pulling up, but over 3,100 stocks fell. Volume is retreating, and the faster rotation feels more like exhaustion.
The US semiconductor index rose 4.21%, AMD surged 11%, but nonfarm payrolls at 165,000 far exceeded expectations. The December rate hike bet pushed above 76%, the Dow fell for two consecutive days, and the chip stocks' own rally couldn't carry the whole market.
$SOL's Lujiazui advertisement was stopped by the central bank for investigation before it even got hot; regulatory cracks have never loosened.纳指那一记重锤是周四砸下来的，单日跌 5.52%，一周收完还跌 3.4%；隔夜科技股自己爬起来了，指数收涨一个多点。同一时间，加密没跟上去——比特币从 76,044 掉到 74,000 一线，以太坊从 2,245 退到 2,100 附近，弹一次被卖一次。 同一个钱池子，一头回血一头继续放血，这不是巧合。过去两年，算力和加密交易的是同一笔美元流动性：科技股估值先下修，风险偏好收缩，杠杆最高的那一头先被洗。区别在于洗完之后谁先接到新钱。股票回购、被动指数申购、401k 定投，这些是机械买盘，跌下来自动接；加密货币没有这层缓冲，唯一的接盘方是现货通道里的配置盘，而它正在往外走——现货产品一周净流出 12.8 亿美元，是六月以来最差的一周，年内流入全部回吐，其中周五单日就撤走 4.119 亿美元。 传导链讲人话：非农新增 16.5 万、市场原本只押 5.9 万，失业率掉到 4.1%，两年期美债收益率当天从 4.46% 顶到 4.51%，十年期从 4.84% 到 4.86%——短端涨得更多，意思很直白，市场把 12 月的定价推到了加息那一侧，隐含概率八成。钱变贵，不产生利息的资产机会成本就变高，Former U.S. House Speaker Pelosi's family made a 70.9% profit from stock trading in 2024, while the S&P 500 only rose 24.9% during the same period.
Someone created an ETF based on the trades reported by Democratic lawmakers and their families, with the ticker symbol NANC, derived from her name Nancy.
By entering the TradingView code NANC/SPY, you can see whether following the lawmakers' trades actually outperforms the market.
Not just NANC, whether it's your own stocks or funds recommended by others, you can compare their performance against the market by dividing by SPY to see if they outperform or just follow the market.
NANC/SPY plots a line representing the price of NANC divided by the price of the S&P 500 ETF (SPY).
If the line goes up, it means NANC is rising more than the S&P; if it goes down, it means it is rising less. You can use daily charts with a free account.
The second chart is this line.
Since its listing in February 2023, NANC has risen 89%, while the S&P 500 ETF has risen 77%, so the line overall trends upward.
From its listing until mid-2024, it rose the fastest, then basically fluctuated back and forth for over two years.
On October 1, this line hit a new high, then in the following month-plus, NANC dropped 8.6%, while the S&P only fell 3.8%.
Year-to-date, NANC has risen 5.3%, which is actually less than the S&P's 7.8%.$BTC plunged to 73,708 overnight, hitting a new low for August, with 850 million in long liquidations absorbing 90% of the pressure, and 140,000 traders being forced out. However, funding rates are reported variably—some say it's still at 0.0069%, others say it has turned negative. The long-short ratio actually rose to 2.16, indicating that what was forced out was leverage, not positions surrendering. 73,000 can't hold; 70,000 is the next stop.
$ETH is weaker, with ETFs seeing outflows for six consecutive weeks, another 365 million fled last week, and 80% of liquidations were longs, skipping even the struggle.
A-share turnover was 1.48 trillion, shrinking by 175.2 billion. Coal, robotics, and PCB sectors took turns pulling up; 57 stocks hit the daily limit, looking lively, but 44 broke the limit down, and over 3,100 stocks fell. Volume is retreating, and the faster rotation feels more like exhaustion.
US tech stocks rallied: the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index up 4.21%, AMD up 11%. Nonfarm payrolls at 165,000 far exceeded expectations, pushing the December rate hike probability above 80%. The Dow Jones closed down against the trend.
Wall Street calls this a dead cat bounce; the chip stocks' own rally couldn't carry the whole market.
$SOL's Lujiazui advertisement was stopped by the central bank before it even got hot, and the involved entities are under investigation. Regulatory loopholes have never loosened.#美伊外交斡旋持续，霍尔木兹通航分歧待解
Last week, oil prices took a rollercoaster ride. On Wednesday, Brent crude plunged as much as 8.7%, ending the week down about 17%, while WTI fell about 13%, marking a rare recent weekly drop.
At Friday's close, Brent was at $98.32, WTI at $90.83. This morning during the Asian session, oil prices slightly retreated, with Brent at $97.59 and WTI at $90.41, as market sentiment temporarily stabilized.
The turning point lies at the negotiation table. The U.S. President stated that as long as talks continue to make progress, the likelihood of launching a new round of strikes is low; any diplomatic progress quickly squeezes out the war premium.
However, disagreements remain. The navigation issue through the Strait of Hormuz is still the core problem. If negotiations break down, oil prices could rebound at any time. Some estimates suggest that if conflict escalates, Brent could surge to $110–$125.
From a positioning perspective, after such a large weekly drop in oil prices, shorts have mostly profited, and the cost-effectiveness of continuing to short is declining. Both bulls and bears are waiting for the next piece of news; no one dares to fully commit their positions.
Gold and crude oil have recently diverged: gold has risen above $4100, while oil prices have retreated from highs. Both are safe-haven assets, but one fears inflation, the other fears war; their concerns differ, so their trends naturally differ.
For traders, the current oil price is neither a clear trend nor a stable range. Chasing rallies risks buying at emotional peaks, while shorting risks stepping on diplomatic good news.
In a news-driven market, survival is more important than quick profits; preserving capital is essential for the next round.Geopolitical risks and capital outflows exert simultaneous pressure. Explosions reported in southern Iran, multiple oil tankers on fire in the Strait of Hormuz, risk aversion sentiment rises; meanwhile, US BTC and ETH spot ETFs saw a combined net outflow of $1.65 billion in one week, BTC ETF outflow of $1.28 billion marking the worst week since late June, ETH bleeding for the sixth consecutive week, SOL ETF ends 14 consecutive weeks of net inflows.
$BTC: Around $74,274, falling below the 75,000 mark, down nearly 2%. Resistance now at 75,000–76,000 above, key support at 74,000 below.
$ETH: Around $2,120, down over 5%, underperforming BTC. After losing 2,150, 2,100 is the next psychological support.
$SOL: Around $85.82, down 3.8%. ETF inflows end after 14 consecutive weeks, but derivatives short liquidations account for nearly 96%, with bears heavily flushed out; volatility mainly due to liquidity contraction.
In short: Geopolitical and ETF pressures combine, capital shifts from "taking turns running" to "running together." Before this week's CPI (Nov 10) and PPI (Nov 13) releases, waiting for confirmation is safer than betting ahead.
For market record only, not investment advice.
#RocketLab财报前瞻：Neutron火箭进展如何？ 40x leverage, my first reaction to this number is not "dare to short," but rather "how long can I wait." Core Trader 90 is shorting 5 $BTC this time, with a nominal value of about $369,800. I prefer to view it in the comparison of "correct directional bet VS withstanding adverse volatility."
Shorting can be a judgment that is realized slowly, but 40x leverage is very sensitive to entry timing. Roughly calculating based on initial margin, if the price rises 1% against the position, the unrealized loss is about 40% of the initial margin, not including fees. This does not directly give the liquidation price; the actual liquidation depends on margin arrangements.
So my judgment is: this trade is not only betting on a price drop but also betting that there won't be a large rebound before the drop. I will first look at the margin buffer, then the directional thesis, because the realization of the judgment and the position's ability to wait for realization are two different things. When evaluating this trade, would you first check the shorting rationale or the margin balance?Prediction markets are heating up, and I really have more expectations for the crypto space. Usually when buying coins, people can make up stories about price rises and falls; but in prediction markets, you have to clearly state what the event is and when the outcome will be revealed, so there's less room for stubbornness. However, odds aren't the truth—they're just judgments expressed by participants putting money on the line. When there are few participants, a little nudge can skew things. I'm quite eager to see it bring up topics beyond just coin prices, but if you click in and it's still guessing when Bitcoin will rise or fall... isn't that just watching the market after all? PONS didn't even put on a show, it just crashed straight to zero, brothers. Those who shorted this coin made a fortune.
Some people are still adding drama, using all kinds of logic to argue that this coin will definitely do well in the future. They say RobinHood is a very competitive chain, so this project can't be that bad either.
But these are completely two different things. A chain develops well because it is backed by an exchange and has fixed traffic. But whether projects on the chain can survive depends on their own fundamentals and ability to generate value.
Now many so-called "value investment" logics are worthless in the face of zeroing out. Everyone must not forcibly apply the narrative of public chains to specific low-quality projects; this is a typical case of misleading. In this market, recognizing reality is more important than anything else. Don't bury yourself for the sake of sunk costs. #美国10月CPI前瞻：12月加息预期会否改变？ 一个被推迟了两次的承诺 2026年5月28日，AST SpaceMobile（NASDAQ: ASTS）创下 133.09 美元历史新高。五个月后的11月5日，股价跌到 28.98 美元——回撤 78%，市值从 500 亿美元以上缩到 126 亿。 同一年里，技术里程碑接连达成：8月一次送3颗 BlueBird 上天，10月宣布“服务就绪”，11月2日与 AT&T 完成业界首次地面蜂窝网络与卫星直连网络的无缝切换。 技术没出问题，股价却大幅下跌。这一反差是理解手机直连卫星商业化的起点：问题在运力。 一、$ASTS 技术路线：为什么它必须是“太空里的巨型基站” D2D（Direct-to-Device）有两条路。 SpaceX 把 eNodeB 塞进卫星，天线较小、单星容量有限，但靠大量卫星覆盖。 $ASTS 相反：每颗 BlueBird 的展开式相控阵约 2,400 平方英尺（223 平方米），是低轨史上最大的商业通信阵列。8月5日发射 BlueBird 11–13 后，在轨 13 颗卫星的阵列硬件总面积达 约 20,000 平方英尺。 商业含义很直接：天线越大，链路预算越宽，就越$BTC plunged to 73,708 overnight, hitting a new low for August. Long positions worth 850 million were liquidated, with 90% of longs wiped out and 140,000 traders forced out. However, funding rates are conflicting—some say it's still at 0.0069%, others say it has turned negative. The long-short ratio actually rose to 2.16. The conflicting data is more frustrating than a one-sided decline. Leverage was washed out, but positions haven't surrendered. 73,000 can't hold; 70,000 is the next stop.
A-shares turnover was 1.48 trillion, shrinking by 175.2 billion again. Coal, robotics, and PCB sectors took turns leading the rally, but over 3,100 stocks fell. Volume is retreating, and the faster rotation feels more like exhaustion.
The US semiconductor index rebounded 4.21%, AMD rose 11%, but nonfarm payrolls at 165,000 far exceeded expectations. The December rate hike bet surged above 78%. The Dow closed down against the trend, and chip stocks' own rebound couldn't lift the whole market.
$SOL's Lujiazui advertisement was stopped by the central bank before it even got hot, and the involved entities are under investigation. Regulatory loopholes have never loosened.The deposit limit for a US dollar stablecoin in the Aave core pool has been fully utilized, and the risk control team wants to increase it further. This move seems more like making room for concentrated positions rather than an expansion of lending demand.
On November 8, LlamaRisk suggested on the Aave governance forum to raise the deposit cap for USDe in the V3 core market from 550 million to 750 million because the current limit has been exhausted; in the same report, the largest single supply address accounts for about 61%.
Some might interpret this as a demand recovery. The report itself clearly states: usage is concentrated in a few addresses, many suppliers are simultaneously borrowing stablecoins, so the positions are not heavily leveraged. The limit has not been officially increased yet; this is just a recommendation within the risk control process.
In the days after the new limit is implemented, we will first see who occupies the new space. If the proportion of top-tier large holders significantly decreases, it would more likely indicate demand expansion; if the same few addresses fill the new space again, then this limit increase is merely extending space for existing positions. Snapshot around 18:05 Beijing time, Binance AAVE about $131.07, 24h approximately +0.4%.
$AAVE
#AAVE #Aave #cryptocurrency Binance is in trouble, why is OKEx also falling along with it?From the latest liquidation data, these several assets lead comprehensively in long position liquidation scale across different periods, with short-term bulls continuously being cleaned out, though the intensity varies.
CORE's overall liquidation volume is relatively small, with relatively mild volatility. Only a small number of long positions were liquidated in the one-hour and four-hour periods, with no short position liquidations; the total 24-hour liquidation is 40,200, almost entirely long positions, and there were no severe chain liquidations on the market.
HYPE's liquidation intensity is significantly higher, with a total 24-hour liquidation of 15,400,200, of which long position liquidations account for 15,267,700, and short positions only 132,400; the 12-hour data also shows a one-sided trend, with a large number of short-term long positions being liquidated in concentration.
ZEC also mainly liquidates long positions, with a total 24-hour liquidation of 14,205,500, long position liquidations at 12,270,700, and short positions at 1,934,800; however, in the four-hour period, short position liquidations surpassed long positions, indicating a rapid rebound mid-way that swept out some short positions, making the market battle more intense.
Overall, the recent liquidation pressure on these assets mainly falls on the bulls. Short-term concentrated liquidations often consume short-term bullish sentiment, but a single liquidation event does not equal trend continuation; if follow-up capital enters the market, a rebound recovery is also likely.今天的盘面像两个人一起下楼 BTC 还在走台阶 ETH 已经踩空了两级 11月9日18点01分 望加锡时间 OKX 现货 BTC 报 74301 USDT 过去24小时跌约 2.16% ETH 报 2108.77 USDT 跌约 5.74% ETH 从早报到晚饭前都跌得更重 盘中反抽也没抹平这道差距 下午更值得翻账本的是 Ankr 的以太坊跨链桥 16点09分到16点12分 链上记录显示同一地址发起五笔成功提款 多种代币流向同一个收款地址 第一笔就转出约83枚 ankrETH 钱去了哪可以沿着交易追 为什么能提 还有哪些资产受影响 得等进一步核实 这就像你在商场看到一扇消防门突然开了 保安当然该先去查门锁 但你不能转头就说整条街的店今天没生意都是这扇门害的 早上 ETH 已经比 BTC 跌得更重 那时这五笔提款还没发生 把时间顺序摆回来 大盘的卖压和单个协议的风险就能分开看 明天我看两件事 桥这边等官方说清受影响的合约和处置进度 盘面这边看 ETH 相对 BTC 的跌幅差能不能缩小 有用到这座桥的先核对自己走过的链和合约 未核实前先别新增敞口 也别顺手点群里发来的退款链接 真有更新也先$BTC is now at 75,799, appearing to have only dropped 0.19%, but it has actually fallen nearly 6% cumulatively over the past three days, with the price grinding near the weekly low. Interestingly, liquidation volume has shrunk and almost disappeared, with only about 60 million in 24 hours, down 70% from the previous day. Leverage was already cleaned out by the recent declines; now it's not new funds holding on, but old positions being lifted out. The funding rate is a negligible 0.0087%, the long-to-short ratio is 58 to 42, and the fear and greed index is 26. Despite all the bearish signals, the price barely moves.
$ETH is weaker, down nearly 8% over three days with no decent rebound. The spot ETF saw another 365 million outflow last week, marking the sixth consecutive week of bleeding. BlackRock's IBIT had a weekly net outflow of 1.209 billion, ranking first.
The A-share market closed at 1.49 trillion, shrinking by 177.1 billion. Coal, robotics, and PCB sectors took turns rallying, with nearly 60 stocks hitting the daily limit up, but over 3,100 stocks declined. Volume is retreating, and the faster rotation feels more like exhaustion.
The US semiconductor index rebounded 4.21%, AMD surged 11%, but the Dow Jones was down. Nonfarm payrolls came in at 165,000, far exceeding expectations, pushing December rate hike bets higher again. The chip sector's own rally couldn't lift the whole market. $SOL's Lujiazui advertisement was stopped by the central bank for investigation before it even got hot; regulatory gaps have never loosened.$449 million liquidations, ETH became the biggest loser in the entire market in one day
Ethereum fell below $2100, hitting a daily low of $2060, currently around $2115.
Over $1 billion liquidated across the entire network in 24 hours, with ETH alone accounting for $449 million, nearly twice Bitcoin's $272 million.
The largest single liquidation was also ETH: a $48.16 million long position forcibly closed at $2095, with 151,000 people liquidated on the same day.
The trigger was not an on-chain incident, but legislative failure: the CLARITY Act stalled in the Senate procedural vote in September at 49-50, needing 60 votes to advance.
Former House Financial Services Committee Chairman McHenry publicly admitted fault: splitting the stablecoin bill out of the market structure bill was his mistake.
ETH spot ETFs have seen net outflows for six consecutive weeks, with $365 million outflow last week alone.
My view: ETH’s current drop is not in price but a pricing of regulatory expectations; if the bill does not restart, institutional money will not return, so observe and do not chase.
Invalidation point: ETH closes above $2300 for two consecutive days, and ETH spot ETFs resume net inflows.
Which side are you on: Is the bill stalling a bottom-fishing signal, or the start of institutional withdrawal?
$ETH $BTC
#美国加密监管：《CLARITY法案》推进受阻，401(k)规则进入最终审查
#BTC与ETH现货ETF单周净流出超16亿美元 With today's $ETH plummeting 6%, the liquidation for ETH contract traders in this wave of decline has been nothing short of brutal.
Open interest on contracts has now dropped to levels near ETH's price of 1850 in July.
The good news is that if the decline continues, the selling pressure ammunition is much reduced, lowering the probability of a chain liquidation. At this point, longs have been massively liquidated, and shorts have become more cautious.
Further observation is needed.
1. Stabilization and rebound phase: watch whether OI rises or continues to fall.
If it rebounds and OI steadily rises in sync: this indicates new funds are willing to enter the market to speculate, signaling a sustainable rebound.
If it rebounds but OI remains low and unchanged: this is just a weak recovery after overselling, involving minor activity from existing funds, and a secondary drop is very likely.BTC smashed down to about 73,761 monthly low, liquidating about 448 million ETH on the books, almost twice BTC's 272 million.
Weekend thin liquidity caused a flash drop from the high to the low in about 15 minutes, CoinGlass recorded over 1 billion yuan in liquidations within 24 hours, longs about 913 million, with roughly 4,800 trades also falling. ETH Binance spot at 74,244, down about -2.3% in 24 hours, daily low around 73,510; related negotiations between Intel and Iran stalled over the weekend, spot took the hit first.
Don't cover liquidation structure with BTC headlines. Before Monday's open, spot must hold firm, don't let leverage wipe out the upper license.
$BTC #BTC与ETH现货ETF单周净流出超16亿美元 Brothers, daily mainstream altcoin quick report
$XRP $1.09 | $SOL $86.4 | $DOGE $0.0691
XRP is replaying the June script. The price broke below the 1.24-1.25 range support, dipping near 1.09, very similar to the pattern in June when it broke below 1.10 and then rebounded 70% to 1.70. But the premise is to first reclaim 1.24-1.25, otherwise it’s just a breakdown. There is considerable long liquidation pressure below, with 1.06 as the immediate support.
SOL is struggling near a key level. Current price is 86.4, the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level at 91.40 is a short-term target that must be reclaimed. ETF net outflow in October was $114 million, institutional buying remains absent. RSI at 30.88 is close to oversold, but volume is weak and no reversal signal has appeared.
DOGE’s big whales are selling. Wallets holding 10 million to 100 million coins have reduced about 120 million coins since Thursday, small whales are buying but can’t fill the gap. Price at 0.0691, 0.068 is the next important support; breaking below would further weaken the structure. RSI at 35 is weak but not oversold, sellers still have room.
Discuss in the comments, do you believe in this "historical replay" of XRP? 👇
#美国10月CPI前瞻：12月加息预期会否改变？ $RSR  From a technical perspective, RSRUSDT is currently at a very critical turning point:
1. Candlestick pattern: After bottoming at 0.001206 earlier, it formed a V-shaped reversal. It has now broken through and stabilized above EMA20 (0.001618) and EMA60 (0.001560), indicating a clear bullish trend.
2. Indicator convergence: MACD shows a golden cross above the zero line with expanding red bars, and STOCHRSI is in a neutral to strong zone, suggesting momentum for further upward movement.
3. Path projection: As shown by the red line in the chart, there may be a short-term pullback to test the EMA moving averages (around 0.0016) to confirm support, which is a healthy "mid-air refueling."
4. Target level: The first target is near the previous high of 0.002580. If it breaks through with volume, the upside space will fully open.
Trading advice: Buy on dips, stop loss if it breaks below EMA60. Always use stop loss and avoid blindly chasing highs. How much funding does Oklo currently have, and when will its power plants be able to generate stable profits still need to be answered separately.
As of the end of September, the company had approximately $3.131 billion in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable debt securities; net cash outflow from operating activities in the first three quarters was about $111 million. The book liquidity can indeed alleviate some of the recent financing pressure, but you cannot simply divide these two numbers to estimate how many years the company can operate in the future.
The reason is specific: as construction progresses, equipment and engineering investments will change, and operating cash flow does not include all investment expenditures. The speed of fund usage may vary at different project stages.
My focus on nuclear power commercialization is shifting from "whether there is demand" to "how much money and time are needed to sustain power supply." Customers needing electricity is one thing; the company delivering according to agreed costs and timelines is another challenge.
Having sufficient funds is certainly an advantage, at least allowing the team space to advance engineering and approvals. But ultimately, it depends on each project's budget, construction milestones, and actual power generation performance.
This is also where my patience with companies like this lies: willing to wait for engineering progress and hoping for increasingly detailed disclosures. The cash balance brings peace of mind, but where the subsequent funds are spent and what progress is exchanged for will determine how long that peace of mind lasts.
#Oklo推进核电项目建设，商业化进展受关注 Elysium mainnet hype cools down before launch, MEV controversy adds pressure
Elysium's mainnet launched on the evening of November 9, but the hype backed by Hyperliquid did not carry through to the starting line. The testnet recorded over 6.379 million transactions, with cross-chain bridge inflows exceeding 210,000 HYPE tokens, worth about $15.48 million. The inflow was 12.4 times the outflow, yet market enthusiasm had already begun to wane before launch.
The most directly affected are the early investors and the Launchpads rushing to go live. In the past 24 hours, Elysium's Launchpad trading volume was about $21.19 million, with over 66,000 tokens issued. The scale expanded quickly, but the wealth creation effect did not keep pace.
A key point to watch is the MEV bot controversy. The fairness of transactions is being questioned, which adds pressure to the most fragile trust link of the new chain. Whether the on-chain transaction and token issuance pace can hold after the mainnet launch will reveal more than just the initial opening spike.美国退休账户，真的要成为加密市场的新资金入口了吗？ 美国加密市场可能正在迎来一项值得关注的政策变化。 11月5日，美国劳工部将一项关于401(k)退休计划投资另类资产的最终规则提交白宫审查，涉及的投资范围包括私募股权、房地产，以及通过相关投资产品配置数字资产的可能性。 先简单解释一下：401(k)是美国非常普遍的雇主养老金计划，员工可以从工资中定期缴款，为退休积累资金。由于这类账户规模庞大、投资周期较长，因此一旦投资范围发生变化，就可能对资本市场产生深远影响。 当然，这项政策也并非没有争议。 此前，参议员伊丽莎白·沃伦等人曾对相关安排表达担忧，认为将加密货币等高波动性资产纳入退休投资选择，可能让普通劳动者承担超出预期的风险。 而劳工部推动规则调整的方向，则是让退休计划管理者在符合审慎评估要求的前提下，拥有更多投资选择。 这件事真正值得关注的，不是美国退休人员马上就要买入比特币，而是加密资产未来可能获得一个更广泛的机构配置渠道。 如果最终规则顺利落地，部分401(k)计划未来可能通过目标日期基金、资产配置基金等投资产品，间接获得数字资产敞口。 这类资金通常以长期退休储蓄为目标，投资周期相The early morning spike hit 73,500, with over 800 million blown up in four hours, and longs held on to 740 million. But $BTC funding rate is only 0.0028%, and the long-short ratio even rose to 2.86; what was pushed out were leveraged positions, the positions themselves haven't fully cleared.
$ETH liquidations reached 358 million, even more than Bitcoin, so weak it didn't even bother to struggle.
The Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.32%, with turnover shrinking by 175.2 billion to 1.48 trillion. Coal, winter sports, PCB, and robots took turns leading gains, but over 3,100 stocks fell, the board lock-up rate was just over 50%, volume is retreating, and the rotation is so fast it feels like exhaustion.
US nonfarm payrolls came in at 165,000, far exceeding expectations, with December rate hike bets pushed to 78%. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index jumped 4.21%, AMD rose 11%, but the Dow was in the red, core assets didn't keep up, making this rebound look more like a technical correction after overselling.
$SOL's Lujiazui advertisement was taken down before it even got hot, stopped by the central bank for investigation; regulatory gaps have never loosened. There's a trapped position above 75,700; if it can't hold above, it's just a rebound.$ETH 今日日线 MA200（2,154.89）被有效击穿，价格运行在 BOLL 下轨（2,116）下方，4,816 万美元级多单强平刚清洗完杠杆，但资金费率仍为正 —— 这是趋势破位，不是超跌错杀。 11/7 缩量横盘 65,427 枚 → 11/8 深夜崩塌 → 05:00 插针 2,060 → 反抽 2,168 → 15:00 再破 2,083 → 16:00 反抽 2,125 又被压回。更低高点+更低低点，结构完整。 11/7 缩量横盘 65,427 枚 → 11/8 深夜崩塌 → 05:00 插针 2,060 → 反抽 2,168 → 15:00 再破 2,083 → 16:00 反抽 2,125 又被压回。更低高点+更低低点，结构完整。 量能：今日 10 小时成交 184,690 枚，折算全天 44.3 万枚 = 1.92 倍量。4h 序列：9,767 → 149,163（崩盘） → 55,814 → 81,442（二次杀） → 45,793。抛压未衰减 $ETH 杠杆清洗（今日核心事件） 05:55 币安 ETH 永续单笔 4,816 万美元多单强平，触发价 2,096$BTC market is rotten, no buyers, no one to take over, needs time to digestIn the current cycle, I pay more attention to the depth of the drawdown rather than the time progress,
because time only indicates how long the grinding has lasted, while the depth of the drawdown reveals how much further the decline can go and whether the chips have truly changed hands; we are still in a rate-hiking cycle, ETFs are experiencing net outflows, and leveraged long positions have just been liquidated once. The longer it drags on, the more it drains on on-exchange funds and confidence. Enduring longer does not necessarily mean a bull market will emerge. It's like two people falling into a pit: one falls half a meter and can climb out after a while, the other falls ten meters and no matter how long they wait, they can't get out. First, you need to see how deep the pit is, not how long you've been in it. In the market, a three-month slow decline and a three-day sharp drop cause completely different damage to positions. Therefore, my approach is to first use the depth of the drawdown to determine risk, then use time progress to set the pace. At the current stage, depth is more important than time. #交易之声：你的经验值得被听到 "Redeemable at face value" is the detail I care most about in this New Zealand stablecoin news: the confidence of a payment tool should not come from the next buyer, but from whether you can get your original money back.
The FMA is seeking opinions on a proposal that New Zealand dollar payment stablecoins, fully backed by NZD held in New Zealand-registered banks and meeting safeguard requirements, will no longer be regarded as financial products under the Financial Markets Conduct Act. No decision has been made yet, and this positioning is also a transitional arrangement. My judgment is that this means more for payment stablecoins than just adding a "regulatory positive" label to the crypto market.
The logic I understand is simple: for money used to pay, users need certainty most, not a story of appreciation. Redeeming at face value sets the bottom line for this certainty. If the proposal is implemented, issuers will have the opportunity to develop business more aligned with payment use cases, rather than revolving around the positioning of investment products. This is my speculation and does not mean the threshold disappears.
I also won’t get excited just because it’s "no longer regarded as a financial product." Redeeming on paper and redeeming smoothly in practice are separated by operational processes. Next, I want to see how safeguard measures are detailed: whether stablecoins can become everyday tools ultimately depends on how easy the exit door is.Conclusion first: $TRUMP hit a low of 1.102 today, CoinGecko: 7 days -30.3%, 30 days -39.8%, market cap 323 million.
The reason is not the overall market, but the Senate. On November 5, Blumenthal, who will become the chairman of the Senate investigation committee (PSI) after the election, sent letters to Binance, Tether, World Liberty Financial, and the operator of the TRUMP memecoin Fight Fight Fight, requesting documents by January 4, 2027. Trump-related companies will submit documents starting November 30. This is currently just a file request, not a subpoena.
The market is even colder: OKX $TRUMP perpetual contracts had a 24-hour trading volume of 71 million USD, 11.4 times the spot volume; open interest dropped from 20.7 million USD on October 10 to 13.23 million, shrinking 36%; funding rates were negative in 4 of the last 5 periods, indicating shorts are paying.
WLFI is even worse: from 0.0522 on November 3 to 0.0435 on November 5, hitting a record low, down 16.7% in two days, while announcing a buyback of its own tokens during the same period.
What do you think, can the buyback support it, or are the investigation documents the real risk? $TRUMP - 38 美元这个数字，比任何宣传物料都诚实。 一场还没开始就被叫停的活动，为什么值得看？ 刷到 Solana 在上海陆家嘴的线下交流被紧急暂停时，我第一反应不是"又一个活动黄了"，而是去看价格有没有提前反应。OKX 上 SOL 现价 87.38，24 小时跌 1.93%，成交约 6712 万 USDT，日内最低摸到 84.98。跌幅不算夸张，但节奏很微妙——消息落地前后，买盘明显变谨慎了。 事情的轮廓其实清楚：相关方在花旗银行外墙投了广告，原计划办 Accelerate China2026 线下交流，开场前被央行会同地方金融监管、公安、市场监管联合叫停。央行定性很直接，SOL 本质是虚拟货币，境内推广触碰了二月八部门通知的红线，后续还要追查相关主体。注意，被切断的是品牌营销和线下通道，不是链上协议本身——这个区分很重要。 我看到的信号是：合规风险重新被定价了。过去一段时间，市场习惯把"华语社区热度"当成叙事燃料，广告上墙、线下聚会、KOL 造势，都会被解读成资金要来的前奏。但这次提醒大家，曝光度不等于准入，热度也可能反过来变成监管注意力的入口。对 SOL 来说，短期压力不在技术面，而$BTC plunged to 73,708 overnight, hitting a new low for August, with 850 million in long liquidations absorbing 90% of the impact, and 140,000 people forced out. However, funding rates are reported variably—some say it's still at 0.0069%, others say it has turned negative. The long-short ratio actually rose to 2.16, indicating that leveraged positions were washed out, but overall positions did not capitulate. 73,000 couldn't hold; 70,000 is the next stop.
$ETH is even weaker, with ETFs seeing outflows for six consecutive weeks, another 365 million fled in a single week, and 80% of liquidations were longs, so no struggle even occurred.
A-shares turnover was 1.49 trillion, shrinking by 177 billion. Robotics, commercial aerospace, and coal sectors took turns pulling up; Yushu Technology rose over 9%, but volume is declining. The faster the rotation, the more it looks like exhaustion.
The US semiconductor index rebounded 4.21%, AMD rose 11%, but nonfarm payrolls at 165,000 far exceeded expectations, pushing the December rate hike probability above 76%. The Dow closed down against the trend, and chip stocks' own rebound couldn't lift the whole market.
$SOL's Lujiazui advertisement was stopped by the central bank before it even got hot, and the involved entities are under investigation. Regulatory loopholes have never loosened.$ATH$ATH
Damn it! This ATH market is making my blood pressure spike. The dog whale is still stubbornly holding at 0.0045, while outside it's as quiet as a graveyard, clearly planning to shake out and harvest. 🔥
The candlesticks are sliding down along the moving average, volume is all fake orders flipping back and forth—a classic move where strong funds pump then dump. I don't care how it plays out, I'll short around 0.0045 first, with a stop loss above 0.0049, and if it breaks below 0.0042, it will accelerate. 💡
Don't rush to bottom-fish in this stealth kill market; follow the dog whale's scythe direction to make profits. For specific entry points and position sizing, check the token market card below. Don't chase highs or hold losing positions, always use stop loss! 👇👇👇#BTC与ETH现货ETF单周净流出超16亿美元 Last week, the combined net outflow of Bitcoin and Ethereum spot ETFs exceeded $1.6 billion, with Bitcoin-only products seeing a $1.28 billion outflow in one week. Ethereum spot ETFs have experienced net outflows for 10 consecutive days, indicating institutional money is moving out.
This morning, before the weekly close, there was another flash crash: Bitcoin dropped 2.77% in 15 minutes, briefly dipping to $73,510. Ethereum plummeted 7.3% in 15 minutes, hitting a low of $2,060, with $715 million long positions liquidated in one hour, almost all longs.
Bitcoin has now bounced back to around $74,800, and Ethereum to about $2,130, meaning half of the dip was recovered. However, the $75,000 level has already been breached once. The support level mentioned last night needs to be reassessed today.
Capital outflows and price declines reinforce each other: ETF redemptions create selling pressure, which pushes prices down, and falling prices scare off more funds. This is a typical negative feedback loop, the most common scenario in a weak market.
The bigger context is the rising expectation of interest rate hikes. The probability of a rate hike in December is close to 80%, the US dollar index has risen above 102.35, and in this environment of tightening liquidity, risk assets are struggling, with the crypto market hit first.
The flash dip indicates there aren’t many buyers below $75,000. Bulls wanting to turn the tide must first reclaim the lost ground. Capital flow data is updated weekly; before a trend reversal, watch if the outflow rate slows down and wait for stabilization signals before considering a bottom.
When capital votes with its feet, first understand the direction, then decide whether to follow.On-chain data providers have started labeling fund holdings, and this time the labels are on a batch of Bitcoin products.
Arkham has added tags for about $3 billion in crypto fund assets, from CoinShares, VanEck, Invesco, and Grayscale. Breaking it down: CoinShares' BITC Bitcoin physical ETP is about $1.52 billion, VanEck's VBTC Bitcoin ETN is about $507.2 million, and Invesco's BTIC is about $266.6 million. All three are physical Bitcoin carriers, accounting for the vast majority of the tagged amount.
Mechanically, these products can be tagged because the holding addresses are long-term fixed and single transactions are large. Previously, institutional positions were only disclosed in quarterly reports; now they can be checked in real time. For the first time, the portion of $BTC spot supply locked in these products is visible transaction by transaction.
The only non-Bitcoin product is Grayscale Solana Trust for $SOL, about $125.9 million, which is an order of magnitude smaller than the others. Institutional altcoin allocations remain very thin.
Transparency is a double-edged sword. Tracking costs decrease, making it easier for copycat funds to follow; but large holdings are fully exposed, effectively handing over the timing of position building to the opposing side.
What’s truly worth considering is this: institutional positions have changed from a black box to a map. The scarce resource is no longer information, but who can act first before others see clearly.这是一只从高点下跌 64% 的股票，跌破抛物线结构后出现七根阴线中只有一根小阳线的情况；周五那根 +3.55% 是“高开 11.4%、收盘只剩 +3.55%”的长上影线，属于派发，不是反转。今晚 NVDA 盘前 -5.4% 会压低“七巨头”与半导体板块，SNDK 盘前已 -2.58%，且盘前最低到过 791。 $SNDK 所有看多理由都是 6–12 个月维度的，今晚没有一个能立刻托底。周期股在景气顶部本来就该给 5 倍 PE。 上涨结构已经失效：从 1,909 跌到 804 的跌幅，周五只反弹到 912 就衰败——只收复了 9.8%，连 23.6% 斐波（1,065）都没摸到。 $SNDK 今晚 22:30 开盘怎么做 铁律：开盘后 0–15 分钟不下单 ATR 13%，开盘 15 分钟里插 5–8% 是常态，滑点会吃掉整个交易计划。 方案 A｜破位做空（主方案，概率 ~55%） 触发：5 分钟收盘 < 791.10，且反抽不过 815 入场：800–812 止损：832（+3.0%） 目标：T1 770 ／T2 750 ／T3 735 盈亏比：T2 ≈ 2.0，T3 ≈ 2.6 仓位🚨Bitcoin’s biggest danger isn’t the crash — it’s the belief that every dip is a buying opportunity.
$BTC has dropped below $75K, touching nearly $73.7K. Nasdaq weakness, ETF outflows, and over $1B in long liquidations show that broader market pressure is building.
I’m watching one key level: $73K.
If it breaks, are we heading toward $70K, or could Bitcoin surprise everyone with a reversal?
What’s your call? 👇
#BTC #ETH #CryptoMarket
#DailyOrbit "No changes involving the G token," this sentence actually caught my eye more: $G hasn't changed, but that doesn't mean the logic behind it remains the same. Galxe has integrated its team and brand into Gravity, focusing on L1 development and applications. Services like Quest, ID, Passport will gradually be shut down, while the network continues to operate normally.
Token continuity VS usage continuity, I care more about the latter. My judgment is that this adjustment impacts users' re-understanding of the project more than the token name itself. Previously, when looking at growth platforms, one could focus on whether task services had demand; shifting to L1, I need to change my measure and see if on-chain applications have real usage. The code hasn't changed, but that doesn't prove anything for the new direction.
If subsequent applications can meet the demand, only then will I consider the resource consolidation a plus; this is my observational hypothesis, not a concluded result. I won't rely on old impressions for now; moving forward, I'll focus on application implementation rather than brand rebranding.#美伊外交斡旋持续，霍尔木兹通航分歧待解
Is the game in the Strait of Hormuz just emotional disturbance or a trend turning point?
Recently, the US and Iran have been negotiating while applying pressure, but the core disagreement over navigation through the Strait of Hormuz remains unresolved. Many are closely watching this global energy artery.
If the shipping route is truly blocked, oil prices could quickly surge, inflation expectations would rebound, and eventually, this would feed into expectations of interest rate hikes, causing risk assets like the Nasdaq and Bitcoin to experience sharp volatility.
Currently, the market is divided into two views:
One side believes this is just repeated tug-of-war rhetoric, with friction followed by a quick return to the negotiating table, resulting in only short-term pulse movements;
The other side worries that a prolonged deadlock will keep pushing oil prices up, making inflation uncontrollable, delaying the Fed's rate cut schedule, and continuously suppressing risk assets.
My approach is to first distinguish the levels: at this stage, low-intensity friction is mostly emotional impact; only a substantive navigation disruption would change the medium-term macro narrative.
Geopolitical news is highly random and can spike suddenly. In such an environment, controlling position size and leaving enough room for error is always the top priority. $BTC At 5:55 AM today, Bitcoin dropped from 76,000 to 73,500 within half an hour, hitting a new low since August. In the past 24 hours, the entire network liquidated $1.071 billion, with long positions accounting for $996 million, or 93%. What's more interesting is the time distribution: just in the hour before 6 AM, $745 million was liquidated, with longs at $715 million. 137,000 people were liquidated, the largest single liquidation was Binance's ETH/USDT at $48.16 million.
Note the sequence. It’s not that the price crash triggered the liquidations, but the liquidations themselves pushed the price down. The long-short ratio is 72 to 28, with longs crowded on one side and leverage concentrated. When the price breaks down through a key integer level, the first batch of forced liquidations become market sell orders, which push the price down further, triggering the second batch, and so on. The exchange’s liquidation engine acts as an accelerator in this process, not a brake.
So, to judge whether this cycle has bottomed out, the most direct indicator is when liquidation volume shifts from predominantly long-only to both sides. Today, longs account for 93%, indicating leverage has not yet been cleared and bottom-fishing money is still flowing in. #摩根大通称比特币或跑赢黄金 $BTC dropped from 75,690 to 73,477 in fifteen minutes over the weekend, losing two thousand dollars just like that, but liquidation data actually shrank to just over 50 million. Leverage had already been cleaned out in previous rounds, and no one stepping in to buy is more exhausting than a crash. The spot ETF saw a net outflow of 1.28 billion last week, fees turned negative, shorts started collecting rent, and the critical 75,000 line is being closely tested; if it can't hold, it will be a prolonged battle.
$ETH followed the bleeding, with ETFs seeing outflows for five consecutive weeks, BlackRock is also selling, so weak that even a rebound was skipped.
The A-share Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.32%, looking stable, but turnover shrank by 175.2 billion to 1.48 trillion. Robotics, commercial aerospace, and coal sectors took turns pulling up, but over 3,100 stocks fell. Volume is retreating, and the faster rotation feels more like exhaustion.
The US semiconductor index rebounded over 3 points, AMD rose 11%, but nonfarm payrolls at 165,000 far exceeded expectations, pushing the December rate hike probability to 85%. The Dow closed down, and Wall Street calls this a dead cat bounce. The chip stocks' own oversold recovery couldn't lift the whole market.
$SOL's Lujiazui advertisement was stopped by the central bank before it even got hot, and the involved units are under investigation. Regulatory scrutiny has never loosened.No more bull market, but I say this might not necessarily be a bad thing!
Think about late August and September, during the huge surge, how many people shorted and got trapped, now similarly many brothers are trapped going long.
Now, I judge that there is a high probability of entering a long-term consolidation phase. This is not necessarily a bad thing.
In the short term,
Bitcoin $BTC is likely to fluctuate between 70,000 and 76,000,
Ethereum $ETH is likely to fluctuate between 2,000 and 2,200.
My approach within the range is to sell high and buy low,
seek to go long near the lower boundary of the range, and look for opportunities to short near the upper boundary.
If no one-sided market appears,
we can hold positions in time without being liquidated,
consolidation markets are actually better.
Otherwise, in a big one-sided market, if the direction is wrong,
it’s easy to get liquidated.
Brothers, what do you think? How do you see it now?
Check my pinned post to discuss.
#美国10月CPI前瞻：12月加息预期会否改变？ 先说结论：这一轮砸的不是币圈自己的事，是钱变贵了。 过去四个小时，全网爆掉 8.03 亿美元的合约仓位，九成二是多单。以太坊一家被抬走 3.58 亿美元，比比特币还多——它成了这轮清算的主战场。一位知名多头 5,446 万美元的以太坊多单被强平，另一位大户 540 枚 ETH 多单清算之后账户直接归零。价格从 2,300 上方退到 2,110，弹一次被卖一次。 根子在宏观。10 月新增就业 16.5 万，市场原本只押 5.9 万，失业率掉到 4.1%，12 月加息的概率被推到八成上方。利率预期往上一抬，杠杆的钱当场变贵，第一批被平掉的永远是仓位最挤的那批人。这份数据出炉的时点也耐人寻味——越靠近选举周期，越需要一份漂亮的数据证明经济没塌，而市场只关心它把降息推远了多远。政治归政治，钱往哪走才是真的。 传导链很直白：美债收益率往上走、美元走强、不产生利息的资产机会成本变高，现货通道一周净流出 12.8 亿美元、是 6 月以来最差的一周，年内流入全部回吐。钱不是被吓走的，是被别处的收益率吸走的。配置盘一撤，基金就得卖现货，这是机械动作，跟情绪没关系。 这里有个反直觉的地方：恐惧贪婪读数 3SOL has been dropping for six weeks, but the amount of coins held in contracts has actually increased: throughout this decline, some have been leveraging more to buy the dip.
On October 1st at 0:00, it opened at 119.34, now around 86.5, down about 27%. During the same period, OKEx's total contract holdings measured in USD dropped from about 384 million to 355 million, only about a 7.5% decrease. Roughly calculated in coins at the spot price then, it went from about 3.22 million to about 4.1 million, an increase of about 27%. The price dropped by more than a quarter, but the holdings measured in coins actually grew by more than a quarter.
Most of the added positions are longs. In the last 20 funding rate periods, 17 were positive, with a maximum of 0.01%, meaning most of the time, long holders are paying shorts.
At 5 a.m. today, it dropped to 84.98, the lowest since August 20th. Contract holdings decreased by about 19.5 million USD in one hour, but measured in coins, it still remains above 4 million, so only a small portion was washed out.
This kind of decline indicates that not many have given up yet. To find the bottom, I pay more attention to when these over 4 million coins start to drop in large batches, rather than where the price stops first.
$SOL