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L1L2 sector trading volume surged 139%, liquidity is starting to flow into the L1L2 sector, worth keeping an eye on.
$AVAX $ARB $OP Oresight News reports that Polkadot parachain Acala and its corresponding network Karura on Kusama have issued shutdown announcements stating that if the related governance proposals are approved, both chains will stop producing blocks on February 10, 2027. The community began voting on November 9. Users need to withdraw DOT, KSM, and external assets such as USDT and USDC before then. Native tokens ACA and KAR cannot be withdrawn and will remain on the original chains.
LDOT must apply for unstaking before January 12, 2027; LDOT locked to specific validators must be unlocked before December 16, 2026; LKSM must apply for unstaking before February 2, 2027. Users holding lending or liquidity positions must close their positions before withdrawing assets. After the two chains cease operation, the team will try their best to return remaining external assets to users’ same accounts on Polkadot or Kusama Asset Hub, but not all assets can be returned; external assets in the two chains’ treasuries will be donated respectively to the Polkadot and Kusama treasuries.
Acala stated that the reason for shutdown is that the Polkadot and Kusama ecosystems have never formed sufficiently deep liquidity, and the multi-chain architecture has also caused liquidity and users to be fragmented $BTC The recent several drops have brutally crushed the contracts, but every time after $BTC spot falls, it tries to enter the market.
However, the spot entries are all short-term speculative trades; if the situation is unfavorable, they quickly escape.
This morning's drop, although the spot CVD also decreased, was overall stable and did not drop too much, and it quickly tried to buy back, unlike the contracts which clearly stepped down.
In this low liquidity market this morning, over a billion dollars were easily liquidated across the entire network.
I noticed that the 'dog whales' seem to like playing these sharp drops during the early Asian session. Last year on October 11 it was around 4-5 AM, the recent Binance hack incident was also around 4-5 AM, and today's sharp drop this morning was also around 4-5 AM.
Many people were still asleep and ended up getting liquidated. Looking at the liquidation chart, ETH also stopped falling after liquidating some large orders today.
Actually, there aren't many altcoin contract markets left with coins available for liquidation; only BTC and ETH can still be targeted.
Even Huang (Elon Musk) cheating can cause a wave in the crypto circle; the reasons are getting more and more ridiculous. Looking forward to stabilization and rebound; the contracts have been crushed enough.
On-chain long-term holders have not significantly reduced their holdings; the fundamental base is still stable. After the bulls are wiped out, naturally it will be the bears' turn. The short-term market dominated by contracts won't keep moving in one direction forever.$BTC This round of decline is like a "Five Underwear Defense Battle"!
Originally, there were five key supports:
DMA365: stripped!
STH-RP: stripped!
WMA50: also stripped!
Now only the last two pairs of underwear remain:
DMA200: 200-day moving average
WMA200: 200-week moving average
Is Bitcoin undergoing a deep bull shakeout, or is the bear market preparing to strip off the last two pairs of underwear?
① Hold the last defense line, put on the pants again and take off!
② Can't hold the two either, completely naked running into the bear market!
Only two choices! Providing the most core historical basis!
Colleagues, can BTC still keep its underwear this time? On October 19th, people were still celebrating the Bitcoin golden cross with great fanfare, but less than a month later, the bulls have been tossed around so miserably! $XAU $BTC
The bull-bear transition with the fast line had long crossed above the 50-week moving average, and now the slow line is quickly catching up, yet BTC's price has fallen below the 50-week moving average first! Currently, BTC is about 74.92K, the 50-week moving average is about 75.19K, only $267 apart. The slow line is about 74.34K, also just a step away from the golden cross.
The moving average structure is improving, but the price is reluctant to cooperate. This early stage of the bull run really tests one's patience! However, my judgment that BTC is transitioning from bear to bull has not changed for now. After a long bear market, trend recovery is naturally likely to be full of fluctuations.
Next, the key is to see if it can firmly stand above the 50-week moving average again, and whether the slow line golden cross can ultimately complete. A golden cross is not a guarantee against declines, but we should not dismiss the positive signals forming just because of the current volatility.
The tougher the times, the more confidence is needed, and even more so, rationality and patience!Within just ten minutes, one billion dollars were liquidated.
$BTC fell below $74,000, $ETH fell below $2,125, $XRP fell below $1.10, and SOL also fell below $90.
In just a few minutes, a large number of leveraged positions were liquidated, and the market plunged across the board.
The market is truly unpredictable. Yesterday, people still had hope for a market recovery, but today it plunged again. $BTC This wave of shrinking volume and slow decline is more exhausting than a volume surge. It never reaches 76500; it surged to 76100 overnight but was pushed back. Orders in the queue simply don't get filled. The market is ridiculously weak, wobbling around 75500. If it really breaks below 75000, we might soon see 72000–71000. I just closed my short position and regret it.
$ETH Even less strength, 2250 feels like a ceiling. It only reached 2245 in the evening before stalling, with light trading volume. The rebounds are all just pauses in the downtrend. Now, without volume, it's already sliding toward 2220. If it really dips again, 2200 likely won't hold. If this continues tomorrow, the bulls are probably going to get collectively beaten.Aave DAO passed with 100% approval to bring Bitcoin into the lending market.
The ARFC proposal passed on November 9 has one core point: native BTC on Aave V4 can be used directly as collateral. Using Babylon's Trustless Bitcoin Vaults, holders lock their coins and manage custody themselves, then borrow USDT or USDC. No wrapping, no bridging, no third-party custody.
Previously, to borrow against BTC, you had to first convert it to WBTC or cbBTC—adding an extra layer of issuer credit risk and an additional attack surface from cross-chain bridges. This time, Aave removes that layer, aligning collateral factors and lending rates directly with WBTC and cbBTC, forcibly equalizing the pricing between native and wrapped BTC.
It's also worth watching how the money is distributed. Aave DAO shares revenue with Babylon, with a portion used to buy back $AAVE and $BABY, turning the new lending demand into buy pressure for these two tokens.
Assessment: In the short term, $BTC gains a financing channel that doesn't require selling coins; in the medium term, WBTC's market share is eroded—if native BTC can be used under the same conditions, the wrapping loses its justification.
One question remains: if Bitcoin can be self-custodied, locked, and borrowed against, does the argument "BTC has no cash flow so it must be discounted" still hold?Writing
Some $CORE holders are still clinging to the hope that this coin will eventually make a comeback, but realistically, that expectation is becoming increasingly difficult to justify.
We need to look at the facts rather than rely on wishful thinking.
1. No meaningful capital inflows
At present, $CORE lacks meaningful institutional backing and fresh capital inflows. Most of its trading activity appears to be driven by retail speculation and potentially artificial volume. #DailyOrbit A friend who runs a small business entered the crypto space last year with 1,000 U. He wanted to double it in the first three days, but after a week, only 400 U remained. Later, by strictly following discipline, he managed to grow it to 68,000 in two months.
It's not that his skills are extraordinary, but he finally learned to follow the rules. If you want to slowly roll 1,000 U into 50,000 or 100,000, don't think about getting rich quickly; first, think about how not to lose everything.
Step 1: Test with a small position.
With 1,000 U principal, only use 200 to 300 U per trade at first, keep the rest untouched. Small money fears heavy positions; winning once can make you overconfident, losing once can hurt deeply.
Step 2: Only trade markets you understand.
Focus on three things: clear support and resistance, alignment in higher timeframes, and a risk-reward ratio of at least 2:1. If one condition is missing, better stay out. The market is open every day; no need to trade every day.
Step 3: Set stop-losses in advance.
Limit single trade losses to 2% to 3% of total capital, that is 20 to 30 U. If your judgment is wrong, accept it; do not add to the position or try to recover by doubling down. Holding on stubbornly once wastes all previous efforts.
Step 4: Only increase position size when profitable.
Once you have floating profits, move your stop-loss up to protect gains. If the trend remains intact, add some profits to the position; if the market weakens, reduce immediately. Adding to losing positions is suicidal; adding recklessly to winning ones will also give back profits.
Step 5: Increase position size after reaching 3,000 U.
When the account reaches 3,000 U, you can increase single trade size to 800 to 1,000 U, but risk control rules remain the same. Forgetting the rules after making some profit will quickly teach you a lesson.
Step 6: Withdraw profits when making money.
When 1,000 U grows to 3,000 U, withdraw 500 U first. No matter how good the account balance looks, unrealized profits can still disappear.
$BTC $ETH $ZEC Gold's recent trend is quite interesting. Last week, the US stock and crypto markets were hit one after another, yet gold rebounded above $4000 and today it is back above $4100.
What’s more noteworthy is that last Friday's US non-farm payroll data exceeded expectations, and the market's bets on a Fed rate hike in December continued to heat up. Normally, this environment wouldn't be favorable for gold, but the drop in oil prices, weakening dollar, and falling US Treasury yields have still provided significant support for gold.
Personally, I remain bullish, but tomorrow night at 21:30 the US October CPI will be released. Given the current interest rate expectations, this data is likely to once again influence the market’s judgment on the Fed’s policy path.
From a technical perspective, I’m paying more attention to the previous high around $4150. If gold remains strong after the CPI release and further breaks through this level, I will be more confident in a bullish outlook for the subsequent market. At this stage, I won’t chase the highs and will wait for a more comfortable entry point. $BTC $ETH $XAU #美国10月CPI前瞻：12月加息预期会否改变？ #美国10月CPI前瞻：12月加息预期会否改变？
I am the mid-term intelligence guy.
This week, focus on the CPI line on the evening of November 10 — nonfarm payrolls have pushed the probability of a December rate hike to 80%, the tone is already hawkish.
If CPI month-on-month ≤ 0.2%: urgency for rate hikes slightly eases, $BTC looks to hold at 75,000, but ETFs are still flowing out, don’t assume a reversal.
If CPI month-on-month ≥ 0.3% or core strengthens: rate hike pricing is confirmed, US Treasury yields push higher again, $BTC likely to retest 72,000-73,000, $ETH to test 2000 first.
Currently, the market is waiting for rate hike expectations to be fully priced in + ETF inflows, that’s the real buying opportunity. This round is “data sets the rhythm, not the trend.”$BTC Bitcoin is currently characterized by "deleveraging and emotional resistance coexisting"
The short-term resistance mentioned this afternoon is at 75500-76000
Only if this level can be broken through and held can there be hope for a continued rise
I personally think there might be a chance for this wave of rise around 78000
But if the short-term resistance cannot be surpassed, it will be a bit difficult
Bitcoin's current rise is unlikely to be the start of a trend reversal; the high long-short ratio (3.14) of large accounts, massive ETF outflows, and the price breaking below the 50-week moving average all appear simultaneously, indicating that the "bullish" sentiment has not yet translated into a price increase
$ETH Ethereum's short-term resistance depends on whether it can break through 2150-2200
Ethereum's recent volatility is really scary
The amplitude of this volatility is too large
Recently, I have been reluctant to participate
It's very easy to get stopped out
The above are personal opinions for reference only Let's talk about chasing highs first. Why do you have to wait for the price to rise before daring to buy? Because only when you see it going up do you feel secure. But this sense of security is often a false illusion given near the end of a market move. When $BTC $ETH $SNDK rises 3%, you watch; at 8%, you start doubting you missed out; at 15%, you can't sit still; at 18%, you rush in. Then when it pulls back 5%, you panic and sell at the lowest point. You’re not buying at the highest point; you’re buying at the moment everyone thinks it will keep rising. That moment has the best liquidity and is exactly when big players find it easiest to unload. Now about cutting losses. Why do you always sell at the bottom? Because when prices fall, you only see more decline ahead. A 5% drop seems fine, 15% makes you nervous, 25% you can’t hold on and sell, then it rebounds 10%. You’re not wrong in your judgment; you’re pushed by emotions to take that final step. Both actions stem from the same problem: you focus on the last three candlesticks, not the overall structure. You chase highs because the last three are bullish candles; you cut losses because the last three are bearish candles. You make the most critical decisions based on the shortest-term fluctuations. How to fix this? Three practical steps. First, confirm earlier. Don’t chase after the price has already risen; wait for a pullback to a key level and confirm support before entering. Set your entry points in advance; don’t rely on gut feeling on the spot. Second, only place orders within your planned price range. Write down before market open: buy at X level, sell at Y level. If it doesn’t reach those levels, don’t act; markets that don’t reach your plan aren’t meant for you. Third, don’t chase moves that have already gone too far. From the starting point, if it exceeds 2 times the ATR, don’t chase.No matter how well the story of AI is told, in the end, it all comes down to whether real money can be made.
SoftBank has heavily invested in OpenAI, with a total investment of about $64.6 billion, holding approximately 13% of the shares. However, the AI sector has recently been under pressure, and when this huge investment will truly yield returns remains a key focus for the market.
Looking at the crypto market:
BTC: $74,590
ETH: $2,121
SOL: $87
The overall market has been weak in the past 24 hours, with altcoins generally under pressure; only 32 tokens have risen, and the fear index has dropped to 29.
AI is betting on long-term growth, while crypto is undergoing deleveraging. Risk appetite has clearly declined, so there is no rush to bottom-fish now; first, observe whether BTC can hold its key support.
This is only a personal market observation and does not constitute investment advice.
$BTC $ETH $SOL
#OpenAI #SoftBank #CryptoMarket
#USCPIDecemberRateWatch $ETH plummeted with a sharp dip, weighed down by negative news
It dropped 4.31% today! The lowest just hit 2063 directly.
Now it’s weakly rebounding around 2145, but honestly, this rebound feels flimsy.
A big scandal hit: the former head of protocol support at the Ethereum Foundation sued the foundation and Vitalik plus six others. Even V God got sued. This kind of internal conflict is definitely negative, and the market will vote with its feet first.
Resistance is seen around 2180-2200 above; if the rebound can’t break through, it’s a chance to short on the rally.
$SOL fell along with $ETH but didn’t follow the rebound, struggling to breathe
It dropped 2.15%. The lowest dip was 84.98.
It’s barely holding above the trendline (86.50). But looking over the past month, it’s down 20%, still weak.
Arkham marked 3 billion in crypto fund assets, which doesn’t really stimulate the short-term market.
It can’t just follow the overall market; if the market doesn’t stabilize, it’s no good. Watch the 85 support below closely; if it breaks, it will look for a bottom further down. Short on rallies.I'm watching $NVDA closely after this sharp premarket sell-off. Shares are down around 5% as uncertainty surrounding Jensen Huang and the board's investigation shakes investor confidence.
I think panic selling could create an opportunity, but I'm not rushing into a long here. I want to see buyers defend support and price reclaim $180 first.
If selling continues, further downside is possible. For now, patience over FOMO. I'll wait for confirmation before taking a position.$ENS $ETH Damn! ETH's shakeout this round is really brutal, the main force is aggressively dumping at 2144.63, and it's clear from the K-line that funds are absorbing. Brother Lie has been watching all morning; this is obviously a dog whale clearing floating chips, with sinister intentions! 📉 Support around 2100 below is quite strong, enter the market and set a sell order at 2144.63, stop loss at 2088, don't go heavy, this is a tentative ambush. Following orders is voluntary, profits and losses are your own responsibility. 👇👇👇Brothers who missed this wave of $COHR long positions, don't worry, the market never lacks opportunities, what it lacks is patience to wait for signals.
The four-hour golden cross is moving upward, the one-hour pullback is strong, going long from 188.07 to 224.75, with 20x leverage gaining +390.06%. This is a completed segment, not something that happens every day.
The next round of layout ideas is very clear: wait for the price to pull back again to the 190-195 support zone, observe whether the one-hour chart shows stabilization or a long lower shadow confirmation, and do not chase longs at high levels.
Take profit is executed in two stages: lock in profits first at 224.75, then look for extension space at 235-240; stop loss is uniformly set below 180, once the structure is broken, decisively admit the mistake and exit. $BTC #美国10月CPI前瞻：12月加息预期会否改变？ $ETH This $APT pot is already smoking at the edges: up 4.41% in 24H, RSI short-term surged to 70.3, but long-term only 54.1 — the flame has reached the lid, but the bottom of the pot is still warm, this is a false fire, not a rich broth.
The main dish hasn't changed, but the seasoning was sprinkled too heavily first. The short-term Bollinger Band price position is 120%, only -0.6% from the upper band, with +3.7% buffer from the lower band; the mid-term position is 97%, just +0.2% from the upper band, and +5.2% from the lower band. It's like sprinkling chili powder on the pot's edge: the smell is strong, but the taste might not be good; wait for a pullback before making a move. For this 0.63 pot, I won't rush to lift the lid; the bearish bias is to wait for the price to return near 0.64, about +2.0% from the current price, before stirring. RSI short-term is overbought, long-term neutral, indicating this dish is not a big trend fire but a short-term stir-fry, which will lose flavor once the heat passes.
Mainstream coins are the main dish, altcoins are the seasoning, leveraged contracts are the extra spicy chili; this $APT order can only be a seasoning spoon, not the whole base flavor. Stop loss at 0.70 is 12.1% above the current price, which is like adding a whole handful of chili; the pot must be covered before the spice burns through the stomach. Take profit first looks at 0.59, 6.1% below current price; then 0.60, 4.9% below current price. Profit margin isn't big, so knife skills must be quick, and heat time short.
📉 Short:
Entry: 0.64 (current price +2.0%)
Take Profit 1: 0.59 (-6.1%)
Take Profit 2: 0.60 (-4.9%)
Stop Loss: 0.70 (+12.1% from current price)
The pot of $APT is already steaming up to the upper band, RSI 70.3 is not fragrant, it's burnt edges; short positions just wait for a pullback to stir, no catching flying knives.Writing
🚨 Intelligence Report: A Major Whale Movement Has Been Detected!
The latest on-chain monitoring reveals that a mysterious whale is holding approximately $490 million in perpetual futures positions, with all three major short positions currently deep in profit. The whale has also been consistently collecting positive funding payments, suggesting a well-maintained short strategy.
#DailyOrbit Aave brings native BTC into V4 collateral
Aave DAO passed the ARFC proposal with 100% approval, enabling native BTC to be used directly as collateral in Aave V4 through Babylon's trustless Bitcoin vault. No wrapping, no cross-chain.
BTC holders can self-custody and lock their Bitcoin to borrow stablecoins like USDC. Collateralization ratio is 78%, risk premium 0%. For those who want to leverage without selling their coins, this is a new option.
The old challenge of $BTC entering DeFi has been trust and wrapping; this time there's a new solution. The next step is to enter AIP, with a mainnet target by the end of 2026, initially limited by number of users and scale.
Liquidity is worth watching: the initial stablecoin credit limit is about $21 million, mainly from Aave Core Hub. This amount can't support large funds yet; early stage is more about running through the process.$ETH Asian Web3 ecosystem platform BlockUnion announced an ecological cooperation with Ethereum institutional privacy infrastructure company EthSystems to jointly promote the development and application of institutional-level on-chain financial solutions.
EthSystems was founded by Mo Jalil, former head of institutional privacy at the Ethereum Foundation, focusing on using zero-knowledge proofs (ZK), fully homomorphic encryption (FHE), multiparty secure computation (MPC), and trusted execution environments (TEE) to address data confidentiality and compliance challenges in the process of financial business going on-chain. $BTC $ACH This 24-hour +2.12% rise should not be mistaken for a recovery discharge—this is a typical compensatory tachycardia, superficially lively but with heart rate bands that could collapse at any moment. The short-term RSI has already burned up to 65.1, approaching the overbought red line at 70, equivalent to the ventricular rate soaring to a critical value; meanwhile, the long-term RSI is only 41.7. The two heart rate curves clearly diverge, indicating this rally lacks underlying myocardial contraction support. It is electrophysiological false heat, not an improvement in pumping function.
More critically, the Bollinger Bands, this "vascular wall pressure parameter": the short-term price position has already hit 114%, with only -0.3% margin left on the upper band—in other words, the price has stretched the inner vascular wall beyond its limit by 14 percentage points, a typical risk of vascular wall expansion, which may elastically retract at any time. The mid-term price position is at 72%, with +3.5% retracement space from the lower band, which is the natural fallback point of the lesion.
Comprehensive diagnosis: this is a compound lesion of "high-level rupture tendency + mid-term mean reversion." The signal direction is SELL, essentially performing a vascular wall retraction repair rather than chasing an expansion.
The surgical plan is precisely laid out according to anatomical position, first placing the knife at the rebound high point, avoiding random cuts at the current price:
📉 Short:
Entry: current price +1.8% (wait for the rebound to the upper band rupture zone before cutting to avoid cutting during the contraction phase)
Take Profit 1: -3.4% (front edge of the mid-term lower band +3.5% buffer zone, first suture point)
Take Profit 2: -4.7% (deep lesion clearance point, end of the retracement channel)
Stop Loss: +11.2% (vascular complete breakthrough, beyond the safe wall thickness fuse line, immediate closure once triggered)
Risk ratio must be presented: maximum profit space -4.7%, hedging +11.2% stop loss depth, the profit-loss structure is not elegant—this surgery is more suitable for small incisions and light positions for probing, not a major open-chest radical surgery. If the long-term RSI falls below 40 during the decline without volume reduction, it indicates the root cause is not cleared and requires reassessment; if the short-term RSI instead breaks above 70 accompanied by volume exhaustion, that signals myocardial ischemia and requires early take profit confirmation.
I judge this trade as a "controllable arrhythmia repair window," not a structural bull market reconstruction. The ECG has already detected flaws; the suturing action must be fast, precise, and steady.The rocket hasn't launched yet, but the market has already started to settle accounts in advance 😂
Rocket Lab is about to release its Q3 earnings report, with the market expecting revenue between $250 million and $265 million. The real focus remains on Neutron: the maiden flight has been postponed to 2027, and whether the progress can be delivered directly affects the growth story that follows.
Looking at the crypto space, the big brother BTC is around $74,626, SOL about $86.55, both down approximately 1.7% and 3.3% in the last 24 hours respectively. Risk appetite hasn't recovered yet, and altcoins are also struggling to hold their ground.
One is waiting for the rocket to take off, the other is waiting for capital to flow back. No matter how good the story is, real results must be delivered. Don't rush to chase the hype; first, watch the earnings report and see if BTC can stabilize.
Personal market record sharing, not investment advice.
$BTC $SOL $ZEC
#RocketLab财报前瞻：Neutron火箭进展如何？ A 4.68% rise in 24 hours yet showing a sell position is not a bull's victory but a poisoned move handed over by the opponent on the 41st move. The short-term RSI has already pierced 70.4, while the long-term RSI remains at 55.9—one is aggressively overbought, the other is holding steady in neutral territory, a typical case of the front line extending while the rear wing remains closed.
I lay out the board: current price 95.24, short-term Bollinger Band position at 132%, price 1.1% above the upper band, lower band 4.9% below. This is not a spatial advantage but a void exposed after the passing pawn. The mid-term Bollinger Band is at 66%, 2.8% from the upper band and 5.8% from the lower, indicating the midgame is undecided, with local tactical combinations reaching their limits. The 24H increase of 4.68% has lured pursuers into the elephant's eye, and RSI1H>64 triggers selling, like the opponent forcing me to take the poisoned pawn with a blitz.
My calculation avoids chasing highs: entry set at 97.99, 2.9% above current price, waiting for a rebound to send the last batch of urgent troops into the containment line. First target 87.10, 8.5% below current price; second target 90.03, 5.5% below current price. Stop loss at 109.29, 14.8% above current price, which is the river boundary I allow the opponent to cross. If 109.29 breaks first, it means the sacrificed pawn turns into a promotion, the entire variation is invalid, and I will not cling to the fight.
📉 Short:
Entry: 97.99 (current price +2.9%)
Take Profit 1: 87.10 (-8.5%)
Take Profit 2: 90.03 (-5.5%)
Stop Loss: 109.29 (+14.8%)
In terms of piece exchange, moving from 97.99 to 87.10 offers about ten points of space, with a stop loss boundary of fourteen point eight. This is not an even endgame but a precise calculation to gain time advantage. The divergence between short-term overbought 70.4 and long-term 55.9 is the initiative; the short-term Bollinger Band at 132% is the flaw in the opponent's pawn structure in front of the king. The real profit-makers do not play move by move but have already calculated the position twenty moves ahead before placing a piece. In this game, I only wait for the 97.99 rebound, using two steps of take profit to dismantle his central pawn chain; above 109.29, the board belongs to the opponent.BITCOIN FACES THE CPI TEST — NOVEMBER 10
The U.S. October CPI report arrives tomorrow at 8:30 AM ET.
Cooler inflation could support BTC by easing pressure on yields and the dollar. Hotter inflation could reinforce restrictive Fed expectations.
BITCHOICE | SATYA PERSPECTIVE:
The key is not inflation alone, but the surprise versus market expectations.
Watch core CPI, Treasury yields, DXY and BTC options positioning. The first price reaction may not define the lasting trend.
$BTC $ETH On November 8, the rental price of Nvidia B200 rose to $6.81 per GPU per hour, continuing to set a new record high; the H100 surged to $3.04 over the weekend, then slightly retreated to $3 yesterday, continuing to approach the September 2024 peak; the A100 rose to $1.59 on Friday and has remained near that level. Overall, the demand for chip iteration continues to support the new generation GPU B200's price increase, the previous generation flagship model H100 remains strong, and the oldest version A100's price has fluctuated relatively little this year but has been steadily rising recently, indicating that overall demand remains robust. 1. The GPU rental price index mainly tracks the actual rental quotes of Nvidia A100, H100, B200, and other GPUs daily in cloud service providers, data centers, and private rental markets. 2. A100, H100, and B200 are Nvidia's three generations of chip products from old to new (GPU); generally, the newer the generation, the better the GPU performance and the more suitable it is for large-scale complex models, and rental prices tend to be higher. 3. Due to the high price and rapid updates of GPUs, many companies choose to rent chips from cloud service providers and data centers to save capital investment. A rise in the related index usually means GPUs are tighter and demand is stronger; a decline indicates increased supply or cooling demand. By observing price trends and comparing price differences between new and old GPUs, investors can understand the current AI computing power market conditions. $BTC $DOGE This building has load-bearing walls in the renderings, but no piles in the construction drawings. The 24-hour +5.43% bullish candle only painted a layer of gold on the facade, but the short-term Bollinger Bands have already pressed the ceiling down to the top — the price is only 1.0% away from the upper band, while there is a 2.6% gap below to the lower band. The mid-term percentile is even more precarious, at 92%, with only 0.7% distance to the upper boundary. This is not a penthouse; it’s the last plank on the scaffolding.
Looking at the structure: RSI1H climbed to 67.9, just a breath away from the overbought red line; the long-term RSI is 50.3, the foundation’s load-bearing capacity just barely passing, adding another floor would be a code violation. The SELL signal lit up at RSI>64 — the plan fails inspection and must be redone.
Designers all understand: the whitepaper is the rendering, community consensus is the exterior decoration, but what truly supports the floors are the rebar of development iterations and the shear walls of scalability. $DOGE has a lot of volume, but the rebar density is insufficient. The 24-hour +5.43% increase is not building height, it’s wind pressure.
More troublesome is the position. The mid-term Bollinger Bands at the 92% percentile means you’re already standing on the 92nd floor of the whole building; one step up is the roof, one step down is a free fall of over thirty floors. Going long here has a risk-reward ratio of 0.7% to 8.4% — a cantilevered eave against a load-bearing section, asymmetrical.
Judging by construction progress, this rally lacks a volume foundation and is a rushed build to meet deadlines. The short-term Bollinger Bands at 72% percentile indicate a cantilever structure — the eave extends 2.6%, but there are no columns underneath. The first part to sway in the wind is this section.
Outsiders look at the lines, insiders look at the piles. I treat $DOGE as a building without a basement: flashy above ground, but the foundation is unknown. The long-term RSI 50.3 barely passes inspection, with no redundancy and zero seismic rating.
My plan: don’t chase the facade rally, wait for a false breakout upwards, then place a short near $0.08, which is +3.4% from now, exactly the point to fill the gap and trap the terrace.
📉 Short:
Entry: $0.08 (current price +3.4%)
Take Profit 1: $0.07 (-4.9%, first ring beam support)
Take Profit 2: $0.07 (-7.7%, retracement to the slab area)
Stop Loss: $0.08 (+14.3%, crossing this invalidates the blueprint)
Structural engineers don’t gamble on weather, only on load. This building’s load-bearing walls are hollow.SanDisk rebounded from 790 to 890, rising 13% in one day. That's quite a strong rebound. $SNDK
#美股暴跌后科技股反弹，纳指周线仍跌约3.4%
It had previously dropped nearly 70% from its high. I even said, "Once the storage cycle really turns, the drop will be bottomless." So what happened? Now it’s rebounding again, up 13% in one day.
Why the rebound? I looked into it, and it seems to be an oversold rebound. It fell 70% from the high, which is a severe drop, so a technical rebound is bound to happen. Also, the storage chip sector has dropped so much recently that investors feel it has bottomed out and are coming in to catch the bottom.
Personally, I’m just watching and not chasing. Do you think 790 is the bottom? I don’t know. But do you think 890 means a reversal? I don’t believe that either. The logic that the storage cycle has peaked still stands; it won’t change just because of a one-day rebound. This kind of oversold rebound rises fast but also falls fast.
If you really want to catch the bottom in storage chips, wait until it stabilizes, doesn’t hit new lows for several consecutive days, then consider it. If you chase in now and it falls back tomorrow, you’ll be hanging by a thread.
What about you? SanDisk rebounded from 790 to 890. Do you think it’s a reversal or just an oversold rebound?There is an easily overlooked crack hidden in the funding rate data from the past few hours: the funding rates for buyers and sellers of the three coins $ONE, $MET, and $ZEC show a clear divergence, with only about 211 minutes left until this round of settlement. What is truly worth being cautious about is not the price itself, but the fact that price, positions, and funding rates are beginning to tell different stories. First, look at $MET. The 4-hour funding rate is -0.0276%, the price has dropped 0.37%, but the open interest has increased counter to the trend by 0.8%. This is a typical "short position accumulation" structure: the price is falling, but shorts are continuously building their positions, increasing market crowding. The problem is that this crowding is one-sided—once the price reverses, the squeezed shorts will rush to close positions, amplifying liquidation risk. Among the three coins, $MET has the highest concentration risk in open interest; it behaves more like a spring compressed to its limit rather than a trend moving downward smoothly. The picture for $ONE is completely different. Its seller-side funding rate has long been deeply negative, with a 4-hour rate as low as -0.2504%. While the price dropped 0.53%, open interest simultaneously decreased by 1.19%. This indicates that some short capital is withdrawing, and the efficiency of short chasing is declining. In other words, the short momentum is showing signs of loosening, and the marginal force pushing prices down is weakening. The retreat of shorts does not necessarily mean a reversal, but it does weaken the sustainability of a one-sided downward move. The contradiction for $ZEC lies on the long side. The 8-hour funding rate remains at +0.014%, and the willingness of longs to pay fees is still relatively high $BTC dropped to 73,000 this morning, now it has bounced back to 75,000. Who can understand this market?
#BTC与ETH现货ETF单周净流出超16亿美元
I glanced at it this morning and it directly dropped to 73,000. I thought it was really going to crash. So what happened? It pulled back in the afternoon, now at 75,400. It fluctuated more than 2,000 dollars up and down within one day, killing both bulls and bears.
This kind of market is the most deceptive. Those who panicked and sold in the morning are now regretting it; those who shorted in the morning are now getting squeezed. That's how the manipulators work: first they dump to wash out the panic sellers, then pull it back to blow up the shorts. They profit on both sides.
Personally, I stayed out of the market this morning, neither bottom-fishing nor shorting. Why? Because after such a sharp drop and sharp rise, you simply don't know if it's a real rebound or a bull trap. Would you dare to bottom-fish at that morning level? Would you dare to chase now?
If you really want to trade, wait until it chooses a clear direction. Jumping in during this volatile up-and-down is just giving money to the manipulators.
What about you? At 73,000 this morning, did you bottom-fish or cut losses? BTC spot ETFs have seen a net outflow of $1.28 billion over five days, indicating that the current willingness of large institutions to buy is declining. If the capital continues to flow out, a drop below 70,000 is highly likely. Even if Bitcoin rebounds, don't rush to bottom-fish. We are still in the mid-stage of the bear market in Bitcoin's four-year cycle. Buying spot can be done in batches according to the decline: buy less on small dips, buy more on big drops. Low volume expansion at the bottom and high volume expansion at the top are two different things
$IOTA bottom volume expansion, worth a look
New funds have entered the contract side within an hour, plus the 15-minute volume has also expanded
What to watch out for is that the volume is a bit intermittent, and the hourly-level sellers are still relatively strong
Start with a small position, add more if the volume follows, stop loss at 0.02994, first target 0.03874, take 30% off the table when reached
#Altcoins$LAB Can it surge a bit tonight?
LAB current price is 0.04204, down 5.23% intraday. The 15-minute short-term moving averages are intertwined; after a rally, it faced resistance and pulled back, with bullish momentum weakening.
The overall market long-short ratio is 0.8886. On the retail side, short positions account for 52.95%, indicating retail traders are bearish, but large holders' positions still lean bullish, showing a clear divergence in views between small and large capital.
Funding rates remain slightly positive. Recently, the funding rate curve has gradually declined from a high level, and market enthusiasm for going long has cooled compared to previous peaks.
In the short term, the resistance level to watch is around 0.0423. If it cannot hold above this resistance, the market will likely continue to oscillate downward. Support is noted near 0.0406.$ONDO Ondo has now become the world's largest tokenization platform, with a TVL exceeding $4 billion (according to RWA․xyz data).
This growth reflects the global demand for better access to financial markets and more ways to use on-chain assets.
Ondo's tokenization tech stack now includes:
→ Private markets
→ Tokenized government bonds
→ Ondo smart portfolios
→ Tokenized stocks and ETFs
During an interview with FINTECH․TV at the New York Stock Exchange trading floor, Matthieu de Vergnes explained the reasons behind Ondo becoming the leader in the tokenization space.$ETHFI long position with 20x leverage, opened at 0.573, currently at 0.6289, floating profit 195.11%. This wave is a "bottom bargain buy," breaking violently upward at the end of the triangle convergence, the moving averages just turned up and were immediately pulled into a bullish alignment, MACD red bars are like they've been injected with adrenaline.
Stop loss at 0.555, take profit at 0.620 (half position already reduced) and 0.655. Playing this small market cap with 20x leverage, the spikes are like lining up at the breakfast shop downstairs—can come anytime.
Floating profit has already been cashed out to reduce cost, the remaining position is treated as a "free lottery ticket" to let it run as far as it can, if the pullback hits the trailing stop line, it's goodbye immediately. Don't worry if you missed it, wait for the next opportunity. $BTC $ETH ETH suddenly returned to $2,140.56—is this a reversal signal or a trap?
The story starts from the low point of $2,127. In the past nearly 30 days, ETH dropped from $2,537 all the way down to around $2,127, a decline of -15.61%, trapping many investors. But just when everyone thought it would fall further, the price quietly stabilized and bounced back to $2,140.56.
This is no coincidence. Buying began to pick up at the low level—spot support thickened, indicating some capital thinks this price is "cheap." But the other side of the story is: above $2,537 there is still a large amount of previous trapped positions, which is the real test.
So this current level is the most challenging moment: those who believe the story think a reversal is coming, while cautious ones think it will still consolidate.
My judgment is: the reversal signal is not fully confirmed yet, but the direction is improving. Watch $2,537—if it breaks above with volume, this recovery will be confirmed, targeting $2,587; if it fails to break, it will continue to consolidate above $2,127.
In terms of operation, don’t chase highs; buy low near $2,127, set a stop loss at $2,064, and manage your position to handle uncertainty.
The story is not finished yet, don’t rush to conclusions. Data is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. $ETH $BTC just formed consecutive bullish candles on the 15-minute chart. The market surged upward, touching above 75,000, very exciting. Both swing highs and lows are rising, forming an ascending pattern on the 15-minute timeframe. The short-term buying pressure is pushing up quickly, looking very strong.
Looking at the 15-minute chart, the EMA is turning upward. The MACD red bars are getting longer one by one, closing above the previous high and forming a BOS. The trading volume of these recent candles is nearly double that of earlier ones. All the small timeframe indicators are signaling a sprint.
However, switching to the 4-hour chart, the signals are exactly the opposite. The 4-hour EMA is arranged in a bearish slope downward. Swing highs and lows are progressively lower, and the 4-hour remains in a downtrend. The small timeframe rebound is running against the higher timeframe trend.
The price just touched around 75,000, which is pressing against the swing resistance on the 4-hour chart. The higher timeframe defense level is overhead. My next bias is bearish. The bulls need to build volume to break through; otherwise, the market will most likely turn down first.
$ETH $SOL #AI巨头融资观察：OpenAI完成110亿美元融资，科技企业发债潮持续 Many short-term trades, rebound on Monday, I said it at 8 PM. Now that it has played out, it was also expected.
Next, let's see how the US stock market closes. Can this high open hold until the close, or will it pull back to fill the gap?#BTC and ETH spot ETFs saw a net outflow of over $1.6 billion in a single week
Is BlackRock no longer supporting the market this time?
Previously, everyone was hoping institutions would buy coins every day
Thinking that with Wall Street coming, the market would stabilize
But IBIT had a net outflow of more than $1.2 billion in one week
So institutions running away
Are they really no slower than retail investors?
And just BlackRock's IBIT
Accounts for about 94% of the net outflow from Bitcoin ETFs
But one thing needs to be clear here
IBIT's capital outflow
Does not mean BlackRock itself is selling Bitcoin
BlackRock is the fund manager
The actual buying and selling of ETF shares
Is done by various investors behind it
They earn management fees from managing the fund
But they never promised to support the market
What's more interesting is
In the same week, Fidelity's FBTC
Actually had a net inflow of about $93 million
Showing that Wall Street is not a monolith
Some are retreating
While others are entering
$BTC #US Crypto Regulation: "CLARITY Act" Progress Stalled, 401(k) Rules Enter Final Review US October Nonfarm Payrolls Exceed Expectations, December Rate Hike Bets Heat Up
Nonfarm Payrolls Surged, October Added 165K (Expected 65K), Unemployment Rate Dropped to 4.1%, December Rate Hike Bets Jumped to Nearly 80%, USD and US Treasury Yields Rose in Tandem, Risk Assets Face Short-Term Pressure.
BTC Data Fell Nearly 5% Afterwards, Barely Holding the 75K–76K Defense Line, ETF Weekly Outflows Exceed 800 Million, Leveraged Longs Liquidated Severely, Weak Rebound Under High Interest Rate Environment, Watch Support Around 74,000.
ETH Also Weakened, Bottoming Around 2230, ETF Weekly Outflows Continue Combined with Aftermath of Security Incidents, Less Resilient Than BTC, Awaiting Stabilization Signals.
SNDK Chip Chain Rebounded Strongest, Night After Nonfarm Rose Over 9% (Closed at 835), AI Storage Logic Is Strong, But Retraced Nearly Half from 1600+ Within the Month, Highly Volatile, Look for Support on Pullbacks.
Check Total Account Positions to Confirm Whether Each Asset's Proportion Exceeds Preset Limits.
Market Has +12.91K USDT Position Records
$BTC $ETH $SNDK Gate perpetual contract for SanDisk is currently around 888, up about 6.4% in 24 hours; Micron is around 731, up about 5.4%; the double-long SanDisk SNXX is up about 13%. Nvidia, on the other hand, is down about 4.2%. $BTC $ETH $SNDK My judgment is: this round is more of a rebound after last week's oversell, combined with funds shifting from Nvidia to storage, and it cannot be simply understood as the storage cycle being revalidated. Large holders on the contract side are still bearish; those chasing highs need to know who is on the other side. First, let's see why prices rose. Last Thursday, the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index fell about 12% in one day, Micron dropped about 17%, SanDisk about 22%, triggered by market concerns after the midterm elections about data center approvals and electricity price tightening, which could slow down computing power construction. But the two companies' books are not bad; Micron's last quarter revenue was about $54.2 billion, SanDisk's about $11 billion, and guidance is still being revised upward. Morgan Stanley raised the target prices for both companies, citing that storage supply tightness may continue for another two to three years. TrendForce expects contract prices for regular DRAM to rise 10% to 15% in Q4, NAND to rise 15% to 20%. Apple also mentioned unprecedented memory price pressure in its November 2 conference call. Additionally, following the Nvidia CEO controversy over the weekend, funds moved from Nvidia to other chips. The fundamentals haven't changed; what changed is the retreat of panic and the shift of funds. Next, let's see who is taking the position by looking at three sets of data. The first set is price and volume. SanDisk's 24-hour low is about I usually don't treat a weekly-level breakout as a signal, but rather as a boundary.
The reason is simple: the weekly candle closes only once a week, and by the time it closes, there’s little action left to take. But it serves one purpose—it narrows down the range for subsequent judgments. Before the breakout, you have to consider both upward and downward directions; after the breakout, you only need to consider whether the price "closes back" or "does not close back," cutting the options in half.
I use three methods to verify, none of which require prediction.
First, see if it can return to the line within a week. Historically, there are roughly two outcomes for this kind of breakout: one is that it closes back within a few days and then acts as if nothing happened; the other is that it drags on beyond a week, turning into a new resistance level. The difference lies not in the magnitude but in the speed.
Second, look at the volume on the breakout candle. Breakouts with volume and those without volume lead to completely different subsequent price actions. I’ve suffered losses on this point—years ago, I only looked at price and ignored volume, getting fooled by false breakouts several times.
Third, check if the sentiment indicators lead the move. When sentiment is extreme, the price often still has some distance to go, but there is already significant divergence in direction. At such times, any judgment is prone to backfire.
When reviewing trades, I record all three points, including the times I was wrong. I don’t change my statements when I’m wrong; the next time I encounter the same pattern, looking back at what I thought then is far more useful than only reviewing the correct calls.
#交易之声 [Citibank Suddenly Shifts, Is the Next Wave of Wealth Creation in European Stocks?]
Citibank's recent rating adjustment signals that the crowded nature of AI trading in U.S. stocks has started to become a risk. Previously, AI capital expenditures kept expanding, with funds chasing chips, data centers, and the power industry. Now the market is beginning to worry whether the increasing investments can be matched by future profits. Last week's sell-off in U.S. stocks has already wiped out about $3 trillion in market value, with tech stocks bearing the brunt of the impact.
Citibank even believes that the Nasdaq $QQQ still needs to drop about 5% before market positions can truly shift to net shorts. This is not a prediction that the Nasdaq must fall 5%, but rather an indication that the previously accumulated long positions have not been fully cleared. The Democratic Party's progress in the midterm elections also introduces more policy uncertainty for data center construction, AI regulation, and energy supply, putting dual pressure on the valuation of the AI industry chain.
Europe has been upgraded to overweight, and the logic is quite pragmatic: the tech stock weighting is relatively low, so it is less impacted by the AI trading downturn, and the drop in oil prices can improve corporate costs. However, European tech stocks themselves have been downgraded to neutral by Citibank, so it is not that all of Europe is bullish on tech.
This adjustment reflects global capital seeking new allocation directions away from crowded AI trades. The long-term growth logic of AI has not disappeared, but the short-term market has begun to reassess the relationship between capital expenditure and profit returns. If U.S. tech stocks continue to adjust, the crypto market will also find it difficult to remain completely unaffected, as the two have previously shown clear risk appetite linkage.Tonight, the US market brought a wave of recovery. BTC once dipped to $73,761 during the session, then rebounded above $75,000; the three major US stock indexes collectively warmed up, with the Dow rising over 600 points, and the Nasdaq and S&P strengthening in sync. Meanwhile, Brent crude oil fell to around $93, with a drop exceeding 5% at one point.
There are several key factors behind this rebound:
1. US-Iran negotiations have released easing expectations. Trump stated that if progress is made in talks, it is unlikely that further strikes against Iran will occur, reducing geopolitical risk premiums.
2. After last week's concentrated sell-off in AI tech stocks, some funds have begun to reposition.
3. US inflation data is about to be released, and the market is reassessing the Federal Reserve's interest rate path.
But I am more concerned about one question: Is the BTC rebound due to spot funds re-entering, or short covering after the previous sharp drop? In the past 24 hours, the crypto market liquidations exceeded $1 billion, with longs bearing the majority of losses.
My view: It currently looks more like an oversold correction, and a new round of bottom-fishing cannot yet be confirmed. Going forward, the focus will be on spot trading volume, ETF fund flows, and whether $75,000 can be effectively held.
A rebound is expected, but a trend reversal still needs to be proven by capital.1109 sndk pump to ship?
$SNDK is really strong this round, grinding around 830 for a long time, then suddenly shooting up straight to 892.
Now on the 15-minute chart, it has consecutively pulled up several big green candles. Around 892.2, it clearly encountered selling pressure for the first time, but it currently looks more like a normal pullback after a sharp rally, not yet time to be bearish.
In the short term, watch 880 first; if it holds, there's a high chance it will test 892-900 again. If 880 doesn't hold, there's another support layer around 868-870, but the truly critical level is near 850.
At this level, I actually don't recommend chasing longs. For those who haven't entered before, rushing in now has a poor risk-reward ratio. Wait for a pullback to stabilize or a volume breakout above 900 before considering the next move.
What I'm most afraid of now isn't that it won't rise, but that you only start getting excited after seeing a 6% increase.
#RocketLab财报前瞻：Neutron火箭进展如何？ Conclusion first: The triple-leveraged semiconductor ETF (SOXL) has shown strong rebound momentum this time, but its high leverage attribute means it experiences severe volatility and significant decay. It is only suitable for short-term traders who have a firm conviction in the semiconductor sector and can withstand large drawdowns; it is not suitable for long-term holding or dollar-cost averaging.
Specifically:
- On November 9, SOXL rose 8.57% in a single day, closing at $49.91. Behind this was the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index rising 2.67%, with major sector players like Broadcom, AMD, and Applied Materials generally up over 6%[^1]. The market showed clear signs of capital rotation and inflow.
- However, looking over a longer period, SOXL is extremely volatile. Previously, impacted by the U.S. midterm elections "Blue Wave," this ETF plummeted from $153.69 to $40.87, with a single-day drop of up to 38.7%. South Korean retail investors suffered huge cumulative losses on this product[^2].
- Leveraged ETFs inherently suffer from "time decay": the daily rebalancing mechanism means that even if the index remains flat, the leveraged ETF will slowly decline. In favorable conditions, gains are amplified; in adverse conditions, losses accelerate, causing significant decay with long-term holding[^3].
In summary: Currently, SOXL has strong short-term momentum and clear capital inflow into the semiconductor sector, but its high leverage and high volatility characteristics mean it is only suitable for swing trading, not for long-term holding.Gold $XAU has been showing quite an interesting trend recently👀
Last week, the US stock and crypto markets faced consecutive sell-offs, yet gold rebounded to above $4000 and today further climbed above $4100
What’s more notable is that last Friday’s US non-farm payroll data exceeded expectations, intensifying market bets on a Fed rate hike in December
Logically, this environment isn’t favorable for gold, but with oil prices falling, the dollar weakening, and US Treasury yields declining, gold still received significant support
Personally, I remain bullish on gold, but tomorrow night at 21:30, the US October CPI will be released
Given the current interest rate expectations, this data could once again influence the market’s view on the Fed’s policy path
Technically, I’m paying close attention to the previous high around $4150
If gold remains strong after the CPI release and further breaks through this level, I will be even more confident about the subsequent trend
For now, I’m not considering chasing the highs, waiting for a more comfortable opportunity🫡
#美国10月CPI前瞻：12月加息预期会否改变？ $FIL fil coin has finally undergone a mining block halving and fund unlocking permanent closure on October 15 after six years, significantly reducing inflation pressure. There may be a rebound next, so try a little first to test the waters