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Negative news keeps coming one after another, so where is the bottom? The Democratic Party just took control of Congress, and their first move is aimed at the crypto world!
On November 9, the Democrats sent letters to four entities: Binance, Tether, the WLFI project team, and the issuer of the TRUMP coin, demanding voluntary submission of investigation records by January 4, 2027!
First, the November 6 non-farm payroll report stunned the market: 165,000 new jobs added, more than double the expected 65,000! The unemployment rate dropped to 4.1%, and average hourly earnings rose 0.4% month-over-month and 3.1% year-over-year, all exceeding expectations. With data this strong, traders immediately reversed their bets, switching from expecting a rate cut to anticipating a rate hike in December.
Today, Blumenauer’s demand letter explicitly named Binance, Tether, World Liberty Financial, and the issuer of the TRUMP coin. The deadline for materials is January 4, 2027; the new Congress is sworn in on January 3, so the deadline is exactly the next day. Once he assumes the chairmanship of the investigative committee and gains subpoena power, that day will mark the start of the countdown.$ZEC Direction: Long
· Entry: Buy on a pullback and stabilization around 1215 - 1218 (near the current price support below).
· Stop Loss: Firmly stop loss if it breaks below 1178 (below previous low).
· Take Profit: First target 1240, second target 1260.
⚠️ Note: Overall, it is in a low-level oscillation rebound repair phase after a sharp drop, with MACD golden cross below zero line and red bars continuing. Do not chase the high directly; wait for a pullback to confirm support, trade light with stop loss.DOGE dropped to 0.06713 during the hour at 5 AM today, which is the lowest price on OKX spot at least since September 2024. It has now bounced back to around 0.0695, about 2.5% lower than at midnight.
Interestingly, the two numbers in the contracts moved in opposite directions. By account count, the ratio of long to short DOGE contract accounts on OKX was between 3.2 and 3.8 in mid-October, has hovered around 5 in the last 5 days, and is now 4.95. But the total contract open interest hasn't increased accordingly: it dropped from $119 million to about $110 million during that hour at dawn and has stayed around $110 million since, not recovering throughout the day.
The number of orders on both long and short sides of the contracts is always equal. Five long accounts to one short account means the average short account holds about five times the orders of a long account. Many are bottom-fishing with small orders; a few large orders are betting on further declines.
My view is that this is not yet a bottom. The many small-money bulls would still be shaken out if there was another $8.8 million sell-off like that one-hour drop at dawn. To truly bottom, open interest needs to rise again and the account ratio should drop, but neither has happened yet.
$DOGE $SNDK Direction: Long
· Entry: Buy on a pullback and stabilization near 835 - 838 (close to current price support).
· Stop Loss: Firmly stop loss if it breaks below 818 (above previous low).
· Take Profit: First target 855, second target 860 (near previous high).
⚠️ Note: Short-term bullish momentum is strong, MACD golden cross below zero line pointing up, price approaching previous high. Do not chase the high directly; wait for pullback and stabilization confirmation, use light positions with stop loss.🚨 Bitcoin is falling, but traders are taking on more risk. Is a bigger move coming?
According to Glassnode, BTC Open Interest surged by nearly $1.5 billion during the recent selloff.
That’s a signal worth watching. Rising leverage during a decline can fuel sharp volatility and trigger massive liquidations if the market moves suddenly.
The real question is: Are traders preparing for a rebound, or walking straight into a liquidation trap? 👀
#CryptoMarket #Glassnode #OKXOrbit
#DailyOrbit Three key things to watch closely on Monday 📌
At the start of the new week, there are three core variables that will determine the market rhythm:
First, whether the rebound of US tech stocks can continue. Last Friday, the Nasdaq rebounded 1.09%, but the weekly chart still closed down 4.4%, marking four consecutive weeks of decline. The single-day rebound was just bottom-fishing capital entering the market and is not yet enough for the market to re-embrace the AI high valuation logic.
Second, whether BTC and ETH spot ETF funds can stop outflows. Last week, BTC ETFs saw a net outflow of $1.282 billion, and ETH ETFs outflowed $365 million. If the US stock market warms up but ETF funds continue to flee, it means institutional risk reduction actions have not stopped.
Third, the market will preemptively play ahead of Tuesday night’s US CPI release. The non-farm payroll data has already raised expectations for a rate hike in December. If inflation heats up again, both tech stocks and the crypto market will continue to face pressure.
Overall, I have low expectations for Monday’s market. Before the CPI release, large funds will likely remain cautious, so any market recovery will probably be just a tentative rebound.$AVAX is surging strongly, breaking through the downtrend line🔥
The New York Stock Exchange plans to use the Avalanche blockchain to settle tokenized stock trades. This has caused AVAX to skyrocket, but now it faces resistance and short-term profit-taking divergence is emerging, with many people watching cautiously and hesitant to chase the highs.
Xing Jie believes this is an important opportunity to break through the previous resistance level. Once broken, the price will push higher again, as long as the volume continues to keep up.
Now entering long positions at 8.5-8.7, waiting for the breakout. The short-term target is 12, and the long-term target is around 18. Stop loss promptly if it falls below 7.8 #美股暴跌后科技股反弹，纳指周线仍跌约3.4% $SOL Direction: Long
· Entry: Buy on a pullback near 86.30 - 86.50 with stabilization (close to the current price support below).
· Stop Loss: Firmly stop loss if it breaks below 84.80 (below previous low).
· Take Profit: First target 88.00, second target 89.00.
⚠️ Note: Overall, it is in a low-level consolidation recovery phase after a sharp drop, with a bullish MACD crossover near the zero line and red bars appearing. Do not chase the price directly; wait for a pullback to confirm support, and trade with a light position and stop loss.$BTC chip concentration indicator recorded 10.81% yesterday (previous 11.18%)
Continued to decline and has already moved away from the high-risk zone around 13%
This morning BTC dipped to around 73000, the big wave fluctuation at the ten-thousand level we mentioned on October 20 basically happened last night. At that time, BTC was around 82000, and the indicator began to enter the high-level fluctuation zone
Although we initially hoped for an upward fluctuation, things did not go as expected and it eventually fell
Thus, the effectiveness of the indicator has been verified again$BTC is trading sideways around $75,000-$76,000, ETH fluctuates around $2,240, RSI is extremely oversold but the price isn't dropping, indicating a clear exhaustion of bearish momentum. BTC support is seen at $75,500–$76,300, ETH at $2,200–$2,240. However, ETFs are still experiencing net outflows, the fear index remains in extreme panic; bottoming does not equal having found the bottom. For the trend to stabilize, a reversal in capital flow and a strong volume hold at key price levels are still Whale withdrew $22 million from previously collateralized assets of $AAVE
The whale used this money to buy 10,000 $ETH at an average price of $2150
I currently have $4.8 million in my wallet. This whale is very likely to continue buying more $ETH in the near future$XRP is still falling, and the sell orders have already lined up at the front.
How is this number calculated: 48-hour high 1.17, current price 1.09, retracement 6.5%.
The average trading volume of the last 12 one-hour candlesticks has increased by 297.9% compared to the previous 12. The volume surge during the decline indicates active dumping, not a natural pullback.
What about the chart: price is falling, volume is still increasing. In this structure, someone is genuinely offloading, not shaking out.
The term most easily misread is "panic selling." It sounds like emotional panic dumping, but in reality, someone is distributing according to plan.
The volume surge during the decline is more direct than any announcement.
What do you think about this $XRP move? Is it the final drop or just the beginning? Let's discuss in the comments #CryptoCommunity$BTC Direction: Long
· Entry: Buy on a pullback near 74,200 - 74,400 with stabilization (close to the current price support below).
· Stop Loss: Firmly stop loss if it breaks below 73,385 (below the previous low).
· Take Profit: First target 75,200, second target 76,000.
⚠️ Note: Overall, it is in a low-level consolidation recovery phase after a sharp drop, with MACD golden cross below the zero line and expanding red bars, indicating strong short-term momentum. Do not chase the price directly; wait for a pullback to confirm support, and trade with light positions and stop loss.Huang Renxun went off track, and Big Bro Maji is footing the bill🔥
While the storm around Nvidia is brewing, the one getting hurt is Big Bro Maji. His $ETH long position was brutally liquidated this morning, after which he directly sold 3 monkey NFTs to raise funds, then continued to go long on ETH. #Nvidia launches independent investigation, management stability under scrutiny
At 6 AM, during this drop, while liquidating whale positions, Maji's $1.16 million worth ETH long was also wiped out.
After the liquidation, he didn't stop: sold 3 BAYC, exchanged for 17.2 ETH (about $36,800), additionally withdrew 100 ETH (about $213,000) from the exchange, converted to 53,000 USDC and put it into Hyperliquid, maxing out leverage again, opening an ETH long position worth $1.48 million.
His gambling spirit is maxed out. Do you think Maji can successfully get ashore this time? The price of $HYPE rose from $28.79 to $77, but this big player still refuses to give up. He has already lost nearly $21 million, yet he still won't let go—truly the most stubborn person in the world.
The image shows a 10x short order worth $33.39 million, while the total portfolio still holds short positions valued at $136 million.
I don't know if he has reason to believe HYPE will collapse, or if he's just desperately holding on. Everyone, in this situation, is there still a chance to break even? A very promising asset!
$XRP is currently priced at 1.10, down 5.5% in the last 24 hours.
The recent trend of this coin has started to get interesting. From the previous high of 3.44, it has steadily fallen to a low of 0.89. After such a long period of adjustment, it has finally shown some improvement recently, rebounding 23.6% from the low point.
The daily MACD has already shown signs of warming up, the price has moved back above the Bollinger middle band, and trading volume has shown some activity. Although it is still quite far from the previous high, at least some positive changes can be seen at the moment.
What makes this coin most attractive is that sometimes the market hasn't really noticed it yet, but the price has already started to change quietly.
Will $XRP become a dark horse later? What do you think about the potential of this coin? #币圈$NVDA Direction: Short
· Entry: Short when the rebound is resisted near 175.50 - 177.00 (close to the resistance just above the current price).
· Stop Loss: Firm stop loss if it breaks above 180.00.
· Take Profit: First target 173.15 (near previous low), second target 170.00.
⚠️ Note: Overall in a strong one-sided sharp downtrend (down over 7%), MACD dead cross below zero line with bears in absolute control. Do not chase shorts directly; wait for rebound to confirm resistance, use light positions with stop loss.Brothers, $BTC has dropped below 75K, and $ETH has crashed along with it, plunging as low as 2051!
Looking at ETH's daily and 4-hour charts, I think we really shouldn't rush to bottom-fish this time.
It fell all the way from 2806 to around 2143, with each rebound weaker than the last. The daily chart has already broken below the 10-day, 20-day, and 200-day moving averages.
The 4-hour chart looks even worse; it consolidated between 2200–2250 for a few days, then a big bearish candle smashed right through.
My judgment: ETH remains bearish in the short term. There's demand for a rebound around 2050, but that doesn't mean the bottom is in.
Next, focus on three key levels:
① 2200–2230
This was the support zone just broken, now turned resistance. If the rebound can't reclaim this area, I still treat it as weak.
② 2050–2100
The first short-term defense line. If 2050 breaks again, the next level to watch is the 2000 round number.
③ 2300–2365
To talk about a trend reversal, ETH must at least return to 2300, then challenge the 4-hour EMA200 near 2365.
Trading idea:
If 2050 holds and the 4-hour chart shows a stop in the decline, a short-term rebound could be considered; but if the rebound near 2200 gets smashed down again, I’d be more cautious about a second drop.
BTC hasn't stabilized yet, so it's a bit tough for ETH to independently start a bull market.
Brothers, do you think ETH will find a bottom near 2000 this time, or will it fail to hold even 2000?$BTC ETFs now hold 1,270,753 BTC — about $96B at today's price.
blackrock's IBIT alone holds 801,241 of those. one fund controls 63% of all ETF bitcoin.
when people panic about "ETFs selling", they're usually watching one desk rebalance, not the market leaving.
zoom out. the structural bid is still the largest holder of new supply.After reading, I noted three things, the most eye-catching being the $188.3 million repurchase of STRC preferred shares.
1. During the same period, Strategy spent $81.9 million to buy 1,036 bitcoins, increasing total holdings to 850,364; I usually make lists, and this time I placed the repurchase before the increase in holdings.
2. My judgment is that this news creates additional demand for $BTC, but we cannot count all the company's expenditures as positive for buying coins: the money used to repurchase preferred shares did not flow into Bitcoin, mixing the two amounts would exaggerate the buying pressure.
3. I am more concerned about how subsequent funds will be allocated. If they continue to buy coins and repurchase simultaneously, then fund management will be more challenging for the management team. This is my speculation; we cannot judge the rhythm based on just one announcement.
My list focuses on distinguishing between "money spent" and "what the money bought." What would everyone add as a fourth point: financing arrangements, or the impact of repurchases on subsequent increases?Why the harder you watch the market, the worse you lose? Reflections after being beaten by the market
Looking at the positions locked tightly in my hands, I suddenly realized one thing: in this market, the more diligent you are, the faster you die.
Look at my current holdings:
$ETH 100x long position with only 1.1U margin left;
$ZEC both long and short open, paying fees to the exchange for nothing;
$ARB short position also trapped.
I spend 8 hours a day watching the market, drawing trend lines, and reading analyses from various influencers, and what’s the result? Still losing. Because all my operations are based on instinctive reactions of "fear of missing out" and "fear of loss," with no personal trading system at all.
Tonight, I simply won’t watch anymore; let the market move as it wants. Since the positions are already locked, consider it tuition paid to the main players. I’ve summarized three sentences for brothers who are still frequently opening positions:
1. Leverage is poison. You’re greedy for that little profit, but you blow your principal.
2. Locking positions is slow suicide. If you don’t dare to admit mistakes, don’t open positions.
3. When the market isn’t volatile, resting is making money.
How many hours a day do you watch the market? Have you ever experienced the market suddenly surging the moment you look away? Come vent, let’s see if everyone has been backfired by watching the market too closely.
#美国10月CPI前瞻：12月加息预期会否改变？ $SNDK SanDisk's earnings report is dazzling, but the stock price is dropping terribly
Latest quarter revenue is $11 billion, a 23% quarter-over-quarter increase
Data center business revenue is $4.8 billion, a 61% quarter-over-quarter increase
Adjusted gross margin even reached an astonishing 85.1%.
With such a high gross margin, capital is still fleeing wildly. Essentially, there is still doubt about whether profitability in the storage industry can be sustained.
Currently holding a losing position unwilling to sell, continuing to wait. Waiting to see if storage can return to its springtime, letting the bullets fly a little longer
#美股暴跌后科技股反弹，纳指周线仍跌约3.4% $XRP broke 1.0757 and continues to decline → target 1.05 / 1.00. If you already hold long positions, the stop loss should be set around 1.075; it's not advisable to hold on stubbornly. Stabilizing with reduced volume at 1.08–1.09 → rebound first targets 1.10, and if it holds, then 1.12. However, the rebound is likely to be resisted near EMA10/EMA20, which is a "escape point" rather than a "buy-the-dip point." It is recommended to wait for direction confirmation before taking action; do not try to bottom-fish against the trend during a downward consolidation.The U.S. midterm elections have shifted the balance of power—will the crypto industry's “regulatory dividend” fall through?
The U.S. midterm elections have concluded, with the Democratic Party taking control of both the House and Senate.
This may not be good news for the crypto industry.
Over the past two years, the crypto sector has invested about $200 million supporting pro-crypto candidates, hoping to push for clearer regulatory frameworks.
But the election results have changed the political landscape in Washington.
The previously highly anticipated CLARITY Act has already been stalled in the Senate, and now it may be even harder to advance.
Going forward, exchanges, stablecoins, prediction markets, and crypto businesses related to Trump could face stricter congressional oversight.
However, this does not mean the U.S. will fully turn to suppressing the crypto industry. There are still forces within both parties supporting digital asset development.
The real change is that the U.S. crypto industry may shift from seeking regulatory leniency to striving for bipartisan regulatory rules.
The new round of regulatory battles will only just begin in 2027.Recently, there is news worth paying attention to: VanEck and Franklin Templeton have started launching new types of $ETH with $BTC allocation.
I think what’s truly worth noting here is not just the ETF itself, but that Bitcoin is gradually entering the allocation scope of traditional financial products.
In the past, many traditional investors were still cautious about $BTC, but now institutions are beginning to try including it in more types of investment products, which at least indicates that the market’s acceptance of Bitcoin is changing.
However, I don’t think this means a large influx of funds will happen immediately.
After all, ETFs with BTC allocation and directly investing in spot BTC ETFs are still different. How much actual buying power they can bring depends on the product scale, BTC allocation ratio, and the real demand from subsequent investors.
Personally, I focus more on the long-term trend rather than short-term speculation.
When Bitcoin gradually shifts from being a standalone crypto asset to a part that can be considered in traditional investment portfolios, that itself is a change worth observing.
What do you think? Will these types of ETFs become a new entry point for institutional funds into BTC, or are they currently more at the stage of product innovation?
$BTC #Bitcoin #ETF #VanEck #FranklinTempleton #CryptoTaxAndBTCReserve Fear and Greed Index at 29, market in the "Fear" zone
Currently, the Fear and Greed Index is 29, in the fear range, Altcoin Season Index at 37, BTC dominance at 60.27%. Plainly put: sentiment has cooled down, but it hasn't reached the "extreme fear" freezing point yet. Historically, the real bottom often appears when no one dares to watch the market. The fact that people are still asking "can we bottom-fish" means panic isn't enough yet. If your position keeps you awake at night, it means it's too heavy. Reducing to a level where you can sleep is much more practical than gambling on a rebound. #ModernaQ3扭亏为盈，上调全年营收增长预期 $BTC $ETH Brothers, the crypto world is really facing one disaster after another this time. $CRCL
Non-farm payrolls at 165,000, December rate hike expectations heating up.
Congressional investigation pressure is coming, Binance, Tether, and $WLFI all named.
$BTC can't break above 80,000, and the 73,000 level below is being tested again.
Right now, I'm only watching two levels:
If 73,000 holds, there's still a chance for consolidation and bottoming.
If 73,000 breaks, 70,000 might not be far away.ETF 单周流出 $13 亿，市场押注 12 月加息；$BTC 下探 $73.5 K，$ETH 跌破 $2,200 后一度触及 $2,060，24 小时内全网爆仓 $3.12 亿。
1、比特币现货 ETF 本周净流出约 $13 亿，市场已开始定价 12 月加息；$BTC 自 $76,095 下挫至日内低点 $73,510，现约 $74,646（-1.7%），$73,000 成为本轮最关键的测试位。24 小时内 $BTC 爆仓 $3.12 亿，其中多头 $2.80 亿（90%），这是本月第三次单边清算。上方 $78,431 聚集着较大规模的空头爆仓，以及可能触发这些空头爆仓的价格。
2、企业资产负债表出现明显分化：Strategy 增持 1,036 枚 $BTC（约 $8,200 万）并回购 $1.883 亿 STRC，持仓创历史新高；但另一家上市公司上周减持 11,647 枚 $BTC（约 $8.69 亿），Hut 8 亦卖出约 3,100 枚用于 $2.5 亿股票回购并上调授权至 $10 亿——财库从“净买入方”转为“双向操作”，是本轮供应端最实质的变化。
3、 OKX / $On Coinglass, it currently shows that for $BTC, the liquidity sweep liquidation intensity is roughly the same whether it moves up or down by a thousand points, with the upward side being slightly stronger! Of course, this liquidation intensity can change at any time, so just because it looks stronger upward now doesn't mean you should go long.
Here's the thing: liquidation intensity needs to be viewed at different nodes. If the market is stable, using liquidation intensity as an auxiliary indicator to judge direction is fine because the market needs to choose a direction. But for $BTC, which just experienced a downward long squeeze today, liquidation intensity changes constantly. At different levels, there will always be people continuously buying longs, which causes short positions to take profits and lowers the liquidation intensity above, while the buying of longs increases the liquidation intensity below. This creates an opposite scenario and can even lead to what we often call a long squeeze!
So I'm thinking about a question: since the difference in liquidation intensity between the upper and lower sides during a major drop isn't that big, will the market still choose to push downward? Because from the current view, the shorts on $BTC that needed to take profits have already done so, so the downward pressure is actually quite light.
Let's wait and see! I feel like a genius!
#美国10月CPI前瞻：12月加息预期会否改变？ $AKE 0.0049-0.00498 This range traps the most long positions. Retail long holders are all bottom-fishing and getting stuck here. It is expected that there will be a fierce sell-off to liquidate this batch.One of the biggest trading mistakes is trying to find an entry before understanding the market direction. A smarter approach is to work from higher timeframes down. Start with the 4H chart to establish market direction and identify key support and resistance levels. Move to the 1H chart to study market structure, trend breaks, possible reversals, order blocks, fair value gaps and liquidity. Finally, use the 15M chart to wait for confirmation before considering an entry. My biggest lesson: Don't #美股暴跌后科技股反弹，纳指周线仍跌约3.4% Don't mistake a dead cat bounce for a reversal. After experiencing the worst single-day plunge in 19 months on Thursday, with the Nasdaq losing $2.5 trillion in one day, some people shouted "buy the dip" after a 1% rally on Friday? The weekly chart still shows a 3.4% drop, marking the fourth consecutive week of losses, and the S&P 500 recorded its worst single week in over a year — one day of gains can't change a week's ledger.
What's even more ironic is that on the day of the rebound, nonfarm payrolls far exceeded expectations, and the probability of a rate hike in December soared to 80%. The interest rate knife is already at the neck of tech stock valuations, yet some still treat the oversold recovery as a "return of the AI narrative." CNBC's Cramer bluntly said: this feels like a dead cat bounce. Goldman Sachs was even harsher, warning that the position structure could trigger a "long-short double kill" at any time — with low net exposure paired with 314% total leverage, institutions haven't left; they're just waiting for the next round of slaughter. Nomura revealed their trump card long ago: midterm elections won't save tech stocks; only the Fed stopping can. That bullish candle on Friday is not the start of a reversal, but the last breath of oxygen for those who haven't fled yet.Charles Schwab launches SOL, AVAX, LINK trading!
Charles Schwab officially announced today: starting today, Schwab Crypto accounts can trade Solana, Avalanche, Chainlink, adding to the existing BTC/ETH for a total of 5 cryptocurrencies. The traditional brokerage managing about $13 trillion in client assets officially includes these three major altcoins in retail accounts. Spot prices: SOL around $87.03, AVAX around $8.791 (Beijing 22:23, OKX).
$SOL $AVAX $$LINKRecently, Singapore data center builder DayOne officially submitted a Form F-1 registration statement to the U.S. SEC, planning to be listed on Nasdaq in 2026. According to Reuters and other media reports, the company aims to raise up to approximately $5 billion (about RMB 33.39 billion), with a potential valuation of around $20 billion (about RMB 133.561 billion). $BTC Two policy signals show a clear divergence, reflecting that U.S. crypto regulation has entered a pattern of "legislative stagnation with administrative rules advancing independently." The CLARITY Act was originally a comprehensive legislation anticipated by the industry, focusing on delineating SEC and CFTC jurisdiction, clarifying the boundary between digital asset securities and commodities, and providing a compliance path for exchanges. However, it failed to pass a procedural vote in the Senate, and with the Democrats controlling both chambers of Congress, the likelihood of short-term enactment has significantly decreased. The industry's expectation for a unified legislative framework has been dashed, and regulation will continue to be dominated by SEC enforcement.
On the other hand, the Labor Department's 401(k) crypto investment rule has entered its final review. Once implemented, U.S. trillion-dollar retirement accounts will gain a compliant channel to allocate crypto assets, theoretically bringing long-term incremental funds. However, it should be noted that the rule only opens up the option; plan managers still bear fiduciary responsibilities. Due to risk considerations, most employers will not quickly introduce crypto assets.
Market interpretation leans toward structural: the long-term legislative benefits falling through suppresses crypto sector valuations, while the 401(k) rule is a mild positive, likely resulting in a "bad news priced in, limited good news" volatile market. Regulatory uncertainty remains, with future focus on the finalization of the 401(k) rule, SEC enforcement actions, and crypto hearing developments in the new Congress. $BTC $ETH $SOL #美国加密监管：《CLARITY法案》推进受阻，401(k)规则进入最终审查 $ETH Just now, the 15-minute candlestick moved too aggressively. A bearish engulfing candle was just closed earlier. The bulls then reversed and pulled out a bullish engulfing candle, which was a bit unexpected. Immediately after, the latest candlestick closed as an inside bar.
Two engulfing candles with opposite directions are adjacent. Bulls and bears quickly clashed within just half an hour. Neither side gained an advantage. But then the range of this inside bar narrowed. The close neither broke the previous high nor the previous low. The short-term surge slowed down on this candlestick.
Looking at the daily level, around 2151 corresponds to a previous swing high. This resistance has been touched repeatedly about 10 times in the past. Looking at the 4-hour chart, the EMA moving averages are still in a bearish alignment. The upper moving average system is still sloping downward.
The short-term rebound just hit the defensive wall of the larger cycle. I am currently more bearish. The price just reached the 2151 daily resistance level. There is considerable selling pressure above, so the market will most likely turn down first. Bulls must generate large trading volume to break through here.
$BTC $SOL #美国10月CPI前瞻：12月加息预期会否改变？ 1109 Simple chat about the market eight minutes before the open❗️
$BTC, looking at this 4-hour chart, still shows a clear weak structure.
The highs keep moving lower, each rebound can pull up a bit, but basically none have truly reclaimed the previous resistance level, so I won’t call a reversal just because of one rebound.⁉️
In the short term, watch the support around 74K. If it holds here, there might be a rebound first, with the 76K-77K area being a more obvious resistance zone above.
But I’m more focused on the 70.8K level below, which is a more critical support.
My expectation is still the pattern drawn in the chart: first a dip down, then a rebound to shake out the short sellers and give the bulls some hope.
If the rebound still can’t surpass the previous high, this wave is most likely just a downward continuation.
Once 70.8K is effectively broken, I think it’s very likely to test around 68K below.
At this position, the worst thing is to chase trades emotionally—don’t chase shorts, and don’t rush to buy longs.
Wait for the rebound, wait for the resistance, wait for the direction to reveal itself. $ETH $BTC As Bitcoin's price falls back below $74,000, market focus shifts to the key psychological and technical resistance level at $76,000. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve's balance sheet has expanded by $212 billion since last year's low, reaching $6.75 trillion. However, recent net outflows totaling $1.65 billion from spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs have sparked widespread discussion about the efficiency of liquidity transmission. Technicals and capital flows: Market enters observation phase After five consecutive weeks of pullback, Bitcoin briefly dipped below $74,000 on November 9. At the time of writing, the price has rebounded above that level. In the past 24 hours, Bitcoin has dropped about 2.5%, with a decline exceeding 5% over seven days. According to CoinGecko data, the cumulative decline this month has reached 10%, falling nearly 41% from the October 2025 peak. Against the backdrop of weakening market rebound momentum, three core variables have emerged: institutional capital flows, macro liquidity changes, and upcoming economic data releases. These factors collectively determine whether Bitcoin can initiate a new upward cycle. Can $76,000 be broken? What signals do ETF outflows send? To firmly reclaim levels above $76,000, Bitcoin needs sustained buying support. CryptosRus points out that forming a stable uptrend above this price is a prerequisite for a bullish outlook. Reviewing last week's performance, Bitcoin-related ETFs saw net outflows of $1.28 billion, with over $840 million concentrated in the last two days of the weekend 🐋 Whale Alert: Big Shorts on $BTC , $ETH & $SOL !
A major crypto whale is reportedly profiting from bearish positions across BTC, ETH, and SOL.
📊 Reported BTC short gains:
$5.46M unrealized profit
$3.33M in funding gains
While traders face volatility and liquidations, this whale appears to be benefiting from market weakness.
⚠️ Is another crash coming, or is this simply a hedge against uncertainty?
Big wallets are worth watching, but never follow them blindly. #USCPIDecemberRateWatch Today I looked back at Bitcoin's weekly chart for 2023 and found this current position quite familiar! 😁
$BTC
Back then, BTC was also repeatedly fluctuating near the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, then gradually stabilized, and subsequently launched into a magnificent bull market.
#美国10月CPI前瞻：12月加息预期会否改变？
Now BTC has dropped again to around $73,900, with the Bollinger Bands middle band at $74,300, just over $400 apart. Honestly, this drop is indeed harsher than I expected; the 50-week moving average and the bull-bear transition zone both failed to hold, so now we can only hope for support at the Bollinger Bands middle band. However, holding in 2023 doesn't guarantee it will hold this time.
Hopefully, in the next few weeks, it can stabilize here and climb back above the middle band. This bull has been really testing the bulls lately; it's about time to give everyone some hope!11.9 Monday Evening Xu Wen Big Cake Auntie's Thoughts
Price Performance: The current BTC price is about 74,492 USDT, down -2.02% in 24 hours. The 24-hour high is 76,063, the low is 73,385, with a large amplitude.
2. Short-term Trend: On the 15-minute level, the daytime price started a rebound from the bottom near 73,711, reaching a high of 75,074 before encountering resistance and falling back. It is currently in a phase of oscillating downward retest. The latest K-line is a long-bodied bearish candle, indicating strong short-term downward momentum.
3. Moving Average System (MA): MA5 (74,646) and MA10 (74,643) have formed a death cross and turned downward. The price is currently breaking below these two short-term moving averages and is testing the support of MA20 (74,443). The short-term shows a weak adjustment pattern.
4. News Disturbance: The scrolling bar at the top of the chart shows "Hut 8 sells about 3100 BTC," this institutional selling negative news tends to amplify market panic in the evening, suppressing the bulls.
Operation Idea: (Short on rebound highs)
BTC: Short under pressure in the 74,700-75,200 range, stop loss above 75,100, target: 73,700, break target: 73,300
ETH: Short under pressure in the 2,130-2,150 range, stop loss: 2,170, target: 2,190, break target: 2,080
$BTC $ETH #美国10月CPI前瞻：12月加息预期会否改变？ 🚨 Bitcoin is at a critical crossroads — CPI data may determine the next move! ⚠️
After BTC broke below the 50-week moving average, the rebound still faces pressure. Currently, $73,204 is a key support level to watch, while $76,494 is an important resistance level that bulls must reclaim.
Key focus going forward:
📉 Bullish opportunity: If BTC retests $73,500 with strong buying, a cautious long position could target $75,860.
📈 Bearish risk: If the price encounters resistance near $76,494, it may fall back to the $74,500–$73,500 range.
🚀 Rebound confirmation: If BTC breaks above $76,494 with volume, it will be the first sign of a clear market strength shift.
⚠️ Downside risk: If $71,995 is lost, the price could further drop to $67,700.
The biggest market catalyst is the US CPI data release on November 10. Core CPI is especially important as it may influence market expectations and trigger short-term volatility.
My strategy is simple: no blind chasing, no heavy gambling, and no early directional predictions. Wait for clear market signals first.
Stay patient, manage risk, and let the market prove its direction.
NFA, DYOR.
#Bitcoin #OKXOrbit
#DailyOrbit 🚨 Crypto Market Sell-Off: $BTC & ETH Under Pressure!
$BTC dropped toward $73.5K, while $ETH fell near $2,050. BTC recovered slightly, but ETH remains weak.
Key reasons: 1️⃣ Thin weekend liquidity increased selling pressure. 2️⃣ ETF outflows signal weak institutional demand. 3️⃣ Nearly $1B in liquidations intensified the downturn.
Key BTC levels:
Support: $73K
Resistance: $76.2K
⚠️ One rebound doesn't confirm a bottom. The upcoming US CPI report could
#USCPIDecemberRateWatch #美国加密监管：《CLARITY法案》推进受阻，401(k)规则进入最终审查
On one side, the rules for the crypto industry remain unsettled; on the other, channels for pension funds to invest in crypto assets may be relaxed.
The CLARITY Act aims to resolve who exactly regulates crypto assets and under what rules trading platforms should operate. It passed the House last year, but a key procedural vote in the Senate in September this year only received 49 votes, falling short of the 60-vote threshold. This was not the final vote to pass the bill, but a procedural hurdle to advance its review.
If it is not passed by the end of this Congress on January 3, 2027, it will need to be reintroduced and pushed again in the next session. Currently, with government funding and other matters pending, time is indeed tight, but "a tough year" does not mean "no chance in the next two years."
The 401(k) is a common employer-sponsored retirement savings plan in the U.S. According to reports, the Department of Labor's related final draft has been sent to the White House for review, involving how pension plans evaluate alternative investments including crypto assets.
This does not require pension funds to buy crypto, nor does it mean funds will be available immediately after the review. Even if the rules are ultimately published, each plan will still need to assess costs, liquidity, valuation, and risks before deciding whether to offer related products, and employees may not necessarily choose them.
For the crypto community, the former concerns whether industry operating rules can be stabilized, while the latter relates to whether long-term funds have easier access. Next, we will first see if the bill is rescheduled for review, then what the final retirement plan rules state.A bit counterintuitive: the bank helps you collect USDC, then immediately converts it to dollars, not keeping a cent.
So what do customers want? Speed. Waiting three days for cross-border payments versus three minutes is a completely different matter.
PNC is doing exactly this, as a pilot, only open to eligible corporate and institutional clients. Frankly, the bank doesn't dare to go all in, so they first test the waters with a few clients.
In this process, $USDC is not used for appreciation but as a courier. The profit comes from time saved and fees, not price differences.🚀 $RKLB will release its earnings report after the market closes tonight. In its past 4 earnings reports, it only closed green on the earnings day once 👀
Outcomes I personally am not optimistic about the earnings beating expectations, but will the first full trading day after the earnings close higher? 🤔
From the close before each earnings to the close after earnings:
🔴 November 2025: down 1.3%
🔴 February 2026: down 4.9%
🟢 May 2026: up 34.2%
🔴 August 2026: flat (down 0.04%)
Wall Street's expectations for tonight:
Revenue of $257 million, about 66% growth year-over-year
Loss per share of $0.07
#RocketLab财报前瞻：Neutron火箭进展如何？
Revenue is still growing rapidly, but the stock price is 65% below the record closing price in May 📉
Can the numbers catch up to the stock price, or is the space trade still unraveling? 👇$INTC
Strong support at 50 is the mid-term lifeline; if it breaks below 45 effectively.
Resistance: Immediate at 58.63, dynamic VWAP around 80–87.62–Above 50, light buying to catch a rebound is possible; reduce positions if it falls below 52.51;
If the rebound meets resistance at 58.63, short-term reduction or short selling can be tried; breaking 50 turns bearish targeting $45.
Avoid chasing shorts below VWAP.
#美股暴跌后科技股反弹，纳指周线仍跌约3.4% 🚨 Bitcoin is already oversold, but has the real bottom truly arrived?
BTC is currently showing some signs of momentum exhaustion, but don’t mistake a brief rebound for a trend reversal.
Bitcoin is hovering around $74,346–$74,600 and is still struggling to hold the 200-day EMA line at $74,533. The short- and mid-term trends remain bearish, while the MACD momentum is nearing flattening, indicating the market is waiting for the next major catalyst.
The 4-hour RSI has entered the oversold zone, so a technical rebound may occur in the short term. However, selling volume is still increasing, indicating that selling pressure has not yet fully eased.
Key level: $74,533.
Only if BTC rallies with volume to reclaim and hold above this level can the market potentially signal a clearer recovery. Until then, any rebound should be approached with caution.
Remember: the market can remain oversold for a long time; patience often matters more than blindly chasing gains.
Do you think Bitcoin is approaching the real bottom, or is there still potential for further decline?
$BTC $ETH $SOL
#Bitcoin #CryptoMarket #BTCAnalysis #OKXOrbit
For reference only, not investment advice (NFA). Please do your own research (DYOR).
#DailyOrbit An American bank has started allowing corporate clients to receive payments using stablecoins. PNC, in partnership with Coinbase, enables eligible corporate and institutional clients to receive payments directly in USDC, which are automatically converted to USD upon receipt. This is initially launched as a pilot program.
Let's clarify the significance. This is not just a slogan-like announcement of "a bank supporting cryptocurrency"; it involves the payment collection process. When companies receive USD, they have to go through correspondent banks, wait for clearing, and pay cross-border fees; now the entry point is switched to on-chain, coins come in, dollars go out, and the middle part is eliminated.
Tom Lang, PNC's head of funds management, is very cautious: the current goal is to test stablecoin functionality with clients. To translate, the bank itself is experimenting cautiously and does not dare to fully open the floodgates at once, but the direction is clear.
It is worth noting that PNC is not a newcomer. Last year, it already used Coinbase's "Crypto as a Service" platform to provide crypto trading for clients, and it also serves as Coinbase's banking service provider. Both sides are clients of each other, making this relationship much stronger than a simple supplier partnership.
For $USDC, this represents incremental demand on the usage side: it's not just another trading pair, but a batch of corporate cash flows that must settle with it. The issuer's business essentially depends on how frequently others use it.
One question remains: after the payment collection side is operational, will remittances and trade settlements be next? That would be the main arena for $USDT.The crypto market faced another sharp sell-off this morning, with $BTC dropping toward $73,500 and $ETH falling near $2,050. Bitcoin managed to recover some losses, but Ethereum continues to show weakness. What triggered this sudden move? Three factors may explain the pressure: 1️⃣ Thin Weekend Liquidity: With traditional markets closed and trading activity relatively low, even large sell orders can push prices through multiple support levels. 2️⃣ ETF Outflows: Continued outflows from Bitcoin