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suymeet
#苹果新CEO迎来iPhone18首份成绩单 翻苹果过去一百个财季的财报，大概七成都是超预期的。而且已经连着十一个财季超了。之所以老能超，根子上是苹果管理层给指引时就习惯往保守了给，华尔街分析师也跟着往下调，等于庄家自己控盘，超不超预期庄家说了算。
现在财报季预测给的 yes 71%，也是照以往财报季的结果推出来的赔率。我个人觉得，这个 71% 的 yes 可以闭眼买。
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