毓鑫YuXin

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11.10｜The Nasdaq surged 2.74%, gold held above 4100, but BTC is still battling below 75,000. Tonight's CPI, first see if prices can keep up, don't rush to bet on direction. After the start of winter, traditional imagery emphasizes gathering strength and hiding the edge. Use this as a reminder: the external market has already rebounded, but that doesn't mean the assets in hand should immediately rise. $BTC is around 74,700–74,800 USD, still fighting below 75,000. Last night, US stocks rose significantly, but BTC did not simultaneously reclaim key resistance; this relative weakness needs attention. On the downside, first watch 74,000–74,500, then 73,000–73,500, with strong support near 72,000; on the upside, first watch 75,000–75,500, then 76,000–77,000, and 78,000–78,500 is a further recovery zone. If around 74,000 holds and reclaims 75,500, then breaks through 76,000 and retests without breaking, 77,000 can be observed. But if 74,000 breaks and the rebound fails to recover, continue watching 73,000–72,000; don't rush to guess the bottom just because the price has fallen a lot. What is most needed now is not a sudden surge, but to first reclaim 75,000. $ETH is around 2,120–2,126 USD, still hovering near 2,100, with 2,200 becoming resistance above. Compared to the external rebound, ETH's recovery strength is still insufficient. On the downside, first watch 2,080–2,100, then 2,050, with strong support near 2,000; on the upside, first watch 2,150–2,180, then 2,200–2,230, and 2,250–2,300 is a more distant recovery zone. If support appears near 2,100, reclaiming 2,180 and then 2,200, the rebound can be rated higher. But if 2,080 is lost and the rebound fails to hold, be cautious of continued tests at 2,050 and 2,000. BTC holding steady does not mean altcoins can catch up. Before ETH reclaims 2,200, I prefer to control risk. US stocks showed clear recovery last night. S&P 7549.94, up 2.35%; Nasdaq 25253.14, up 2.74%; Dow 52389.75, up 2.15%. The semiconductor index rebounded 6.9%, but Nvidia fell about 4.27% against the trend, indicating internal sector divergence. Tonight, Nasdaq downside watch 24,800–25,000, upside 25,500–25,800, then 26,000; S&P downside 7,450–7,500, upside 7,600–7,650. Strong gains yesterday are good, but whether it can hold after CPI release is the next test. Gold's reference price in the Asian session today is about 4,115 USD, already above the previous battle zone near 4,000. On the downside, first watch 4,100, then 4,050–4,080; on the upside, 4,150–4,180, then 4,200–4,220. If 4,100 holds on a pullback, recovery can continue to be observed; if it falls below 4,080, watch for 4,050 to be tested again. Crude oil continued to fall last night. Brent settled at 92.57 USD, down 5.85%; WTI settled at 86.85 USD, down 4.38%. Energy pressure easing helps improve market sentiment, but this does not mean tonight's inflation data is definitely positive. The US 10-year Treasury yield was about 4.87% last night. The yield did not fall significantly with oil prices, indicating funds are still waiting for CPI to provide the next clue. Tonight at 21:30 Beijing time, the US will release October CPI. Current Reuters survey expectations are overall CPI month-over-month growth of 0.3%, core CPI month-over-month growth of 0.2%. These are expectations, not confirmed results. If the core is below expectations, watch if the dollar and US bonds can retreat, and if BTC can reclaim 75,500–76,000; if the core is above expectations, first guard against key supports being hit. If data meets expectations, it depends on whether the market has priced it in and if buyers are willing to continue. Especially watch for this scenario: good data, US stocks and gold rise, but BTC and ETH still can't break resistance. Then continue to respect Crypto's own weakness, and don't force external bullish logic. Today's key levels: BTC 74,000 / 76,000, ETH 2,100 / 2,200, Gold 4,100 / 4,180. Wait for the data first, then watch the levels. If positive news lands but prices don't rise, don't chase; if negative news lands but support holds, don't rush to short. Do you think CPI can drive BTC to reclaim 76,000, or will the external market continue to rebound while Crypto still lags? The above is personal opinion only, not investment advice. Control position size, leverage, and stop loss. #BTC #ETH #Bitcoin #Gold #crypto

11.09｜BTC fights for 75,000, ETH falls below 2200. For the new week, first watch for support; don’t mistake sideways movement for a bottom. CPI is coming tomorrow night. The start of winter has passed; traditional symbolism emphasizes hiding the blade and gathering strength. Use this as a reminder: after continuous adjustments, what’s most needed is patience, not rushing to recover losses. Metaphysics is just for fun; trading depends on price, volume, and capital. $BTC is around $75,000, indicating ongoing contention here; we can’t say it’s firmly held yet. On the downside, first watch 74,500–75,000, then 73,000–73,500, with strong support near 72,000; on the upside, first watch 75,500–76,000, then 76,500–77,000, and 78,000–78,500 as further recovery levels. If support appears near 75,000, reclaiming 76,000 and then breaking through 77,000 with a successful retest, the rebound can be rated higher. But if 74,500 breaks and the rebound fails to recover, continue watching around 73,000; don’t assume it’s cheap just because the price has dropped a lot. Right now, it’s more important to see if 75,000 can hold than to guess when it will return to 80,000. $ETH is around $2,135; 2,200 has already been lost, clearly weaker than the original 2,228 mentioned. Since the previous support didn’t hold, we need to readjust and observe new levels. On the downside, first watch 2,100–2,120, then 2,050, with strong support near 2,000; on the upside, first watch 2,150–2,180, then 2,200–2,230, and 2,250–2,300 as more distant recovery zones. If it stabilizes near 2,100, reclaims 2,180, and recovers 2,200, we can observe if buying interest improves. But if it breaks 2,100 and the rebound fails, be prepared for tests at 2,050 and 2,000. BTC holding sideways doesn’t mean altcoins can catch up. Before ETH recovers 2,200, I prefer to control risk first. US stocks partially recovered last Friday. S&P 7376.86, up about 0.31%; Nasdaq 24579.42, up 1.09%; Dow 51285.73, down 0.46%. But Nasdaq had dropped 5.52% the day before, so this rebound only recouped part of the losses. Tonight, Nasdaq support is 24,000–24,300, resistance 24,800–25,000, then 25,500; S&P support 7,300–7,350, resistance 7,450–7,500. Whether US stocks can continue to recover is important, but it also depends on whether BTC and ETH are willing to follow. Pay special attention: when US stocks rebound but Crypto can’t keep up, and when US stocks fall and Crypto follows. If this relative weakness continues, you can’t just comfort yourself with external market gains. Gold’s early Asian session quote with a timestamp is about $4,075, not the current real-time transaction price. On the downside, watch 4,030–4,050, then 3,980–4,000; on the upside, watch 4,080–4,100, then 4,140–4,150. A break above 4,100 and a successful retest would make the recovery more convincing. This week’s macro focus is on inflation. Last week’s nonfarm payrolls added 165,000 jobs, average hourly wages rose 0.4% month-over-month, and market concerns about tight policy remain. Tomorrow night at 21:30 Beijing time, US October CPI will be released; Friday at 21:30, PPI will be released. So today, don’t rush to bet on inflation definitely cooling. If data is below expectations, watch if prices can break through; if data is hot, watch if key supports have buying interest. Today’s key levels to watch: BTC 74,500 / 76,000, ETH 2,100 / 2,200, Gold 4,050 / 4,100. My approach is still defensive. BTC must first reclaim 76,000, ETH must first reclaim 2,200, then we can talk about recovery quality. The biggest fear now is mistaking a single rebound candle for a trend reversal, only to be taken down by the next round of declines. Wait for position, then volume, and finally consider position size. Do you think BTC can hold 75,000 this time, or will it continue to seek support lower before CPI? The above content represents only personal views and is not investment advice. #BTC #ETH #Bitcoin #CryptoNews

The market has been quite volatile recently. Besides watching the charts, I've also been checking if there are other opportunities to earn coins with my BTC and ETH. Coincidentally, the new round of the @okxchinese Flash Earn event just launched, offering a 1,000,000 USDT reward pool. By subscribing with BTC or ETH, you have a chance to earn an extra USDT airdrop reward on top of the simple coin-earning interest. I checked the event page, and the rules aren't complicated. Here's a simple summary. 1. How is the 1,000,000 USDT reward distributed? There are mainly two subscription pools this time: BTC Subscription Pool: 410,000 USDT ETH Subscription Pool: 590,000 USDT The minimum to participate is 0.001 BTC or 0.01 ETH, so the threshold isn't high. For regular users, the subscription limits are 1 BTC and 100 ETH respectively, with higher tiers having increased limits. 2. What are the highlights of this event? I think there are two main points. First, you don't need to sell your BTC or ETH to participate in the USDT reward distribution. Second, the earnings are split into two parts: simple coin-earning interest + event USDT airdrop rewards. Also, this is a flexible product; after subscribing, you can redeem anytime without locking until the event ends. However, note that rewards are calculated hourly, not granted immediately upon subscription. Actual distribution depends on subscription amount, participation time, and total subscription volume in the reward pool. 3. How to participate specifically? Open the OKX App, go to the "Earn" section, and find "Flash Earn." Enter "Stake to Earn," locate this USDT event. Choose the BTC or ETH subscription pool. Check the reference annualized rate, subscription limits, and event rules. Enter the subscription amount, confirm, and wait for rewards to accumulate. You can later check and claim rewards on the event page or under "Assets → Earn." Event period: November 3, 15:00 to November 8, 15:00 (Beijing Time). 4. A few more details to note. Rewards start accumulating from the next full hourly cycle after subscription confirmation, usually distributed in the following hour. If you redeem within an hour, the corresponding funds won't earn rewards for that hour. After the event ends, unclaimed rewards will be automatically distributed according to the rules. BTC, ETH, and other assets will continue into the simple coin-earning product as per applicable rules. Also, the displayed reference annualized rate is not a fixed income guarantee. The price volatility risk of BTC and ETH does not disappear by participating in Flash Earn. For me, this kind of event suits those who already plan to hold BTC and ETH and don't want to frequently adjust their positions. But there's no need to chase price increases just for event rewards. After all, earning coins is to improve capital utilization, not to amplify principal risk for a bit more reward. The event is ending soon; interested friends can check the rules themselves. When you usually hold BTC and ETH, do you put them into coin-earning products or prefer to keep them directly in your spot account? #OKX达人 #OKX #BTC #ETH

11.07｜Nonfarm payrolls significantly stronger than expected, Nasdaq rebounds, but BTC remains near 76,000, and ETH hasn't reclaimed 2300. Over the weekend, first watch for follow-through; don't rush to declare the correction over just because US stocks rose for a day. Today, Yi Wood sits with You Metal; according to traditional Five Elements imagery, Metal overcomes Wood. Use this as a reminder: recovery has shown signs, but still needs to withstand stress tests. $BTC around $76,182. Yesterday we were watching for support near 75,000; now the price has risen somewhat, but the resistance at 76,500–77,000 still needs to be reclaimed. On the downside, first watch 75,000–75,500, then 74,500; strong support at 73,000–73,500. On the upside, first watch 76,500–77,000, then 78,000–78,500; 80,000 is a more distant structural recovery level. If 75,000–75,500 holds and then breaks through 77,000 with a retest that holds, the rebound can be rated higher. But if 75,000 fails again and the bounce cannot be sustained, continue to watch for support below; don't assume it's cheap just because it fell a lot earlier. Today, I care more about whether 77,000 can be reclaimed than guessing prematurely when it will return to 80,000. $ETH around $2,250, slightly recovered from about 2,220 yesterday, but 2,300 has not been reclaimed; 2,400 cannot yet be considered a current support. On the downside, first watch 2,220–2,240, then 2,200; strong support at 2,150–2,180. On the upside, first watch 2,280–2,320, then 2,350–2,400. If it breaks through 2,320 and retests 2,300 successfully, continue to watch 2,350–2,400. If around 2,230 does not hold, be cautious of previous lows near 2,200 and 2,170 being tested again. BTC stabilizing does not mean altcoins are broadly strengthening; ETH still needs to prove its buying power. Last night’s nonfarm payrolls were indeed strong: October added 165,000 jobs, exceeding market expectations of 65,000; unemployment rate at 4.1%, average hourly earnings up 0.4% month-over-month. Additionally, August and September employment were revised up by a total of 84,000. This report gave the market reason to reprice tighter interest rate expectations. Interestingly, tech stocks did not continue to plunge. Nasdaq rebounded about 1.09%, S&P rose about 0.31%, Dow fell about 0.46%. This is a positive change, but Nasdaq still fell about 3.4% for the week; a one-day rebound is not enough to absorb prior selling pressure. Next week, Nasdaq support is first at 24,000–24,300, resistance at 24,800–25,000, then 25,500; S&P support at 7,300–7,350, resistance at 7,450–7,500. Whether key levels hold is more important than single-day gains. Gold also needs clarity on the data. Friday’s gold futures closed near $4,064.50, which is not the real-time spot price on Saturday. Gold recovered somewhat this week, but after strong nonfarm data, interest rate pressure remains. For futures, watch support at 4,030–4,050, then 3,980–4,000; resistance at 4,080–4,100, then 4,140–4,150. If 4,100 cannot be reclaimed, treat it as a pullback after the rise and do not chase resistance. Crude oil Friday Brent settled at $98.32, WTI at $90.83. Compared to the previous week, under the same contract terms, oil prices have clearly fallen, easing energy pressure, but supply risks remain; do not assume a continuous decline. My approach today is simple: BTC watches 75,000 and 77,000; ETH watches 2,200 and 2,320. Confirm support first, then observe resistance breaks; do not rush to treat small rebounds as reversals. US markets are closed over the weekend, but Crypto is still trading; news may trigger rapid volatility, especially with low liquidity prone to spikes. Don’t rush on breakouts; wait for retests to confirm support. Holding ground is more important than just touching levels; opportunities are unlimited, capital is limited. Less leverage, more patience. Do you think BTC can reclaim 77,000 this time, or will it test 75,000 again over the weekend? Technical levels are for observation only and do not constitute investment advice; control position size, leverage, and stop losses. #BTC #ETH #Bitcoin #Gold #CryptoNews

11.06｜The Nasdaq plunged 5.52%, BTC fell back near 75,600, ETH returned to 2,220, and gold also retreated below 4,100. Tonight is the non-farm payrolls report; first, defend positions, no rush to catch the first drop. Today, Jia Wood sits on Shen Metal; according to traditional Five Elements imagery, metal overcomes wood, like just starting to grow upward but encountering external resistance. Use this as a reminder: if the rebound fails, adjust your judgment and don’t comfort yourself with yesterday’s bullish script. $BTC is around $75,600, it’s no longer about defending 80,000 but first seeing if there is support near 75,000. The previously reclaimed 78,000 and 80,000 have become levels that need to be retaken above. On the downside, first watch 75,000–75,500, then 74,500; strong support is around 73,000–73,500. On the upside, first watch 76,500–77,000, then 78,000–78,500, with 80,000 being a more significant structural resistance. If 75,000 holds and then recovers 76,500–77,000 without breaking on the pullback, a technical rebound can be observed. But if 75,000 breaks and the rebound fails to recover, look further down; don’t assume cheap just because the price has dropped a lot. $ETH is around $2,220; 2,400 has already been lost, now retesting 2,200. The previous recovery didn’t hold, so short-term support needs to be found again. On the downside, first watch 2,200, then 2,150–2,180; strong support is near 2,100. On the upside, first watch 2,250–2,280, then 2,300–2,320; 2,400 has become a more distant recovery target. If 2,200 holds and recovers 2,280–2,300, observe if support improves. If 2,200 breaks and the rebound fails to hold, watch the previous lows near 2,170 and 2,150. No rush to talk about altcoin catch-ups now; first see if core assets can stop falling. The U.S. stock sell-off last night was indeed heavy. S&P 7,353.73, down 4.36%; Nasdaq 24,315, down 5.52%; Dow 51,523.06, down 3.44%. Nvidia dropped over 9%, semiconductor index over 12%, AI-related assets were the focus of the sell-off. The market is worried whether AI regulation and data center construction restrictions will affect growth already priced in. Expectations haven’t fully materialized, but funds are already reducing risk. Tonight, Nasdaq downside is 24,000–24,300, then 23,500–23,800; upside 24,800–25,000. S&P downside 7,300–7,350, upside 7,500–7,550. First stop the decline, then talk about reclaiming lost ground. Gold also needs updating. It once surged to around 4,146 yesterday; today’s latest report shows it back near $4,044, so we can’t say 4,100 is firmly supported. Downside first watch 4,020–4,050, then 3,980–4,000; upside 4,080–4,100, after recovering then watch 4,140–4,150. Gold was relatively strong yesterday but also retreated today, indicating safe-haven assets don’t only rise without falling; during sharp drops, they may be affected by cash and margin demands. According to the daily data on November 5, U.S. 10-year Treasury yield is 4.84%, 2-year is 4.46%. Rates fell but U.S. stocks plunged, indicating yield declines can’t be directly taken as a bullish signal; we must see why funds buy bonds and whether risk assets have support. Crude oil rebounded the previous trading day; Brent settled at $98.29, up 3.88%; WTI settled at $90.52, up 2.72%. Energy transport risks are still fluctuating; the recent oil price decline easing can’t be taken as a sustained positive. Tonight at 21:30 Beijing time, the U.S. releases October non-farm payrolls. Current market expectations are 65,000 new jobs, 4.2% unemployment rate, and 0.3% month-over-month average wage growth. Besides new jobs, watch wages and previous data revisions. My thinking is simple: moderate employment and cooling wages, observe if BTC and Nasdaq can recover; strong employment and wages, beware of renewed tightening in rate expectations; significantly weak employment, also beware the market turning to growth concerns. If data is positive but price can’t break resistance, don’t chase; if data is negative but key support holds, don’t rush to short. First watch if after the initial move, there is support on the pullback. Key levels today: BTC 75,000 / 77,000, ETH 2,200 / 2,300, Gold 4,000 / 4,100. Today is Friday, non-farm tonight, then the weekend follows. My choice is still to reduce leverage and wait for confirmation. Missing the first move is okay; don’t max out positions before data comes out. Holding steady is more important than touching key levels; opportunities are infinite, capital is limited. Do you think BTC can hold 75,000 this time, or will it need to look for support further down after non-farm? Technical levels are for observation only, not investment advice; control position size, leverage, and stop loss. #BTC #ETH #Bitcoin #Gold #CryptoNews

☯️ 11.04｜BTC fights for 78,000, ETH returns above 2300, gold recovers above 4000. The market is starting to repair, but what I care more about today is: after the rise, can it hold the gains. Today, Ren Water sits on Wu Fire, which in traditional Five Elements imagery means water and fire pulling against each other. Using this as a reminder: having rebound momentum doesn’t mean the pressure above has disappeared. Metaphysics is just for fun reference; trading depends on price, volume, and capital. $BTC is around $78,176, battling above 78,000. Compared to the past two days of oscillating around 77,000, the price has indeed moved forward a step, but 78,500 still needs confirmation. On the downside, first watch 77,500–78,000, then 76,500–77,000, with strong support near 76,000; on the upside, first watch 78,500, then 79,500–80,000. If it breaks through 78,500 and holds above 78,000 on a pullback, the evaluation of this repair can be raised. But if it quickly falls back below 77,500, be cautious of 77,000 and 76,500 being tested again. What I want to see more is that it can’t fall below around 78,000 and gradually recovers the pressure above, rather than suddenly spiking up and then giving it all back. $ETH is about $2,305, also back above 2,300. This is more positive than a few days ago, but just standing above and truly stabilizing are two different things. On the downside, first watch 2,280–2,300, then 2,250, with strong support at 2,220–2,240; on the upside, watch 2,320–2,350, then 2,400. If 2,300 holds and breaks through 2,350, we can continue to observe repair near 2,400. If it falls back below 2,280, watch for 2,250 to be tested again. Whether BTC holds 78,000 and ETH holds 2,300 together is more important than just looking at how much one coin has risen. US stocks showed some repair last night. S&P 7,568.92, up 0.36%; Nasdaq 25,372.01, up 0.83%; Dow 51,786.72, down 0.38%. However, the rebound is still differentiated and cannot be taken as a full-strength turnaround. Tonight, Nasdaq downside is 25,000–25,200, upside 25,500–25,800, then 26,000; S&P downside 7,500–7,540, upside 7,600–7,650. Whether tech stocks can continue repairing will also affect the quality of this Crypto rebound. Gold changed more noticeably today, latest report about $4,022, recovering above 4,000 again. Now the focus is no longer whether it can touch 4,000, but whether 4,000 can become support. On the downside, first watch 3,980–4,000, then 3,950; on the upside, watch 4,030–4,050, then 4,080–4,100. If it holds near 4,000 on a pullback, repair can continue to be observed; if it quickly falls back below 3,980, beware of a failed breakout. After a straight pull-up, I still prefer to wait for a pullback. Oil rebounded today, latest reports Brent about $104.36, WTI about $96.72. Compared to previous highs, energy pressure has eased, but diplomatic news and supply risks remain, so don’t treat a pullback as risk fully resolved. Interest rates also need to be distinguished by time: the US 10-year Treasury yield closed at 4.95% yesterday, today intraday reported down to about 4.9%. The dollar and yield decline help some assets repair, but whether it can sustain depends on tonight’s data. At 21:15 Beijing time, ADP employment report will be released; at 23:00, ISM services PMI. The former looks at employment changes, the latter focuses on activity, employment, and price components; Friday has nonfarm payrolls. Good or bad data is one thing; how prices move after release is another. Don’t chase if good news can’t break resistance; don’t rush to short if weak data but support holds. Today’s focus: BTC 78,000 / 78,500, ETH 2,300 / 2,350, gold 4,000 / 4,050. My thinking hasn’t changed: when price starts repairing, adjust observation levels, but don’t go full position just because it breaks an integer level. Whether the breakout has volume and whether there’s support on pullback decide if this rise is worth participating in. Holding steady is more important than just touching; opportunities are infinite, capital is limited. Do you think BTC can hold 78,000 and ETH hold 2,300 this time, or will it fluctuate again after tonight’s data? Technical levels are for observation only, not investment advice; control position size, leverage, and stop loss. #BTC #ETH #Bitcoin #Gold #crypto

11.03｜BTC back to 77,000, ETH still around 2250, oil prices plummeted, but the Nasdaq didn't stop. Macro pressure has eased a bit, but whether the rebound can hold depends on whether the funds buy in. Today, Xin Metal sits on Si Fire; according to traditional Five Elements theory, metal is refined by fire. Using this as a reminder: external pressure remains, don’t rush to conclude the correction is over just because a bullish candle appeared. BTC was around $77,030 this morning, down 1.17% in 24 hours, ranging between 76,553 and 78,724. The previous rebound reached near 78,700 but ultimately didn’t hold, indicating selling pressure above 78,000 is still unresolved. On the downside, first watch 76,500 to 77,000, then 75,000 to 76,000; on the upside, resistance is at 78,000 to 78,500, and if it pulls back, then look at 79,500 to 80,000. If support appears near 76,500, and BTC breaks above 78,500 again and holds on a retest, the recovery assessment can be raised. But if 76,500 breaks, especially if 76,000 falls and the rebound fails to reclaim it, then continue watching 75,000 without guessing the bottom prematurely. ETH is around $2,254, down 0.62% in 24 hours, ranging from 2,234 to 2,312. To clarify: it’s still near 2,250, so it’s not clearly broken below 2,250 yet, but it definitely failed to hold above 2,300. Support below is 2,220 to 2,240, then 2,200, with strong support at 2,150 to 2,180; resistance above is 2,280 to 2,320, then 2,350 to 2,400. Regaining 2,320 convincingly would make the recovery more convincing; if it can’t hold near 2,230, watch out for tests of 2,200 and 2,170 previous lows. US stocks continued to diverge last night. S&P 7541.40, down 0.51%; Nasdaq 25164.32, down 1.07%; Dow 51983.98, up 0.41%. Many stocks actually rose, but tech stocks still dragged noticeably. Oil prices plunged, long-term yields fell, yet Nasdaq didn’t rise—this signal deserves attention. The market worries not only about interest rates but also whether AI investments will ultimately turn into profits. Tonight, Nasdaq first watches 25,000, then 25,500 to 25,800; S&P support at 7,500, resistance 7,600 to 7,650. If key levels don’t hold, don’t rush to conclude the tech stock correction is over. Gold rebounded to around $3,950 to $3,960 in the previous trading session, with intraday gains over 2%, but this is the trading session quote, not today’s synchronized spot price. Support below is 3,920 to 3,950, then 3,860 to 3,900; resistance above is 3,980 to 4,000, and if it holds, then look at 4,030 to 4,050. There is a recovery, but before reclaiming 4,000, I’m still not in a hurry to define a reversal. Crude oil indeed plunged last night. Brent January 2027 contract settled at $104.77, down 7.63%; WTI settled at $96.46, down 7.36%. Note Brent has rolled to a new month, so don’t directly compare $104.77 to the previous expiring contract’s $117.64 to calculate the drop. The US 10-year Treasury yield on a daily basis is about 4.91%, down 3 basis points from last Friday’s 4.94%. Falling oil prices and long-term yields help ease pressure, but whether risk assets can rise ultimately depends on their own buying power. Last night’s ISM Manufacturing PMI was 55.5, above the previous 54.5; the price index was 75.2, down from 77.9 but still high. This indicates manufacturing continues to expand, cost pressures have eased somewhat but not disappeared. Today is the US midterm election voting day; at 23:00 Beijing time tonight, JOLTS job openings data will be released, and Friday at 21:30 is the nonfarm payrolls. There’s a lot of news this week; I prefer to set conditions first and wait for the market to give answers, rather than taking heavy directional bets prematurely. The crypto market still needs to watch fund flows after platform security incidents. In the November 2 report, Binance disclosed a cumulative net outflow of about $4.72 billion after resuming withdrawals. This is a cumulative figure as of the report, not a single-day outflow, nor should it be directly taken as all sell orders. Watching whether fund flows stabilize later is more meaningful than focusing on a large number. Key levels to watch today: BTC 76,500 and 78,500; ETH 2,230 and 2,320; Gold 3,920 and 4,000. Oil price falling doesn’t mean BTC must rise immediately; yields dropping doesn’t mean tech stock valuation issues are resolved. Macro conditions provide recovery opportunities, but next we need to see if prices can confirm. Holding above is more important than just touching key levels; opportunities are unlimited, capital is limited. Don’t chase the first candle, wait for the position, then volume, and finally consider position size. Do you think BTC can hold 76,500 this time and reclaim 78,500, or will it fluctuate before the election and nonfarm payrolls? Technical levels are for observation only and do not constitute investment advice; control position size, leverage, and stop loss. #BTC #ETH #Bitcoin #Gold #Crypto

Recently, the news about Anthropic's IPO has been quite hot, and the market has even started discussing valuations between 1.5 trillion and 2 trillion USD. To be honest, I am quite optimistic about Anthropic as a company, but optimism aside, if I were to actually trade, I would first want to see where the price is heading. Recently, OKX launched Anthropic Pre-IPO pre-market contracts, and I specifically studied them. This is different from buying stocks; you are not trading Anthropic's equity but rather the market's expectations of its future valuation. In simple terms, it’s about how much people think it’s worth and whether that expectation will change later. If it were me, I would consider it like this. First, the pre-market contracts. I wouldn’t just chase long positions because Anthropic is about to IPO. Especially with news-driven markets, the biggest risk is that the positive news hasn’t materialized yet, but the price has already surged significantly in advance. I usually first look for whether a trend has formed, whether key resistance can be broken, and if after breaking through, there is support on the pullback. If it’s just a big bullish candle from the news release, I most likely won’t act. I’d wait for it to pull back and stabilize, with volume supporting it, then consider entering with a small position. If it breaks through but then falls back to the original range, I’d keep waiting; there’s no need to force participation. As for contract grid trading, I think it’s worth studying but depends on the market conditions. If the price oscillates within a range with clear upper and lower boundaries, I’d consider using a small portion of funds to test the grid. But if there’s major news like IPO progress or valuation adjustments causing a sudden one-sided price move, grid trading can become uncomfortable. Especially with contract grids, even though bots keep buying and selling and it seems like there’s daily profit, in a one-sided market, floating losses can exceed the grid profits. So personally, I wouldn’t start with high leverage, nor treat grid trading as a guaranteed profit tool. One more point I think is important. No matter how high the valuation being discussed for Anthropic is, it doesn’t mean the pre-market contract must rise. After all, the market trades expectations, and often the good news is already priced in. For me, OKX launching this kind of Pre-IPO product indeed adds more trading options. Previously, I mainly focused on BTC and ETH; now even AI company IPO expectations can be studied. But the trading logic hasn’t really changed. Look at the direction, but also the position; look for opportunities, but also consider risks. I will continue to follow Anthropic, but before the price gives a clear opportunity, I’d rather stay out and wait than force a trade just to catch an IPO hype. What do you think about this Anthropic wave? Will you trade the pre-market contracts directly, or wait for the range to form before considering contract grids? @okxchinese @star_okx @misaENFP @mia_okx #OKX达人 #交易TradFi就来OKX #交易Anthropic就来OKX