小乐行情速报
小乐行情速报
专业行情快报与分析
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#美股暴跌后科技股反弹，纳指周线仍跌约3.4%
Finally!!! Last Friday, tech stocks finally caught a breather, with the Nasdaq rising about 1.1%, and chip stocks also bouncing back, AMD jumping over ten points. It looked lively, but when you check the weekly chart, the Nasdaq still fell about 3.4%, marking four consecutive weeks of decline, really no recovery yet.
Monday saw another big rebound, with the Nasdaq surging over 2.7%, the Dow skyrocketing 1100 points, and chip stocks partying again. The sharp drop in oil prices helped a lot, and everyone felt inflation pressure was easing a bit. But Nvidia fell over 4% on its own because of an investigation involving Jensen Huang, making it the only outlier.
To be clear, this rebound looks lively but is mostly a correction after overselling, not a true bottom yet. After the midterm elections, the market worries about tighter regulation on data centers, plus strong nonfarm payroll data has revived rate hike expectations, so valuation pressure on tech stocks hasn’t eased.
Chasing highs now is quite risky, and bottom fishing depends on luck. The rebound is real, but the weekly chart is still weak, so don’t mistake a correction for a reversal. Next, it’s about whether it can hold steady or fall again.
-20.16 USDT
-5.81%Snapshot at Nov 10, 2026, 09:08
#美国10月CPI前瞻：12月加息预期会否改变？
Brothers, the October CPI is coming out tomorrow morning, let me share my view with you.
This time it's a bit special. Last year, the government shutdown caused the October 2025 data to be lost, so the BLS won't release year-over-year data this time, only month-over-month is available. The market expects the headline to rise about 0.3% (September was 0.6%), core about 0.2% (September 0.3%), and the Cleveland Fed's nowcast is even softer. Mainly because gasoline price increases have come down, and car prices are falling, so the month-over-month looks much more comfortable than September.
But the problem is, even if the numbers are a bit soft, it might not be enough to push down the December rate hike expectations. The market pricing for a December hike is already around 80%. After the September hike to 3.75-4%, October stayed put, but Cook and Hammack still voted for a hike, indicating some internal desire to continue tightening. Plus, October's employment exceeded expectations, the labor market isn't soft, inflation has stuck around 2%, and services and housing haven't given any surprises.
So I feel, unless the core really crashes to something like 0.1% unexpectedly tomorrow, it's more likely to confirm rather than reverse. BofA also said, as long as it's not particularly soft, the December hike is basically locked in. What could really shake things up would be if the stock market crashes badly or if November data surprises us later on.
#非农今晚揭晓，美股大跌后市场如何押注12月加息？
Brothers, tonight's non-farm payrolls report is expected to shake the market back and forth again.
Earlier, AI stocks and the US stock market both plunged, and the market has started to worry about the economy and high valuations. Normally, with such a sharp stock market drop, the pressure for the Fed to continue raising rates in December would be lighter, but if tonight's non-farm payrolls are particularly strong, it’s a completely different story.
Strong employment and a falling unemployment rate indicate the economy hasn’t been crushed by high interest rates yet, so expectations for a December rate hike might heat up again. When the dollar and US Treasury yields rise, $BTC will definitely get nervous first, and $ETH will probably feel even worse.
But if the non-farm payrolls cool down significantly, the market might breathe a sigh of relief first, risk assets could rebound, and BTC might have a chance to regain footing. However, very poor employment isn’t necessarily good either; if it gets bad enough to make everyone worry about a recession, both the US stock market and the crypto space might crash first.
So the key tonight isn’t simply whether the data is good or bad, but whether it exceeds market expectations. In this kind of market, even meeting expectations can be spun for a long time. $SNDK
-64.97 USDT
-18.71%Snapshot at Nov 06, 2026, 21:00
#美中期选举后AI监管分歧引发行情波动
Recently, many people have been swayed by a piece of news: the US suddenly called for a halt to AI.
Many interpretations say: they fear superintelligence getting out of control and want to hit the brakes for human safety. But beneath the surface rhetoric, the truth is far more complex.
On one hand, they publicly call for a pause on cutting-edge large models and propose bans on super AI; on the other hand, tech giants are frantically locking in computing power and pouring money into expanding data centers, with capital continuously betting on the chip industry chain. They say stop with their mouths, but their actions show no halt in expansion.
The essence of this play is to switch to a new order for collecting money.
In the early days, the race was about model iteration and engineering capability, giving latecomers a chance to overtake on curves. Once strong regulation is implemented, competition turns into a game of compliance qualifications, standard discourse power, and access licenses. Whoever writes the rules can set the thresholds, turning free competition into directed "tribute."
It's not that AI is too dangerous; it's that the old harvesting model is about to collapse. When models from other countries rapidly catch up and pricing power is no longer held solely by US tech oligarchs, "safety" becomes the best barrier.
Of course, real risks exist: misinformation, employment impact, privacy leaks. But the right to define risk should not be held solely by a few giants.
In the coming years, AI's main storyline will no longer be just technological sprinting, but the battle over standards, regulation, and industry chain access. Only those who understand this open conspiracy won't be led by waves of public opinion.
Whether to stop or not has never been the question; who has the right to decide whether to run is the real issue $SNDK $SOXL
-70.45 USDT
-20.29%Snapshot at Nov 06, 2026, 03:56
This recent market action is quite interesting
AI stocks have really taken a beating lately
Nvidia, chip stocks, and software stocks all plunged together. Just a few days ago, everyone was shouting that AI would keep rising forever, and today they're already asking if the bubble is about to burst. The market turns on a dime like that.
I don't think this means AI demand is gone; it's more that the previous surge was too steep and expectations were set too high. Now everyone is worried whether cloud providers, who have spent so much building data centers and buying chips, will actually be able to make a profit.
TSMC's earnings are still strong, and AMD's data center business hasn't collapsed, which shows AI demand is indeed still there. But demand alone doesn't mean stock prices have to keep rising. When valuations are too high, once investors get scared, they run first and ask questions later.
Plus, the Fed is still hawkish, interest rates aren't coming down, so high-valuation tech stocks are definitely feeling the pressure. When AI stocks fall, risk sentiment also spills over into the crypto space, so it's normal for $BTC and $ETH to shake in the short term.
Right now, I don't dare say AI is over, nor do I rush to bottom-fish. I'll wait to see if funds come back after this drop. Whether the story can continue ultimately depends on profits, not on press conferences.
-37.88 USDT
-11.48%Snapshot at Nov 05, 2026, 22:47
#非农在即，就业数据能否强化12月加息预期？
Brothers, tonight's nonfarm payrolls report feels like it's going to shake the market back and forth again.
The market is already betting on a December rate hike. If the employment data is significantly stronger than expected and the unemployment rate drops further, the Fed will definitely feel more confident to stay hawkish. When the dollar and US Treasury yields rise, $BTC will take the first hit, and $ETH probably won't escape either.
But if employment cools down, the market might breathe a sigh of relief first, rate hike expectations will drop, and risk assets could have a chance to rebound. As long as Bitcoin can hold steady, Ethereum might even follow up with some gains.
The most frustrating thing is that data and prices don't always follow the script. If nonfarm is strong, the market might say it was already priced in; if nonfarm is weak, it might pump first then dump, specifically targeting those who went all-in early.
My view is to watch Bitcoin's initial reaction tonight. If the data comes out and it can still hold, it means the bulls have some strength; if it breaks key support right away, don't stubbornly call it a shakeout. Ethereum will follow Bitcoin's lead, and altcoins should stay calm for now.
Nonfarm hasn't been released yet, so don't rush to make decisions for the market. Let it choose its own direction.
#US Midterm Elections: Democrats Take Control of Both Houses of Congress
Brothers, the results of the US midterm elections are out. The Democrats have directly taken both the House and the Senate. For the next two years, it definitely won't be as smooth for Trump to push policies as before.
For $BTC, the short term may not necessarily be positive. Many Democrats are not very friendly towards cryptocurrencies and loose regulations. Policies on stablecoins, trading platforms, and taxation may face renewed contention. What the market fears most is not opposition, but uncertainty.
But from another perspective, with the two parties pulling against each other, many radical policies may not be implemented quickly. As long as there isn't suddenly very strict regulation, Bitcoin will still be influenced by funding and macro factors.
For $ETH, the focus is more on policy details, especially discussions around staking, ETFs, and securities classification. When the news first breaks, the market might get scared, but what really affects the market is what bills Congress will eventually introduce.
My view is: in the short term, don't directly treat "Democrats winning both houses" as either negative or positive. First, see how the market digests it. For BTC, watch the support; for ETH, watch the capital flow. When US politics shifts, the crypto space reacts wildly. Brothers, don't rush to chase gains or cut losses tonight.
Hello everyone, long time no see. I haven't been playing much since my account was liquidated not long ago.
The market gave me many chances to retreat, but at that time I still believed that $BTC could never fall below the 80,000 threshold no matter what.
Unexpectedly, that night hackers struck, and Bitcoin plummeted all the way down to around 76,000. I had several positions in my account, including altcoins, which were all dragged down by Bitcoin's crash.
Originally, $BILL was already weak, and $2Z and other coins were the same; they were all dragged down by Bitcoin and crashed all the way down.
At that time, I was speechless. I wanted to do c2c but had no time, so I had to hurriedly close my positions.
I really didn't expect the crash to be so sudden. We really need to respect the market.
Regarding Bitcoin and Ethereum, I think this hacker incident caused a massive sell-off, but since it didn't break below 76,000, it shows that the bulls are still strong. Now the market is slowly recovering.
-159.89
-853.51%Snapshot at Oct 30, 2026, 04:43
Damn, I'm really going crazy
Still watching the market in the early morning, seeing my account turn so red, my hands are shaking. I originally thought I could ride this wave, now I just want to slap myself twice.
I'm playing with full margin leverage, afraid to close the position because I might see even worse numbers, but not closing feels like waiting to die. Is there anyone else like me, trapped and unable to sleep, staring blankly at the screen? Or am I just this stupid? $BILL $BTC $2Z
-145.04
-774.24%Snapshot at Oct 20, 2026, 01:00
Brothers, these few trades today really shattered my mindset.
$BILL is the most frustrating one; I can't see it during the rebound, but when it drops, it's more active than anyone else. Every day I wonder if it can suddenly surge, but what comes is not a rebound, but a continued decline. Holding it feels like waiting for a message that will never come.
$BTC has also started to go down. I thought it could hold steady around 80,000, but it still didn't hold. When BTC weakens, almost no altcoins can run. I was just thinking about breaking even, now I just hope there won't be another big bearish candle.
$2Z Z is even more torturous, it can't rally and falls fast. Every time it gives a little hope, it turns around and pushes you back down. This coin really messes with your mindset.
Brothers, I’m no longer asking for a surge, can it at least give a decent rebound so I can catch my breath? Trading coins until the end, regardless of how much money is lost, the mindset is really about to break.
-125.88
-671.96%Snapshot at Oct 18, 2026, 15:33
