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Haha 😁 Langlang 🌊 shares: Woke up at 5 AM because I had to pee, looked at the needle, 110, and immediately bought Solana $SOL
Then sold at 112.7 in the afternoon, that restraint is impressive. Many people buy at the dip and make profits but get greedy wanting to hold more, only to give back their gains.
This pee hold was worth it, $260 in hand, maybe I should thank my bladder from now on. This luck is unmatched, being woken up by the market in my sleep to get free money Two years ago, my colleagues kept talking about this at their desks.
At first, I just took it as a joke.
Later, when I had some spare cash, I threw in a few hundred bucks.
My first purchase was $BTC.
After buying, the price dropped.
I was staring at my phone late at night.
Then I tried $ETH.
There were so many things on the chain it was overwhelming.
The fees were painfully high.
One transaction took forever and felt like a waste.
Later, I heard $SOL was fast.
I transferred a small amount to try it out.
It was really fast.
But there were also real traps.
Some projects disappeared without a trace.
After losing a few times, I learned to be honest.
Don’t chase trends.
Don’t follow tips blindly.
Don’t touch what you don’t understand.
Write down your private keys yourself.
Don’t give them to anyone who asks.
Don’t click on unknown links.
No matter how tempting airdrops are, don’t connect your wallet recklessly.
Now I only hold money I can afford to lose.
Just leave it there.
When it goes up, don’t get cocky.
When it goes down, don’t panic.
There are many opportunities in this field,
but even more traps.
Living long is more important than making a quick profit.
Don’t borrow money.
Don’t get carried away.
Don’t believe in guaranteed profits.
Leave the rest to time.#TSMC Q3 revenue hits a new high, profit performance to be revealed
#BTC and ETH spot ETFs see simultaneous outflows, is institutional demand weakening?
#Microsoft releases next-generation AI chip, stock price hits yearly high Repeated sharp drops, repeated rebounds—do you think the market is giving you a chance?
Don't be naive!
This is just the manipulative whales testing the selling pressure below, while shaking you off.
Look at the latest long-short ratio data: $ETH long accounts are still as high as 65.79%, shorts only 34.21%.
What does this mean?
It means retail investors saw the price drop near 2500 and all rushed in to buy the dip.
This is the classic human trap.
Many people think that after such a big drop, a rebound is guaranteed, so they go all in on longs.
But in this market, you have to do the opposite.
The more crowded the retail longs are, the less likely the whales will pump the price.
They’re not philanthropists—why would they let 65% of people make money?
The answer is simple: these longs are fuel; the whales will keep smashing down until they blow them all out.
Look at the bearish signals on the market: Ethereum spot ETFs had a net outflow of $542 million last week, with BlackRock alone pulling out $477 million.
On-chain is even harsher: Ethereum Foundation-related wallets transferred 4,393 ETH to exchanges, and F2Pool co-founder Wang Chun also moved 2,160 ETH.
Institutions are withdrawing, big players are running, and buying power has long dried up.
Now the price is grinding around 2500, with moving averages pressing down overhead, and each rebound weaker than the last.
This kind of repeated exhaustion pattern will most likely end with a big bearish candle smashing through 2400.
I’m holding my short from 2707; whether profits retract or there are spikes, I’m not moving.
Because I know this pattern too well—if retail investors don’t despair, the real bottom won’t appear.
Don’t catch the falling knife, don’t buy the dip; going short with the trend is the hard truth.
How many more days do you think these 65% longs can hold out?
$BTC
$ZEC
#BTC and ETH spot ETFs see simultaneous outflows, is institutional demand weakening?
#September CPI release imminent, Hamarq says further rate hikes are still needed Have you noticed SK Hynix plummeted 7.1%?
Everyone shouldn't just think this is a short-term bubble burst of AI concept stocks; actually, the industry's gameplay has changed $SKHY
The domestic major manufacturer Changxin Memory CXMT has released a brand-new 4F² DRAM architecture, and high-level HBM products are reportedly being tested by tech giants, directly shaking the monopoly system of overseas memory giants.
People used to regard SK Hynix as the exclusive hard currency of HBM bound to Nvidia $NVDA, but now three major risks are obvious, and the technical defense line has been torn open.
In the past, they earned huge profits relying on yield and technology monopoly; now domestic manufacturers are accelerating breakthroughs in architecture and catching up, loosening premium power. Capacity squeeze backfires. Over the past year, they maxed out capacity producing HBM, while general DRAM market share declined.
Once the AI capital expenditure growth of major giants slows down, huge spending and subsequent oversupply risks will be exposed. Competitors attack from both sides. Samsung and Micron $MUU are aggressively grabbing orders at low levels, ending the exclusive dividend completely.
In the later stage, a short-term sharp drop may be followed by a slight rebound with the broader market, but the golden era of one-sided surge relying on AI concepts is over. The memory sector will sharply differentiate next; whether Hynix can stand firm depends on whether it can continue to maintain absolute capacity and yield advantages in the HBM4 generation.
Do you think the valuation ceiling for this AI hardware wave has really arrived?
$SKHYNIX $NVDA $MU
#September CPI announcement is imminent, Hamark says further rate hikes are still needed Position reflection in the later stage of market rotation: The offense and defense under 20x leverage
Current market structure: BTC consolidating with low volume at a high level (entry 82867, current price 83274), ETH funds overflowing for catch-up gains (entry 2530, current price 2508).
From actual positions, BTC long is currently +9.81%, in a safe zone; while ETH long is -17.54%, under 20x leverage, this is actually less than 1% price retracement but enough to cause psychological imbalance.
From a pure technical perspective, the market logic remains clear:
1. BTC: Resistance at 83000, 81700 is the short-term bull-bear dividing line. If not broken, funds continue to overflow; if broken, rotation ends.
2. ETH: Catch-up rally faces resistance in the 2560-2600 trapped zone, 2470-2480 is short-term support.
In operation, 20x leverage has extremely low tolerance for errors. No further adding positions will be made; strictly set stop losses according to defense levels at 81700 (BTC) and 2470 (ETH). Money from fund rotation is hard to earn; preserving principal is the top priority.
#September CPI announcement imminent, Hamak says further rate hikes still needed
#BTC and ETH spot ETFs see simultaneous outflows, is institutional demand weakening?
#Microsoft releases next-generation AI chip, stock price hits annual high 📈Market Outlook for Midday on October 13th📈
$ETH Strategy:
Break above 2500 with volume to chase longs on the right side, retract stop loss.
Break below 2463 with volume to chase shorts on the right side, set stop loss properly.
Pull back to 2416 to confirm support is valid, add one long; stop loss if it breaks 2380.
Hourly level holds above 2500, target 2550-2606 upwards.
Watch 2568 above for a short position, stop loss if it breaks 2606.
Left side spike orders: long at 2355, stop loss if it breaks 2312.
Resistance above: 2500-2550-2606
Support below: 2463-2416-2380
4-hour level break below 2463 targets 2416-2380 downwards.
Ethereum's second pullback is very precise; the double bottom on the hourly chart is confirmed and has broken the price channel.
Next, it depends on whether Ethereum can return above 2500. Only if it runs above 2500 can this correction stop falling; to continue the rebound, it must break above 2550.
Because the large white box marks a big consolidation area, only breaking above 2550 will the large consolidation structure break through and create a higher high to continue the rebound.
Currently, as long as Ethereum's pullback does not break below 2450, it will not retest the previous low. Multiple retests of the previous low without creating a higher high and then retesting the previous low easily leads to a breakdown.
Watch 2500; only by holding above it can the uptrend continue!
$BTC $SOL
#SanDiskMicronDown, ChangXinTechnicalProgressUnderFocus $XCH artisans with the brands, buyers and researchers looking for them. Chia’s blockchain-backed identity and credentials create a lasting, independently auditable record of artisan verification. This deployment demonstrates how Chia's blockchain infrastructure can support real-world applications that require trusted records of identity, credentials and provenance. ANAAR will feature the network in collaboration with Artisans on September 18, 2026 during London Fashion Week.💡My current three trading strategies and where to keep the bullets
Bitcoin is still grinding around 83000, this round of correction is not yet complete.
I won’t rush to use up all my bullets now; I’m reserving funds for opportunities below 80000. If the price reaches this range, I will choose to increase my position.
The big bull market pattern has not ended; I tend to see this pullback as a shakeout. Once entering, if it moves to around 7.8, I will strictly follow the plan to reduce positions and take profits.
Currently, I choose not to chase SPCX at high prices.
Although the SpaceX story with a trillion-dollar valuation sounds tempting, the price of 167 is not cost-effective. Those wanting to position can patiently wait for a pullback; those who already hold bottom chips should hold calmly and avoid frequent operations.
In contrast, the storage sector’s logic is gradually becoming clear.
Micron is oscillating around 1030, with rigid demand for HBM; next year’s capacity is basically locked in, and contract prices continue to rise.
SanDisk is in the 1580-1640 range, Citibank has set a target price of 2100, and institutions predict the NAND chip shortage pattern may continue until 2028.
My practical operation: gradually switching storage positions to SanDisk, slowly building positions in batches during declines, and firmly not chasing highs.#evernorth Nasdaq closed down 1.05% on its first day
[Old Leek Observation] If you want to bet on XRP, there is one more option, but it may not be more cost-effective
Evernorth closed down 1.05% on its first day on Nasdaq, with a closing price of $16.91. Compared to the first-day price movement, I want to talk more about the choices it offers investors.
This company holds about 473 million XRP, so some might consider XRPN as an indirect way to bet on XRP. But don't forget, stocks and tokens are not the same type of asset.
Buying XRP directly mainly involves risks related to coin price volatility and trading platforms; buying XRPN means facing not only XRP price risk but also company valuation, share dilution, operating costs, and premium or discount relative to net asset value of the stock.
If XRP rises in the future, XRPN may not necessarily increase more; if the market narrows its valuation premium, even if XRP price doesn't fall much, the stock may perform poorly.
Conversely, if the company can effectively manage assets and continuously increase the XRP value per share, the market may be willing to give it additional valuation.
So it cannot simply be regarded as a "stock version of XRP." $XRP JTO has risen for a while but hasn't gone far yet
$JTO I won't consider the rebound within the month as a long-term strengthening for now.
It has risen about 27% in the past month, but still dropped about 14% over the past three months, and fell about 6% in the last week.
Looking at these numbers together shows that the recent rise is still a recovery from an earlier decline.
Looking only at the monthly increase might make the momentum seem good, but over a longer period, the price hasn't escaped the previous pullback.
I want to see if the next rise can surpass the high point of the previous rebound.
If it keeps stopping in the same area, it's just repeating. For now, I acknowledge the rise but am not in a hurry to fully expect sustained growth.
$SEI also can't be judged only by its monthly performance.
It rose about 48% in the past month, but dropped about 8.3% in the last week, and has slightly fallen in the past 24 hours.
I will watch how it reacts to the market recovery.
If others resume rising but it remains stagnant, short-term evaluation should be more conservative. Good past performance doesn't guarantee future prices.
$HYPE currently needs to resolve the pullback within the week.
Latest around 84.55, down about 8.3% in the past week, up about 8.4% in the past month.
Here, I first look at whether the rebound has continuity, without prematurely assuming it will hold a certain round number.
If after rising it retreats less and then continues to push forward, it's worth raising expectations; a single rebound is not enough for now.🚨Weekend Liquidity Trap! Don't Fall for Altcoins' "Fake Rebound"
Liquidity in the market shrinks significantly over the weekend. Many altcoins appear volatile and lively, but entering and exiting positions is actually very difficult. At times like this, maintaining a steady mindset is far more important than rushing to catch short-term opportunities.
BTC current price 83007, the 4-hour price still runs below the Bollinger middle band, indicating a weak rebound after a decline; the trend has not completed a reversal. Strong resistance above 83900, large box consolidation continues, blindly chasing longs carries considerable risk.
ETH current price 2506, following BTC's repair movement, bearish momentum has somewhat weakened, but it has not developed an independent trend. Mainstream coins at this stage are only experiencing a technical rebound from oversold conditions, far from showing strength.
MAGIC current price 0.102, after a previous surge, it has undergone a deep pullback with a single-day drop of 16.63%. Technical indicators formed a death cross at a high level, market sentiment is rapidly fading, selling pressure is heavy, and risk is very high. Do not bottom-fish lightly. Especially with weekend liquidity drying up, volatility in such small coins is amplified, slippage is large, making entry easy but exit difficult.
Overall summary: The rebound space for mainstream coins is limited, and thematic hotspots are fading quickly. Many altcoin moves over the weekend are "visible but unattainable"; rashly rushing in can easily lead to passive positions. Additionally, with the FOMC minutes releasing a hawkish signal, macro-level pressure remains.
Trading approach: prioritize light positions and observe, wait for clear signals from mainstream coins before acting, do not chase upward pulses, and do not lightly bottom-fish on declines. TIA Long Position Strategy | ≤5x Leverage
Core Logic: Modular DA sector leader + 10-30 core contributors unlocking ends supply-side improvement + Fibre mainnet launch expectation, daily chart breaks above 0.55 previous high then retests for confirmation
📍 Ambush Zones (divided into 3 levels)
① $0.575-0.590 → 40% (current price/breakout retest zone)
② $0.545-0.565 → 35% (previous high turned support + EMA7 overlap)
③ $0.515-0.535 → 25% (deep pullback/EMA21 defense line)
→ Average cost ≈ $0.56
🛡️ Hard Stop Loss: $0.495 (daily close below EMA21, structure invalidated)
Stop loss range about 12%, leverage recommended ≤5x
🎯 Laddered Targets
• TP1 $0.65 (+16%, round number + previous dense zone) reduce 40%
• TP2 $0.72 (+29%, channel 1.618 extension) reduce another 35%
• TP3 $0.80+ (+43%, Fibre mainnet launch expectation play) let remaining run
⚠️ Key Events/Observations
• Official announcement of Fibre mainnet launch = main upward wave trigger
• Marginal selling pressure improvement after 10-30 unlocking has been realized, watch subsequent staking data
• Daily ATR about 10%, high volatility, control position size well
• Market BTC needs to hold above $82k, altcoins follow with sentiment support $TIA $BTC $ETH 🍱 Midday Five-Pack: STRK plunges 22%, BTC volume shrinks at the doorstep, OKB breaks 125, ZEC digests gains, RE lies flat
$STRK 0.09265, down 22.29%, ZK Rollup sector hit hard. Layer2 overall liquidity drained amid rate hike expectations, new tokens lack volume support, a single large sell order can drop 20%. Midday liquidity better than early morning, but direction awaits CPI.
$BTC 82904.7, down 0.18%, sideways with shrinking volume near 83000 for three days. Volume nearly halved, bulls and bears holding for CPI impact. ETF saw largest single-day net outflow in three and a half months last week, but price barely dropped, support below.
$OKB 124.51, down 1.14%, broke 125. Platform coin follows the market grind, no independent rally, but more resistant than small coins.
$ZEC 1223.04, down 0.71%, rebounded 8.9% yesterday, slight dip today to digest gains. Privacy coins are volatile by nature, up one day down the next.
$RE 0.44310, down 0.33%, lying flat at 0.44. DeFi insurance and small RWA logic ignored.
This article is for market analysis only and does not constitute investment advice.
#CPI and PPI announcements imminent, rate hike expectations face test Twelve signature dishes have just been served, yet the stove burners in the kitchen remain cold.
Securitize places four top-tier ingredients—Apple, Nvidia, Tesla, and Space Exploration—on Solana’s cutting board, each corresponding one-to-one with real equity, with dividend and voting rights intact, and payments settled instantly in USDC. This isn’t a pre-made dish mixed up; it’s the original broth turned into original food.
But good ingredients never guarantee a good restaurant.
I’ve stood by the stove for twenty years, and what I fear most is when guests order a full banquet, but there’s only one serving window. No matter how beautiful the menu, if there aren’t enough burners, not enough staff, and turnover can’t keep up, guests will flip the table after waiting twenty minutes. That’s exactly the situation now—the digital feast planned in New York hasn’t even been lit, and another contract stall hasn’t put up its sign. The liquidity broth hasn’t even been skimmed clean of foam yet.
Redemption is the real hidden reef. If guests want to return half the dishes, can your kitchen send the raw materials back to the supplier on the spot? One-to-one equity custody sounds solid, but when the day of mass redemption comes, whether the custodian cooperates with delivery and whether the settlement channels get clogged are the invisible spiciness hidden behind the menu.
Apple and Nvidia are the main dishes holding down the table; Space Exploration is the white truffle among the mains—rare, expensive, and inherently illiquid. Tesla is the experimental dish that’s always being reformulated. You cram them all onto one plate, but what about the side dishes? The dipping sauce? The layers of heat?
Without altcoins as seasoning to enhance flavor, without stablecoins as base oil to lubricate, relying solely on twelve pieces of wagyu beef to hold the stage looks impressive in the front of house, but the kitchen is already overwhelmed.
The most fatal thing is when someone sees on-chain US stocks and their first reaction is to leverage up—ten times, twenty times. Let me tell you, that’s not chili powder; that’s devil’s pepper, one gram of which can ruin the entire broth.
A truly good chef knows when to turn off the heat.
Whether these twelve dishes stay on the menu depends on when the burners get lit, whether the refrigerator is big enough, and whether the kitchen can handle returns when guests send dishes back. #securitize12stocksLast night, a fan asked me: Does a whale selling BTC and buying ETH mean that Ethereum is about to start a big rally? I didn't answer directly; I just sent him the 4-hour candlestick chart of ETH. ETH fell from $2769 down to $2406, then rebounded to around $2580, but it has consistently failed to break upward. Meanwhile, the trading volume during the rebound gradually shrank, and a large amount of trapped chips piled up above. Is this kind of movement called about to take off? In my view, it looks more like the market is weak and being forcibly propped up, and it could be pressured again at any time. Many people only focus on the surface phenomenon of whales adjusting their positions. Selling 410 BTC and buying 14,341 ETH looks like asset reallocation. But from another perspective, this could just be funds adjusting risk exposure, trying to find a relatively resistant place, and it does not directly prove that whales are optimistic about a subsequent surge in ETH. Bitcoin itself cannot hold steady; some large funds turning to Ethereum may not be because they are optimistic about Ethereum's upside, but rather an adjustment after pressure on their original holdings. Fund rotation does not equal bullishness, and asset rotation does not mean a trend reversal. Let's also look at the current market sentiment. According to relevant data, the proportion of retail short positions has reached 88%, which is obviously high, and short trades appear quite crowded. But here’s the problem: if there are already so many short sellers in the market, why does the price continue to fall? At least[Pharaoh's Market Watch]
Microsoft is also developing its own AI chips, and its stock price has hit a new high. What does this have to do with Bitcoin?
Pharaoh says directly, Microsoft's move is the first shot in "de-NVIDIA-ization," but it hits NVIDIA and shakes Bitcoin.
First, let's see what Microsoft did. They released the third-generation self-developed AI chip Maia 300, using TSMC's 2nm process, integrating 8 HBM4 chips per single chip, with 18TB/s memory bandwidth and 950 watts power consumption. Microsoft plans to deploy over 1 million units next year and expand to several gigawatts scale starting 2027, becoming the main inference system for Azure. Once the news broke, Microsoft's stock reached a near one-year high, and its market value returned to $4 trillion.
What does this mean for Bitcoin? The short-term capital drain logic remains unchanged, but there's a new variable.
The core purpose of Microsoft's self-developed chip is to reduce dependence on NVIDIA and lower AI inference costs. This is similar to OpenAI's "Mexican Pepper" approach—AI giants are pushing computing costs down aggressively. The lower the cost, the faster AI applications spread, which increases demand for storage and electricity. The long-term logic for storage leaders like SanDisk and SK Hynix actually becomes stronger.
But in the short term, chip stocks are diverging internally. NVIDIA is pressured by the "de-dependence" narrative, Microsoft is rising on its own, and funds are rotating within the AI sector rather than withdrawing.
Remember, Microsoft is building its own path, Bitcoin is on its own road!
Follow Pharaoh, and your wealth won't lose its way! $BTC $ETH $ZEC #Microsoft releases next-generation AI chip, stock hits yearly high Two years ago, my colleagues kept talking about this during meals.
It sounded like a foreign language to me.
Later, I got itchy hands and tried with a few hundred bucks.
My first purchase was $BTC.
Right after buying, it dropped.
It dropped so much that I was checking the market on my phone late at night.
Then I tried $ETH.
The fees were so high it made me grimace.
One transaction wasted half a day.
Later, I heard people hype $SOL as fast.
I transferred a little money to mess around on the chain.
It was really fast.
But the traps were real too.
Some projects were still around in the morning but gone by the afternoon.
After losing a few times, I became honest with myself.
I don’t chase hot trends.
I don’t follow pump signals.
I don’t touch what I don’t understand.
I write down my private keys on paper myself.
I don’t give them to anyone who asks.
I don’t click on unknown links.
No matter how tempting the airdrop is, I don’t connect my wallet recklessly.
Now I only hold money I’m okay losing.
I just leave it there.
When it goes up, I don’t get cocky.
When it goes down, I don’t panic.
There are many opportunities in this field.
But there are even more traps.
Living long is more important than making a quick profit.
Don’t borrow money.
Don’t get addicted.
Don’t believe in guaranteed profits.
Leave the rest to time.#TSMC Q3 revenue hits a new high, profit performance to be revealed
#BTC and ETH spot ETFs see simultaneous outflows, is institutional demand weakening?
#Microsoft releases next-generation AI chip, stock price hits yearly high At 3 a.m., the sound of an aortic dissection tearing and the post-market plunge of the telecom sector share the same frequency. SpaceX has secured Grain Management's nationwide 800MHz spectrum, and the FCC approval is just a preoperative signature; the real bleeding point lies with the three major carriers: T-Mobile lost 5.4%, Verizon dropped 5%, and AT&T fell 6.8%—this is not a correction, but acute ischemia caused by coronary artery clamping.
Let's start with the diagnosis. What is 800MHz? It is the myocardial layer in the low-frequency band, with strong penetration, wide coverage, and good diffraction; a single base station can supply blood for dozens of kilometers. Previously, SpaceX relied on satellites for direct-to-phone connections, essentially an extracorporeal circulation: you depend on the carriers' own vascular network for return flow, and they can tighten the cannula at any time. Now it directly sews this spectrum into its own chest cavity, with star-to-ground dual channels for autonomous perfusion, no longer needing to borrow pathways from AT&T or T-Mobile. This is a leap from "bridge dependency" to "autologous heart transplantation."
So why did the three major carriers fall? The market reads this as revenue infarction. They used to lease spectrum to Starlink, which was a risk-free collateral circulation income; now that collateral is ligated, they face a new donor who doesn't play by traditional vascular anatomy rules. But note—they fell after hours, an episode of stress-induced tachycardia, not structural heart failure. The real infarct size will be seen in the next two to four quarters through two myocardial enzyme indicators: number portability and rural coverage retention rates.
Now let's shift focus to the "cardiac output" issue on the ledger. Satellite direct-to-ground spectrum is like performing two surgeries simultaneously: maintaining constellation perfusion in the sky and laying base stations on the ground. Capital expenditure is a dual-ventricle load; failure of either pump will drag down the whole system. Starlink's current user cash flow is the right heart—low pressure, large capacity; but ground network construction is the left heart—high pressure, oxygen-hungry. Can it cover? The key is whether average revenue per user and spectrum reuse efficiency can raise the ejection fraction above the safety threshold.
$xDELL, this US stock token's linkage logic lies in the hardware perfusion end. Satellite and ground dual-mode networking require massive RF components, edge servers, optical modules, and terminal chips—this "myocardial protective fluid"-type demand will be priced in advance. But tokenized assets have thin liquidity, like a patient just off extracorporeal circulation still hooked to the machine; any blood pressure fluctuation is amplified into violent oscillations, so don't mistake its pulse for real heart function.
Risk stratification must be clear: the first layer is approval risk—if the FCC valve narrows, the entire operating table must stop; the second is technical integration—the latency and success rate of star-to-ground switching cannot tolerate any arrhythmia in the conduction system; the third is price war—if Starlink undercuts carriers with low prices, it may grab users short-term but could push the entire industry's perfusion below critical levels long-term, causing its own ischemia.
From the monitor, the telecom sector's blood pressure is dropping but not yet at the indication for thoracotomy; Starlink is the new donor just pushed into the OR, with strong vital signs and supply capacity to be observed. What really needs caution is not today's drop, but whether the entire mobile communication circulatory system will be rewritten once the spectrum, satellite, and terminal anastomoses all heal simultaneously.
This surgery's extracorporeal circulation has already started, but the aortic cross-clamp has not yet been released. #starlinkspectrumdealVerification Data
- W-USDT-SWAP OKX: last=0.0190, 24h -31.27% (OKX public market API)
- vol24h≈$243M (24h trading volume, worst on the entire list)
- Market breadth: 33 up / 238 down, median -4.80% (sample: USDT perpetuals with trading volume ≥ $1M)
- BTC -0.30% / ETH -1.41% / SOL -3.61% — overall market drop less than 4%, $W single token down 31%
- STRK -22%, BLUR -30%, BOME -24%: batch liquidation in the same sector, not an isolated event
Main Text
Across the entire market, 238 down / 33 up, median -4.8%, $W alone down 31%.
0.019, 24 hours -31%, trading volume $243M, largest drop on the list. This is not a project team exit, nor a token unlock dump — it’s just high-level small market cap deleveraging. BTC still holding at 83k, SOL down 3.6% can be considered "resilient," overall market median only -4.8%, $W single token down 31%, what does this indicate: heavy positions are cutting, small ones are taking the hit.
At this level, is $W a golden opportunity or a value trap? What do you think? $W Even the bots are almost speechless. Fortunately, in the past couple of days, the market has finally shown some signs of a rebound. But don’t get excited too quickly; it’s precisely at times like these that you need to be wary of a spike followed by a drop. Never chase the price just because you see it rising. Everyone knows that scaling in during a pullback is often more advantageous than chasing at the top, but when the price really hits a key level, how many people dare to act? Most say they will buy the dip, but when it actually reaches a low, they start hesitating. The hardest part of trading is never understanding the logic, but sticking to your plan even in panic. 📊 Let me share my current positions: 🔸 BTC: Long average price 82345, current mark price 82658, floating profit about 48U, return +7.63%. At least this time I didn’t blindly chase the high; the entry position was acceptable. 🔸 ETH: Average holding price 2507, currently floating profit 106U, return +16.94%. This rebound performed quite well, and I managed to catch the main recovery trend. 🔸 DOGE: Base price 0.0849, currently a slight profit of 6U, return +1.26%. For now, I’m holding on to see if funds will rotate into the Meme sector later. All three positions are currently profitable, but I don’t feel as relaxed as I imagined. When I shorted ZEC before, I was too stubborn; unexpectedly, the market suddenly surged wildly, and the ROI once reached -593%, forcing me to cut losses halfway up the mountain. This lesson was indeed profound, and once again it reminded meThe New York Times 2026-10-01 Feature: Inside a Billionaire’s Paradise With Crypto’s Most Powerful Ex-Convict Author: David Yaffe-Bellany The core is not a "Q&A interview," but multiple follow-ups by the reporter on Zhao Changpeng (CZ)'s life in Abu Dhabi + judicial documents + business relationship verification. Below is a summary following the article's structure: 1. Life after release - On a June morning, CZ drove a white Nissan SUV to the St. Regis Hotel in Abu Dhabi to pick up the reporter, with a phone mount on the windshield, joking, "This is my Lamborghini." - Lives in a nine-bedroom villa on Saadiyat Island (about $5 million level), with 4 bodyguards, a private chef, and the yacht Da Moon. - The ceiling at home leaks and hasn't been repaired; the children's room has an expensive Steinway piano but he can't play it; due to chronic back pain, he often works lying in bed. - Forbes/New York Times estimate his net worth at about $114 billion; he self-reports real controllable assets of $10–30 billion, saying "$10 million is enough for a comfortable life." 2. From selling a house to buying Bitcoin to Binance - Born in Jiangsu, moved to Canada at age 12, attended McGill University, worked in tech in the US/Japan/China. - In 2013, encountered Bitcoin at a Shanghai card game, sold a three-bedroom Shanghai apartment for about $900,000 to buy Bitcoin in full. - 2017 $FIL As of mid-September, 165 clients have paid service fees through Filecoin Pay, and 31 providers have received payments.
The total amount is 67,312 USD stablecoins, all recorded on-chain.
These data do not include internal Filecoin and test activities.ETH overnight plunged 4.2%, hitting $2,411 and triggering a wave of liquidations! 🔥
📉 Bulls severely hit: $145 million liquidated in the entire market within 1 hour, with longs accounting for as high as 97.5%; ETH liquidations reached $58.14 million in the past 24 hours, with bulls making up 64%.
⚠️ Triple negative factors: 1️⃣ Geopolitical risks heating up: Middle East tensions rise again, Brent crude oil climbs above $107, inflation concerns resurface. 2️⃣ US Treasury yields soar: 10-year Treasury yield rises to 5.36%, boosting the appeal of high-yield assets, putting pressure on the crypto market. 3️⃣ ETH ETF continuous outflows: Net outflows for 9 consecutive days, $542 million outflow last week, ETHA outflow of $477 million in a single week.
🎯 Key focus: ETH broke below the liquidation zone near $2,401; if it continues downward, long liquidation pressure on major exchanges could expand to $553 million.
Rebound not confirmed yet, don’t rush to bottom-fish, first see if $2,400 can hold! 【KORUUSDT Market Analysis: Free Fall, Don't Catch the Falling Knife!】
📊 Brutal Market Situation (4-hour timeframe):
1. Waterfall Decline: 7-day daily drop of -37.84%, 30-day drop of -39%. The candlesticks show continuous bearish movement with almost no rebound resistance. This is the brutal kill zone for 3x leveraged ETFs when the underlying asset falls (if the underlying drops 10%, this drops 30%).
2. Moving Averages Completely Defeated: Price (13.65) is far below MA60 (19.60), and the moving averages are sharply diverging downward, a clear death cross bearish alignment.
3. Indicators Extremely Weak: MACD is deeply below zero with a death cross (DIF -1.20, DEA -0.86), the green histogram (-0.69) continues to expand, showing no sign of bearish momentum weakening.
4. Volume Anomaly: Volume has increased at the bottom, indicating panic selling but also some funds attempting to bottom fish. Remember, during a free fall phase, any attempt to catch the falling knife is just giving away money.
🎯 Key Levels (refer to the chart for the baseline):
· Resistance above: 14.00 (round number) → 16.00 (previous intermediate drop platform) → 19.60 (MA60, difficult to reach in the short term).
· Support below: 13.13 (recently created lowest point). If this breaks effectively, the next psychological support is the 10.00 major level. 一天成交 5.6 亿美元，$DOGE 怎么就涨不动呢？
这个问题最近真把我整好奇了。
CoinStats 10 月 12 日的数据显示，DOGE 当时报价约 0.0868 美元，24 小时成交额达到 5.63 亿美元，占总市值的 4.2%。
成交不算冷清吧？可价格当天只涨了 1.28%，过去七天反而跌了 9.49%。
钱来来回回折腾得这么热闹，最后一看 K 线，跟没睡醒似的。
其实这里有个挺容易误会的地方。
很多人一看到成交量放大，就以为有人在大量买入。问题是，每一笔成交背后都有买方和卖方，5.6 亿美元的交易额，并不等于有 5.6 亿美元的新资金进场。
如果上方一直有人卖，下面又不断有人接，成交量完全可以很大，但价格就是上不去。
我倒觉得 DOGE 现在缺的就是持续性。
拉一下不难，难的是拉完以后还有人愿意继续买，而不是刚涨几个点，就有人赶紧把前面套牢的筹码扔出来。
尤其最近市场刚经历过一轮下跌，很多人的心态估计已经从“我要赚多少”变成了“能回本就不错了”。
这时候再大的成交量，都得看价格能不能跟上。 Bitcoin 24-hour data summary: a one-sided long squeeze and an anomaly in the last hour
Spot $BTC $82,710, 24h -1.27%.
**1. ETF**: Net flow on 10-12 is 0, most likely a data gap, do not interpret as "capital neutrality." The informative data is from the previous four days: on 10-07 and 10-08, net outflows were $484.9 million and $244.1 million respectively, totaling -$589.1 million over five days. Institutional side is indeed withdrawing, but concentrated at the beginning of this week; the last two trading days (+$21.1 million, 0) have stopped the bleeding.
**2. Futures**: Open interest is $51.82 billion, up 0.97% from the previous period. Price fell while positions increased, indicating new positions entered during the decline, not just liquidations. Funding rate +0.2778% looks high but is almost unchanged relative to its historical average, so it’s not crowded. The long-short ratio is 60.9/39.1 biased long, which is currently the only obvious vulnerability.
**3. Liquidations**: Total $113.9 million, longs account for 87%, dominated by a cluster of $31.84 million long liquidations within 4 hours. Combined with the high long-short ratio, this is a one-sided long squeeze rather than a two-way shakeout. The liquidation heatmap is unavailable this time, so no "liquidation concentration price" is provided—such figures rely on volatility inference and lack confidence.10.13 $ETH White Paper Thought Sharing:
1. ETH synchronized with BTC's second bottom test at 2407 and stopped falling, but the recovery speed was very fast. Currently, it has returned to the 2500 level, indicating there is still support below, so blindly chasing highs is not advisable.
2. If the rebound to around 2520-2560 shows weak upward momentum, short-term pressure is more likely, and short positions can be considered in batches.
3. If the pullback does not break 2470-80, small positions can observe the rebound; if it breaks below, do not rush to buy.
4. The 2410-2440 range is an important short-term defense zone. If it breaks and fails to recover, weakness will deepen further.
5. Volatility will increase around the CPI release. ETH has greater elasticity than BTC, so try to enter near key ranges.
Trading ideas:
1. Bottom buy long positions at 2380 and hold to break even.
2. Lightly participate in long positions on pullbacks to 2470-2480.
3. Continue participating in long positions at 2410-2440.
4. Enter short positions in batches at 2520-2560 $BTC #September CPI release is imminent, Hamark says further rate hikes are needed #TSMC Q3 revenue hits record high, profit performance to be revealed Bitcoin options volatility has dropped to a five-year low.
I was a bit stunned when I saw this data. How boring is the market now? Even those betting on direction are too lazy to place bets.
Looking back at history, when volatility is suppressed to such an extreme level, there are usually only two paths: either a big bullish or bearish candle directly ignites the market, or it continues to stagnate until everyone forgets about it.
My approach is simple: I haven't touched my spot base position, closed my contracts early, and still holding U. At times like this, betting on direction is no different from throwing darts blindfolded; it's better to wait for it to choose a direction on its own, then follow after the breakout.
Are you still opening positions recently?
$BTC$ZEC What I'm most afraid of now might be a sudden flood of "insider information."
As soon as the price moves slightly, someone in the group says institutions are about to buy up, exchanges are launching new products, or even a large holder's wallet transfer is interpreted as preparing to pump the price.
I used to get really nervous when I saw this kind of news, afraid of missing out on the market. Now, I’m used to first looking for the original announcement.
Especially for coins like Zcash, which have high attention and liquidity that can change drastically in a short time, an unconfirmed rumor is enough to stir up a lot of emotions.
The most troublesome part is that by the time the news spreads, the price may have already risen significantly. When you chase in, you find that the so-called positive news is just old information being recycled.
So now when I look at ZEC news, I first confirm the release time, then check if it’s officially issued by the project team, exchange, or regulatory body.
If it’s just some blogger saying "according to insiders," I’d rather miss out.
After all, truly valuable long-term developments won’t suddenly lose value just because I buy ten minutes late.
I’ll keep watching short-term and consider participating only when there’s official catalysts and capital support. Instead of chasing news every day, it’s better to pay fewer lessons from chasing highs.$87K的承重墙裂了——不是风吹的，是抽水机在往外抽混凝土。
BTC从八万七千美元的结构高层滑落到八万三千美元，这座塔楼的垂直度已经偏离设计基准线。10月7日到8日，美国现货ETF工地两天净流出约7.31亿美元，9日只补回约2100万美元的砂浆。这不是正常沉降，这是地基被掏空。
我做超高层设计三十年，最怕的不是楼盖得慢，而是地下室连续墙出现渗漏。ETF就是这轮BTC行情的地下连续墙——机构资金是钢筋，申购赎回是混凝土浇筑。现在这道墙在往外渗水，摩根士丹利的MSBT还在替基金投资人持有BTC，相当于在承重柱外围再加一道包钢加固；Strive打算用优先股融资扩建它的BTC储备舱，这是典型的加杠杆续建，荷载增加了，但基础埋深没变。
问题在于：上部结构的长期需求，能不能吃掉下部这波抛压？
先看外部环境。国债收益率和能源价格同时高企，等于两块巨大侧向风荷载同时作用在塔顶。10月14日的九月CPI是下一次结构验算，任何超预期的数据都会让这座楼的风振系数瞬间放大。美股代币标的$xIREN与主链联动，说明这不是单体建筑问题，而是整个城市天际线的地质条件在变。
我的判断是：真正的长线机构资金不会因为两周的ETF流出就拆掉承重墙。真正的风险不在净流出数字本身，而在这栋楼有没有足够的核心筒——开发活跃度、链上真实结算量、矿工持仓结构。这些是抗侧力体系。如果核心筒够硬，83000就是一次正常的收缩缝释放；如果核心筒是空的，那7.31亿美元只是第一批撤场的施工队。
现在市场上所有人都在盯着K线图看立面效果图，没人去查配筋图和地质勘察报告。历史上每一座倒塌的塔楼，出事前看起来都还挺高。 #btcetfoutflowpressure🌅 Good morning brothers, the US stock market just closed, and the first thing I do when I wake up is to take a quick look at the K-line.
BTC dropped from 84348 last night all the way down to 82250, now hovering around 82480. Those who didn’t open positions last night are probably quietly happy this morning.
Checked the overnight contract data: 4-hour open interest fell from 2.56 billion to 2.48 billion, the long-short account ratio dropped from 1.92 to 1.52. Price fell and positions were withdrawn, indicating it’s not the shorts aggressively selling, but the previous batch of longs running away. The long-short ratio collapsed faster than the price, this kind of structure usually means the short-term drop isn’t fully done yet.
Funding rates are close to zero, no extreme negative values, no panic to that extent, just a slow, dull cut of losses, longs gradually admitting defeat.
My plan for today: before open interest stabilizes, opening contracts is like giving away money. If it pulls back to around 82000 during the day, I might buy a little; if it breaks below 80000, then consider adding more. On the upside, watch 83500 first; if it can’t break through, just keep waiting.
⚠️ Don’t rush to bottom-fish, wait for structural confirmation. What are your plans today? Let’s chat in the comments. The above is just my personal observation and does not constitute investment advice.
#September CPI announcement imminent, Harmak says further rate hikes are still needed
#TSMC Q3 revenue hits record high, profitability performance to be revealed
#BTC and ETH spot ETFs see simultaneous outflows, is institutional demand weakening? Why do some “smart money copy trades” get the direction right but still end up not making money?
Observing new coin wallets, I separate three roles:
① Early mover addresses: entered positions earlier with lower costs, but that doesn’t mean they are still continuously buying.
② Follower addresses: entered around the same time, possibly related, or just saw the same public signals.
③ Selling addresses: start continuously cashing out to the pool when prices rise.
Just looking at “who bought” can lead to misjudgment. Net capital flow, wallet relationships, and executable depth determine whether an on-chain signal is worth further study.
#OnChainResearch #SmartMoney #RiskManagement$LPT 也没指望能回本，结果它直接给我干到了盈利，这服务太到位了。空单这波，舒服了兄弟们。
满屏绿光时，LPT 在 1.845 附近高位承压，卖盘强，量却越来越少，反弹一次比一次弱。我当时提示 看空 别去接，空单可以分批埋伏，止损放好，等它自己撑不住。
现在价格砸到 1.695，空单收益率 +162.6%，爽。前面是真墨迹，走出来也是真香，车上的应该都笑醒了。
先落袋80%，剩下20%成本价保护，继续下杀让利润跑，反抽回来也别让盈利变难受。大肉先吃，别贪尾巴。
市场专治各种不服，尤其是觉得自己最聪明的那个。
盈利不膨胀，回撤不绝望。
还没上车的朋友听我一句，现在不是追的时候，等下一轮更舒服的位置，我会第一时间提示。
$BNB $XRP #September CPI announcement imminent, Hamak says further rate hikes still needed
Korean stocks plunge triggering circuit breaker, is it better to wait for a rebound opportunity in the short term?
Today the Korean stock market crashed. The KOSPI index briefly fell below 6000 points, dropping over 6% triggering a circuit breaker, Samsung Electronics fell over 5%, SK Hynix dropped over 7%.
What exactly is falling? First, foreign investors have been continuously selling large amounts, with over 1 trillion KRW sold just in this morning session, marking several consecutive days of net selling. Second, Chinese memory chip company Changxin Memory announced progress on next-generation DDR5 technology, raising market concerns about Samsung and Hynix’s pricing power being challenged. Third, US AI concept stocks collectively corrected, combined with Federal Reserve officials hinting at possible further rate hikes, global tech stocks have all been hit by a liquidity drain.
What about the technical perspective? Now falling to around 5900, very close to the previous key support level. Some Korean brokerage firms mentioned that given Samsung and Hynix’s current valuations, the stock price has "fallen a bit too far," leaving room for a short-term rebound. But foreign selling pressure hasn’t completely stopped, shorting risks are high, and catching a falling knife is also dangerous.
My own stance is: short-term leaning towards a rebound recovery, but this is a technical correction, not a trend reversal. October 13
BTC future 48-hour liquidity vacuum zone, strong resistance zone for bulls, 85196-86208, weak resistance zone, 83807-84183, strong resistance zone for bears 80747-80370, weak resistance zone 81782-81665
12-hour liquidation levels, bear price 83660, 19.19 million, current price distance 0.53%, bull price 81897, 36.93 million current price distance 1.59%
24-hour liquidation levels, bear price 84415, 56.01 million, distance 1.44%, bull price 81946, 44.47 million current price distance 1.53%
48-hour liquidation levels, bear price 84415, 70.11 million, current price distance 1.8%, bull price 81946, 44.47 million, current price distance 1.18%
Within 48 hours, the cumulative scale of high leverage long and short positions has been significantly reduced, large-scale liquidation risk is relatively small, recent trend mainly sideways
12-24 hour short-term liquidation still shows bearish tendency, scale risk is relatively small.
Effective range 81429-83807
#September CPI announcement imminent, Hamaq says further rate hikes still needed #TSMC Q3 revenue hits record high, profit performance to be revealed #BTC and ETH spot ETFs simultaneously outflow, has institutional demand weakened? 雷达回波图上，一团来自华尔街的暖湿气团正越过太平洋，与本地加密市场的冷高压迎头相撞。这不是演练，这是实况传真。
我在值班室待了三十年，最怕的不是暴雨，而是晴天。美股代币标的属于典型的跨境气旋——外海生成，路径诡异，最终在哪里登陆，全凭高空引导气流一句话说了算。
先看气压场。有人问止损策略、问仓位管理，在我们行话里，这叫防台风预案与降水落区预报。谁能在风眼里站住，不靠勇气，靠的是提前七十二小时码好的沙袋。止损不是认输，是提前撤离危险海岸线；仓位不是胆量，是决定你把多少条船留在港内。老渔民存活率高，从来不是因为他敢冲，而是因为他在九级风抵达前，默默多缠了三股缆绳。
再看湿度场。经验分享这件事本身像探空数据：单点读数毫无意义，必须把气球放到不同高度，才能画出一条完整的垂直廓线。一个人的最大亏损，就是一次极端天气过程的完整观测记录；他的最佳交易，则是一次成功的中尺度对流系统临近预报。理论模型再精美，缺了实况订正，准确率就是零。
但必须提醒一句：暖湿气流强盛，不等于降水一定落地。水汽、抬升触发、不稳定层结，三样缺一，天空照样放晴。市场联动同理——外盘领涨是暖平流，本地资金是抬升触发，情绪指标是不稳定能量。三者叠加才能炸出对流云团；缺了本地触发机制，再猛的外围信号也不过是过境的高云。$xHOOD 这一类的跨境标的，波动结构正是如此。
还有一点公众总忽略：最危险的从来不是暴雨本身，而是暴雨之前的静稳。气压梯度小，风速极低，天色灰蒙，所有人以为无事，然后下击暴流垂直砸下。留给观测员的反应窗口，往往只有一根K线那么长。
我调过一批历史报文，凡是反复被拿出来讲的“经验”，八成是幸存者偏差。真正的数据，藏在那些已经停机、不再发报的站点里。沉默的观测站，记录的才是完整气候。
值班室的灯还亮着，风速仪已经开始扭动，而各地报回的，仍是晴天。 #okxtradervoicesIt's over, brothers, this time we really got trapped by that CAP manipulator!
Looking at the floating loss in my account, I can't even sleep. What should I do with this position? Should I run?
Look at the candlestick chart, this manipulator is really disgusting.
After $CAP surged, it crashed straight from 0.12134 down to 0.08920, then stubbornly consolidated between 0.09 and 0.10, just not letting you have a smooth ride.
The current market is extremely strange; retail short positions have already reached over 60%, while longs are only a bit over 30%.
Brothers, the whole network is crazily shorting, the shorts are extremely crowded, and if the manipulator pokes up a spike even a little, all of us shorts will get liquidated!
My current short position average entry price is 0.08251, with a floating loss of -43.15%.
But why am I still holding? Because if I cut losses now, most likely I'll be selling at the lowest point of the manipulator's violent shakeout, right into their hands.
But I'm not blindly holding. The plan is simple: my stop loss is set above 0.105. As long as it really breaks out with volume above this box's upper edge, I'll admit my mistake and exit, never letting it blow my position.
If it falls back to the 0.089 support level, or even breaks below the previous low, this profit can be recovered with principal and interest.
$BTC
$ETH
#September CPI announcement is imminent, and Hammock says further rate hikes are still needed 📊 4-hour overall network exchange long-short position ratio BTC overall network all exchanges: Long 49.3%｜Short 50.7% OKX: Long 51.6%｜Short 48.4% ETH overall network all exchanges: Long 50.6%｜Short 49.4% OKX: Long 53.8%｜Short 46.2% ZEC overall network all exchanges: Long 53.5%｜Short 46.5% OKX: Long 53.6%｜Short 46.4% 📝 Core analysis Overall, the long and short positions of the three assets are not one-sided, remaining in a relatively balanced contest. At the BTC overall network level, shorts slightly dominate, but on OKX, longs are actually higher, showing clear capital divergence across different exchanges [Pharaoh's Market Watch]
Everyone is asking Pharaoh why SanDisk and Micron suddenly crashed, and what exactly ChangXin did?
Pharaoh directly says this sharp drop in the two storage giants is due to a double blow from "funding conditions + supply side," with ChangXin's technological progress being the most piercing knife.
First, let's see how badly they fell. SanDisk closed down 5.97% on Monday at $1487, falling six out of seven trading days, about 30% down from the June high. Micron dropped nearly 4%, approaching the $1000 mark, down nearly 20% from its peak, on the verge of a technical bear market.
The first knife: Korean stocks catching down + disappearance of buyback support. Samsung and SK Hynix's $40 billion buyback plan ended early, with Samsung stopping on October 6.
The second knife, and the harshest — ChangXin's 4F² architecture breakthrough. ChangXin President Cao Kanyu announced at the Integrated Chip Conference that their self-developed 4F² DRAM architecture has made key progress, aiming to launch DDR5 RDIMM server memory by year-end. What is 4F²? The mainstream is 6F², so the cell area is cut by one-third, increasing storage density by 50% in the same area. A former Morgan Stanley analyst bluntly said: once China masters the manufacturing technology, its expansion capacity often exceeds the total of other regions worldwide.
But Pharaoh must be fair. ChangXin's HBM3 yield rate is only 25%-30%, while Samsung and Hynix are above 90%. $BTC $ETH $ZEC #SanDiskMicronDown, ChangXin's technological progress is under focus ETH overnight plunged 4.2%, hitting $2,411 and triggering a wave of liquidations! 🔥
📉 Bulls severely hit: $145 million liquidated in the entire market within 1 hour, with longs accounting for as high as 97.5%; ETH liquidations reached $58.14 million in the past 24 hours, with bulls making up 64%.
⚠️ Triple negative factors: 1️⃣ Geopolitical risks heating up: Middle East tensions rise again, Brent crude oil climbs above $107, inflation concerns resurface. 2️⃣ US Treasury yields soar: 10-year Treasury yield rises to 5.36%, boosting the appeal of high-yield assets, putting pressure on the crypto market. 3️⃣ ETH ETF continuous outflows: Net outflows for 9 consecutive days, $542 million outflow last week, ETHA outflow of $477 million in a single week.
🎯 Key focus: ETH broke below the liquidation zone near $2,401; if it continues downward, long liquidation pressure on major exchanges could expand to $553 million.
Rebound not confirmed yet, don’t rush to bottom-fish, first see if $2,400 can hold! The crypto industry sounds the security alarm again. According to relevant on-chain monitoring data, wallets related to Ledger devices sold by hardware wallet dealer CryptoBilis are suspected to have experienced a large-scale asset theft incident. 📊 Key data of the incident: 🔹 **Bitquery:** Tracked approximately $93.2 million outflow, involving 315 wallets across 6 blockchains, with assets mainly including $USDT and $TRX. 🔹 **YFarmX:** Monitored about $94.5 million in related funds, involving 521 addresses across 7 chains. 🔹 **Tether intervention freeze:** Approximately $10 million of $USDT has been frozen. 🔹 **On-chain tracking continues:** As of October 11, about $81 million in funds can still be tracked on-chain, but some funds are reportedly routed through privacy-enabled channels such as Tornado Cash and Zcash. 🔍 What is truly worth attention? Ledger has confirmed that at least one related device contained unauthorized implanted hardware components. According to Ledger, the confirmed cases so far only involve devices sold through the CryptoBilis channel. However, some community members have raised doubts: CryptoBilis had previously appeared as an authorized dealer on Ledger's official website The estimated loss from the CryptoBilis case has been raised to $102 million, involving 324 wallets. Bitquery updated the investigation at 22:00 Beijing time on October 12: 9 additional TRON wallets were found, with a total loss of about 8.8 million USDT.
These funds were transferred out at 04:49 on October 10, representing a supplementary calculation of previous losses, not a new attack today. The study values assets at October 9 prices, counting only assets flowing out from victim wallets, excluding subsequent coin swaps and internal transfers; the number of wallets does not equal the number of victims.
The report also corrected an attribution: the previously so-called "OTC address group" is actually the THORChain public treasury. Some payments linked to Binance belong to other users, and that clue has been withdrawn. The public transit address received involved funds but not every payment from it should be attributed to the same individual.
The case statistics include 203.8 BTC, 1230 ETH, and 59.8 BNB. The three coins below correspond to actual lost assets, serving only as spot navigation. The reasons for theft on each device remain under investigation.
Source: Bitquery update and correction on 10/12, review on 10/13; the image is from the original research page, and the amounts are the agency's estimated investigation figures. #Ledger investigation of Southeast Asia distributor channel fund losses $BTC $ETH $BNB #SanDisk and Micron decline, Changxin Technology progress under focus# The volatility in memory chips reminds us that the correlated risks of altcoins should not be ignored either. UNI is currently bearish, with risk control prioritized over bottom fishing.
UNI current price is 7.298, down 5.3% in 24 hours, with a trading volume of only 19.653 million, indicating low capital participation. The 4-hour trend is downward, having retraced 27.56% from the high, with strong resistance at 7.832 above; although there is a rebound in the 1-hour chart, it is only 6.98% from the low, showing an unstable foundation. The order book buy/sell ratio is 0.98, slightly favoring sellers. The funding rate of 0.0022% indicates weak bullish sentiment. Open interest is 5.783 million coin-based contracts with no panic exits, but also no increase from bottom fishing.
Strategy-wise, if it rebounds near 7.485, a light short position can be tried with a stop loss at 7.625 and a target of 6.885; if it falls to 6.815 and stabilizes, a short-term long can be taken with a stop loss at 6.685 and a target of 7.215. Position size should be strictly controlled within 5% of total capital, and single loss should not exceed 1.5%. Always use stop loss.
—This is only a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Wish you successful trading.—
$UNI#SanDisk and Micron decline, Changxin Technology progress under focus
#SanDisk and Micron decline, Changxin Technology progress under focus $UNI Broadcom and Intel CEOs warn of AI financing pressure, directly suppressing storage chip valuations. SKHYNIX, as a highly elastic target, is the first to be hit. I judge that this round of sell-off is not over; reduce positions on rebounds.
24h plunged 10.6% to 1090.3, with a low of 1081.6 and no way back; both 1-hour and 4-hour charts hit new lows, trend completely bearish. Funding rate 0.2075% still positive, bulls have not surrendered, with 52,000 positions hiding liquidation risk. Order book buy orders 298 vs sell orders 219 temporarily dominant, but volume only 163,000, rebound weak.
Operation: place short at 1112.7 on rebound, stop loss at 1128.5, target 1067.3; if volume breaks below 1081.6, chase short, stop loss 1096.4, target 1042.8. Single position should not exceed 5%, do not hold against positive funding rate.
— Personal opinion only, not investment advice, wish you smooth trading. —
$SKHYNIX #Broadcom and Intel CEOs warn of AI financing pressure
#Broadcom and Intel CEOs warn of AI financing pressure $SKHYNIX Ethereum and Bitcoin both plummeted; this market situation is simply unbearable to watch.
The market has entered a stampede-like rhythm. On-chain data shows,
in the past 48 hours, the net inflow of ETH to exchanges has reached a two-week peak, the total market cap of stablecoins has simultaneously shrunk, and funds are withdrawing from risk assets.
This is not a problem with any single coin; the entire market is bleeding.
On the 4-hour chart, ETH has consecutively closed with long bearish candles, and every rebound is quickly suppressed by the bears. The moving average system has formed a perfect bearish alignment.
The fundamentals are also not optimistic. Before tonight's CPI data release, institutions generally choose to reduce positions and hedge risks.
Rather than saying the market is waiting for the data, it's more accurate to say the market is waiting for a reason to continue falling.
Another data point worth noting: in the derivatives market, long position liquidations have quietly been rising but have not yet reached a peak.
This means if the 2400 level breaks, it will trigger a batch of forced liquidations, pushing the price down even faster.
Buffett also said: "Risk comes from not knowing what you're doing."
At this point, most of the long traders don't really know what they're betting on,
while the short sellers at least clearly understand the direction of the trend.
$BTC $ETH $ZEC
#Microsoft releases next-generation AI chip, stock price hits yearly high Is it about to rebound? BTC and ETH are finally showing some signs of life!
After being beaten down by altcoins for several days, looking at the daily charts of BTC and ETH today, it seems like the drop is losing momentum. Could a rebound be coming?
$BTC: Temporarily stopped falling
Yesterday it hit a low of 80,351, which looked scary, but today it slowly climbed back to 83,368. Looking at the candlesticks, there are two small green bars in a row with fairly long lower shadows, indicating that there is still capital supporting the 80,000 key level. The drop isn’t as sharp anymore, showing signs of stabilization.
$ETH: Struggling at support
ETH is still weak, down 0.78% today, currently at 2,509. The good news is it bounced right off the previous low near 2,405 and is now sitting just above the lower Bollinger Band (2,450). Whether it can hold depends on this move.
Honestly, after getting slapped around by coins like MAGIC and W these past few days, I’m cautious about being blindly optimistic. BTC and ETH look like they might rebound, but the moving averages above are still pressing down, and volume hasn’t fully picked up.
This position is awkward—buying the dip risks getting buried, shorting risks getting caught in a rebound. Personally, I plan to wait and see if it can hold steady tonight. If it can hold 83,000 and 2,500, there might really be a rebound rally; if not, today will just be a pause in the downtrend.
Brothers, do you think this is a rebound or a bull trap? Dare to enter? On the eve of the CPI, $BTC is stuck at 82,000. The US dollar index hits an 18-month high, Brent crude stands above 111, and the 30-year US Treasury yield is at its highest level since 2002. None of these three things are directly related to the crypto world, but they all weigh heavily on the market.
Last week's deleveraging just pushed 84,000 back down to 80,000, with ETFs withdrawing nearly 700 million in a week, marking the largest net outflow since June. The price bounced back a bit, but the derivatives accounts are not settled yet: perpetual contract volume is more than ten times that of spot, prices are falling, longs are still paying premiums, and the options market's premium for downside protection is also rising. The bulls aren't wrong; they're just trapped.
82,000 is the level both bulls and bears need to watch tonight. Above, 84,000 and 85,000 are the levels that bounced back twice this week; below, if the 80,000 whole number support closes below, the next stop is around 78,000. Before the data release, volatility will speak for you first. Russia and the US advance diesel supply cooperation, but differences remain on the Russia-Ukraine energy ceasefire; geopolitical games influence risk appetite, with highly volatile small coins like BSB bearing the brunt first. I lean short-term bearish, but the downside buying is relatively solid, so blindly chasing shorts is not cost-effective.
The contradictions are clear: the 1-hour and 4-hour charts are both in a downtrend channel, down -13.92% and -17.34% from the highs respectively, while the daily chart is only down -8.2%, indicating selling pressure is concentrated in the past two days. The current price 0.09069 is approaching the 24h low of 0.08686, just 2.68% above the low; 0.0996 above is a key resistance. Trading volume is 2.315 million, the top 10 bid-ask ratio is 1.25 favoring buyers, funding rate is 0.0050% neutral, and open interest is 11.65 million coin-margined contracts with no signs of panic liquidation.
Strategy-wise, if a rebound faces resistance near 0.09585, consider light short positions with a stop loss at 0.09865 and a target of 0.08735; if it pulls back to 0.08725 and stabilizes with increased buying, consider reversing to long with a stop loss at 0.08465 and a target of 0.09415. Single position size should not exceed 5% of total capital; exit immediately if the position breaks the level, no holding through losses.
— This is only a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Wishing you successful trading. —
$BSB#Russia and the US advance diesel supply cooperation, but differences remain on the Russia-Ukraine energy ceasefire
#Russia and the US advance diesel supply cooperation, but differences remain on the Russia-Ukraine energy ceasefire $BSB Big brother Maji just poured another 500 BTC into the market, with the total perpetual position nearing 180 million. This move is really stubborn!
BTC long position at 40x full margin, 536 coins worth 44.83 million, opened at 83772, currently a slight loss of 68,000, liquidation price at 76679. Continuing to average down during the decline, truly the spokesperson for "buy the dip". ETH long position at 25x full margin, 36,000 coins worth 97.21 million, opened at 2674, floating profit of 130,000 but liquidation price at 2574 is very close, funding fees already paid 1.1 million, holding firm. HYPE long position at 10x full margin, 200,000 coins worth 17.21 million, floating loss of 1.01 million, liquidation price at 66.67. Additionally, there are 950 million PUMP coins hidden, the water is very deep.
All four positions are long, with margin of 7.2 million. Extremely bullish, but volatility can easily affect all positions; if one position has trouble, all will be affected. Ordinary people can't withstand a 1% fluctuation on a position over 100 million. Big brother is pulling hard at this critical moment—is it due to news-driven volatility or pure stubborn gambling? Retail investors should just watch and not easily imitate high-leverage full margin positions. Waiting quietly to see if BTC hits liquidation price or rallies for big brother to feast! BTCETH $HYPEAt noon, I was lying on the desk scrolling through my phone when a little brother in the group suddenly popped up and asked me: Bro, isn't SUI about AI? Why does it seem like it's been drained of energy these past few days?
I said, first put down your milk tea and listen to me.
The thing about the SUI chain is real. The foundation invested 30 million dollars in a protocol for AI training data traceability. Simply put, it means the data fed into AI can be traced back to its source, not some nonsense from thin air. The storage layer is handled by Walrus. I acknowledge this story; the direction is right. The AI folks are anxious as hell; sooner or later, the data sources will be thoroughly checked.
But you’re mixing up one thing: having a good product and the price immediately going up are two different things.
Right now, it’s hovering around 0.05. It’s dropped about ten percent over the week. The project team is paving the way upfront, while the price is snoring behind. Do you think they’re paving the way or burying you? You decide.
I’m holding my position. I didn’t run when it dropped, but with how it looks now, I won’t add more either. People who have been liquidated have one advantage—they learn not to argue with themselves.
If you just entered the market, don’t rush to ask me if this is the bottom—I don’t know either. I only know that holding a position you can sleep soundly with is better than anything else. That’s it for noon, the food’s getting cold. $SUI