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taishiro
• Revenue diversification: Other revenue reached $75.2M in H1. Can subscriptions, payment infrastructure, transaction services and Arc develop into meaningful recurring revenue streams? The ARC presale contribution also needs to be separated from recurring business.
• Distribution economics: Can Circle grow USDC adoption without giving away too much of the economics to its partners?
USDC growth is one side of the story.
#CircleQ3USDCGrowth
taishiro
In H1 2026, Circle generated approximately $1.4B in revenue and reserve income, while $819M went to distribution partners and transaction costs. That's roughly 59 cents of every dollar.
A few things I'll be looking at in tomorrow's report:
• Reserve income and margins: How much is Circle retaining after distribution payments, particularly its Coinbase arrangement?
• Interest rates: How much pressure is lower reserve yields putting on income, and can USDC circulation growth compensate?
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