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WLD, TAO, and RENDER all fell about 4%–5% today, with declines exceeding 12% over the past 7 days. There has been no significant capital inflow into the AI sector; the directions with deeper prior declines are even harder to form effective rebounds. $WLD is currently around $0.37, down more than 14% in the past 7 days. $0.36–0.366 is the first support, with resistance at $0.385–0.39 above. Only by stabilizing above $0.40 can the structure improve; falling below $0.36 risks further testing $0.34. $TAO is currently around $220, down about 12.4% in the past 7 days. $218–220 is the initial support, with resistance at $228–232 above. Breaking through $235 can expand recovery; losing $218 risks further testing $210. TAO has been relatively resilient recently but remains weak in the short term. $RENDER is currently around $1.48, down about 13.5% in the past 7 days. $1.46–1.48 is the first support, with resistance at $1.54–1.57 above. Only by stabilizing above $1.60 can the structure improve; falling below $1.45 risks further decline. RENDER has not yet shown clear signs of bottoming out.ETF outflows and institutional slowdown have not stopped the bearish voices, but BTC has already reclaimed $80,000! (The bulls never give up On October 30 and November 2, the US spot BTC ETF saw a cumulative net outflow of about $1.042 billion, and corporate treasury accumulation also slowed down. Although ETF outflows narrowed afterward, the market still believed buying power was insufficient and the rebound lacked sustained capital support. However, from November 4 to 5, the market gave a different answer. As the US midterm election results became clearer and political uncertainty faded, the crypto market began to recover. Especially today, BTC has reclaimed $80,000, ETH rebounded from over $2,200 to above $2,400, showing particularly strong performance. In contrast, SOL’s gains lagged noticeably (this time it’s somewhat falling behind the pack, let’s criticize it once more BTC: $80,396, +3.52% ETH: $2,431, +5.77% SOL: $96.94, +3.55% The current sense of division is becoming more obvious: ETF funds are flowing out, yet prices are recovering; BTC holds above $80,000, ETH leads the gains, SOL lags behind relatively. The bearish voices might want to quiet down for a while. Outflows don’t necessarily mean the market can only go down, now it depends on whether this recovery can be sustained $BTC $ETH $SOL #BTC spot ETF outflows, corporate treasury accumulation slows down $APR Regarding this coin, I have also been continuously following it for nearly half a year. Recently, on-chain transaction volume showed that the whale was accumulating positions with increased volume for two days. After a recent spike and pullback, the current price is in the cost zone where the whale previously accumulated. I believe going long here offers a much better risk-reward ratio than going short, so it's worth taking a chance.This building has no load-bearing walls, yet it plans to add three more floors. $DOGE has surged 5.43% in 24 hours. From a structural review perspective, this looks more like a facade renovation rather than a main structure elevation. First, let's look at the constraints of the enclosure structure. Within the short-term Bollinger Bands, the price has already reached 72% of the band range, with only 1.0% of clearance left before hitting the upper band, while downward there is still a 2.6% retracement buffer. The mid-term is even more extreme. The price stands at 92% of the band range, only 0.7% from the upper band, but 8.4% away from the lower band. This is equivalent to pushing the building's footprint to the cantilever limit, then fully loading the eaves with materials. The floor height seems sufficient, but the load path is missing. Next, look at the stress indicators. The one-hour RSI has crossed the critical line of 64, the short-term value is 67.9, while the long-term RSI is only 50.3. The two curves differ by nearly 18 points. This is a typical "upper structure is moving, foundation is not." The short-term momentum is supported by scaffolding, but the long-term foundation has not caught up at all. Such a node on the blueprint requires a re-calculation of the load transfer path. So my judgment is clear: this is high-altitude work, not foundation construction. The signal direction given is downward correction, and I will not chase longs at the cantilever end; I will wait for the price to be pushed to a temporary support level before placing short orders. 📉 Short: Entry: 0.0724 (current price +3.4%) Take Profit 1: 0.0666 (-4.9%) Take Profit 2: 0.0646 (-7.7%) Stop Loss: 0.0800 (current price +14.3%) Take Profit 1 is near the short-term lower band. That is the first place with real concrete. Take Profit 2 reaches the mid-term 8.4% buffer zone. The stop loss is set at a 14.3% height because although this building has no load-bearing walls, the short-term wind load can still push the price through the 1% upper band margin. The budget must be sufficient; the safety factor must never be compressed to one. Whether a project is worth holding long-term is never judged by how lively the renderings are. It is judged by how many retracements it can withstand without collapsing.Trump said in one sentence, "We have done our best," basically declaring the overall situation settled. What does it mean? The control of Congress is lost, and the previously hyped crypto-friendly bills and crypto capital plans are directly blocked and hard to advance. The Democrats took both the House and Senate, a rare big win in forty years, but the biggest risk for the crypto circle is not the bills being stuck. The biggest fear is sudden geopolitical news after election losses. Once news of Middle East military action breaks out, it will cause a double-sided spike, killing both bulls and bears, and no one can escape. The market has already priced in pessimistic expectations in advance, with Bitcoin showing a daily bearish pattern, ETFs continuously seeing outflows, and $ETH ETFs bleeding longer, making its rebound inherently weaker than $BTC. Those who have recently doubled their gains are advised to take profits first and not chase the tail-end rally. All current market moves are expectation games; only after the election is fully settled will a true trend emerge. Going forward, focus on $SPCX as it is the leading signal of this round of risk asset sentiment. If you have no direction, visit the homepage study group for operational ideas. #美国中期选举：民主党赢得国会两院控制权 The most fragile link last night was actually the close position button I didn’t press in time after drinking too much. Have you ever had that moment of "I wanted to run, but fate took the position for me"? Waking up to see the position still there, the first reaction isn’t relief, but a tight feeling in the chest. BTC opened at 79432.1, current price 76609.8, unrealized loss 300.27U, ROI -355.29%. With 100x leverage, every small bullish candle feels like testing my margin bottom line; SOL slid from 95.79 to 91.37, unrealized loss 63.33U, ROI -92.28%. In a weak consolidation, the most tormenting thing isn’t the drop, but the repeated hope given and then taken away; only ETH moved from 2243.35 to 2253.65, unrealized profit 6.1U, ROI +9.18%, small like a candy, but the only position that didn’t make me frown. What’s really worth discussing here isn’t the joke about "drinking causing trouble," but that high leverage compresses risk management’s margin for error to almost zero. 100x means a 1% adverse price move nearly wipes out the principal. The so-called "margin ratio still safe" is just temporary breathing room, not a safety net. More hidden is the psychological aspect: when three positions are open simultaneously, people automatically enter a "wait for rebound before exiting" mode, alternating between FOMO and hesitation, narrative fatigue follows, and in the end, it’s not the market that defeats you, but your own monitoring rhythm that wears you down. The bullish path isn’t impossible either: if BTC holds the current range, and ETH shows relative resistance to the drop... Event: Binance: 98% of stolen assets have been replenished, reserve proof snapshot expanded to 44 tokens. This matter. In most similar cases, the trend cannot be changed; what can change the trend is the direction of the money. Current market coordinates: · BTC current price 80,243.10, 24h +3.45% · ETH current price 2,418.10, 24h +5.53% · Spot USDT: 206 up / 94 down (trading volume ≥ $100,000 standard) You can think further based on these three points: 1) Whether the volume will expand or shrink in the next 24 hours is the fastest indicator to judge if it is accepted by the market; 2) Whether similar assets rise or fall together, linkage indicates that funds are pricing by sector; 3) Whether the funding rate has reversed, leverage sentiment often loosens earlier than spot prices. This may be contrary to your intuition, what’s your view? Leave a judgment in the comments, come back tomorrow to see who was right.$SNDK Storage stocks are under pressure again, and strong AI demand has not been able to stop the sell-off. Election impacts and concerns over storage prices have dragged down SanDisk and its peers, despite strong AI data center demand and SanDisk's record revenue, the sell-off continues. I am cautious: negative factors and weak market sentiment coincide, with 1H and 4H both below EMA20, EMA20 below EMA50, and RSI14 at 34.8 and 35.0 respectively; I am closely watching the 1,016.3 support level. OKX data: SNDK 1,030.90 USDT, 24h -7.77%, volume 1.75B USDT. Do you think AI demand can offset the pressure on storage prices? Not investment advice. DYOR. #DemocratsWinCongress $STX Bullish news: BitGo opens Bitcoin staking, requiring 5% STX per transaction, STX rises 9.8% in one day STX is currently priced at $0.3558, up 9.75% in 24 hours, ranging from 0.3185 to 0.3657, with a trading volume of about $6 million On November 3, BitGo announced opening Bitcoin staking based on Stacks to institutional clients, with BTC kept in BitGo's qualified custody, pairing 5% STX based on the staked BTC value, locked for about 6 months This effectively opens an institutional demand channel for STX; the more BTC staked, the more STX must be locked, reducing the circulating supply The first two staking rounds have attracted about 735 BTC; the next round is expected to open around November 10, at which time the increased scale will directly reflect STX's locked demand.This ruling reads like saying: "Don't rush, I'm not stopping it yet." "But you make a good point, you might win." The U.S. judge rejected the injunction to pause the CFTC's approval of individual stock perpetuals, with a simple reason: the plaintiff didn't prove that there would be no time to remedy. Then the judge admitted that the plaintiff's claim that the CFTC has no authority to approve such products might succeed. The product moves forward, but its classification is not yet determined. Those trading $BTC $ETH perpetuals are temporarily unaffected, but if they are truly classified as securities swaps, the rules will need to be rewritten. The CFTC will respond on November 6, and the plaintiff will reply on November 10.ETH is stuck below the 2,309 cost line, with US funds selling. The current price is around 2,280, and it can't break above 2,309 on the rebound. This level represents the average on-chain holding cost; failing to surpass it indicates that selling pressure is stronger than buying pressure. Coinbase premium index is at -0.161, with selling pressure mainly from US investors. ETF net outflows have continued for six consecutive days, with a record 1.61 billion in October alone.This time, the U.S. court did not block the approval of single-stock perpetual contracts, but it conveniently put the question of "who should regulate this" on the table. The U.S. District Court for the Southern District of New York denied a motion for a temporary restraining order filed by the Capital Markets Alliance Association, which sought to halt the CFTC's approval of single-stock perpetuals. The court disagreed, reasoning that the plaintiff failed to demonstrate that without immediate relief, its members would suffer imminent and irreparable harm. The threshold was originally "too late," and the approval process is still ongoing. However, the judge offered some consolation to the plaintiff in the ruling: the plaintiff's claim that "the CFTC lacks authority to approve these products as securities futures" may succeed, as these contracts better fit the SEC-regulated swap definition. This statement is weightier than the denial — the products currently approved might be reclassified in the future. The timeline became the most concrete element. The CFTC must respond by November 6, and the plaintiff must reply by November 10. Two windows, two points to watch. For those dealing with perpetuals, the short term means approval continues, the medium term means jurisdiction remains undecided. Mainstream perpetuals of $BTC and $ETH are not directly constrained, but if single-stock perpetuals are classified as securities swaps, the compliance cost model for perpetuals will need to be recalculated, and offshore venues will be affected as well. That phrase "may succeed" is actually telling the plaintiff: no need to rush for an emergency injunction; going through normal litigation can also overturn the approval. The battle line is extended, not ended.The more sluggish the Bitcoin market is, the more I focus on this brewing on-chain golden cross! This observation comes from brother wander! This chart is worth studying repeatedly. As of November 2, $BTC is about 76.7K, the real market average price TMMP is about 77.65K, the short-term holder cost STH-RP is about 75.88K, and the two lines differ by only about $1,800! Looking back carefully at the history of 2016, 2019, and 2023, after STH-RP crossed above TMMP again, the market gradually entered a new recovery phase. What is truly worth paying attention to behind this is the readjustment of the short-term holding cost structure and the overall active market cost. Of course, the golden cross has not yet formed, and BTC has not yet firmly stood above TMMP. Before the golden cross in 2023, there was also a long period of repeated bottoming. I have always insisted that BTC has exited the bear market and entered the early stage of a bull market, but the early bull market is never smooth sailing; it gradually completes structural repair through oscillations, shakeouts, and chip turnovers. Next, the key is to observe whether STH-RP can continue to rise and complete the golden cross, and whether the price can effectively recover around 77.65K. The more pessimistic the market sentiment, the more we need to calmly observe those on-chain structures that are quietly changing! The bull market will not end because of a few pessimistic remarks, nor will it immediately take off because of a single golden cross. True trend changes often happen when most people are still doubting!After the first three U.S. midterm elections, $BTC actually wasn’t very “friendly”: 2014: It rose for about 9 days, peaking over 40%, then steadily declined; 2018: It only held up for one day, then the maximum drawdown was nearly 50%; 2022: It hit the FTX crash and continued to fall after the election. This election day, BTC rose from 76,000 to around 78,600, more like a short squeeze first— or is it the start of a new rally? In the short term, the chance of a short squeeze is indeed high. Because it fell after the previous three elections, many have gotten used to shorting; when shorts get crowded, it’s actually harder to push down, so if it’s really going to fall, it has to first rally to clear out the shorts. "Gradual decline wears you down, don't mistake the rebound for a reversal" Mainstream coins continued to weaken this morning, with BTC at $76,983, ETH at $2,266, SOL around $92, and OKB at $107.14. The drop isn't large, but the rebound is slow to come; this kind of slow, simmering decline is more patience-testing than a sharp fall. The core issue isn't lack of funds, but that buyers are unwilling to keep attacking. Glassnode shows BTC spot still has support, but contract leverage pressure hasn't fully eased; combined with midterm elections, employment data, and macro policy expectations, funds naturally remain cautious. No positive news doesn't mean prices will hold steady; with buyers absent, the price base may continue to slowly shift downward. How long will the adjustment last? Don't guess the days, watch three signals: whether volume can expand, whether capital flow can turn positive, and whether sentiment can recover together. Without resonance among these three, small bullish candles look more like repair than reversal. Currently, time is being exchanged for space—chase fewer small rebounds and wait more for confirmation. $BTC $ETH $SOL #美国中期选举：民主党赢得国会两院控制权 Posting as evidence! This time it's just short covering! This week we'll see BTC starting with 7 again! $BTC Short-term sharp pull-up of 4%, jumping directly from 78,300 to the 80,000 mark; $ETH Even more elastic, rising from 2226 all the way to 2450, an increase of nearly 7%. There are two main drivers behind this rally: First, the US midterm elections have settled, with the Democrats taking both chambers, removing the uncertainty hanging over the market. The Nasdaq opened up about 2%, risk asset sentiment warmed up, and funds flowed back into the crypto market accordingly. Second, after the price broke through around 80,000, a large number of short positions were liquidated, accelerating the short squeeze rally and pushing the gains higher. But one key point must be clear: spot ETFs have still seen net outflows for three consecutive days as of November 3, totaling about 1.16 billion outflows. This means this round of rally is not driven by sustained long-term spot capital inflows; the core incremental capital from ETFs has not arrived. Essentially, this is a concentrated release of suppressed short-term sentiment, a pulse rally caused by short stop-losses. It looks strong with bullish candles now, but the sustainability is questionable. Don’t chase it as if a new bull trend has started. The characteristic of a short squeeze rally is that it comes fast, and once the stop-loss orders are digested, it can quickly fizzle out and fall back. ⚠️ Personal market record only, not trading advice Index kicks out hoarding stocks, is it the stocks or the coins that get hit? MSCI will announce the final list affected by the "Non-Operating Company" rule on November 11. Strategy, Metaplanet, and others previously appeared as potential removal candidates; the rule focuses on the proportion of operating assets and financial screening, not specifically targeting Bitcoin. If removal occurs, it will take effect after the close on November 30. Passive funds sell stocks, not BTC spot — the pressure is more likely to hit financing/fundraising channels, which does not mean the company is forced to sell coins. An undecided list ≠ already out; kicked out of the index ≠ crashing the coin. Are you more focused on the November 11 list, or on tomorrow's non-farm payroll? (Media restates MSCI rules and candidate list, confidence medium) $BTC Order Book Strength Ranking 5-minute median slippage, estimated by order book $HUMA cost differences mainly appear in large buy orders. Simulated slippage for 10,000 scale buy/sell is 0.25%/0.21%, and for 100,000 scale is 2.74%/1.71%. The asymmetry is an execution issue, not a price movement signal. $AKE after amplifying orders, slippage on both entry and exit sides increases significantly. Simulated slippage for 10,000 scale buy/sell is 0.32%/0.36%, and for 100,000 scale is 1.60%/1.36%. This is a cost table, not a direction; simultaneous increase in buy and sell costs indicates overall shallow depth. $CAP large buy and sell costs rise simultaneously. Simulated slippage for 100,000 scale buy/sell rises from 0.62%/0.62% to 0.68%/0.69%. Compared to the previous window, large transaction costs are increasing.【BTC Short Position Review: This Time the Rebound Really Hurt!📉】 Totally lost! Public positions were reduced in time and stop-losses set to exit, but my own short positions weren't handled promptly. Reviewing this BTC $BTC rebound, there are three main reasons: 1️⃣ Election sentiment recovery: Political uncertainty faded, and oversold BTC saw a rebound. 2️⃣ Concentrated short liquidations: A large number of short positions were forcibly closed, further pushing the price up. 3️⃣ Macro environment support: US Treasury yields fell, ETF funds flowed back temporarily, providing momentum for the rebound. However, there are concerns with this rise: Derivatives buying is strong, but whether active spot demand keeps up remains to be seen. Next, focus on the resistance zone between $81,300–$81,755. The biggest lesson this time: Directional judgment is only part of trading; stop-loss and position management are equally important. #BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto #Trading #OKXOrbit After dropping to around $75.7K, $BTC has climbed back near $80.4K. That’s a decent recovery, but the next move matters more. Personally, I’m watching the $80K–$80.5K zone closely. Holding above it could improve sentiment, while another rejection may bring selling pressure back. One thing I’ve learned: a green candle can bring hope, but confirmation matters more than excitement. Do you think BTC has found its bottom, or is another retest still possible? #$BTC #Bitcoin #CryptoMarket #EarningsWa Here are 8 versions for you: *Version 1 - Original Optimized* > Democratic Party's big win, will the US stock market see a turning point? ✨ In the short term, there will be pressure and volatility, and risks from tightening regulatory policies; the market is likely to experience sharp fluctuations. > > ✨ Mid-to-long-term strategy > After this uncertainty settles, the long-term development logic of AI will remain unchanged, and ultimately the market trend will still return to corporate performance and profit growth. *Version 2 - Minimalist* > Democratic Party's big win, will the US stock market see a turning point? Short term will have pressure and volatility, also facing risks of regulatory tightening, the market is likely to experience sharp fluctuations. Mid-to-long-term strategy: after this uncertainty settles, AI's long-term development logic will not change, and the market trend will ultimately return to corporate performance and profit growth. *Version 3 - Trader's Version* > Democratic Party's big win, will the US stock market see a turning point? > Short term: pressure + volatility, regulatory tightening risk, market sharp fluctuations > Mid-to-long-term strategy: wait for uncertainty to settle, AI's long-term logic unchanged, ultimately returns to earnings and profit growth *Version 4 - Professional Version* > Democratic Party's big win, will the US stock market see a turning point? In the short term, there will be pressure and volatility, and risks from tightening regulatory policies; the market is likely to experience sharp fluctuations. > > Mid-to-long-term strategy: after this uncertainty settles, AI's long-term development logic will remain unchanged, and ultimately the market trend will still return to corporate performance and profit growth. *Version 5 - Colloquial Version* > The Democratic Party won big, and the US stock market... 🚨 $TRUMP continues to weaken, getting closer to its historical low! After news of the Republican election loss spread, TRUMP once dropped to around $1.48, with political sentiment and market selling pressure both impacting the price performance. What makes this token special is that its market narrative is highly tied to Trump's personal influence. As market sentiment cools, investor confidence is also shaken. Currently, the key focus is on the historical low near $1.30. If this support breaks, the price may continue to seek lower support; a rebound would need to watch the resistance in the $1.55–$1.60 range. The biggest risk for sentiment tokens is the sustained selling pressure after the narrative fades. Do not blindly bottom-fish, and do not ignore risk management. #TRUMP #Crypto #Bitcoin #OKXOrbit The above is only a market opinion and does not constitute investment advice.Big Brother Maji is really rich! It feels like no matter how much he loses on these bullets, he just can't run out of them. I just took a look at his position, and he's nearly at 17 million dollars again. 😳 Let's check out his latest holdings: 👉ETH long position (25X full margin) Opening price: 2362.72 Position: 6960 units (margin 677,600 U) Unrealized profit: +494,700 U A few days ago, Big Brother Maji was still adjusting his position with losses, but somehow he managed to bring in a large amount of margin again, and now he's made nearly 500,000 dollars in profit. This blood recovery is really fierce. But the current market is a bit tough. The election is settled, and funds are watching from the sidelines. BTC is stuck around 80,000, neither up nor down, and ETH softened after reaching 2450. The ETF is still running away, relying entirely on whales to support the bottom. Sideways trading with low volume is the easiest to get sudden spikes and dips. Let's see if Big Brother can hold steady, so he doesn't lose all the profits in a big pullback again. 🤣 $BTC $HYPE $ETH RVN Birth: "The Last True Son of Satoshi Nakamoto's Spirit" 2017 was a year of frenzy in the crypto market, with countless projects rapidly launching through ICO fundraising, pre-mined tokens, and venture capital manipulation, deviating from Bitcoin's original spirit of fairness, openness, and decentralization. It was in this environment that Ravencoin (RVN) was born, carrying the essence of Bitcoin's native spirit, regarded by part of the community as a representative PoW public chain steadfastly adhering to Satoshi Nakamoto's original path. The project's launch timing is full of symbolism: the whitepaper information was released on October 31, the anniversary of Bitcoin's whitepaper publication, and the genesis block was mined on January 3, 2018—coinciding with the ninth anniversary of Bitcoin's genesis block, thereby declaring its inheritance of Bitcoin's foundational philosophy. The development team includes former Bitcoin Foundation members, and the underlying code is forked from Bitcoin's UTXO architecture, fully continuing the core PoW consensus mechanism. Most importantly, it strictly adheres to fair issuance principles: no ICO, no private sale, no pre-mining, no founder's reserved shares. Before network launch, no tokens were pre-allocated; all RVN can only be mined after launch, with no early capital or development team advantage in token holdings, fundamentally avoiding the centralization issues common in most new projects. Unlike many contemporaneous public chains heavily reliant on institutional capital, RVN has no external venture capital-led capital planning; its development depends on community and miner support, with no narrative compromises under capital binding. 🚨 $BTC: Bull Trap or Real Reversal? Bitcoin surged from $76K to $81K, but was the rally driven by short liquidations rather than fresh buying? ⚠️ Regulatory uncertainty remains 📉 Capital flows need confirmation 👀 $81K breakout needs follow-through Don't confuse a short squeeze with a trend reversal. Stay cautious and manage risk. #BTC #DemocratsWinCongress #Crypto #OKX #DailyOrbit 🚨 History Repeating? US Midterms Could Shake $BTC! Past midterms brought major BTC corrections: 📉 2014: -48% 📉 2018: -50% 📉 2022: -16% Could 2026 bring another wave of volatility? Watch crypto regulation, fiscal policy, capital flows, and investor sentiment. History offers clues, not guarantees. 👀 $BTC #USMidtermsPolicyOutlook #Crypto #OKX #DailyOrbit 🚀 $AMD Beat Is Real. But Can It Close Green? 🔥 Revenue: $13.38B 📈 Data Center: +97% ⚠️ FCF: -64% to $554M 📦 Inventory: $11.46B The earnings are impressive, but political risks and rising inventory deserve attention. My call? Bullish, but not blindly. 👀 $AMD #AMDQ3DataCenterUp97% #Stocks #OKX #DailyOrbit If you chased in around 2,450.30, the current position at 2,421.95 is probably the most uncomfortable. Current coordinates for ETH: current price 2,421.95, 24-hour increase of 5.42%, positioned at the 87th percentile of the 24-hour range 2,226.85 ~ 2,450.30. Breaking this down: the 6 consecutive 1-hour bullish candles with 1.93 times average volume indicate that the volume increase is driven by active capital. The 50-hour moving average is at 2,291.95, and the current price is 5.67% above it, roughly representing the mid-term cost zone of this wave. Key levels: · Above: 2,450.30 (+1.17%), also the 24-hour high · Below: 2,226.85 (-8.06%), also the 24-hour low · 24-hour trading volume 516 million USDT (1H candle basis) · Perpetual funding rate +0.007% / 8h — funding rate turned positive, long position costs are rising The main divergences are stuck on these points: · Bullish reason: current price 2,421.95 is still above the 20-hour moving average at 2,325.31, short-term structure remains intact; · Bearish reason: 24-hour range is only 10.03%, the direction is not yet clear, so chasing price is costly; Funding rate is positive, long position costs are rising, the crowded side is more likely to move first Some say that historically, $BTC tends to perform weakly after the US midterm elections, so this phase is not suitable for trading contracts or using leverage. But I think we shouldn't just look at the year; we need to consider the technical trend at the time. Looking back at 2014, 2018, and 2022, BTC was clearly in a bear market phase, with long-term moving averages trending downward and prices continuously suppressed by trendlines. Now looking at 2026, the market structure has changed: the price has broken through the downtrend line and climbed back above the yearly moving average. So, we can't simply judge the current market based on past price movements. History can be a reference, but it shouldn't be copied blindly. What really matters are the trend, position, and market structure. If BTC returns near the yearly moving average, would you choose to wait and see or look for trading opportunities? #BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto #OKXOrbit BTC dominance is currently trading below the horizontal supply zone of an ascending triangle pattern and is operating within the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo cloud, indicating market indecision. If rejected at the supply zone, it could trigger a further decline in BTC dominance, potentially supporting a bullish trend for altcoins. On the other hand, a strong breakout above the supply zone could invalidate the bearish scenario and push BTC dominance higher. Given its strong correlation with cryptocurrencies, the next move of the S&P will play a key role in shaping overall risk sentiment $BTC "The Wyckoff Trading Method" - Supply and Demand Supply and demand are a pair of important concepts in economic activity. Price fluctuations in any market stem from changes in the supply and demand relationship. Whether in securities, stock markets, futures, or forex markets, a fundamental principle is that imbalances in supply and demand generate trends. What we commonly observe are market phenomena: such as support and resistance, trends, and price-volume fluctuations, all caused by imbalances in supply and demand. However, retail investors often focus more on indicators and geometric patterns, lacking the ability to accurately measure the state of supply and demand at a certain price level or during a specific time period, which leads to misjudgments. For example, in a certain price range, who is controlling the market — the buyers or the sellers? At the early stage of distribution at the top, changes in supply and demand already show that supply begins to exceed demand, signaling danger. Yet the surface price movement on the chart still shows a continued upward breakout, and many technical indicators still give signals to keep buying 📶, making everyone believe the market will continue to rise sharply. The fundamental way to resolve these misjudgments is to use supply and demand relationships to identify institutional positioning. $BTC #CoinbaseQ3ProfitReturns Here's an important detail behind Coinbase's Q3 results: $719M reported net income. $77.7M adjusted net income. Why the difference? Gains on crypto assets held for investment significantly boosted reported profit. A strong headline deserves a closer look. Understanding where profits come from matters just as much as the final number. #Coinbase #COIN #Crypto On the eve of the non-farm payrolls, first steady your mindset (｡•́︿•̀｡) After several days of continuous decline, the account has been shrinking all the way. Watching the market feels like opening a blind box; I close it but can't help wanting to check again, really frustrating _(:з」∠)_. Tossing and turning at night, and during the day I don't even dare to open the market charts, this sense of powerlessness is too real. All eyes this week are on the non-farm payrolls. September only added 29,000 jobs, significantly below expectations, a strong signal of cooling employment; the market roughly expects 60,000 to 80,000 for October. If it continues to be soft, the Federal Reserve's rate hike pressure will ease, and funds will be more willing to flow back into risk assets. BTC is oscillating between 76,000 and 78,000. After breaking below 77,000, it bounced a bit but still remains below the key moving averages, RSI is low, short-term weakness remains unchanged (´･_･`). ETH is consolidating around 2250, with 2200 temporarily holding support and significant resistance near 2300, clearly linked with BTC. Before the non-farm payrolls land, it will most likely continue to consolidate with volatility. Don't rush to guess the direction; it's safer to wait for the data before making moves. The market is not short of opportunities, but it lacks a good mindset and patience ヽ(•ω•ゞ) $BTC $ETH #美国10月非农前瞻：就业增长或牵动12月加息预期 $BTC According to Coinglass data, if Bitcoin breaks above $82,000, the cumulative short liquidation intensity on major CEXs will reach 337 million. Conversely, if Bitcoin falls below $79,000, the cumulative long liquidation intensity on major CEXs will reach 919 million. This rebound was driven by the stock market, but the follow-up momentum is weak, and a retest of 79K is very likely.$SOL & XAU gold options officially launched on Stryke. Derivative tools continue to diversify, the SOL ecosystem keeps evolving, with room for both long and short strategies.Bulls first "get off the bus," mainstream coins take a breather (｡•̀ᴗ-)✧ In the past 24 hours, BTC, ETH, and CORE have shown similar capital settlement patterns: it's not a fierce bear attack, but rather bulls consolidating their positions in an orderly manner. The chasing funds are first digested, and short-term floating pressure is subsequently released (￣▽￣)ノ $BTC total settlement is 97,998,800, with bulls at 66,923,400 and bears at 31,075,400. The high proportion of bull settlements indicates that major market targets prioritize clearing upward momentum followers. $ETH total settlement is 68,785,800, with bulls at 38,795,200 and bears at 29,990,600, following the same rhythm as BTC, with even stronger bull rebalancing (๑•̀ㅂ•́)و✧ $CORE, with a smaller volume, has a total settlement of 54,100, bulls at 51,800, and bears at 2,343.36, but its structure follows the mainstream, with short-term bull positions also being sorted out. Overall, the three are not bear-dominated but represent active adjustments of bullish positions following the trend. This looks more like a "get off first, then consolidate" breathing process. After the chasing funds settle in concentration, short-term pressure eases; the key focus going forward is to observe whether the post-rebalancing position distribution can be more solid and stable (๑¯ω¯๑)AMD’s data center revenue nearly doubled in Q3, while results elsewhere showed a more uneven picture. Q3 2026 results included: • Revenue: $13.377B, up 45% YoY and 16% QoQ • Non-GAAP diluted EPS: $2.09, up 74% YoY • GAAP net income: $2.428B, up 95% YoY • GAAP operating margin: 21%, versus 17% in Q2 and 14% a year earlier Revenue exceeded the $13.09B LSEG estimate, while non-GAAP EPS beat the $1.95 forecast. GAAP operating income rose 123%, showing that operating profit grew faster than sales It's not their own money, so they don't feel bad spending it 😅 A hacker suspected of stealing $106 million from an EU entity bought 27,553 $ETH in a single day yesterday, worth $62.83 million. All the buying operations were completed on-chain, with an average price of $2280.34. It seems the buying has now paused. Wallet address 0x9EcA05D78f6751C91Ab048858b7d21a67C015547 These three altcoins are still quietly declining as holders sell off; be cautious when bottom-fishing. $RIVER: Previously peaked at 88, then rebounded to around 34 leaving a large number of high-position long orders; after more than half a year of consolidation, the trapped positions have not been fully cleared, and the market looks more like continuous distribution. Don't mistake the decline for an opportunity; bottom-fishing lightly may lead to deeper losses. $KAT: Had a surge shortly after launch, then a long-term quiet decline. Although the small cap seems to have a light trapped position, it doesn't mean there is capital willing to push it up; with weak liquidity and poor support, rebounds are more likely to become sell-off windows. $BSB: Previously shorted around 2.7 with some profit, now still in a quiet decline rhythm, with long positions floating at a loss of about $240,000. After half a year of adjustment, there are still many trapped positions, and restarting a rally will face significant resistance. The common risk for these types of assets is that "falling a lot" does not equal "falling to the bottom." Quiet declines to sell off often trade time for space, and rebounds do not necessarily mean a reversal. Without clear signs of a bottom and capital inflow, don't use the decline as a reason to bottom-fish; observe cautiously. $SHIB The breaking news headline reads "SHIB official endorsement of $1 target." I clicked in to see the original text. The official X account reposted a fan post, which said "$1 is mathematically extremely unlikely, but not impossible," and the official replied with "well done." That's about it. 0.000004734. From here to $1 is 210,000 times. Seeing the number written out is intimidating, but this is today's real price — Binance just resumed withdrawals, and the price is still below 0.000005. Meme coins didn't all rise together that night. BONK rose 8.3%, PEPE rose 2.9%, DOGE rose 1.9%, SHIB rose 2.4%, ranking in the middle towards the back. Contract open interest is $6.37 million, with a fee rate of 0.0085%, not even reaching the 0.01% benchmark. Slogans have no cost and can't turn into the next buy order. This $6.37 million pool can't support such a big story. #美国中期选举：民主党赢得国会两院控制权 #美国10月非农前瞻：就业增长或牵动12月加息预期 BTC crashed to 76,000 then quickly pulled back, intraday reversal strength exceeded expectations Rebound is here, Nasdaq dropped 2% in early trading, BTC along with the two coins smashed down, once touched 76,000, almost hitting 75,000. So the question is, can the rebound continue? There is a chance to move up, but the premise is not to break below the 75,000 support again. The original post's idea leans towards playing elasticity, took a 50X long position on ETHUSDT perpetual, BTC finally closed with a 3.73% gain, those seeking stability took small positions to lock in profits, not blindly chasing the rise. Open the contract position page, check the preset stop-loss price for this ETH long position, confirm the trigger conditions. $BTC $ETH $SOL $SOL At 2:27 AM, 250 million USDC were minted on Solana. At this time, SOL was priced at 95.38. More than three hours ago, at 11 PM, the 1H candle rose from 95.15 to 98.13, with 2.51 million contracts traded, compared to 1.37 million in the previous candle. After the surge, it closed at 96.65; 98 did not hold. In the following three candles, volumes were 550k, 480k, and 260k contracts, shrinking to one-tenth of the original. Prices dropped stepwise to 96.63, 95.68, and 95.38. The minted money did not enter the order book. On-chain data clearly shows that stablecoin issuance is just putting bullets on the table; who pulls the trigger is another matter. The batch that rushed in at 11 PM had costs all above 96. My view is straightforward: after 98.13, no second volume surge followed; this wave is a ceiling test. The minting news cannot save a shrinking volume market; if 98 does not hold, I am not bullish. #美国中期选举：民主党赢得国会两院控制权 November 4th $ETH Market Observation The support around 2220 mentioned yesterday saw a low of 2225 this morning, followed by a rebound to 2266, but it is still not stable. The 1-hour level shows clear resistance at 2318, with a second attempt to break 2310 failing. Selling pressure above is heavy, and the highs continue to move lower, so the short-term trend has not yet turned strong. There are also disturbances from the news: preliminary results of the US midterm elections are out, with the Democratic Party making progress in several key districts, but control of both chambers remains to be confirmed; $BTC simultaneously dipped near 75700, with overall sentiment cautious. Liquidation data is for reference only: if ETH breaks above 2359, the mainstream CEX short liquidation intensity is about $776 million; if it falls below 2136, the long liquidation intensity is about $381 million. These are estimates and do not guarantee price will reach these levels. In terms of operations, short-term support is seen at 2220-2230, with a rebound expected if held; if broken, attention shifts to around 2170 or continued decline. On the upside, first watch 2280, with strong resistance at 2300-2318; do not chase longs before a valid breakout. Low-position longs can be held for observation, with partial reduction at resistance zones during rebounds; those without positions should wait for a pullback to stabilize or a breakout of resistance before taking action. #US midterm elections enter the vote counting phase, how will control of Congress change? $ETH $BTC #CircleQ3营收超预期，USDC链上交易量增长49% #AMD数据中心收入近翻倍，营收及指引均超预期 Celo comes with a native stablecoin system, focusing on inclusive mobile payments and RWA scenarios, with a capped total supply that gradually stabilizes. The ecosystem treasury receives protocol revenue, and on-chain stablecoin circulation generates continuous demand. The bullish bet is on the growth of global payment users, with risks stemming from stablecoin reserves and regulatory policies.WLFI is falling quite badly, completely disconnected from the market rebound. BTC and ETH are both rallying, but WLFI keeps dropping. Sun Yuchen sued World Liberty Financial in April 2026, claiming that freezing his 4 billion tokens constitutes fraud, involving a $45 million investment. WLF countersued for defamation, and both sides are fighting in courts in California and Florida. On November 3, Sun Yuchen's lawyer filed another motion requesting sanctions against WLF for concealing ownership ties in the UAE. The market is recovering but WLFI is not following; they are handling their own lawsuit. The problem with this project is not the market but the governance structure itself.The Fear and Greed Index reads 20, with market sentiment pressed down to the "Extreme Fear" floor. Many get excited when they see this number, thinking a crash is near and rushing to open short positions. But extreme fear has never been a catalyst for accelerated decline, especially when oversold conditions and crowded shorts collide; chasing shorts often fuels a rebound instead. My bias remains bearish, but bearish does not mean acting at the peak of panic. $BTC is hovering with low volume around 77,000, with both buyers and sellers waiting. Chasing aggressively here is not a comfortable bet. A safer approach is to wait for a bounce, let those who need to cut losses do so, let short positions loosen, and then look for opportunities from a higher level. The biggest taboo at the table is not being wrong about the direction, but pushing all your chips in at the most excited moment. Extreme fear is not a button for me to add positions; it’s a reminder not to be driven by emotion. So, is extreme fear a signal for you to add positions, or to wait?The total supply of APT is capped at 2.1 billion tokens, with the core barrier being the Move secure contract language, suitable for institutional assets and stablecoin RWA implementation. Transaction fee burning provides a deflationary buffer. The bullish bet is on the continuous inflow of compliant funds, while the risk lies in the ecosystem application rollout being slower than expected.Today $ETH surged more fiercely than BTC, rising nearly six percent in one day, and immediately some in the background shouted "Ethereum is about to lead the rally." Don't rush. High volatility does not equal strong fundamentals. The essence of this rebound is short covering—whichever leg has the most squeezed shorts will rebound the strongest. A few days ago, ETH's fees even turned negative, indicating shorts were the most crowded among everyone. Once the price pushes up, this group stampedes to close positions, driving the price up especially fast. So this kind of rise is fast but also prone to quick pullbacks. It reflects the position structure, not that someone is genuinely adding long positions with real money. Be especially cautious of low-volume rebounds, as there is no incremental capital taking over at the bottom. To judge if an asset is strong, don't just focus on the gains; look at who is being forced to buy behind the scenes. C2C 10u War God's final dance Yesterday, the main short position was liquidated. Reviewed the following issues: 1. 100x high leverage without setting a proper stop loss point. Ideally, drawdown should be kept within 2%, and no more than 6% in a single day. 2. Emotion-driven trades without rational analysis of market reversals, blindly entering positions. 3. When short positions were profitable, did not take profits or set proper stop losses during the trade, fearing profit retracement. Taking 30% of profits after gaining is more appropriate. #ETH touched $2500 then fluctuated#ETH强势拉升，空头清算超11亿美元 The most frustrating thing in trading is never getting the direction wrong, but losing money even when you get the direction right. These past couple of days have been a live case study. $BTC bounced back from 75,000 to 80,000. Many shorts originally bet correctly on the big trend, but were shaken out by this rebound, hitting stop losses at the lowest point, then helplessly watching the price drop again, chasing back in, only to be shaken out once more. Back and forth, the direction was right, but the account was bleeding. This is the cost of frequent trading. Every extra trade you make within a range means paying another fee and exposing yourself to noise again. The real opponent isn’t the big players, it’s your own restless hand. Decide clearly whether you’re trading intraday volatility or the trend. If it’s the trend, give enough stop loss room and hold on; don’t let a single rebound shake you off the right position. How many times have you been shaken out this year?