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ETH Analysis in the Last Hour: Shorts Are Liquidating, Yet Funding Rates Are Paying for the Longs
A contradictory signal worth watching: In the past 24 hours, ETH shorts liquidated $26.57 million, 2.8 times the amount of long liquidations. However, at the same time, funding rates on major platforms like Binance remain negative, meaning shorts are still paying longs.
What changed? The price rebounded from a low of 2405 to around 2542, forcing shorts to close positions and exit, but new shorts have not retreated; instead, they continue to open positions under a negative funding rate environment.
Why is this important? Shorts are liquidating while paying, indicating these funds are actively shorting rather than passively following the trend. ETFs saw a net outflow of $542 million last week, with BlackRock alone withdrawing $477 million. Institutions are redeeming while retail investors are chasing shorts, showing alignment in these two forces.
Which observation is more supported? A whale sold 410 BTC to acquire 14,341 ETH, worth $36.14 million. Someone is exchanging BTC for ETH in an environment where shorts pay funding. The $2528 to $2555 range is the core zone for current options battles; breaking below $2528 would invalidate the upward squeeze logic.
Next focus: The whale's position swap is complete, how much longer will short liquidations continue? $ETH 【On-Chain Trading Update｜ETH】
Monitored address 0x24fb opened a long position:
▪ Execution price: $2,506.75
▪ Transaction amount this time: $626,687.12
▪ Leverage: 15x
Is anyone else watching this coin? Let's discuss?
Note: This address has made a profit of about $1,611 in the past 30 days, with a return rate of +0.06% France is facing an increasingly concerning Crypto security issue.
From January to mid-August 2026, the French Ministry of the Interior recorded 90 cases involving kidnapping, extortion, threats, and violent robbery related to crypto assets, with 223 arrests and 126 imprisonments.
Statistics from different institutions do not completely align, but one trend is hard to ignore: the security boundary of Crypto is extending from on-chain to the real world.
93% of the victims are local French residents, not tourists. What attackers really need may not be to hack your wallet, but to first know that you hold Crypto, where you live, and who your family is.
Data breaches have thus become a very real attack entry point.
In the past, we were used to discussing private keys, phishing, and contract vulnerabilities; now we also need to consider another risk: others knowing who you are and how much money you have.
What’s more troublesome is that family members and acquaintances can also become targets.
Therefore, practical security measures for holders are not just about hiding mnemonic phrases well, but also about avoiding linking real identity with asset scale in public profiles, taxes, filings, or customer service information as much as possible.
On-chain assets can be self-custodied, but real-world identity also requires privacy protection.The fire alarm blared, and the fire door was blasted open by a high-temperature gas wave. I reflexively sprayed foam, but ended up becoming fuel for the fire's backlash!
Don't panic, I'm the "Human Fire Extinguisher" of the crypto special forces squad, the reverse indicator "Industry Ghost Light"! Just now, I saw $AAVE break below the lower Bollinger Band at 166.71, with the 1-hour RSI crashing to 37.5. I thought the fire's temperature had suddenly dropped and oxygen was depleted, so there should be a technical rebound, right? I cautiously tried to go long, but in the blink of an eye, the short sellers' blast wave used me as kindling. The profits I painstakingly accumulated over several days of patrol duty were all donated to the god of fire within fifteen minutes. How did I lose again!
Our first principle in a fire is to ensure escape routes are clear and to establish firebreaks, but with my "Ghost Light" constitution, I even managed to trip over my own safety rope upon entering. Now the current price at 166.36 hangs in midair, the structural beams creaking, and the middle band resistance at 169.87 presses down like a collapsed prefabricated slab overhead.
Since I'm the igniter, I accept my fate. If the fire truly continues to spread downward by breaking the lower band, this firebreak must be welded shut before the safety exit.
- Target: $AAVE 🔴
- Entry: 166.00 - 166.80
- TP1: 163.50
- TP2: 160.00
- SL: 169.90
The empty air tank pressure gauge hits zero, the internal attack channel is completely sealed, and the retreat signal has sounded. 🧑🚒🚒
#FearAndGreedIndex #GhostLightConstitutionIsFuelingTheMarketAgain79,800, this number needs to be watched now.
It's not support, it's the liquidation line.
According to Coinglass data, if $BTC falls below 79,598, long positions on major exchanges will be forcibly liquidated for nearly 1.5 billion USD.
Conversely, if it rises above 87,602, short positions liquidations will exceed 1.4 billion.
Both sides are roughly equal in weight.
What does this indicate?
It means that within this range, market makers like to sweep back and forth.
Whichever side has more leverage piled up, they poke that side.
You might think the market chooses the direction, but actually the positions choose the market.
Push down, liquidate longs, pick up cheap chips.
Pull up, liquidate shorts, sell along the trend.
The most common mistake retail investors make is chasing highs and selling lows at these levels.
They see it drop and think it will crash, see it rise and think it will soar.
Actually, both sides are fuel.
I'm currently leaning towards watching.
In a market full of traps both up and down, staying still is better than moving chaotically.
Money can't be fully earned, but it can be fully lost.
#机构持续布局，BTC为何仍承压？
#AI与量子威胁下，区块链安全如何升级？ #交易之声：你的经验值得被听到 $BTC Brushing off the dust from a clay tablet three thousand years old is no different from examining the current $SUI market.
The default records written by humans borrowing barley in the Mesopotamian basin share the same carbon-based DNA of greed and fear as today's panic sell-offs hitting the lower Bollinger Band. Under the sun, there is nothing new; what is called a crash is just another layer of volcanic ash falling on Pompeii, fossilizing the reckless speculators into various postures.
Today is the fixed excavation day of the month, and the steadfast dollar-cost averaging shovel falls on time.
The current spot price is consolidating around 1.118 USDT, with the RSI resting at 49.0 in the neutral zone, and the hourly Bollinger lower band at 1.112 undergoing a stratigraphic subsidence test. Those speculators trying to predict tops and bottoms resemble the priests who once believed their dynasty would last forever. As a disciplined executor measured by time, I only methodically collect these wrongly punished relics. Since last year's excavation, my average holding cost has long settled beneath the bedrock; time is never an ally of speculators but always a weapon of archaeologists.
The stratigraphic profile has been clarified, and the support levels of the relics are as distinct as rammed earth layers.
- Target: $SUI 🟢
- Entry: 1.105 - 1.125
- TP1: 1.138
- TP2: 1.165
- SL: 1.080
The short-term fluctuations like a blind box will eventually be smoothed out by the sands of geological epochs; only strict, imprinted discipline can forge restless human nature into enduring bronze.🏛️🔍
#DailyOrbit$SNDK 永续75倍空单，1591.3开，现1554.4，浮盈+173.91%。
思路很朴素：顶部横盘缩量到极致，波动率压到地板，说明筹码准备派发。一根放量阴线直接把价格从 1591.3 砸下来，典型的破位信号，追空不追多。75倍杠杆，止损 1620。走势一路向下，不给任何舒服的下车位，盈利直接大爆发。
这位置我打算先减一半仓位落袋，剩下的一半止损提到 1570 让利润跑。1500 能放量跌破就继续拿，跌不破就全平走人。$BTC $ETH #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 BTC is becoming less and less active, making trading even harder.
Bitcoin options implied volatility has dropped to near a five-year low, which isn't necessarily good news for traders.
When the market fluctuates wildly, it's hard to predict direction, but opportunities are obvious; when the market consolidates for a long time, chasing the rally can lead to getting trapped, shorting might get stopped out by rebounds, and the worst is repeatedly entering and exiting without any trend.
Low volatility in the options market reflects a reduced market expectation for future price swings, not that BTC will no longer experience big ups and downs.
So the easiest mistake now is to try to guess when a big move will come just because the market is boring.
I prefer to first see if the price truly breaks out of the range before deciding whether to follow, rather than betting on a breakout early just because volatility hits a new low. $BTC $ETH $MAGIC $W Wormhole is set to unlock another 1.4 million tokens in an hour and a half. If you're holding Wormhole, you should take the opportunity to sell before the price drops.Account Position Divergence Radar｜Last 15 Minutes
$RSR accounts are more bullish, positions are more bearish, divergence is widening. Bullish accounts ratio 56.7%→58.3%, bullish positions ratio 48.3%→47.4%; gap widened by 2.53 percentage points.For newcomers just entering the space, the first lesson is not how to make money, but how to keep your money safe.
Many people think everything is fine just by keeping their coins on exchanges, but they overlook the most important fact — the private key is the asset. Whoever controls the private key truly owns the coin; the exchange only acts as a custodian and does not mean the coin belongs to you.
A few life-saving tips:
Never screenshot, send via WeChat, or save your mnemonic phrase/private key in notes.
Never tell anyone your mnemonic phrase, including "official customer service."
For large amounts, use a cold wallet; for small amounts, use a hot wallet.
Always verify the address before transferring, especially the first and last few characters.
The longer you stay in this industry, the clearer it becomes: security is the only skill that doesn't require luck.
#CryptoBasics #WalletSecurity #PrivateKey #MustReadForBeginners #Russia-Ukraine May Reach "Energy Ceasefire" Agreement, Progress Pending Confirmation
The boss has something to say
The Russia-Ukraine energy ceasefire has been announced, but oil prices didn't buy it; today CL rose 1.86%, BZ rose 1.57%. What is the biggest fear in trading? Placing orders right after reading the headline without checking details, and loading up positions first.
Trump said Russia and Ukraine reached an energy ceasefire, effective immediately. But the specifics were not disclosed; Zelensky said he would support it only if Russia also complies, but Russia hasn't confirmed at all. Even more embarrassing, Ukraine said after the ceasefire announcement, Russia continued attacking energy facilities. The Middle East is not idle either; Houthis attacked Saudi airports, and oil tankers were attacked again near Hormuz over the weekend.
So the market chooses to trust what it sees, not what it hears. Energy risk premiums haven't disappeared, so oil prices won't come down. Inflation expectations are pressing, the Fed's rate cut expectations keep being pushed back, and the valuation ceiling for risk assets remains.
I hold long positions on Bitcoin at 83000 and short positions at 86500, hedging both sides with moderate position size. No one-sided bets before CPI release. Long stop loss at 81500, target 86000. Short stop loss at 87500, target 84500 to 85000. Whichever target is hit first, reduce that side first.
Energy ceasefire is a variable, not a direction. Look at the details, not the headline. Set stop losses properly, don't hold on stubbornly. $BTC $ETH $MAGIC
The above analysis is time-sensitive; orders must have stop losses set. Good luck.$SOL 永续100倍多单，109.47开，现111.5，浮盈+185.43%。
逻辑很简单：109.47 附近反复探底不破，每次回调都被快速拉起，下影线越来越长，卖盘明显衰竭。等到放量突破，右侧确认，跟多进去。100倍，止损 105。这一波涨得比较流畅，完全没给回踩机会，收益直接翻近2倍。
现在把止损挪到 111 锁利。上方 115 如果放量突破，还能再拿一拿。$BTC $ETH #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 20x full position, got slapped on both sides today 😮💨
Long $W lost 106% (-$78), short $MAGIC also lost 30% (-$11). One long and one short both hit the opposite, truly a talent.
Fortunately, the margin ratio is still over 300%, so not dead yet, but it’s really exhausting to watch. Everyone, take this as a warning. Today, while checking the market, I noticed a very interesting phenomenon. BTC is currently priced at $83,528, up 0.62% in 24 hours, with a high of $84,352. ETH is $2,557, up 2.18%, SOL is $111.57, up 1.82%. Altcoins are even stronger: NEAR continues to surge 10.7% to $5.80, ZEC up 5.24% to $1,302, TAO up 3.74%, OKB up 2.52%. The entire market is in the green. But do you know? Last week, BTC ETFs saw an outflow of $681 million — the largest weekly outflow since June. On October 7th, there was a single-day outflow of $487 million, and on October 8th, another $244 million outflow, totaling $731 million in two days. The three giants BlackRock, Fidelity, and ARK collectively sold. Normally, with such a large ETF outflow, the price should have dropped. But BTC not only didn’t fall, it rebounded today breaking $84,000. ETFs are selling, but the price is rising — indicating someone is buying the dip, and the buying power is greater than the ETF selling. Who is buying? After a thorough look, I found an important piece of news that most people have overlooked. On October 1st, the SEC released a major proposal: easing the rules on crypto asset custody. This 760-page proposal has three core points: First, it allows investment advisors and regulated funds to self-custody crypto assets under certain conditions. Previously, institutions buying crypto had to use banks for custody, but banks were reluctant to accept, so institutions couldn’t enter the market at scale. Now self-custody is allowed Last night I said to wait for spot to take over, today BTC has caught up, and ETH also shows new changes.
I still lean towards a short-term recovery; the 4-hour spot buy orders for BTC and ETH are more active than last night.
BTC: Last night, the 4-hour spot net outflow was $11.01 million, now it has turned into a net inflow of $33.95 million, with a 24-hour net inflow of $88.31 million. Yesterday I was worried that spot wouldn't keep up, but now the support has improved. In the last hour, contracts had a net outflow of $30.35 million, while spot still had a net inflow of $9.03 million, showing a short-term divergence between the two markets.
ETH: The 4-hour spot net inflow expanded from $5.86 million to $35.51 million, with a recent 1-hour net inflow of $24.47 million. Short-term buying is more active, but the 24-hour net inflow dropped from $117 million to $43.72 million. I will continue to watch if the buying in these next few hours can sustain.
SOL: The 4-hour spot turned to a net inflow of $910,000, but in the last hour, spot and contracts had net outflows of $1.98 million and $12.83 million respectively. Support has slightly improved; I will wait a bit longer.
ZEC: The 24-hour spot net inflow is $25.84 million, with a near one-week net inflow of $104 million. In the last hour, both spot and contracts had net outflows. The buying pressure still dominates throughout the day; for now, I will watch if the pullback can hold steady.
Going forward, I am more focused on the spot relay of BTC and ETH. Waiting for short-term selling pressure on ZEC to ease, and for more consistent buying on SOL. Whoever can hold the pullback and get bought up, I will prioritize trading them.📊 Let's dig into some signals from today's OKX Evening Report
Today's OKX Evening Report data is quite interesting.
Looking at sectors, AI discussion heat has directly increased by 1.1 times, with market cap rising nearly 4%. But on the other hand, discussion heat for DeFi and L1&L2 is dropping, one down 19%, the other down 47%.
Translation: Funds are searching for hotspots locally, showing clear signs of a zero-sum game.
Now looking at the long-short ratio.
BTC 1.44, ETH 1.66, SOL 2.41.
Retail investors are aggressively opening longs, especially on SOL, with an absurdly high long-short ratio. Such extreme positioning is exactly when whales love to do a reverse spike to shake out the market.
Two more pieces of news together are quite interesting: Saylor released another BTC holding chart, and Strive's CEO hinted at announcing increased holdings.
The big players are still continuously accumulating, but although on-chain volume rose 53%, BTC's market share remains high at 59.48%. Funds are clustered in the leader, while altcoins are barely getting any attention.
The current market is: the data looks lively, but it's all funds inside the market cutting each other.
My moves are simple:
🛑 Avoid contracts; with such extreme long-short ratios, spikes can be deadly.
🛑 Don't chase short-term AI sector sentiment; it's easy to get caught out.
✅ Hold your spot positions firmly, manage your USDT well.
Wait for this wave of sentiment to clear, for the market to drop a real pit, then it's not too late to pick up bargains.
Did you check today's Evening Report data? This SOL long-short ratio, do you dare to follow?👇