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$BTC
BTC goes against the weakening trend of tech stocks.
BTC recovers after a dip, diverging from Korean chip stocks and Nasdaq futures ahead of US CPI data.
This movement may indicate BTC temporarily decoupling from risk assets.
OKX data: BTC 83,437.00 USDT, -0.82% in 24 hours, volume 583.1M USDT.
Do you think BTC can maintain this independent momentum?
Not investment advice. DYOR.
#SepCPIHikeWatch 一只小蝴蝶觉得自己身上的色彩不如同伴的好看，就请求上帝帮自己改变身上的颜色。上帝满足了它的要求，给它一种自由选择颜色的权利。上帝指着五彩缤纷的花丛，对小蝴蝶说：“你喜欢什么颜色，就在什么颜色的花朵上‘打一个滚’，这时你就能够变成什么颜色。”小蝴蝶欣喜若狂地先是在红色的花朵上“打滚”，然后又不想放弃蓝色的花朵。这样就又在蓝色的花朵上“打滚”，这时它又觉得黄色的花朵美丽.就这样，它在所有的花朵中都“打了一个滚”，最终它变成了一只黑颜色的蝴蝶。它顿吋痛哭流涕，无法接受自已成为一只颜色最丑陋的蝴蝶。人们的痛苦往往不是来自于没有选择，而是来自于选择太多而无所适从。所谓选择就是一种利弊的取舍，这个世界上没有全优的选择否则就谈不上什么选择了。当交易者面对众多充满特色的交易方法时通常无法进行适合自己的取舍。似乎每一种方法都有让自己获利的时候，同样每一种方法也都有让自己亏损的时候。这时交易者可能就不做任何选择，而希望能够得到全部方法的优势。你可以选择一种颜色、但如果你吸取了所有的颜色，结果只能是什么颜色都没有的黑色！在叠加交易方法的过程中不但是将全部方法的优势进行叠加，同时也会将全部方法的劣势进行叠加Tomorrow night at 8:30 PM, the September CPI will be released, which is the most important reference before the Federal Reserve meeting on October 28.
Institutions expect that rising energy prices may push the overall CPI year-on-year from 3.4% to 3.7%, but the core CPI month-on-month growth rate may slow from 0.3% to 0.2%. This combination is very critical: overall inflation is driven up by oil prices, but core inflation is cooling down. If the core CPI really slows, it indicates that price pressures have not spread, and the market will strengthen expectations for a pause in rate hikes.
However, officials are not easing up. Cleveland Fed President Mester clearly stated on October 12 that inflation pressures remain broad and support further rate hikes. CME data shows the market expects about a 79.5% probability of rates remaining unchanged in October. There is a large divergence between hawkish officials and market pause expectations.
This divergence is the source of volatility tomorrow night. If the overall CPI is relatively hot but core cools, the market will lean toward pause expectations, the dollar and U.S. Treasury yields will fall back, and BTC has a chance to rebound and test 83,500 to 84,500. If both overall and core exceed expectations, the probability of a rate hike in October will rise again, BTC will be under pressure, with support at 81,500 to 82,000, and if broken, look to 80,000.
BTC is now around 82,000, up 0.8%. Many defenders have piled up near 80,000, so this position has short-term support. But the direction is not yet chosen; before the data release tomorrow night, avoid heavy bets.
$ZEC $BTC $ETH. #September CPI release imminent, Mester says further rate hikes are still needed ✅ 平仓 $TIA 多 20x
入场：0.5102 → 出场：0.6000
结果：+350% ROE
每一次进出我都发出来，赚的亏的都发。你现在手里有 $TIA 吗？
非投资建议。#OKXTraderVoices On October 12, Strategy announced the purchase of an additional 250 BTC, while also repurchasing approximately $192 million in STRC preferred shares. The company also disclosed that from October 5 to 11, it used $500,000 in cash to buy Bitcoin.
My interpretation: This time, it’s not just "buying more coins" but also adjusting the financing structure. Institutional fund arrangements differ from personal accounts, so don’t take the increase announcement as a direct signal to buy for yourself. #BTC and ETH spot ETFs see simultaneous outflows, is institutional demand weakening? $BTC $ETH
🚨 【Major Institutional Withdrawal】BTC/ETH spot ETFs lost $1.2 billion in a single week, how long can this hollow rebound last?
Dual capital drain: From October 5 to 9, the US BTC spot ETF saw a net outflow of approximately $679 million (ending the previous three consecutive weeks of net inflows); ETH spot ETF outflows reached $542 million during the same period, marking the largest single-week outflow since January and recording nine consecutive trading days of net outflows; combined, the two saw a massive $1.221 billion drained in one week.
Price-volume divergence risk: Against the backdrop of major institutional real money withdrawals, the market price once weakly rebounded against the trend, forming a typical "capital exit vs. price illusion" divergence pattern. ETH’s performance was significantly weaker than BTC’s, reflecting institutions’ accelerating cooling of risk appetite for highly elastic assets.
Market outlook: The large-scale withdrawal before the release of key CPI data essentially represents smart money’s defensive hedge against macro interest rate hikes and inflation stickiness. The weak accumulation without spot ETF funds to support the bottom has no defense; before the flow turns back to net inflows, blind contrarian bets on a reversal are strictly prohibited.
(Personal review opinion, not investment advice. There are thousands of trading rules, preserving principal is the first!)Tomorrow we will look at ASML's earnings report; don't wait for a company that no longer discloses quarterly order figures.
ASML has stopped revealing quarterly new order amounts this year. The previous approach of directly comparing EUV orders to expectations needs to be adjusted. The signal given by the company in Q2 is a plan to increase low NA EUV capacity by about 30% by 2027 and to study further expansion in 2028. This arrangement is more specific than just saying demand is optimistic, but it still requires subsequent deliveries to be fulfilled.
Which year's equipment delivery corresponds to the customers' committed purchases? Is capacity expansion progressing as planned? These are the questions I want the management to answer. The amount for lithography machines is large, and whether orders fall at the end of the month or early next month can exaggerate a quarter's figures. Now that this disclosure is missing, investors need to cross-check customers' expansion plans with ASML's delivery schedule.
Don't treat "strong long-term demand" as a universal answer. Any lag in factories, components, or installation teams can push expected revenue back. The market buys future profits; a delay of a few months can significantly impact valuation. I remain interested in EUV demand and do not want to lower my expectations for the earnings report just because of its special status. What I really want to see on October 14 is a clearer delivery timetable. No one can track order enthusiasm daily, but at least let external investors know when the expanded capacity is expected to start generating revenue.
#ASMLQ3EarningsReport announced on October 14, with EUV orders as the focus $AGLD 娘希匹！AGLD这盘面看得我直摇头，外面静悄悄，盘口狗咬狗。0.1901这个位置明摆着是狗庄拉高出货，K线那根上影线跟镰刀似的，就差没明说“我准备砸了”。洗盘都没这么演的，真当韭菜是瞎子？🔥
技术面全在喊跑，资金面就是个空心汤圆，别指望啥利好。短线空单直接干，止损搁0.1980，破了就认，别扛。目标先看0.1780一带，到了自己看着减。
这行情别上头，跟不跟你们自己掂量。想暗地里跟我埋伏的，点下面卡片自己动手，仓位自控，止损必带。🚀
内容仅为个人复盘，不构成投资建议。
👇👇👇Today $ETH dropped, and the current price is around 2507 USD, down 1.44%.
Moreover, the volatility within 24 hours was especially large, with a high of 2578 and a low of 2407, swinging 170 USD up and down in one day.
Simply put: it had risen continuously for 5 days before, rising too fast, and today it started to pull back, with a fairly large correction.
What changed compared to yesterday?
Let me tell you a few key changes.
First change: the pullback really came.
Yesterday I said the short-term rise was too fast, the 4-hour RSI reached 100, so a pullback was inevitable. As a result, it really dropped today, from 2565 to 2507, down about 2.3%.
And the lowest even touched 2407, just 2 USD above the previous low of 2405, indicating a quick dip that washed out those who chased the highs earlier.
Second change: the overbought condition has been fully digested.
Yesterday the 4-hour RSI was still 100 (extremely overbought), today it has dropped to 40; the 2-hour RSI fell from 82 to 43. This means the bubble accumulated from the rapid rise has mostly been squeezed out, now returning to a neutral zone.
Third change: the big trend signal is still intact.
Although the price dropped, the daily KDJ golden cross remains (K is still above D), and the MACD green bars are still shrinking. This indicates the major rebound trend has not been broken; this is just a normal pullback during the upward process.
Fourth change: short sellers are still exiting.
Open interest has decreased again, from 580,000 to 560,000. This shows short sellers are still closing positions and running; with them gone, there are fewer sellers pressing down.
Should you buy or sell now?
I think this is a position where you can consider light positioning, but not heavy, because tomorrow night there is CPI data.
Why say it’s a position to consider?
First, the overbought condition has been digested, so short-term it won’t fall much.
Second, the price is now at 2507, right near the 5-day moving average (2514), which is a short-term support level.
Third, the big trend signal is still intact, the daily KDJ golden cross remains.
Fourth, below that is the 60-day moving average (2492) and the lower Bollinger Band (2450), strong supports that are hard to break.
But why say don’t go heavy?
Because tomorrow (October 14) at 8:30 PM the CPI data will be released, which is very important. Before the data comes out, no one can predict what will happen. If the data is bad (inflation higher than expected), there might be another drop; if the data is good (inflation lower than expected), the price will continue to rise.
So at this position, you can buy a little lightly first, then add more after the data clarifies the direction.
What will happen next?
I think there are three possibilities.
First possibility (most likely, 50%): oscillate between 2490 and 2550, waiting for tomorrow’s CPI data.
For the rest of today and tomorrow daytime, it will likely fluctuate in this range, everyone waiting for the evening data, no one daring to act rashly.
Second possibility (30%): good CPI data, continue to rebound.
If tomorrow night’s inflation data is lower than expected, indicating less pressure to raise rates, Ethereum will continue to rise, targeting first 2580, then 2625.
Third possibility (20%): bad CPI data, second dip.
If tomorrow night’s inflation data is higher than expected, indicating more rate hikes, Ethereum may break below 2490 to test 2450 or even the previous low of 2405.
It rose too fast before, today’s pullback is normal, the overbought condition has been digested, now 2500 to 2520 is a position for light positioning, but don’t go heavy because tomorrow night’s CPI data will decide the direction. Good data means continue rising, bad data may cause a second dip. Participate lightly, set stop losses, and add positions after the data is out.
The above is just my analysis based on data and does not constitute investment advice. This market is volatile, so be sure to control your position size.$NEAR This ID's view: The 30-minute chart shows a bearish pattern, but the long-term uptrend remains unchanged. Avoid entering the market for the next couple of days.
NEAR peaked at 6.024 in this rally and then pulled back, representing a secondary correction after a strong rise, indicating short-term bearishness. A short position can be tried on a rebound to the 5.32 resistance zone, with a target at the 4.98 support level and a stop loss set above 5.45. If it breaks above 5.45, abandon the bearish outlook.
According to Chan theory, the rise started from the 4.3 low, forming an upward consolidation zone. The 6.024 level formed a 30-minute top fractal, and the current move is a corrective wave. The long-term bullish trend remains, but short-term correction risks are evident.
From the Wyckoff volume-price perspective, the high volume at the peak indicates profit-taking, and the rebound volume continues to shrink, showing weak buying support.
Key observation: Stagnation at 5.32 is a shorting opportunity; a strong volume breakout and hold above 5.45 signals the end of the correction and the bearish position should be abandoned.Has the AI computing power battle spread to BTC mining farms?
On October 11, according to The Information, Anthropic signed a multi-year, previously undisclosed cloud contract with cloud service provider IREN. After Barron's follow-up report on October 12, IREN's stock price surged about 4% in pre-market trading, reaching $36.57.
Neither company has responded to requests for comment.
Interestingly, during IREN's earnings call in August this year, they mentioned signing with a "leading cutting-edge AI lab" without naming it. Now it seems very likely to be Anthropic. If the rumor is true, won't IREN's stock price skyrocket?
IREN was formerly a Bitcoin mining company and rebranded in 2024 to transform into an AI cloud provider, effectively converting mining electricity and data centers directly into AI computing power. Last year, it signed a $9.7 billion AI cloud deal with Microsoft, and in May this year, it partnered with NVIDIA to deploy 5GW of computing infrastructure—now teaming up with Anthropic, the transformation story is gaining momentum.
This contract is just the tip of the iceberg.
But the strangest thing is:
Last night, IREN not only erased all the gains from the day before yesterday but also dropped several points, hitting a recent low!
The truth of the news is uncertain; let's watch and see. Bold investors might open a small long position to bet on IREN.
#IREN's first Microsoft AI cloud project delivered, mining company transformation draws attention The convenience store owner downstairs kept talking about this the year before last.
I took it as a joke.
Later, I got itchy hands and threw a few hundred bucks in.
The first purchase was $BTC.
After buying, it dropped.
It dropped so much that I got up in the middle of the night to check my phone.
Then I tried $ETH.
There are many things on the chain.
The fees are also expensive.
One operation wasted half a day.
Later, I heard people say $SOL is fast.
Transferred a small amount to try.
It’s really fast.
But the traps are real too.
Some projects disappear just like that.
After losing a few times, I learned my lesson.
Don’t chase hot topics.
Don’t follow tips.
Don’t touch what you don’t understand.
Write down your private keys yourself.
Don’t give them to anyone who asks.
Don’t click on unfamiliar links.
No matter how tempting the airdrop is, don’t connect your wallet recklessly.
Now I only hold money I don’t mind losing.
Just leave it there.
Don’t get carried away when it rises.
Don’t panic when it falls.
There are many opportunities in this industry.
But there are even more traps.
Living long is more important than making a quick profit.
Don’t borrow money.
Don’t get obsessed.
Don’t believe in guaranteed profits.
Leave the rest to time.#TSMC Q3 revenue hits a new high, profit performance to be revealed
#BTC and ETH spot ETFs flow out simultaneously, is institutional demand weakening?
#Microsoft releases new generation AI chip, stock price hits annual high SOL昨天最低砸到101.56，转眼又弹回108，七块钱的急救针打得挺猛。但24小时仍跌4个多点，别把反弹当翻身。
今天香港挂牌了Pando的SOL ETF，另一边，美国现货SOL基金上周净流出2480万美元，14周连续流入就这么断了。新产品开门，老资金往外走，市场两副脸。
合约也没给明确答案：费率微负，持仓反而多了约1%。有人还在进场，但光看持仓看不出多空。101.56是刚才低点，113附近是上方压力，先看这波弹起来有没有现货量接上。
做SOL合约的，你更信香港新ETF，还是美国资金撤退？$SOL $DOGE DUMPED TO 0.08005, THEN SNAPPED BACK HARD.
I watched the 1h candles bleed from 0.08813, then a long wick tagged the low. Four green candles later, price sits at 0.08473, up 3.04% today.
Sharp reversals test patience more than entries do. Did you wait for confirmation or chase the bounce?
$DOGE$ETH Ethereum has dropped nearly 15% from 2779, the mid-term trend has shifted, and now 2514 is a delicate balance period. The upside faces huge selling pressure; until a clear strong bullish candle breaks the key resistance, all upward moves are just rebounds.
From a technical perspective, it is in a 2-hour descending channel, suppressed by EMA7; MACD shows a nascent bullish divergence, indicating the bears' strength may be exhausted.
The Bollinger Bands middle line at 2525 is strong resistance; below the middle line is the bears' control zone; 2500 is psychological support, and breaking below it will head straight to 2450.
Trading strategy:
Wait for a rebound to 2530-2540 and a bearish pattern to appear before shorting, stop loss at 2565, target 2460.
Or buy on a pullback to 2460-2470 if it holds and MACD forms a golden cross, stop loss at 2435.
A safer approach is to wait for a breakout and stable hold above 2550, then buy on a pullback confirmation, which has a higher success rate! #September CPI announcement is imminent, Harker says further rate hikes are still needed #TSMC Q3 revenue hits record high, profit performance to be revealed #BTC and ETH spot ETFs see simultaneous outflows, is institutional demand weakening? ETF在卖，鲸鱼在买，BTC这出戏唱给谁看
BTC 今天演了出"V 型反转"。今早一度跌破 8.15 万美元（24 小时跌约 3.4%），现在回到 8.35 万美元附近，ETH 也从 2425 下方回到 2517 美元左右。全网 24 小时爆仓 7.7 亿美元，多单占大头。
但数据里藏着分歧：美国现货 BTC ETF 上周净流出 6.81 亿美元，是 6 月以来最大单周流出；另一边，链上鲸鱼 72 小时增持了约 1.5 万枚 BTC。机构在赎回，鲸鱼在接货——多空直接打起来了。
明天美国 CPI 公布，是下一个催化剂。ETF 的钱在跑，鲸鱼的钱在进，你觉得这波反弹是真企稳，还是跌多了喘口气？
风险提示：宏观数据前后波动大，谨慎参与。仅供参考，不构成投资建议。
#比特币$BREV Last night I was still calculating if this month's instant noodle money would be enough, and this morning I was already thinking about whether to add sausage. Thanks to the market for the meal with this short position.
When the market was just smashed in the early session, BREV rebounded near 0.09052, but the volume didn't keep up, and the resistance above was obvious, with a strong bait to the long side. I judged it was just a breather, not a reversal, and at that time I advised to be bearish and enter short positions in batches.
Then it continued to go down, the price hit 0.08387, the short position yield was +146.7%, the wait was worth it. When the rhythm is right, profits speak for themselves; the earlier hesitation turned out to be really rewarding.
Take profit on 80% of the main position first, move the protection to the cost price for the remaining 20%, let the profits run if it continues to drop, and don't give back gains on the rebound.
Being out of position is not a sin; opening positions recklessly is the mistake.
Have a strategy before the market, discipline during the market, and reflection after the market.
For friends who haven't gotten on board yet, listen to me: now is not the time to rush in; chasing shorts easily gets caught by rebounds. Wait for the next signal before moving, I will notify immediately.
$ETH $LAB South Korea Takes Action: 27 Exchange Websites Directly Blocked, Including KuCoin and MEXC
This time, South Korea is serious. The Financial Intelligence Unit (FIU) announced today that after two rounds of review by the Korea Communications Standards Commission on October 6 and 7, it decided to block domestic access to the websites of 27 unregistered virtual asset operators. KuCoin, MEXC, Phemex, Bitrue, CoinW, and BingX are all on the list.
There are two key details: first, previously only apps were blocked (banned from installation and updates in app stores), but this time entire websites are blocked—servers located in Korea are shut down, and overseas servers are cut off from access; second, there is no need to wait for victims—once confirmed as unregistered operators, the block is immediate. The FIU also found that these platforms charge average fees ranging from 1.5% to 10%, up to 62 times higher than the top five domestic Korean exchanges (0.16%).
The FIU also admits that blocking the websites may affect existing users’ withdrawals, and will coordinate withdrawal channels through DAXA. Friends using these platforms in Korea should withdraw their coins first.
Risk Warning: Regulatory policies change rapidly; please refer to official announcements. For reference only, not investment advice.
#BitcoinI've been paying close attention to ZEC recently and want to share my thoughts.
$ZEC's current market movement is actually quite interesting.
Most altcoins are now focusing on ecosystems, AI, and RWA, but ZEC is taking a different path—privacy.
Privacy itself isn't a new narrative; Zcash started working on zero-knowledge proofs quite early. The issue was that the market wasn't willing to pay a high premium for privacy in the past, but this expectation is now changing.
However, narratives aside, price still needs to reflect on the charts.
ZEC rose too quickly earlier, so the recent pullback from the highs is not surprising. The profits accumulated from the continuous rise need to be digested, and it's not easy to directly start a second major upward wave in the short term.
Next, I’m mainly watching a few key levels.
On the downside, watch 1110–1130 first; if this area holds, there’s still a chance to retest 1200 upwards.
On the upside, 1220 is the first resistance level; to truly regain strength, it needs to break through 1300.
If 1110 fails to hold, be prepared for a further pullback to 1050 or even 1000.
Now, about the fundamentals.
What attracts me most about ZEC is its relatively simple value logic. As more financial activities move on-chain, is transaction transparency really what everyone wants?
#ZEC #Zcash#strategy增持250枚比特币
【老韭观察】Strategy一周只买250枚$BTC ，囤币节奏变了？
Strategy最新披露，10月5日至11日买入250枚BTC，花费约2150万美元，平均成本约86,194美元。算上这次，公司持有的比特币已经达到848,250枚。
单看持仓，Strategy依然是比特币市场里绕不开的大户。但如果把这周的资金动作放在一起看，画风有点不一样：它同期回购了约1.924亿美元的STRC优先股，金额接近买币支出的9倍。
以前大家盯着Strategy，主要看它又买了多少BTC、会不会继续加仓。现在除了买币数量，还得关注它怎么分配资金、怎么安排融资工具。
当然，一周买得少，不代表它看空比特币，也不能据此判断长期策略转向。只是这次增持规模确实不大，市场没必要把“继续买币”直接等同于“强烈看多”。
对于BTC来说，Strategy继续持有大量筹码是长期支撑叙事；但短期行情最终还是要看真实买盘和市场流动性，不能只靠一份持仓公告来判断。$BTC 前阵子老同学拉我进群
他天天晒单
我看多了手就痒
扔了几百块进去
第一笔买了 $BTC
买完就阴跌
跌得我外卖都挑便宜的
后来又去摸 $ETH
链上东西多
手续费也狠
一笔下去半天白忙
再后来听人说 $SOL 快
转点小钱去试
快是真快
坑也真坑
有的项目说没就没
亏过几回才老实
不追热点
不跟喊单
不碰看不懂的
私钥自己抄好
谁问都不给
陌生链接不点
空投再香也不乱连钱包
现在只拿亏了不心疼的钱
放着就放着
涨了不飘
跌了不慌
这行机会多
坑更多
活得久比赚一波重要
别借钱
别上头
别信稳赚
剩下的交给时间#台积电Q3营收创新高，盈利表现待揭晓
#BTC与ETH现货ETF同步流出，机构需求转弱了吗？
#微软发布新一代AI芯片，股价触及年内高点 Money is moving, price hasn't crashed: Who is holding firm above 80000?
Since October, ETF outflows have exceeded $1 billion: BTC $679 million, ETH $542 million, with ETH also recording the largest single-week outflow since January and nine consecutive trading days of continuous outflows.
Interestingly, the coin price only slid from 84000 to 81500. Despite significant selling pressure, it hasn't crashed—indicating someone is absorbing it. BTC market dominance rose to 59.35%, money is concentrating into Bitcoin, and on-exchange funds are still holding firm.
Don't be fooled by the "no crash." Spot participation is very thin, put options are being aggressively bought, and below 80000 there is a cluster of liquidation points. To translate: the bulls are holding firm above 80000 with thin buy orders, and below that is basically empty air.
There is another key level: 83000. This is the average cost line for ETFs and the dividing line between bulls and bears. If it can't hold, holders start to see unrealized losses, and redemptions will only increase—outflows, price drops, more outflows. The worst scenario in this cycle is breaking below the cost line.
ETH is even worse: nine consecutive outflows, intraday low at 2409, just shy of the previous low. Institutions are much more determined to withdraw ETH than BTC.
In terms of strategy: treat any rebound as just a rebound for now; wait for ETFs to turn positive and for 83000 to hold with volume before making moves. Before tomorrow night's CPI release, those rushing in are just catching knives. Do you think ETFs can turn positive this week?
#BTC and ETH spot ETFs are flowing out simultaneously, has institutional demand weakened? Dogecoin got a new engine installed, let an experienced user explain
The most exciting news for me these days: a company called Metallicus has launched a test version of DogecoinVM on the mainnet, making Dogecoin transactions about 300 times faster.
Don't understand?
I'll explain it in a simple way. The original Dogecoin transfers were like an old-fashioned cash register, processing transactions one by one in line—safe but slow. The new solution is like adding a row of self-checkout machines next to it, while the original cash register remains untouched. It doesn't change Dogecoin's underlying layer but wraps an additional parallel network outside: the fast one handles speed, the old one handles security.
The CEO also said this fulfills Elon Musk's original vision of using Dogecoin for payments. I like hearing that. In 2019, the first time I used $DOGE to transfer, it was to tip a few cents to a user on a foreign forum, and it took almost ten minutes to arrive. Back then, I thought if this thing could be a bit faster, it could really be used as money.
Now, someone has taken action on that "a bit faster." Whether it succeeds or not is another story, but this is the direction I've been waiting for seven years.
The joy of old fans is simple: the market can wait, but the words "can be spent" are what really matter.$BTC BTC quickly recovered after the drop, with the 4-hour chart completing two bottom tests, which is a relatively positive signal: it did not break the previous low; even if it later tries to break below the previous low, it will form a 4-hour bullish divergence structure.
However, on the long-term rhythm, the 3-day MACD has already formed a death cross, so at this stage, avoid chasing highs. The current strategy is that shorting on rallies offers better cost-effectiveness.
Once the trend turns, it will not reverse easily. The current market long-short ratio has reached 1.6, with bottom-fishing funds crowding in; even if the market temporarily stabilizes, it is highly likely to continue oscillating with repeated bottom tests.
Today's trading plan:
Short positions can be set up in the 83500–84000 range
Stop loss: 84500
Target: 80800
Position size 5.5, leverage 10x
On the macro level: September CPI data is about to be released, and Harker has stated there is still room for further rate hikes; BTC and ETH spot ETFs continue to see capital outflows, with institutional buying demand clearly weakening.
The market has repeatedly tested support, showing weakness; do not be fooled by quick spike rebounds.It's still the same old talk about near. Over the weekend, taking advantage of low liquidity, it exploded upward to a new high of 6, closing at 15k with an upper shadow. Afterwards, due to the overall weakness of the market, it dropped from 6 all the way down below 4.9 this morning. Bulls and bears diverged at the integer level of 6. Also, the funding rate for the bulls in this coin is at most 0.01, but the bears don't have this cap, right? Isn't that cheap? I've never seen the bulls' funding rate exceed 0.01. The long-short ratio went from less than one to greater than one. Are you telling me there are more shorts? Could it be that the long-short ratio is distorted? I saw this issue in a post last time. Additionally, continue raising interest rates, explode this coin $NEAR, and Chuanzi quickly deploy ground forces to cripple Iran so badly that it won't come out to talk for decades. This is the best.$ETH 今日行情分析！！！
早上好，小伙伴们！昨晚那波空单吃上了吗？
回顾昨天ETH从低位一路反弹至2578附近，随后开始持续回调。琴姐提前让大家关注高位做空机会，目标看向2530—2500，美股开盘后反弹依旧乏力，行情顺利抵达目标区间！
没想到凌晨又是一波下探，最低来到2405附近，不少追多的朋友被打了个措手不及。
不过2405附近出现了较强的买盘承接，早间亚盘开盘后行情快速反弹，短时间拉升超过100点，链上资金也持续流入，说明低位仍有资金在关注。
接下来怎么看？
琴姐认为短线虽然反弹明显，但还不能急着追多！重点关注上方 2530附近的压力，观察价格能否有效站稳。
如果放量突破并站稳，反弹才有机会继续延续，如果冲高无力、再次承压就要警惕回落风险。
$ZEC #9月CPI公布在即，哈玛克称仍需进一步加息 兄弟们，今早起来看盘，心是不是又涼了一半？💔$BTC $ETH
$BTC 直接跌破了 $83,000 关口，最低探到了 $82,900 附近！美债收益率飙升，宏观局势紧绷，市场上的韭菜们又开始抱头痛哭，大喊“牛回速归”是个骗局！大群里一片哀嚎，甚至有人已经开始准备割肉挂挂单了…… 😭📉
但你们看到背后的真相了吗？！💥
链上数据硬核到让人发指：美国现货 BTC ETF 的链上持仓量已经正式突破了 200 万枚（占全球总供应量的 10%+）！华尔街机构和巨头们还在疯狂吸筹，单周哪怕市场回调，买盘依然不减！
华尔街在用宏观情绪砸盘吸筹，散户却在割肉砸自己的脚！这到底是诱空洗盘，还是最后的离场警告？$ZEC ZEC/USDT永续 30分钟级别，空头形态，看空不做空，因为大盘局势不明朗。
本ID观点：行情前期冲高回落，下探打出1112.06低点，现在属于大跌之后的小幅修复反弹，整体大趋势依旧偏弱。等价格反弹至1230压力位可以试空，第一目标看向1180支撑，止损放在1245上方，一旦突破该位置，空头思路就要暂停。
缠论结构：从高点1383.76开启下跌走势，中途构建了紫色下跌中继中枢，下跌打出1112.06低点之后走出一段反弹，反弹形成图中第二个紫色中枢；随后价格再次向下破位创出新低，当前这一笔回升，只是破位后的反抽，并没有扭转30分钟下跌主结构。
威科夫量价观察：前面主跌阶段放量下行，而这一波反弹的成交量明显萎缩，买盘承接力量不足，资金没有持续进场抄底，属于下跌后的弱势回弹，多头进攻力度不强。
核心观察：重点盯紧1230这个压力位置，反弹到此处出现滞涨、量能萎缩，就是试空机会；如果放量站稳1245，说明短期多头力量走强，不能继续看空。 $ASTER is quite conflicted: the perpetual exchange behind it consistently ranks among the industry's top in daily volume, yet the platform token itself has dropped 70% from its peak, with a market cap now only 1.8 billion.
The usual logic for platform tokens is that good business means a valuable token. Aster indeed captured volume—offering 1000x leverage and nearly free fees, overshadowing many established DEXs. But the market clearly doesn't trust the quality of this volume: the trading driven by subsidies and high leverage depends on whether fees get cut or not. The token price dropping 70% in a year is traders' way of grading this.
Even more awkward is the token distribution. Only about 30% is circulating; the remaining 60%+ is locked in the ecosystem, treasury, and team, untouched. The current 1.8 billion market cap corresponds to a fully diluted valuation of 5.7 billion, meaning today's platform valuation has already been prepaid more than twice over by tokens not yet released. The supply looming above the price on the ground is even more unsettling.
Compared to HYPE in the same sector, there's a 20x market cap gap. For the same business, the market's discount on Aster is understandable.
Around 0.7 is the level where this rebound has been repeatedly tested; breaking above it would recover this week's losses. Below, 0.65 was the recently established bottom. As long as the divergence between business and token price remains uncorrected, every green candle is just an oversold reflex. #Institutional Continuous Positioning, Why Does BTC Still Face Pressure?
Core Phenomena
1. Macro liquidity is the biggest ceiling; the interest rate environment suppresses risk asset valuations
Bitcoin itself does not generate cash flow; its valuation is highly influenced by real interest rates and U.S. Treasury yields.
Even if institutions keep allocating, if long-term U.S. Treasury yields remain high, a large amount of capital will prioritize high-yield fixed income assets and be unwilling to assign higher valuations to highly volatile crypto assets.
At the same time, the market is constantly playing a game with the Fed's rate cut pace: inflation data fluctuates, employment remains resilient, and the market keeps postponing rate cut expectations, making it difficult for risk assets to sustain a major rally. As long as rate cut expectations are not truly realized, every rebound is treated as a window to reduce positions.
2. ETFs are a "two-way channel," allowing both buying and continuous selling
Many mistakenly believe ETFs only have net inflows, which is the biggest misconception.
Spot ETFs effectively provide Wall Street asset managers, pension funds, and family offices with a high-liquidity outlet for one-click buying and one-click redemption selling.
After a wave of large weekly net inflows, it is easy to see profit-taking and large net outflows follow. One wave of big money comes in, while another wave of earlier investors redeems directly to cash out during the rebound. The net inflow buying is directly offset by the redeemed selling.
Institutional positioning ≠ all institutions uniformly bullish; some institutions are building positions gradually on dips, while others are taking profits and exiting on rallies.
3. Heavy selling pressure from whales and high-level trapped positions creates a thick resistance zone aboveWant to know what TSMC will say in advance? Check ASML on Wednesday morning first
TSMC reports earnings on Thursday, but the real preview airs Wednesday morning—ASML delivers first. The logic is simple: ASML sells lithography machines to TSMC, and EUV orders are a leading indicator of TSMC's capacity expansion.
ASML's current forecast: revenue of €11.66 billion, up 53% year-over-year, gross margin 55%-57%. But the numbers aren't the main point; the focus is on two things: how many new EUV orders there are, and whether the 2027 outlook will be raised. Its EUV capacity is already booked through 2027, with plans to expand capacity by another 30% in 2027.
To translate: if ASML's EUV orders explode, it means an early official announcement that TSMC's capital expenditure will increase, making Goldman Sachs' $85 billion call solid; if orders are weak, TSMC's guidance on Thursday is expected to be cut by 30%.
Interestingly, ASML has already risen 66% this year, and its valuation isn't cheap. "Meeting expectations" might not be enough—same problem as TSMC: expectations are maxed out, and the biggest fear is good news being fully priced in.
For the crypto community: the sentiment front for AI-themed coins is Wednesday morning, but don't bet heavily. The real main event Wednesday is the 8:30 PM CPI release; BTC's main storyline is still there. Two big shows, which one will you watch?
#TSMC Q3 revenue hits a new high, profitability performance to be revealed $ZEC finally drops from $1,348 to $1,230, but my short is still far underwater. 😩
My entry was $816, and this pullback barely helps. Resistance sits near $1,320, with support around $1,200.
All eyes are on tomorrow’s CPI data. Hot inflation could push ZEC below $1,200 toward $1,050, while softer data may trigger a bounce toward $1,320.
For now, this looks more like profit-taking before CPI than a confirmed trend reversal.
Being stuck in a short is exhausting.#BTC与ETH现货ETF同步流出，机构需求转弱了吗？
一句话先给核心结论：短期是风险偏好回落、交易盘集中止盈，不等于中长期机构彻底放弃配置，不能直接等同于“机构需求已经转弱”。
一、这次同步流出是什么背景？
刚过去这一周，BTC现货ETF单周净流出6.81亿美元，ETH现货ETF单周流出5.42亿美元，是比较明显的同步赎回，刚好撞上几件事共振：
1. 美债长端收益率再度走高，通胀数据反复，市场不断把美联储降息预期往后推，高估值风险资产集体被压估值；
2. 9月一波反弹之后，价格摸到上方重套牢区，前期冲进来的短线交易型机构、家族办公室选择落袋；
3. 地缘风险抬升，全市场风险偏好收缩，不光加密，纳斯达克、成长股同步承压，属于跨资产的避险调仓，不是单独看空BTC/ETH。
二、最关键误区：ETF流出 ≠ 所有机构都在卖出
很多人会把ETF资金流当成机构的统一投票，这里一定要拆开两类完全不一样的资金：
✅ 一类是短线交易型资金（这次流出的主力）
对冲基金、做波段的资管，用ETF来做趋势交易。涨一波、碰到阻力、宏观出现不确定AI硬件是要变天了吗？
存储和光通信板块这波集体跳水，闪迪 $SNDK 下跌5.97%，美光科技 $MU 下跌3.88%，Lumentum $LITE 重挫9.78%
前期AI基建狂热把相关个股推得太高，积累了大量获利盘。加上市场上关于先进存储器在华竞争加剧及产能释放的担忧，资金一看风向不对立刻选择落袋为安，导致情绪面快速崩塌
这其实是AI硬件炒作从单纯看故事向兑现业绩过渡的阵痛期，前期市场对高增长预期打得太满，一旦出现任何边际增速放缓的苗头，踩踏就在所难免
后市板块短期内震荡筑底难免，但巨头们在AI底座上的护城河还在。随着业绩窗口期逼近，真正有技术壁垒和硬核订单的公司会分化出来，接下来要看财报能不能扛住高估值
DYOR #闪迪MSCI调仓生效，NAND估值受关注
闪迪美东 10.12 收盘 1487.33，单日大跌 5.97%，盘中最低 1464.43。存储板块集体下杀，美光同步下跌，SK 海力士、铠侠联动回撤。近期走势特征：7 个交易日 6 天下跌，进入连续回调的弱势震荡阶段。
下跌核心逻辑主要是以下几点：
1. 资金开始博弈盈利增速见顶，NAND 涨价斜率放缓；中长期基本面、939 亿长协订单、140 亿回购计划逻辑不变，但市场不再无脑交易高增长。
2. 长鑫存储 4F² 架构突破，市场提前计价远期 NAND 赛道竞争加剧。
3. 日韩存储龙头回购计划提前终止，缺少买盘托底，资金集中兑现 AI 存储高位标的。
4. 美联储官员偏鹰表态，降息预期延后，压制高估值成长股。本轮回调最重要关口。如果放量跌破 1420 = 空头趋势延续，后续下方空间打开。只要守住这个位置，短期就有机会酝酿修复反弹#闪迪美光下跌，长鑫技术进展受关注 #OKX百万规划师 【链上交易动态｜STRK】
监控到地址 0x0c1f 开多：
▪ 成交价格：0.08802 美元
▪ 本次成交金额：118,665.58 美元
▪ 杠杆：5 倍
这笔多单，有人跟他看法一样吗？
备注：该地址近30天盈利超35.8w美金，收益率 +76.31%前阵子被老同学拉进一个群
他天天发收益图
我看着看着就心动了
拿了几百块进去试
第一笔买了 $BTC
买完就往下掉
掉得我半夜还摸手机
后来又去碰 $ETH
链上东西多
手续费也贵
一笔操作半天白忙
再后来听人吹 $SOL 快
转点小钱去玩
快是真快
坑也真坑
有的项目说没就没
亏过几次才学乖
不追热点
不跟喊单
不碰看不懂的
私钥自己抄好
谁问都不给
陌生链接不点
空投再香也不乱连钱包
现在只拿亏了不心疼的钱
放着就放着
涨了不飘
跌了不慌
这行机会多
坑更多
活得久比赚一波重要
别借钱
别上头
别信稳赚
剩下的交给时间#台积电Q3营收创新高，盈利表现待揭晓
#BTC与ETH现货ETF同步流出，机构需求转弱了吗？
#微软发布新一代AI芯片，股价触及年内高点 On the eve of CPI: 1.16 billion liquidations, the market falls first out of respect
Last night the crypto market fell first out of respect: BTC broke 82,000, 1.16 billion liquidations with over 90% longs, ETH dropped over 5%.
But this wave isn't just about crypto: Nasdaq 100 -0.71%, Philadelphia Semiconductor -2.67%, KOSPI intraday -4%. Falling together — all tied to the same rope called US Treasury yields.
30-year US Treasury at 5.70%, highest since 2002. Who still holds BTC when you can earn 5%+ risk-free? Tech stocks and crypto are similar assets: they rely on "future" stories, and when rates rise, everything gets discounted.
Options are counterintuitive: put options pile up at 76,000/78,000/80,000 strikes, but 7-day implied volatility dropped from 34.5% to 32% — volatility falls as price falls, no one really expects a big event tomorrow night. Defense is maxed out, but no bullets loaded.
Biggest divergence: Harker hawkish, CME bets 79.5% on no rate hike in October. Who's lying? We'll see at 20:30 tomorrow night.
Three numbers: Core CPI month-on-month expected 0.16%-0.21%, a 0.1% deviation equals the difference between 80,000 and 75,000; BTC resistance at 83,500-84,500, support at 81,000; ETH breaks 2,401, 553 million long positions liquidated.
Trading advice: don't heavily bet on direction before the data, reduce leverage on rebounds if your position is heavy. Tomorrow night at 20:30, will you be watching the market or waking up to see the results?
#9月CPI公布在即，哈玛克称仍需进一步加息 先记录 $ENA 的位置，再谈观点：现价0.2136，离1小时支撑0.1988约6.93%，离压力0.2459约15.12%。
$ENA 多空都能找到理由，可一看上下边界，舒服的空间其实并不多。1小时偏弱、4小时偏弱，RSI分别为37和46。
我只保留一条上行确认——突破0.2459；也只保留一条下行否定条件——跌破0.1988。其余波动先当噪声。
如果必须先选一个验证点，你会盯压力确认还是支撑失守？
以上是行情观察，不构成投资建议。这里是币圈牛牛说。Brothers, ZEC has dropped to 1212, down another 4.7% in 24 hours.
$ZEC $1,212
From the high of 1698, the pullback has exceeded 28%. But what’s really worth watching today isn’t the price, it’s the on-chain activity and the ETF moving in opposite directions.
Whales are buying, ETFs are selling.
Last week, a whale withdrew 26,070 ZEC from Binance and Kraken in one go, worth $31.93 million. Another big player was even more aggressive, doubling their position to $66.75 million during the dip, sweeping 54,400 coins off the exchanges.
But the institutions are acting completely differently. The US ZEC spot ETF saw $124 million withdrawn, and Grayscale’s ZCSH turned from buying pressure into selling pressure. Whales are taking coins off exchanges, ETFs are offloading coins — two groups parting ways at this point.
NU7 upgrade is the next card. The testnet is already live, block time cut from 75 seconds to 25 seconds, with the mainnet target set for November 5. The old Sprout pool’s ZEC will become invalid after the upgrade, so holders of old addresses need to act in advance.
Technically, 1,200 is the short-term lifeline; if it breaks, look for 1,100. Only if it holds can we talk about a rebound.
Discuss in the comments: whales bottom-fishing and ETFs retreating, which do you trust?👇
#9月CPI公布在即，哈玛克称仍需进一步加息
#BTC与ETH现货ETF同步流出，机构需求转弱了吗？ 比特币4小时空头信号重燃，ADX站上20
$BTC 现价约 83410。4小时 EMA20≈83088 下压 EMA50≈83423，ADX≈20.5，空头动能刚回来；箱体仍在 80961–84348。收不稳 83400 看 83100→82280/81700；站稳收回均线、ADX 再熄火再谈多。周三通胀前别把方向做死。You really made me laugh. I shorted at the peak, but it hit my stop loss exactly and then dropped all the way down, not missing a single dollar... Then I went long again, and it was just a few dollars off from liquidating me, hilarious 😂 roller coaster 🎢RSR 多单策略 | ≤5x杠杆
核心逻辑：通缩叙事加速+RFC-1269销毁30%供应预期，Burn Gauge已生效零解锁，日线放量突破前高
📍 伏击区（分3档）
① $0.0021- → 40%（现价/突破回踩区）
② $0.00205- → 35%（日内支撑+EMA7重合）
③ $0.00190- → 25%（深度回调/前平台防线）
→ 综合成本 ≈ $0.00218
🛡️ 硬止损：$0.00178（日线收盘破，结构证伪）
止损空间约18%，杠杆建议≤5x
🎯 阶梯目标
• TP1 $0.00265（+22%，前高密集区）减40%
• TP2 $0.00295（+35%，心理关口）再减35%
• TP3 $0.00340+（+56%，RFC-1269获批博弈）剩余奔跑
⚠️ 关键事件/观察
• RFC-1269获批销毁300亿枚=主升浪触发器
• Burn Gauge每季度重投，下轮投票前可能抢跑
• 日线ATR约15%，波动大仓位控制好$BTC
• RSI已热，短线追高风险大，等回踩再接$RSR $全市场 235 跌 / 35 涨，$BTC $-0.7%，$ETH $-1.9%，$SOL $-4.4%——
$RSR 24 小时涨了 29%，此刻 0.0021。
这不是补涨，是穿越。
昨天 RSR 借着板块轮动拉了 47%，爆了 1.75 亿枚——正常均量的 200 倍。一般这种量出来，第二天就该出货砸盘。
结果今天不但没砸，还再拉 29%，最新一根 4H（12:00 CST 起）已经放了 1050 万枚，是均量 40 倍。相当于说：昨天冲进去的人，今天不但没跑，还有人继续加码。
同一时间段，整个山寨板块在跌——这是 RSR 自己在走独立逻辑。
看 4H 结构：0.0020 成了新的支撑平台，昨晚 0.0023 那根上影线当时判断是出货，现在看像是吸筹换手。$RSR 在全市场最弱的一天逆势新高，这个信号值得盯。
你们觉得 RSR 这波能破 0.003 吗？你交易的是你的观点。
一大早起来，BTC跌1个多点，ETH大跌5个点，市场一片红。
我下意识想顺着市场交易。一番挑选，最终选了 $STRK 。
可惜它的位置我不是很满意。
但我想，相信感觉，位置差点也无所谓。
然后10倍杠杆，在一个比较差的位置进场了。
事实证明，我对位置不满意的想法是对的。
没过几分钟，一根反向4%的大绿柱差点给我拉爆。
看着亏损在累积，实在扛不住内心压力，最终在亏30%的时候走了。
洗了把脸，冷静下来，去看市场消息，想知道ETH为什么跌这么多。
后来发现，是受英国法院判决影响。
我个人内心觉得，就这种程度，跌这么多实在不应该。
纯粹是这两天市场悲观，情绪被放大了。
按理来说，是要修复的。
于是我转头找了市场最高的标 $CT ，在六个点的时候进场。
它也没辜负我的期望，涨到了八个点。
这时候我看图形，感觉差不多该回调了，选择平仓，想着等回调后再接回来。
结果它却迟迟不见回落。
我就想：我平仓的动作，不就相当于看空吗？
我问自己，这个时候敢开空吗？
我不敢。
那我敢开继续多吗？
我也不敢。
我只能眼睁睁看着$CT 暴涨到20个点 $SNDK 昨天止损了两次，今天回补点多仓，实在没料到闪迪夜间能跌这么多，原本以为跌到1520就该止跌了，结果一路跌穿1500，最近AI发展不及预期，带崩了储存，但我觉得这都是高景气行业的小波动，后续还是会回归正常，所以即便这波闪迪从1900跌到1400，我还是敢逆势加仓。从短期看应该马上要来反弹了，今早长鑫科技一路从跌5个点到现在快要翻红了，理想情况下今晚闪迪也要跟一波反弹，波段玩家应该要抓住今晚的反弹机会。官员喊加息，市场偏不信！明天CPI一出，看谁打脸
明天晚上八点半，9月CPI准时开奖。现在最有意思的不是数据本身，而是——一边联储官员放鹰喊"还得加"，另一边市场用真金白银投票"你敢加？"
克利夫兰联储主席哈玛克昨天刚撂下话：通胀还热乎着呢，继续加息没商量。结果CME数据直接甩他脸上：10月按兵不动的概率干到79.5%。
翻译一下就是：官员说"我觉得该加"，市场说"我赌你不敢"。两边吵得不可开交，就等明天CPI来当裁判。
机构预测也挺鸡贼：整体CPI因为油价涨，可能从3.4%蹦到3.7%，看着挺唬人。但核心CPI环比反而可能从0.3%降到0.2%——说白了就是"表面吓人，里子在降温"。这种数据，涨也不是跌也不是，怎么解读全看资金心情。
我反正是提前把杠杆卸了。这种节骨眼上重仓赌方向，跟闭着眼过马路没区别。你觉得数据温和，出来就超预期；你觉得要爆雷，结果又符合预期。反正怎么猜都有一半错，不如蹲旁边看戏。
说真的，这几个月每次CPI前都跟过年似的，全员盯屏幕等开奖。结果呢？涨也涨不到哪去，跌也跌不到哪去，折腾半天就是个震荡。真正赚到大钱的，从来不是赌数据的，而是等尘埃落定再出手的。
明天晚上八点半，全民蹲守大戏准时开场。我小板凳都搬好了，就看这次CPI到底站哪边——是帮哈玛克撑场子，还是帮市场狠狠打他脸。
琢磨出来的三个理：
1. 官员放嘴炮归放嘴炮，别当真。市场真金白银押的概率，比任何讲话都靠谱。
2. 数据公布前别赌身家。80%的概率听着稳，那20%的意外才是真要命。
3. 慢半拍不亏大钱，赌错方向才会。与其紧张得手抖，不如等结果出来再动手。空头被“反向收割”，BTC、ETH成主战场
过去24小时，清算天平明显倒向空方。BTC总清算5250万美元，空单4271万，占比逾八成；ETH总清算5378万，空单4242万，占近八成。更短周期看，ETH的12小时空单清算达1863万，超过BTC的967万，成为本轮“扫空”最猛战场。二者合计，空头被抹去逾8500万美元。
XRP体量不大，24小时清算207万，空单149万，方向依旧偏空。虽绝对值有限，但结构说明这不是单币异动，而是盘面在集中挤出空头筹码。
问题随之而来：空单被密集平仓，往往带来被动买盘，推动价格脉冲式上行。但这类上涨究竟是真反转，还是流动性猎杀后的诱多？若多头无法在清算高峰后继续放量承接，短线回踩风险仍在。接下来数小时，看BTC、ETH能否守住清算密集区，将决定这轮是趋势起点，还是又一次陷阱。Thanks to my fellow players for the concern. If I can break even before this evening, I will definitely treat myself to a pork knuckle rice meal!
Good afternoon, brothers, October 13th, 12:30.
The market finally pulled back a bit this morning, and the floating losses on my three deeply trapped long positions have finally narrowed, temporarily out of ICU.
I saw a message from a fellow player this morning: "Whether you hold or not doesn't matter, if you hold on, you deserve a bowl of pork knuckle rice." That hit me hard! To get into the crypto circle, I drank plain water in the morning, ate fast food at noon, and usually just steamed buns with pickled vegetables.
If I can really hold on today, I must grit my teeth and add a pork knuckle rice dinner!
Regarding operations: I closed my $CL short position this morning. Although the direction was right, the funding rate was too high, which cost me 20% of my profits. Such low liquidity tokens are not worth holding; better to run first.
The current strategy remains unchanged: hold tight and wait for the CPI! As long as tomorrow night’s CPI surprises on the downside and inflation cools, short covering will give me a window to escape. Holding positions is not reckless; it’s waiting for the data to land before deciding life or death.
If you successfully hold your positions, what will you reward yourself with?
Feel free to share.
I think pork knuckle rice is a good choice, Longjiang pork knuckle rice!
$BTC $ETH - 上方压力：2,566（MA10）和2,578高点，再往上是2,610-2,626均线密集区
- 下方支撑：2,480-2,500，其次2,407低点
- 站稳2,500，反弹有望延续；再度跌回2,480下方，反弹就算失败
🧠 午盘心得
1. 昨天提到超卖会有反抽，今天验证了，但反抽到压力位更要冷静，不追涨
2. 搜索栏热点提到9月CPI公布在即，美联储官员称需进一步加息，数据前后容易剧烈波动。另外Tom Lee提示韩国股市大跌可能给加密市场带来短期冲击，下午要防回落
3. 反弹时先把风控做好，仓位别因为涨了就放大
⚠️ 以上仅为个人复盘，不构成投资建议，合约风险极高，大家务必控制仓位！