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星辰大海➠
有件事我一直没想明白:日本卖国债,为什么最后是我账户里的币在跌?
11月10日日本30年期国债拍卖,投标倍数3.36,比过去一年平均的3.6低,也比上次的3.88低。说白了没人愿意买。互换市场说,日本央行12月加息概率77%。
逻辑不复杂:一大堆钱是借日元去买别的资产,因为日元利息几乎为零。日本一加息,这笔钱得还回去;还钱就得卖东西,卖的当然是最好出手的——$BTC 这种随时刻变现的。
日本那边有动静,我这边就绿。挺荒诞,但也没啥办法。
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