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沐光博士
沐光博士
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闪迪两天上演过山车,存储芯片这波行情还敢追吗? 上周美股最刺激的股票之一,绝对有闪迪 $SNDK 。 周四直接暴跌22%,周五又反弹3.55%。前段时间还被市场追捧的存储芯片,转眼就成了资金砸盘的重灾区。 但翻了一下闪迪的财报,业绩确实够猛。 最新季度营收110亿美元,环比增长23%,其中数据中心业务收入48亿美元,环比增长61%,调整后毛利率更是达到85.1%。 这利润率,看着都离谱。 而且公司已经宣布11月19日实施1拆8的股票拆分。 不过,我对闪迪短期走势还是有点谨慎。 存储芯片向来有周期性,价格上涨的时候,利润可以涨得很快。一旦供需关系发生变化,回落也可能相当凶。 眼下AI数据中心建设确实拉动了存储需求,但这些需求究竟能支撑多久,谁也不敢打包票。 尤其经历了这么大一轮上涨,市场对业绩的要求已经很高了。即使财报漂亮,也未必能扛住资金兑现利润。 如果是你,闪迪暴跌22%后会考虑抄底,还是觉得存储芯片这波已经涨过头了?
沐光博士
沐光博士
Elon Musk is finally ready to give up on the Cybertruck, and Tesla's pivot this time is quite sharp. An electric pickup truck that was once highly anticipated may be phased out earlier than expected. Musk announced plans to gradually end Cybertruck production at the Texas factory by mid-2027, freeing up capacity to produce more Cybercabs. This vehicle initially had a target of 250,000 units sold annually, but by 2025, U.S. sales are only about 20,000, which is quite a big gap. However, the market reaction is somewhat subtle. Tesla plunged 10.77% on Thursday but rebounded about 4.2% on Friday, closing near $358. I think Musk's adjustment this time isn't necessarily a bad thing. It's better to shift resources early to businesses with growth potential than to let unsellable models continue occupying production capacity. The question is, can the Cybercab pick up the slack? Tesla's Q3 revenue was about $28 billion, but operating profit dropped 56% year-over-year. The profitability pressure on the automotive business is clear, and continuous investment in autonomous driving is still needed. The Cybertruck is at least a vehicle that can be sold to consumers. There are still many question marks about how many cities the Cybercab can operate in and whether it can achieve scalable profitability in the future. I understand the market is willing to pay a premium for Tesla's autonomous driving story, but it's time to deliver more concrete operational data. If the Cybercab doesn't scale up in the next two years, do you think Tesla's current valuation can hold up?

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