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还我一袋辣条
闪迪（SNDK）分析：周期标签是否失效？
现价835美元，较7月高点回撤超60%，TTM PE仅6.1倍；25位分析师中17位给“Strong Buy”，目标价2047美元。分歧在于周期标签是否失效。FY2026营收202亿美元、净利114亿、毛利率71.5%；数据中心占bit 38%，NBM长协最低收入939亿美元、均期超4年，FY2027约50% bit纳入。供给纪律、推理需求与HBF期权支撑“这次不同”。风险：NBM签约放缓、消费拖累、NAND价格分化、11月20日拆股扰动。非投资建议。
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