
Post
Real Henry
#BTC进入摩根大通长期预测,机构配置仍谨慎
机构把比特币写进长期预测了,不等于已经放进核心配置。
我一开始也跟着标题飘了一下。翻 The Block 对摩根大通资管第 31 份 LTCMA 的引文,他们是给了约 10% 的十年复合假设,波动大概 55%。同一段里写清楚了:BTC 还没进他们用来量资产同涨同跌的主协方差矩阵,只另做了一张更小的、跟一部分资产对照的表。
标题说进了长期预测、机构在配,先看有没有进主协方差。有预测数字,跟已经放进核心模型,别直接划等号。
他们下次 LTCMA 要是把 BTC 写进主协方差矩阵了,我回来认这帖看浅了。

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