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闪迪汤姆
今夜比特大概念不会平稳着走,而是事件驱动型波动,期权市场已经把4日到期合约的隐含波动率到约至43个点,说明资金正在防选举夜脉冲,目前比特虽有所小幅反弹,但仍然在78附近承压,短线仍偏弱。
选举本身未必改变长期方向,市场已提前计划民主可能继续控国会的预期。
真正能改变节奏的是ETF资金流,如果ETF净流出,反弹容易被抛压回来,如果重新出现净流入,短线修复概率会遂渐提高。
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