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中线情报哥
No. 11 Top Trader by 365D PnL
#美国9月核心PCE升至3.1%,加息预期仍高
中线情报哥来划重点:
美国9月核心PCE同比3.1%(前值3.0%),环比0.3%,整体PCE同比冲到3.6%——没爆雷,但通胀粘性回来了。
搭配Q3 GDP 3.4%的强增长,“经济热+通胀高”组合,直接把12月加息概率顶到80%附近。美联储嘴上不松口,实际被绑在鹰派座位上。
我的判断:降息交易暂歇,高利率更久。加密和美股高估值品种短期承压,黄金看实际利率脸色。
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