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Yuvi.
$TLT，通胀粘性与增长韧性下，长债还缺什么催化？9月核心PCE同比3.1%，三季度GDP年化增3.4%，美联储内部又出现偏鹰分歧，长端利率因此面临通胀溢价和供给压力。若就业和消费明显降温、通胀连续回落，久期资产才更有支撑；若核心价格黏住且财政供给抬升期限溢价，长债反弹容易受限。
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