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歪文
11月1日前后就结算,这个期限我比概率下滑更在意。看到比特币触价预期降温,常见解读是看空。
反过来想一下,我更倾向把它看成期限风险的重估:一是越临近结算,留给触价的时间越少;二是没触价也可能上涨,这种二元盘口装不下温和上涨的预期。你觉得这次变化主要是在押方向,还是押剩余时间不够?欢迎持相反意见的人来辩。

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