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比特帝二哥
宏观背景:FOMC之后,真正的考验才刚开始
FOMC本身没有制造意外,但PCE(10月29日)和约$110亿的期权到期(10月30日) 接踵而至,构成了本周真正的波动来源。期权市场的定价已经反映了防御倾向:看跌期权的隐含波动率(44%)高于看涨期权(38%),交易员在为下行风险支付溢价。
地缘与科技股的扰动也未消散:布伦特原油在117区间反复,英伟达本周跌约8%、Meta跌9%,风险偏好的压制是系统性的$BTC $ETH $ZEC #微软Azure增长43%,AI商业化能否提速?
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