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WikiBit
92.8%的人盯著2:00的「不升息」喊利好,但真正的刀在2:30。CME給10月不變92.8%,路透100位經濟學家全押12月,CME 12月升息25bp機率約74.8%。新聞是「不動」,市場押的是「後面還有」。路徑大概率:2:00先漲,2:30沃什放鷹回落。BTC短期博弈帶82000—82500,摸一下再回8萬附近震盪;但若被讀成「12月是最後一次」,下跌反而有人接。別臨場拍腦袋,把鷹鴿兩套路徑提前掛進演算法委託,模擬盤先跑一遍,2:30讓策略執行,不是你追K線。
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