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寒江观盘
#黄金升破4300美元，资金在押降息还是避险？
现货黄金失守4000美元，本周累跌约4%。中东局势未变，避险买盘却托不住金价。油价上行推高通胀担忧，利率预期同步收紧；更关键的是市场波动引发流动性需求，部分资金卖出黄金换取现金。高位资产一旦流动性吃紧，就容易成为补窟窿的来源。
这轮下跌更像“加息重新上膛”的信号。油价飙涨，币圈在替通胀挨揍；避险资金并未流向加密，黄金与大饼同步走弱，说明市场在交易紧缩预期。大饼难独善其身，ZEC空单或比多单先熬出头。大饼昨晚瀑布后，关注8万关口能否守住；失守则看更深回调，上方压力84000-85000。不追涨不杀跌，挂好止
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