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The issue about Hyperliquid was still heard when chatting with @PhyrexNi, who shared that two months before the midterm elections in Singapore, he said if the Democratic Party controls Congress, Hyperliquid's risks would be very high and it could become a key investigation target for non-US crypto companies.
Actually, it's not hard to understand. The Democratic Party controlling Congress means the regulatory threshold for AI and crypto is slightly higher—not a ban, but effective regulation and legislation, which would greatly increase the risks for Hyperliquid's current business.
This PANWES report is based on a personal interview by Bloomberg with Hyperliquid's founder Jeff. Jeff has now put on a suit and stepped into Wall Street, which is actually the trend.
Looking at Hyperliquid's current business, if the Democrats want to conduct targeted investigations, Hyperliquid's high-leverage perpetual contracts, US client access, decentralization authenticity, stock perpetual contracts, and the repurchase and distribution of Hyperliquid tokens could all become key focuses of Democratic investigations.
Jeff stepping into Wall Street and cooperating with ICE is indeed an effective way to avoid strong Democratic investigations, greatly reducing Hyperliquid's political risk, but compliance costs will significantly increase. However, this is unavoidable; in the grand scheme, no one can escape! #美国新旧国会交接或影响美伊局势 Brothers, after BTC plunged sharply to 75,000 yesterday, it has been consolidating sideways at this level. We won’t speculate on the future situation; instead, we’ll directly look at the real feedback from the market.
First, look at the $BTC candlestick pattern and trend. After the crash, it closed with a doji, currently in an extremely low volume state. This is not a signal of a bottom or stabilization, but a typical consolidation pattern following a large bearish candle. The bulls have not organized any effective counterattack; the price remains suppressed under the shadow of the previous sharp drop, showing a clear weak consolidation pattern.
Next, delve into the order book depth and capital game. There are dense sell orders around 75,892 above, with heavy selling pressure pressing the price down like a wall. Meanwhile, the buy-side support below is very thin and hesitant. What does this "heavy on top, light below" order book depth indicate? It shows that the main funds have no intention to support or buy at the bottom; every slight rebound is forcibly smashed back by even larger selling pressure above.
The current sideways movement essentially consumes the last patience of retail investors. Under this low volume and bearish depth market, the iron rule is that prolonged consolidation leads to a drop. The overall trend is still downward; both the order book depth and candlesticks tell us the same fact: the bulls are exhausted. We don’t need to guess the bottom; follow the trend, hold your chips well, and quietly wait for the next wave of volume-driven sell-off!
#美股遭大幅抛售：费城半导体指数创2020年3月以来最大单日跌幅 $ETH $ZEC Brothers, tonight's nonfarm payrolls are really strong!
The US added 165,000 jobs in October, while the market expected only 65,000, exceeding expectations by 100,000; August and September were also revised up by a total of 84,000, and the unemployment rate dropped to 4.1%.
As soon as the data came out, gold plunged directly, spot gold fell more than 1%, hitting a low near $4040.
With such strong employment, the Fed's rate cut in December is even harder, and the expectation of rate hikes is actually heating up.
Originally worried that high oil prices would drag down employment, but this data directly slapped that down. Tonight, the US stock market and Bitcoin probably won't be calm either, short-term volatility will definitely increase, don't rush to chase orders, watch the structure first before making a move. $BTC $XAU $ETH #美股遭大幅抛售：费城半导体指数创2020年3月以来最大单日跌幅 The trigger is straightforward: the Democrats took both chambers, and the governorships of Texas and Ohio—where data centers are most concentrated—turned blue. Land, permits, and power grid approvals are all controlled by these people. The market isn’t afraid of a lack of AI demand; it’s afraid that data centers simply can’t be built.
But the election is just the matchstick; what really explodes is the position. AI trading has been squeezed for a year, everyone is on the same boat, and once policy uncertainty emerges, those who move slowly get trampled. Qualcomm’s earnings missing expectations just gave everyone a decent excuse to get off the boat.
What’s falling is the assumption in valuations that approvals will always go smoothly, not the chips themselves. From now on, just focus on one thing: will data center approvals in Texas and Ohio really start to get blocked.
#美股遭大幅抛售：费城半导体指数创2020年3月以来最大单日跌幅 There's a pretty surreal detail: a crypto bill, and the fiercest opposition comes from its own central bank.
The National Bank of Ukraine says this version can't be supported; it would harm monetary sovereignty, financial stability, and market competition. In plain terms, the door is opened too wide, and no one manages what comes in.
Even more surreal is the process: the final text was only sent down on the evening of November 4, and all previously agreed compromises were deleted. The deputy governor raised concerns at the meeting, but the meeting format didn't allow for proper discussion.
There's also a loophole I understood: the number of platforms that can open in the next five years is left to the Securities Commission to decide, with no anti-monopoly provisions.
The central bank says to learn from the EU's MiCA. That makes sense. It doesn't really affect $BTC either.Seven days, from a floating profit of 760,000 to only 58,000, a liquidation lesson worth millions.
Witnessed another brutal real account liquidation case. An account, within just one week, went from a peak profit of 760,000 USD to a direct loss of 956,000 due to a sharp drop in tech stocks, leaving only 58,000 remaining in the account.
The liquidation path was very typical: extreme leverage stacking. The underlying SOXL is already a 3x leveraged semiconductor ETF, but he added another 7x leverage, effectively running naked with 21x exposure. Entry at 85.82, exit at 46.68, the price was literally halved, a single loss of 1.77 million, a return of -321%. Another position in SNDK was a classic gambler’s move, going all-in long with 22x leverage, entering at 855 and exiting at 819, instantly evaporating 108,000 USD, a drop of -93.4%.
What’s most heartbreaking? His win rate in the previous 30 days was as high as 85%. In favorable conditions, high leverage is a wealth accelerator; but in adverse conditions, it’s a guillotine that cuts off all lifelines. You can win a hundred times, but if you go all-in once and step wrong, you lose everything and even have to pay back the principal. xTEAM is in pre-market, and the chart shows a flat line, a spike to 158.13, a drop to about 151, and a bounce back to 155.02. That is a spike and a reversal, not a structure. Volume is almost zero, so none of the swings count as tested support or resistance. Price now sits on the flat MA20 at 155.66, with no clear direction.
The only levels on the chart are 158.13 (the recent high), 149.29 (the 24h low shown) and 191.16 (the 24h high, far above Ukraine's virtual asset bill faces its biggest resistance from its own central bank.
The National Bank (NBU) clearly stated it cannot support the current version for three reasons: it threatens monetary sovereignty, financial stability, and market competition. The first reason is the most critical—monetary sovereignty means the right to issue currency. A market that allows foreign tokens to enter freely and lets issuers bypass requirements is seen by the central bank as relinquishing monetary boundaries.
The timing is also crucial. The final text was only delivered to lawmakers on the evening of November 4, and several compromises previously reached by the working group with lawmakers and the National Securities and Stock Market Commission (NSSMC) were removed in this version. Deputy Governor Oleksiy Shaban raised concerns at the meeting, but the format did not support a full discussion.
Another contradiction lies in authorization. The draft hands over the number of platforms allowed to operate in the next five years to the NSSMC, but without anti-competition clauses. When the quantity is at the discretion of a single institution without checks and balances, the result is usually not stricter but less transparent—who gets the license first depends on relationships rather than rules.
The NBU's proposed solution is to benchmark the EU's MiCA by writing transparent authorization rules directly into the law: set the rules first, then allow entities. It is worth considering that for globally circulating assets like $BTC and $ETH, this bill has almost no short-term price impact; what is truly decided is the survival of local platforms.Good performance doesn't mean it's a buy
$SNDK dropped from over two thousand to over nine hundred.
Many people use the financial report as an argument.
What does this number mean: halved, which means it dropped by more than half.
Book profits reflect the past, prices are sold based on the future.
The next step is: the story of the price hike cycle is broken.
Micron and Hynix are on the same chain, no one can escape.
De-stocking is much slower than price increases.
The rebound should first be treated as a bull trap; over nine hundred is not the bottom.
A big drop has never been a reason to buy.
#美股遭大幅抛售：费城半导体指数创2020年3月以来最大单日跌幅
#$SNDK #تقرير أرباح Moderna للربع الثالث سيكشف عن اتجاهات مبيعات اللقاحات أبرز مؤشرات النتائج المالية (الربع الثالث)
Revenue Growth: The company's total revenue increased by 29% to $1.313 billion compared to about $1.0 billion in the same period last year.
Return to Profitability: Moderna achieved a net income of $162 million (earnings per share $0.38), compared to a net loss of $200 million in the third quarter of the previous year. The US added 165,000 seasonally adjusted nonfarm payroll jobs in October, compared to an expected 65,000, with the previous figure revised from 29,000 to 60,000. The released nonfarm data far exceeded market expectations, increasing the probability of a Fed rate hike in December. If you look closely at the nonfarm data, it actually looks more and more fake~#hyperliquidstrategies holds 38.52 million HYPE, about 16% of the circulating supply HYPE is worth holding long-term
【Follow the veteran investors, wealth is yours】Hyperliquid Strategies holds 38.52 million HYPE, about 16% of the circulating supply $HYPE
Behind HYPE, there is an institutional-level holding data worth attention. On November 6, according to the Q3 report submitted by Hyperliquid Strategies, as of September 30, 2026, the company held about 38.52 million HYPE, approximately 16% of the circulating supply at that time. This means a publicly listed company has accumulated a significant proportion of HYPE's circulating chips.
1️⃣ The holding scale has reached tens of billions of dollars
Based on the HYPE price of $90.99 on September 30, 38.52 million HYPE is worth about $3.505 billion. At the same time, the company's total assets were about $3.764 billion, with HYPE accounting for about 93.1%, cash and cash equivalents about $254.6 million, and the company disclosed no debt.
2️⃣ The company is still continuously accumulating HYPE
As of October 28, Hyperliquid Strategies disclosed that holdings further increased to about 38.9 million, with an average holding cost of about $56.35. The company had previously invested about $1.5832 billion to purchase about 25.9 million HYPE The US October nonfarm payroll data was comprehensively better than expected. The private sector added 159,000 jobs, far exceeding the market expectation of 64,000, with the previous value revised up from 46,000. Overall nonfarm payrolls increased by 165,000, also significantly higher than the expected 65,000, with the previous value revised up from 29,000. The unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, below the expected 4.2%, down 0.1 percentage points from the previous 4.2%. Wage growth also strengthened, with average hourly earnings rising 3.1% year-on-year, higher than the expected 2.9%, and accelerating further from the previous 3%. This report shows a pattern of multiple employment market indicators improving simultaneously: the number of new jobs far exceeded expectations and the data for the previous two months were revised upward, indicating that the actual strength of labor demand was previously underestimated; the unemployment rate declined against expectations, showing that the labor market has not cooled as quickly as the market had feared. The acceleration in wage growth combined with the rebound in employment points to continued solid support for household income, providing a foundation for consumer spending. Regarding the monetary policy path, the simultaneous strengthening of employment and wage data means the labor market does not yet present an urgent reason to push for further easing. #NonfarmRevealedTonight, how will the market bet on December rate hikes after the US stock market plunge?BTC and ETH both plunge! What is more worrisome than the bearish candlestick? 📉
This round of decline is not triggered by a single negative factor. US stocks in the AI and semiconductor sectors have been heavily reduced, and capital is starting to reassess the high investment and profit realization pace in data centers, cooling risk appetite for tech stocks 🌡️. Meanwhile, expectations for a Fed rate hike in December remain high, and interest rate pressure makes capital more cautious. The crypto market is also under pressure: ETF outflows combined with previous leverage buildup weaken the foundation for a rebound.
Market data shows $BTC once dropped nearly 5%, $ETH fell over 5%, and about $428 million long positions were liquidated within an hour ⚠️. This indicates that the decline is not only due to active selling but also forced liquidations accelerating volatility.
Looking ahead, first watch the US stock market opening: if the tech sector continues to weaken, BTC, ETH, and ZEC will inevitably remain under pressure; but a stabilization in US stocks is only a breather, not an immediate bullish reversal for crypto. Currently, it looks more like a correction after short covering, with insufficient evidence of a reversal. The key is not to guess the bottom of the plunge but to see if BTC can hold the $75,000 level and if spot buying volume can return. Don’t get carried away when it falls, and don’t loosen risk control when it bounces 🛡️.
#美股遭大幅抛售：费城半导体指数创2020年3月以来最大单日跌幅
#非农今晚揭晓，美股大跌后市场如何押注12月加息？ $CHTR
With stable broadband revenue, can Charter ease its debt pressure?
The public calendar lists Charter in the Friday earnings window. Broadband users, pricing, mobile business, and network construction collectively impact cash flow. Price increases maintain revenue but may not offset user churn and capital expenditures.
If user trends improve, capital spending declines, and free cash flow strengthens, the deleveraging path becomes clearer; if promotions increase yet users remain hard to retain, revenue stability may only be temporary.After the $BTC non-farm payroll release, the latest CME FedWatch:
✅ About a 71% chance of a 25bp rate hike in December, 29% chance of no change
Key breakdown
1. This 71% is the probability bet by futures funds, not a Fed commitment, just market pricing
2. Decisive variable: the next CPI inflation data
- If CPI exceeds expectations, the probability will surge above 80%, bearish for BTC
- If CPI drops significantly, the probability will quickly fall below 50%, making a rate hike uncertain, bullish for BTC rebound
3. Boundary: Almost no market bets on a large 50bp rate hike, only discussing whether to raise by 25 basis points or not
Bulls should not heavily bet on a reversal;
- Bears should also not hold blindly, CPI is the biggest variable #ModernaQ3VaccineSales
Moderna (MRNA) will report Q3 results before the US market open on Nov 6. It posted a net loss of ~$800M in Q2. Q3 vaccine sales will shed light on seasonal vaccination demand and revenue trends, while cash burn and progress in mRNA cancer therapies will offer clues to future growth.
#MNAUSDT$$SNDK Why is it still rising today?
The power of oversold recovery is stronger: after a 22% drop in one day, any "not worse" data will be taken as positive news.
The data falsifies the worst-case scenario: what SanDisk is facing this round is "peak price increase + data center regulation," not "economic recession." The 165,000 figure precisely indicates that the macro demand side has not collapsed, and the macro foundation of the AI narrative still exists.
The December rate hike has been widely priced in: Reuters surveyed 100 economists from October 16–20, all expecting a rate hike in December. When expectations are fully priced in, it’s hard for a second wave of negative news to emerge.
There is empirical recovery on the AI demand side: Cloudflare Q3 revenue was $782.5 million, up 39% year-over-year, EPS $0.38 beating expectations, and it raised its full-year guidance; IREN AI cloud revenue rose 182% quarter-over-quarter—these are closer to SanDisk’s downstream than macro data.
Three things to really watch tonight:
Unemployment rate and hourly wages: if the unemployment rate drops to 4.1% and hourly wages increase month-over-month by ≥0.4%, the rate hike pricing will break upward (the market originally expected wages to fall to 2.9% year-over-year; if that happens, "strong growth + no wage acceleration" would actually be the most stock-friendly combination); conversely, if the unemployment rate rebounds to 4.3%, the 165,000 figure will be read as a "one-time rebound."
Changes in the probability of a December rate hike (I haven’t gotten new readings after the data; if I can’t get them, I won’t guess).
Two numbers after the 22:30 open: the upper 900 level (pre-market high 909.76), the lower 806.43 (yesterday’s close, which is the low point of this panic). If 806.43 can’t hold, it means today’s rebound is just short covering.**$TEM LONG SETUP — Higher Lows Build Under 71.51**
Price jumped from 69.61 on a strong green push, hit 71.51, and pulled back to 70.95. It is now holding near the 71.03 MA20 while the averages flatten and converge. Buyers defended the dip. Target: a retest of 71.51, then the 73.59 24h high.
Setup stays valid while price holds above 70.60. Pre-market liquidity is thin. Manage your risk.
Trade on $TEM
Note: this is a weaker read than $TXN. Price is chopping at the averages with no clean.Let's dig into the details of this "Safe Coupon"—is it really free money?
After carefully analyzing the rules, it turns out to be a math problem. Using 5000U to subscribe, let's simulate three scenarios:
1️⃣ Easy profit scenario: As long as BTC doesn't crash in the next two days, even if it drops within 4% or goes up, you can steadily earn 5U interest. The profit is small but stable.
2️⃣ No gain scenario: If BTC drops between 4% and 14%, it's pure "ineffective work"—no interest earned, and the principal is returned in full.
3️⃣ Loss scenario: Here's the key! If the drop exceeds 14% (for example, an extreme 20% drop), you not only bear the loss beyond that threshold but also get deducted 6% (which is 300U). ⚠️ Yesterday, BTC surged intraday to about 82,000, then dropped back to around 77,800 in the evening; today it continued downward, with an intraday low of 75,200, currently near 75,800. In two days, it fell from 82,000 to 75,200, a drop of 6,800, about 8.3%. ETH followed the decline: opened 24 hours ago at 2,388, now 2,234, with a low of 2,206. ZEC, on the other hand, barely moved: from 1,313 to 1,311, basically flat, with the intraday low of 1,214 also recovered. I'll first review these three. First, the pattern of the drop. It’s not a one-day flash crash, but a continuous two-day decline: yesterday’s high was about 82,000, today’s high 79,900; yesterday’s low around 77,800, today’s low 75,200. Both highs and lows are moving lower, the direction hasn’t changed. Second, who is resisting the drop. BTC fell from 82,000 to 75,200, ETH dropped 6.4% in one day, ZEC basically didn’t move in one day. The whole market isn’t falling uniformly; divergence remains. When prices fall, it’s more useful to look at who isn’t falling than just focusing on how much they fell. Third, tonight’s nonfarm payrolls. Released at 21:30, the market expects an increase of 59,000 to 65,000 jobs, with an unemployment rate of 4.2%. Around the 21:30 data release, BTC moved from 76,000 to 75,800, still near the intraday low, showing no directional breakout. Whether the data itself is good or bad is only half the story; the other half is how it compares to expectations.$BTC
Expecting some cool off to Monthly Open (77.5k)
Then dump back down and tap into the mFVG (sub 75k) before starting the next leg to 90k
Expecting more downside
Always do your own research Conclusion first: Trump's World Liberty today announced it will use $USD1 reserve earnings to buy back its own $WLFI. But the water in this pot has dropped 7.6% in a week.
· Coin price: $WLFI current price is $0.04678 (OKX perpetual), down 67.5% since January 1 at 0.1435 (CoinGecko), and 85.9% below ATH.
· Buyback funds: CoinDesk quoted the project party on X saying the funds come from $USD1 reserve fee income; disclosed in April that $65.6 million was bought back on the market in the first six months; the goal is to give voting rights to long-term holders.
· Wallet: $USD1 circulating supply is $3.587 billion, $3.884 billion a week ago, $4.458 billion 30 days ago, down 7.6% in a week and 19.5% in a month (DefiLlama). The base is shrinking.
Political layer: Democrats swept the midterm elections, market structure legislation delayed or rewritten; on election day, Justin Sun asked federal court to sanction World Liberty, involving about 4 billion frozen $WLFI.
My judgment: The buyback is defensive, not a proof of value. Watch whether $USD1 circulating supply can stop falling; that is the real wallet this round.
What do you think, can the buyback hold the 0.0435 line? Tonight's big non-farm payrolls report is really strong!
The US added 165,000 jobs in October, while the expectation was only 65,000, exceeding it by over 100,000! The unemployment rate also dropped to 4.1%.
As soon as the results were announced, gold plunged, falling to around $4040.
With such strong employment, it will probably be even harder for the Fed to cut interest rates.
I originally thought high oil prices would drag down employment, but the data turned out to be so solid.
Tonight, the US stock market and Bitcoin probably won't be calm either.
$BTC $GOOGL $MU Jobs: +165K vs 65K expected, unemployment 4.1%, September revised up to 60K. The 10Y ticked up to 4.89%.
My question was whether weak data would confirm the growth scare. The data came in strong instead, and Nasdaq futures are up 1.5%.
$BTC isn’t joining yet (75.8K, below its 76.8K support). Stocks bounce on good news, crypto is still looking for a reason.
Hike odds were 70% before the print. Worth rechecking. NFA.#USJobsDecemberRateWatch Regarding Nebius Group's Q3 earnings report (to be released before the market opens on November 10 Eastern Time), the term "overachievement" needs to be analyzed separately: the probability of revenue exceeding expectations is very high (about 70%-75%), but the difficulty of significantly surpassing consensus on GAAP net profit (EPS) is very high (about 30%-35%).
GAAP EPS is very unlikely to show the "crushing" outperformance seen last quarter; high revenue growth and GAAP losses expanding due to depreciation and activation costs will occur simultaneously.
Overall: Nebius's revenue side, supported by contracts with Microsoft and Meta and capacity release, has a high probability of beating consensus. However, on the GAAP EPS front, structural pressure from depreciation amortization and activation costs will significantly widen losses, with actual values likely close to or slightly below consensus, making a large outperformance threshold extremely difficult. Therefore, "revenue exceeding expectations" is the baseline scenario, while "GAAP EPS significantly exceeding expectations" is a low-probability event. $NBIS Tonight at 21:30, the Nonfarm Payrolls night battle royale! The probability of data exceeding expectations is extremely high.
$1.1 billion long positions were just bloodied, tonight the real "nuclear bomb" Nonfarm Payrolls will land! $BTC plunged straight down, breaking below $76,000, with over $1.2 billion liquidated across the network in 24 hours, longs accounting for as much as 90%. The US stock AI sector crashed simultaneously, with stocks and crypto linked in a bloodbath. But the real test is at 21:30 tonight — October Nonfarm Payrolls and unemployment rate data release, expected new jobs of 65,000 and unemployment rate steady at 4.2%.
Personal view: Don’t be fooled by the "expected value." ADP private employment at 86,000, initial jobless claims matching a 57-year low, leading indicators collectively strong, the probability of data beating expectations is not low. If Nonfarm Payrolls are stronger than expected, the rate cut narrative will be hit again, and $ETH’s beta volatility will be much greater than BTC’s; chasing longs is just handing over your head.
#非农今晚揭晓，美股大跌后市场如何押注12月加息？ Net profit of $509 million, Strive's Q3 report is indeed impressive. But when I read "mainly driven by unrealized Bitcoin gains," I held back my amazement: in the story, it held 28,000 $BTC at the end of the quarter, and the paper appreciation became the main contributor to profit.
I prefer to see this as a display of coin exposure rather than proof of operational profitability. Unrealized gains can boost the financial statements, but that doesn't mean the cash is already in hand. My guess is, if Bitcoin prices pull back, the same holdings could conversely pressure profits; focusing only on net profit easily credits the market for the operational performance.
The takeaway from this story is: when looking at a company's report, you need to distinguish where the profit comes from. What do you think? Will Strive's next financial report continue to be supported by coin gains, or will the market demand more scrutiny of the operational performance itself?Can $ETH see a recovery tonight?
Yesterday, the major cryptocurrencies experienced a sharp drop, and the market urgently needs a recovery. The US stock market has already started to recover, and many major coins are hoping for a rise. However, since the rebound from 2204, it has not broken through the resistance level at 2260.
Today's non-farm payroll data again exceeded expectations, but Star姐 believes this is the bad news hitting the bottom. There will be a recovery rally for the major coins tonight, possibly continuing to around 2260-2280, but beware of a drop again in the early morning.
You can open long positions around 2220, waiting for the rise, with a steady take profit at 2260 and an aggressive target at 2280. Stop loss promptly if it falls below 2200. #美国新旧国会交接或影响美伊局势 Nonfarm payrolls crush expectations with 165,000, unemployment rate at 4.1%, BTC fails to hold 76,000
$BTC data bearish, price first watches the stock market
Nonfarm payrolls added 165,000, expected only 59,000, unemployment rate dropped to 4.1%, December rate hike pressure remains. BTC currently around 76,000, low at 75,200, Nasdaq plunged 5.52% in one day, correlation between the two rose to 0.68. Around 75,000 is close to Strategy's position cost; breaking below will keep sentiment under pressure.
$ETH weaker than the market, rebound must first reclaim 2,400
ETH around 2,240, down over 7% in 24 hours, decline greater than BTC, still closed at 2,421 on Wednesday. Strong nonfarm data suppresses risk appetite; rebound depends on whether it can reclaim 2,400, otherwise remains weak.
$SOL breaks below 90, altcoins more fragile
SOL around 89.6, down about 6% in 24 hours, lost the 90 integer level. BTC dominance rose to 59.8%, funds flowing back to the top, altcoin liquidity thinner, 90 has turned into resistance for rebound.
Summary: Strong nonfarm, macro suppression; first watch Nasdaq stabilize, then watch coin prices.
#非农今晚揭晓，美股大跌后市场如何押注12月加息？ US October Nonfarm Payroll Summary
▪ New Jobs Added: 165,000 (Expected 65,000, significantly exceeding expectations)
▪ Unemployment Rate: 4.1% (Expected 4.2%)
▪ Average Hourly Earnings MoM 0.4%, YoY 3.1% (Higher than expected)
▪ Previous data revised upward, employment resilience beyond expectations
Market Interpretation: Rate hike expectations rise, US bonds and dollar strengthen, gold under pressure
Data is just the rhythm, respect the market, control your position.Good evening, everyone!
The non-farm payroll data has been released, and Yingying is here to analyze the upcoming yellowfish market trend!
The non-farm payroll data significantly exceeded expectations, the unemployment rate fell simultaneously, and employment data was strong, which directly pressured gold. The gold price plunged from the high of 4081, dipping to a low of 4026. Yingying's bearish outlook has not yet reached its target!
Resistance: 4053-4067
Support: 4026, if broken look at 4015, 3980
A rebound approaching the resistance zone of 4053-4067 may face obstacles and can continue to move downward. Place defense above 4072, with the initial target at 4026, and if broken, continue to look lower. $XAU $XAUT **$xTXN SHORT SETUP — Rejection at 289.66, Breakdown Underway**
Price topped at 289.66 and rolled over hard. It has now lost the 285.60 low and sits under all three moving averages. Sellers have control. Target: the 24h low at 281.17.
Setup stays valid while price holds below 288.70. Pre-market liquidity is thin. Manage your risk.
Trade on $xTXN
Note: this one has a visible top, a broken prior low and a moving-average crossover, so I judged it tradable, unlike the xVICR gap. Volume is stil#非农今晚揭晓，美股大跌后市场如何押注12月加息？ The nonfarm payrolls tonight completely exceeded expectations! The tech sector in the US stock market can't stop falling
Tonight's nonfarm payrolls really surpassed everyone's understanding—not just a little, but a huge beat beyond expectations.
This time, nonfarm payrolls added 165,000 jobs, while the market had only dared to expect 65,000. More importantly, the employment data for the previous two months was revised upward, meaning the US job market is even stronger than everyone thought. The unemployment rate simultaneously dropped to 4.1%, and even wage growth warmed up beyond expectations.
This combination of data completely woke up the market.
Many had been betting on a weakening economy and the Fed soon easing, but now that is completely off the table. Employment and wages both strengthening directly raise the probability of a rate hike in December, with US Treasuries and the dollar strengthening accordingly.
The hardest hit remain the already sharply falling semiconductor and tech sectors.
In a high interest rate environment, valuation pressure on growth stocks will only increase. After yesterday's big bearish candle, today's nonfarm data dealt another blow, so a short-term recovery rally is basically impossible.
Key point about leveraged players' current situation:
The biggest pit in the market now is not the big drop, but the repeated high-level oscillations and extremely unstable sentiment.
In this kind of market, the principal of leveraged ETFs is being eroded all day long. Regardless of price ups and downs, the daily rebalancing losses quietly eat away at principal, making it impossible to withstand prolonged volatility.
Currently, there is no bottom-fishing signal on the market, and bearish expectations have not been fully digested.
Don't try to guess the bottom or bet on a rebound; the safest choice now is to patiently wait and observe until market sentiment truly stabilizes before taking action.#Tesla and SpaceX lost about $456 billion in market value over two days
The leader has something to say
I sighed when I saw this news: The "CLARITY Act" is stuck in the Senate. After the midterm elections, with the Democrats controlling both chambers, House Democrats are discussing new legislation on the crypto market structure — possibly transferring some crypto businesses originally regulated by the CFTC to the SEC, while also strengthening DeFi regulation, investor protection, and conflict of interest restrictions. In short, the clear regulatory path that the crypto industry spent big money lobbying for was overturned by an election.
My interpretation is: this is not a short-term negative for the crypto circle, but a shift in the medium- to long-term narrative. What everyone originally expected was "legislation granting licenses," but now it has become "SEC expanding authority, enforcement replacing legislation," which will increase compliance costs and litigation risks. Coupled with last night's sharp drop in U.S. stocks and the delay of Anthropic's IPO, the market is now hit by both macro liquidity and regulatory expectations, making it difficult for high-beta assets like BTC to have an independent rally in the short term.
BTC is currently around 75,000, with only 20 minutes left until the 21:30 Nonfarm Payrolls release. I continue to stay out of positions. My approach: with regulatory news and Nonfarm Payrolls overlapping, volatility will be very high tonight; if 75,000 holds, then watch; if it breaks, look down to 73,000. No new positions before the data release; wait for two candlesticks to complete before deciding whether to enter.
The above analysis is time-sensitive; please be cautious. $BTC $ETH $SNDK According to today's non-farm payroll data and unemployment rate interpretation, a rate hike in December is almost 99% certain!
Not to mention the non-farm payroll data exceeding expectations by so much, the drop in the unemployment rate alone looks very unfavorable; only a valid rise in the unemployment rate can open the door to rate cuts.
Good luck to those bottom-fishing, I still maintain a bearish view. #非农今晚揭晓，美股大跌后市场如何押注12月加息？ Many people watch the US stock market open at night, only focusing on whether the index opens higher or lower, but they overlook the "volume, direction, and capital attitude in the half hour before the open." What deserves more attention tonight is not simply the rise or fall, but whether an effective continuation can be formed after the open. From the current market structure, the most worth tracking scenario for the US stock market open tonight is a slight gap up followed by a rise and then a fall. In other words, the index may not directly plunge, but the rebound strength after the open is likely insufficient, with capital more inclined to reduce positions by taking advantage of the rebound rather than chasing higher momentum. Behind this structure, there are several main reasons. First, the tech sector weighting is still in a cautious mood ahead of earnings reports. With stocks like NVIDIA and AMD approaching their earnings windows, capital will preemptively consider earnings expectations, valuation pressure, and volatility risks. If the market does not see clear better-than-expected positive news, some profit-taking will choose to cash out shortly after the open, weakening the sustainability of the tech stock rebound. Second, the expectation of interest rate cuts remains the market's main theme. Recent economic data has been relatively strong, causing the market's judgment on the Fed's rate cut pace to be continuously delayed. For high-valuation growth assets, as long as liquidity expectations do not clearly shift, capital will find it difficult to continuously increase risk positions. Even if there is a short-term rebound at the open, it is easily interpreted as a "risk-averse rebound" rather than a trend reversal. Third, the weekend effect influences capital risk appetite. The closer to the weekend, the more capital tends to control positions, especially after previous volatility and profit-taking. Many institutions and traders are reluctant to hold heavy positions overnight before the weekend, which will lead to the openBTC rebound was given back in one day: only about 0.6% left from the Strategy cost line, still not stabilized
11/6 21:16 (Taipei) BTC around 75,911, 24h -4.6%. Closed at 80,504 on 11/4, closed back at 76,088 on 11/5, intraday already pierced the Strategy average cost 75,451.
US spot BTC ETF net inflow was 74.6 million USD on 11/4, but IBIT still outflowed; on 11/5 net outflow was 430.2 million USD. More like a short squeeze.
Observation conditions: daily line holds 75,451; ETF net inflow again for one day, preferably IBIT turns positive; retake 80,504.
This "adjust only when conditions appear" rule can be made into a public on-chain strategy on OWL AI. OWL AI is a decentralized portfolio strategy platform, where the manager's holdings and adjustments are publicly accessible, can Follow / Star / Subscribe. As of 10/31, TVL 7,528,536 USDC, holding addresses 4,620.
Do you think BTC will hold the cost line or break 75,451 first?
#BTC $BTC 165,000! This data is just ridiculously off the charts.
The market expectation was only 65,000, the previous value was just 60,000, but the result suddenly came out at 165,000, more than double.
What does this mean? It means the US labor market is not cooling down; on the contrary, it's heating up intensely.
Combined with what we just discussed, the US stock market was already dizzy from "AI regulatory tightening" and the "Oracle/Meta debt bomb," with the Nasdaq down nearly 4%. Now, with this shocking non-farm payroll data, the expectation for a December rate hike is completely shut down.
US Treasury yields will definitely spike instantly. With risk-free interest rates so high, who would want risky assets? $BTC #IREN加速转型AI云，业务收入环比增长182% IREN announced its FY2027 Q1 financial report, with total revenue increasing 66% quarter-over-quarter to $228 million, of which AI cloud business revenue grew 182% quarter-over-quarter to $200 million. The company disclosed that Microsoft's Horizon 1 project has been put into operation, but due to customer requests for design adjustments and supplier delivery times, the originally planned annual recurring revenue (ARR) target of over $4 billion by the end of 2026 has been postponed to January 2027, and may also be delayed until the end of February.$AKE Why is it said that the biggest fear in trading is getting stuck? Look at AKE, it has dropped 99% from its peak, but to get back to the original level, it needs to rise 1000%! Even if it surges 100% today, those stuck probably only reduce their unrealized losses a bit, with no help to the growth of their principal. This is why setting stop-losses is very important; at least with stop-losses, you won't get deeply stuck.
Although $AKE surged significantly today with high volume, the main reason is that funds are fleeing mainstream coins and moving into small-cap tokens for speculation. Essentially, it's still short-term trading. I think today's surge in AKE is not sustainable, so short at highs!Peripheral technology sector experiences a high-level pullback, risk aversion sentiment intensifies, triggering a chain adjustment in the crypto market. Leveraged funds show a clear deleveraging trend, the market focus shifts downward, and short-term outlook is mainly cautious.
$BTC: Current price 75586. Noticeable decline from recent highs, resistance near 76000, short-term weak consolidation. Key support below at 74000; if broken, deeper downside space opens. 4H long-short ratio 2.01, long positions remain crowded, caution against a secondary dip after a weak rebound.
$ETH: Current price 2226. Moves down in tandem with BTC, clear resistance around 2280. Avoid blind bottom-fishing before stabilization; core support at 2150. 4H long-short ratio 2.12, bearish momentum not fully released, short-term focus on recovery.
$SOL: Current price 89.65. Small-cap volatility increases, rebound momentum insufficient, resistance at 92, watch support effectiveness near 86. 4H long-short ratio 3.10, highest among the three coins, long positions most crowded, vulnerable to amplified volatility during risk appetite contraction.
Trading approach: Do not chase longs or bottom-fish, monitor key resistance levels, consider entry after pullback stabilizes, strictly control position size, and maintain risk management.
In brief: Peripheral sentiment triggers fund rotation, market focus shifts downward, longs are crowded while buying is cautious, short-term strategy is to watch more and trade less, waiting for clear stabilization signals.
For market record only, not investment advice.
#美股遭大幅抛售：费城半导体指数创2020年3月以来最大单日跌幅 #ModernaQ3财报将揭示疫苗销售趋势 Moderna (MRNA) will release its Q3 earnings report before the U.S. market opens on November 6. Previously, the Q2 net loss was about $800 million. The Q3 vaccine sales data will reflect seasonal vaccination demand and revenue changes, while cash burn and progress in the mRNA oncology treatment program will also provide clues for future growth.$ENS is priming for a massive bullish reversal rally.
The recent dip has tapped directly into a high-probability demand block[span_16](start_span)[span_16](end_span).
Buy Zone
4.35 - 4.624[span_17](start_span)[span_17](end_span)
Ep
4.48
Tp
4.95
5.40
5.90
Sl
4.15
Selling exhaustion is complete as aggressive buyers step in to defend structural support floors with absolute confidence. Expect a fast expansion back upward.
Let's go $ENS
#OKXOrbitTopics $CORE b14g Incident Post-Mortem Summary On October 31, 2026, at 09:29 UTC, an attacker stole approximately 97.05 million core value from 91 b14g staking orders in a single transaction. They achieved this by requesting to withdraw 0 core from each order. The Core staking contract's change in handling zero amounts, combined with the b14g contract's failure to prevent this change, meant that each "withdraw 0" request released the entire stake from the order. No keys were stolen, nor was new code pushed to b14g's smart contract. The attacker used a normal withdrawal path with unexpected input. Bitcoin staked through b14g was unaffected. It remained time-locked on the Bitcoin chain. Only the core course was selected. After the attack, we paused the contract. About 70% of the stolen core (6815M) was successfully recovered through a core hard fork on November 2, 2026. It is reported that approximately 12 million core assets were also frozen by exchanges. How b14g Works Core is a blockchain that rewards Bitcoin holders for locking their Bitcoin. When Core is staked together with Bitcoin, the rewards are higher. This is called dual staking. b14g matches both sides. Bitcoin holders open orders, Core holders fill with core, and both share higher rewards. Each orderThis wave of decline is a leverage liquidation, not a farewell to the bull market, so there is no need for excessive panic.
$BTC crashed from 81,000 to 75,600, dropping over 5%; $ETH reported 2,244, down 7%; $SOL lost 90 dollars.
The entire network liquidated 1.09 billion dollars, with 210,000 forced liquidations, 87.7% of which were long positions, targeting those who borrowed money to speculate. But the Bitcoin spot ETF had a net inflow of 148 million on the same day, and the fear index is 32, indicating retail investors are selling at a loss while institutions are buying.
Looking at the liquidation map again, 75,000-75,400 is a dense liquidation zone for long positions, relatively risky; wait for stabilization before scaling in. Those with more cash, this is a market of others' fear; those fully leveraged, first think about how to survive tonight. Tonight's nonfarm payrolls were really disappointing; don't expect a short-term rebound in the US stock market.
To be honest, tonight's nonfarm data completely disrupted the market rhythm.
Originally, everyone expected weak data that could trigger a wave of easing expectations and give the heavily beaten semiconductor sector some relief. However, the actual data far exceeded expectations, with 165,000 new jobs added, well above market estimates. Compared to last month's sluggish data, the contrast is huge. The unemployment rate also improved simultaneously, showing no signs of economic weakness.
In short: US employment remains very strong.
This completely shattered the market's hopes for a rate cut. The economy is not weak, so the Federal Reserve has no motivation to ease. US Treasury yields remain stable at high levels, and growth sectors like technology and semiconductors continue to be suppressed.
The semiconductor sector had already been severely hit these past two days, killing sentiment and leaving the market extremely fragile.
Now with the nonfarm negative news landing, it's like adding insult to injury. There's basically no short-term recovery strength; a weak, choppy bottoming process is highly likely.
Honestly, I strongly advise against bottom-fishing now.
Especially for friends playing with 2x or 3x leverage, the market is swinging wildly back and forth.
Regardless of up or down moves, as long as the volatility continues, leveraged principal erosion keeps consuming your capital—the longer you hold, the more you lose.
The best move now is to watch and not trade, patiently wait for sentiment to digest, and wait for the market to truly stabilize before considering action.#非农今晚揭晓，美股大跌后市场如何押注12月加息？ NVIDIA has started expanding its AI business into South Korea, dropping 10% last night and currently up 3% in pre-market. Let's see how it performs at the open; hopefully, it won't crash hard.
NVIDIA has officially completed a $1 billion investment in South Korean internet giant Naver, acquiring a 4.13% stake. This funding marks an important step in their AI infrastructure collaboration.
Both parties plan to jointly advance the construction of an AI factory in South Korea. Naver will expand its GPU data centers, aiming to increase the initial deployment scale to 200MW by 2028, with plans to further develop into GW-level AI infrastructure in the future.
I see two signals here:
First, NVIDIA is actively expanding its AI computing ecosystem, no longer just selling GPUs but binding more long-term customers through capital, chips, and infrastructure.
Second, the biggest current market dilemma is no longer whether there is demand for AI, but how much actual return the massive AI investments can generate.
This $1 billion investment can strengthen NVIDIA's long-term ecosystem, but whether it can reverse the short-term selling sentiment in the AI sector remains to be seen.
What do you think? Is NVIDIA's recent decline the start of an AI bubble burst, or a good mid-to-long-term strategic opportunity?
#美股遭大幅抛售：费城半导体指数创2020年3月以来最大单日跌幅 #非农今晚揭晓，美股大跌后市场如何押注12月加息？
The non-farm payrolls will be announced tonight. After the sharp drop in the US stock market, how is the market betting on a December rate hike?
The Federal Reserve raised rates to 3.75%–4% in September, and most officials believe another hike is needed this year. The US stock market fell sharply last night as a precaution, with the Nasdaq plunging 6.36%, and AI trading collapsing across the board. At this time, strong non-farm payrolls are not good news; they will be interpreted as inflation not being dead and rate hikes continuing, delivering another blow to the stock market.
The consensus is an increase of 65,000 jobs, with the previous value at 29,000, but ADP only recorded 86,000, showing a clear split from expectations. The gap in expectations is the key lead for tonight. If the data exceeds 65,000 and the unemployment rate does not rise, a December rate hike is basically confirmed, and risk assets will continue to be drained; if it is significantly below 60,000, there is a chance to catch a breath, but rate cuts are still far off.
BTC is currently trading near $76,000, having been above $80,000 the previous day, dropping nearly 6% in one day. 76,000 is the average cost line for short-term holders and a key battleground for bulls and bears. If it breaks below, it enters the deep water zone of $73,000–$74,000. ETH is weaker, currently around $2,230, down more than 7% in 24 hours, with rebounds lacking new narratives. When BTC fluctuates, ETH is more likely to lose ground first. Keep an eye on the deviation at 9:30 tonight, not the direction.
The market is betting on whether the Federal Reserve dares to pull the trigger again in December; non-farm payrolls are the last safety lock. Whether BTC can hold $76,000 will be decided tonight. Share in the comments whether you are waiting on the sidelines or have already taken action. $BTC $ETH **No reliable setup on this chart, so I won't force one.**
xVICR is in pre-market, and the 15m chart shows only two real candles after a long flat line at 136.90. The jump to 147.97 is a gap, not a built-up structure. Volume is near zero, so there are no real swing highs or lows, no tested support or resistance, and no trend to trade. The moving averages are just stretching toward price after the gap.
The only clear levels are the 136.90 gap origin, the 24h high at 156.00, and the 24h low at