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$BTC at 77034 has an RSI of only 11, $ETH at 2290 is as weak as paper, $ZEC at 1244 is just right for a finishing blow, brothers shorting, hold steady and don't get off the train
What does an RSI of 11 mean? I've been trading for five years and have seen this number no more than five times, each time during extreme panic. BTC dropped from 80960 straight down to 76834, with all moving averages pressing overhead, and the Bollinger middle band at 80113 now looks like a ceiling. But to be honest—chasing shorts at RSI 11 means you're betting on emotions getting even more extreme, not on the trend. The funding rate is still positive at 0.01%, indicating shorts haven't completely squeezed the longs yet. Getting off now is indeed early, but don't treat "hold steady" as a belief.
ETH at 2290 is indeed weak, RSI 10.5 even lower than BTC, and the Bollinger lower band at 2342 has already been broken, this kind of movement shows no support. Last round, I mocked the bulls at this kind of level, only to get stopped out by a sudden spike. $ZEC at 1244 for a finishing blow? Its RSI is only 31.6, not as severe a drop as BTC; using it as a short accelerator doesn't hold up logically.
My view is clear: you can hold short positions, but you must reduce positions near 77000, don't be greedy for the last bite. If it really breaks below 76834, that's panic selling, not your profit. Conversely, those daring to go long at this level should set stop loss at 76500, betting on RSI recovery. I'm not bullish, but I won't add shorts at this level either. Holding steady is fine, but stubbornly holding on is not.ETH just made a round trip around the 2300 USD level. The price briefly broke below the threshold, with the latest quote at 2302.65, a 0.63% drop in 5 minutes.
Let's clarify the numbers first. A 0.63% drop in five minutes is not large in absolute terms and is almost invisible on the daily chart. But for an integer price level, this magnitude is enough to sweep through all the orders placed near 2300. Liquidity around the threshold is naturally thinner than at mid-level prices, so the price doesn't need to fall much to penetrate an entire layer of orders.
Now, looking at the mechanism. The integer level like 2300 doesn't act as support but more like a magnet. Long traders place stop losses just below the threshold, while short traders place entry orders just above it, stacking orders from both sides in the same narrow range. When the price hits, stop losses get triggered first, then the directional orders follow. So what we see is a break below and then a rebound, not a continuous drop after breaking.
In terms of judgment, I don't think this constitutes a trend reversal. A true breakout requires two conditions simultaneously: closing below the threshold and staying below it. Neither condition is met now, with the quote back at 2302.65, indicating there is still support below the threshold.
And a 0.63% fluctuation in 5 minutes can happen several times any day; it's worth noting but not enough to change positions alone. What really needs attention is the simultaneous movement of $BTC and $SOL: if only $ETH struggles at the threshold, it looks more like a local order sweep; if all three weaken together, then it's a capital-level issue.#Nonfarm payrolls are imminent, can employment data strengthen the December rate hike expectations? The real protagonist this week is not the election, but the employment data. Votes determine the rhetoric, nonfarm payrolls determine the price of money. The logic is straightforward: strong employment pushes December rate hike expectations back up, US Treasury yields rise, the dollar strengthens, and the assets without cash flow, priced only by risk appetite, get hit; weak employment brings back rate cut expectations, giving risk assets a breather first. The crypto space currently has neither safe-haven attributes nor cash flow; it relies on "liquidity elasticity" — elasticity acts as an accelerator during easing and as an amplifier during tightening. My position direction this round is very clear: all three are shorts, betting that the data will not justify easing. It's not that I am bearish on this industry, but longs at this level pay funding fees every minute, while the shorts forced to close have already bought back. I won't catch the volatility at the moment nonfarm payrolls are released; I aim for the second trading day after the data lands — that's how I operated during the rounds in 2022, the first spike is for the machines.Oklo (OKLO) — Reports Nov 6 (BMO)
: Mixed Wall Street Consensus
Q3 EPS: Expected loss of -$0.24 to -$0.29 per share.Q3 Revenue: Expected between $1.02 million and $2.2 million. [1, 2]
What to Watch: As a pre-revenue/development-stage nuclear technology player, actual numbers matter less than operational updates. Markets will closely monitor project development updates driven by AI power demand, rising development expenses, and timelines for achieving first reactor criticality. [1, 2, 3, 4] $SNDK Direction: Short
· Entry: Short when the rebound is resisted around 875 - 885 (close to the current resistance price).
· Stop Loss: Firmly stop loss if it breaks through 900.
· Take Profit: First target 855 (near previous low), second target 840.
⚠️ Reminder: There is an extremely severe one-sided sharp decline trend (drop over 20%), MACD dead cross below zero line with very strong bearish momentum. Do not chase shorts directly; wait for rebound to confirm resistance, use light positions with stop loss.$XAUT is demonstrating massive bullish control as strong buying pressure holds local high ground.
Structure points directly toward an explosive continuation push higher.
Buy Zone
4,020.0 - 4,091.8
EP
4,020.0 - 4,091.8
TP
4,220.0
4,350.0
4,500.0
SL
3,960.0
Order books are heavily stacked with buyer volume along dynamic support zones. Sustained control here will launch a fast rally toward upper liquidity.
Let's go $XAUT
#OKXOrbitTopics . #AAOI High-speed optical modules volume increase, can Q3 earnings exceed expectations? "ZEC perpetual night session analysis (with live trading): Short position opened at 1304, currently at 1249, +12.6% floating profit. Market depth shows 91% buy orders, 9% sell orders, bulls resisting at 1249. Follow-up:
If rebound fails to break 1280-1300: bearish oscillation expected, target 1200.
If it holds above 1300: short position profits may retract, beware of a short squeeze.
Forced liquidation price at 1355 is the bottom line.
Suggestion: Do not overleverage with 30x; chasing shorts when buy orders dominate risks getting trapped. Wait for a rebound or enter short-term longs for quick in and out, always set take-profit orders!"【Strategy's BTC Financing Channel Reopens, the Flywheel Is About to Start】
Strategy's $xSTRC touched $100 again intraday on November 4, marking the first time since May it returned near its par value. This price is critical: according to the company's issuance policy, no new shares of STRC are issued when the price is below $100; only when it rises above par value can the ATM program be used again to finance Bitcoin purchases.
In recent months, Strategy has been buying back STRC to support the price, with a total repurchase amount of about $2.25 billion, while maintaining an annual dividend of 12%, and starting November, interest is calculated daily. Now that the stock price has finally returned to the issuance threshold, it means this financing tool is expected to operate again. The company currently still has about $17.51 billion of STRC issuance capacity available.
However, reaching $100 does not mean issuance has resumed. According to the latest weekly data disclosed so far, STRC issuance remains zero; the 811 $BTC previously purchased by Strategy was funded by $65.5 million from selling $MSTR common shares. The company also holds about $4.79 billion in reserves, with relatively sufficient short-term dividend payment capacity.
I think this is potentially positive for BTC. If STRC can continue to hold above $100, Strategy may regain a substantial funding channel for buying Bitcoin. BTC will also have a stable institutional buying force. #$SOL Direction: Short
· Entry: Short when the rebound is resisted near 91.50 - 92.00 (close to the current price resistance).
· Stop Loss: Firmly stop loss if it breaks through 93.00.
· Take Profit: First target 90.33 (near previous low), second target 89.78.
⚠️ Note: A cliff-like sharp drop just occurred (over 6% decline), MACD death cross is downward with strong bearish momentum, currently a weak rebound. Do not short directly; wait for rebound to confirm resistance, use light positions with stop loss.Evening core logic:
1. Market trends are highly correlated with US stock futures, US Treasury yields, and the strength of the US dollar; the European and US sessions are the main drivers of volatility. ETH usually has greater elasticity than BTC, with often stronger price fluctuations.
2. Normal market conditions: mostly range-bound oscillations; when liquidity is thin, spikes are prone to occur, and false breakouts are very common. If the price breaks upward through resistance, it can easily trigger short-covering stops leading to a brief rally; if it breaks below support, it will trigger a chain of long position liquidations accelerating the decline.
3. Influencing factors: ETF capital inflows and outflows, sudden regulatory news, geopolitical news—any one of these can quickly reverse the direction.
4. Risk points: Nighttime volatility has no upper limit, no price limits, and leveraged contracts can easily liquidate in a short time. Many rebounds are impulse moves with poor sustainability. #IREN矿企转型AI云服务，GPU交付进展待揭晓
I saw the news about IREN mining companies transforming into AI cloud services, with GPU delivery progress yet to be revealed. Many people on Orbit are discussing this direction.
I tried a small position myself, mainly because the logic of mining companies transforming this way makes sense. The computing power used for mining was idle anyway, so switching to AI cloud services effectively activates idle resources and diversifies income streams.
However, my position is very light, and I’m taking it step by step. After all, whether GPU delivery can be smoothly implemented and whether pricing can break even are still unknowns. Also, mining companies are inherently cyclical industries, so whether the transformation succeeds depends on future financial reports; it’s a bit early to say anything now.
This is just my personal opinion and may not be correct, for reference only. The volatility of such targets is generally high. I’ll hold for now and wait to see the subsequent delivery data. Everyone should pay close attention and avoid blindly following. $BTC $BTC is exploding with fierce bullish momentum as buyers seize control of the trend.
Price expansion is gaining major speed following a high-volume base reclaim.
Buy Zone
76,500 - 77,439.1
EP
76,500 - 77,439.1
TP
79,800
82,500
85,000
SL
75,100
Massive accumulation confirms heavy buyer presence driving the current markup. Holding above current support paves the way for a rapid liquidity sweep.
Let's go $BTC
#OKXOrbitTopics . Cousin's Diary: 2026.11.5 23:13
Overall: Defense first, light positions/deleveraging, no chasing longs, no bottom fishing. BTC fell back below 80,000, short-term weak; ETH lost 2,411, rebound structure broken; SOL weakly consolidating near 90.
$BTC 77,224
Resistance 78,000–78,500, strong pressure at 79,500; support 75,700–76,000, break below targets 74,000.
Operation: Reduce positions/test shorts on rebound at 78,000–78,500; only light short-term longs after a pullback to 75,700–76,000 holds, stop loss below 75,000; watch and wait if breaks 75,700.
$ETH 2,302
Resistance 2,350–2,400, strong pressure at 2,411; support 2,250→2,200.
Operation: Reduce longs on rebound; if 2,350–2,400 fails, short or watch; if breaks 2,250, target 2,200.
$SOL 91.47
Resistance 95–98; support 88→85.
Operation: No chasing longs; reduce positions on rebound at 95–98; if breaks 88, target 85; if breaks 85, watch and wait.
Confirmation signal: BTC must hold above 78,500 to talk about recovery; losing 75,700 may accelerate weakness.
⚠️ Not investment advice, always use stop loss on contracts. xQQQ (Nasdaq 100 ETF token) is trading at $xQQQ 663.54 (-3.97% today) as heavy tech selling continues.
* Past Ups & Downs: The price hit a peak near $xQQQ 730.24 before dropping to a recent low of $xQQQ 662.35.
It is down -5.98% over 7 days and -12.70% over 30 days.
* Short-Term View: Sellers are pushing price down toward $660 support. A relief bounce could target $685–$700 if tech stocks recover. 上一轮我给的三个方向都是多：ETH 2,416.60 进、2,304.37 出（-4.64%），止损被打掉；XRP 1.32 进、1.27 出（-3.92%），止损被打掉；SOL 96.74 进、91.68 出（-5.23%），止损被打掉。三单全扫，命中率 0%。数字就摆在这儿。 看清楚这三单是怎么死的，比记住亏了多少更有用。它们死在同一个地方：我把选举夜那根阳线当成了资金进场的信号，实际上那是空头在回补。BTC 从 75,628 拉到 81,000，24 小时爆仓接近 9.5 亿美元，其中六成是空头仓位——买盘来自被逼平的空头，不是新钱。被逼平的空头买完就没了，价格自然往回掉。我反而担心的是：选举夜冲进去追高的那批人，现在全卡在 79,000 到 81,000 之间，他们本身就是下一轮的卖压。 2022 年 11 月我经历过一样的节奏。那年 FTX 在 11 月 11 日申请破产，之后第一次像样的反弹也是空头回补，真正的低点拖到 11 月 21 日才出现，中间又跌了近两周。这次第一波同样是回补，不是建仓。不一样的地方在于悬在头顶的东西：10 月底头部平台被盗 63 亿美元，是行业史上🔥 Brother Maji is clearly determined to be bullish on ETH! 25x leverage, 6,699 ETH, this bet is indeed bold!
📈 According to the latest monitoring data, Huang Licheng's long position on ETH has expanded from 2,725 ETH to 6,699 ETH, with the latest average opening price at $2,359.82. The current unrealized profit exceeds $500,000. The continuously increasing position indicates he hasn't easily changed his bullish stance due to short-term fluctuations.
💡 However, I believe the real point worth discussing here is not simply following big players to buy, but observing how large funds express their market judgments. The volatility that big players can endure may not be bearable for ordinary traders.
⚠️ 25x leverage means risks are amplified; if ETH experiences a significant pullback, unrealized profits could quickly shrink. Even if there are profits on paper now, it doesn't mean they are safely locked in.
🧠 Being bullish on ETH in the long term is one thing, but whether it's suitable to chase longs in the short term is another. Directional judgment and position management must be considered separately.
Tonight, are you more focused on Maji's position changes or whether ETH can continue to break through the resistance above? #非农在即，就业数据能否强化12月加息预期？ 🔥 A $500,000 unrealized profit looks great, but what really draws attention this time is the 25x leverage behind it!
📊 According to the on-chain data you provided, Huang Licheng's ETH long position expanded from 2,725 to 6,699 ETH, with the latest average entry price at $2,359.82. The current unrealized profit exceeds $500,000. Continuously rolling the position to go long, the position size keeps growing, and when the market rises, it indeed amplifies the gains.
💰 But don’t just focus on the profit numbers. The biggest feature of rolling positions is that unrealized profits continue to participate in trading, which means fast gains but also potentially fast drawdowns. With 25x leverage, if ETH suddenly moves against the position, margin pressure and liquidation risk will increase rapidly.
🔍 Next, three signals are worth watching: whether ETH price continues to strengthen, whether Huang continues to increase his position, and whether he actively takes profits after the unrealized gains expand. Truly skillful trading is not just about increasing position size but also about the ability to lock in profits.
🛡️ Ordinary investors don’t need to copy this kind of high-leverage play. It’s fine to understand the direction of big players, but blindly copying their positions may not be wise.
Do you think Huang is catching the main ETH uptrend this time, or is it another high-risk gamble? #非农在即，就业数据能否强化12月加息预期？ Before the non-farm payrolls, BTC rises but OI shrinks, while ETH is increasing positions?
On November 5th, contract data showed a clear divergence: $BTC around $79,600, up 1.7% in 24 hours, but open interest decreased by about 0.5%–0.8%; $ETH around $2,386, up about 3.1%, with OI increasing by about 2.3%–2.6%. Both are rebounds, but BTC positions are shrinking while ETH sees new positions entering.
Looking at liquidation data, BTC liquidations in the past 24 hours were about $155 million, ETH about $150 million, indicating this rally is accompanied by significant position turnover. BTC price rising with OI falling may include short covering; ETH price and OI rising together shows more active participation, but it cannot be simply assumed that all new positions are longs.
On Friday, the US non-farm payrolls will be released, with the market expecting an increase of 65,000 jobs, higher than last month's 29,000. If the data is significantly strong, interest rate expectations may turn hawkish again; if weak, it will also depend on wage growth and unemployment rate.
I am now more focused on whether BTC's OI can stop falling and rebound, and whether ETH's position increase can continue. Price rebound is only the first step; capital follow-through is more important. Who do you think has a healthier capital structure this time?
#非农在即，就业数据能否强化12月加息预期？ Beginner's Diary: Learned a new term today — "Short Squeeze" 🫠
The shorts collectively shouted "It will keep falling," but the price pushed up, shorts got liquidated → system automatically bought to close → buying pressure pushed the price higher → next batch of shorts exploded... like dominoes, but falling upward 😂
Real case: According to Economic Times, when $BTC surged back to $80,000, $415 million worth of positions were liquidated within an hour, about $330 million of which were shorts. Shorts: I just wanted to short, how did I become fuel for the rally? 🔥
Beginner's Notes:
1️⃣ When everyone crowds on one side, the opposite move is the fiercest
2️⃣ Liquidations not only lose money but also "refuel" the opposing side
3️⃣ When you see a big bullish candle, don't rush to FOMO; it might just be shorts being forced to buy
What's the most outrageous short squeeze you've seen? Share in the comments 👇
Learning check-in, not investment advice In the past hour, the total contract liquidations across the network have expanded to about 305 million USD
The main liquidations are on the long side
This does not mean the shorts have been completely flushed out
Bitcoin contracts here are about 89.01 million, which also does not mean the bottom is reached after the sell-off
Keep an eye on whether the long side will continue to build up in the next few hours
$BTCI still think the problem is not big; right now it's mostly emotional impact. This wave of big cloud providers actually isn't much of an issue
$MSFT
$AMZN
Because state legislation will most likely prevent new data centers from being built, the original quotas for cloud providers have become scarce.
But small cloud providers are directly screwed, because their model is financing -> building new -> collecting payments -> building again, and this model is directly blocked.#Oklo How far is the nuclear power layout from commercialization?
The leader has something to say
I looked at Oklo and tonight's AI sector divergence together, only then did I see why it dropped 11%: Oklo will release its Q3 report pre-market at 8:30 tomorrow morning. The company currently has quarterly revenue of about $1 million. Aurora's advanced reactor won't be deployed until 2028, so short-term income mainly depends on isotopes and fuel materials; ARK, however, is continuously increasing its holdings in Oklo and X-Energy, betting on the decade-long main theme of AI power bottlenecks. The stock price dropped 11% tonight first, with the market pricing in that the "story is too early."
My interpretation is: Oklo is the purest and farthest end of the AI power narrative. It has signed a Genesis cooperation with Nvidia and Los Alamos, and a fuel LOI with Centrus, so the direction is correct; but until the three mountains of approval, construction, and funding are overcome, it is a company financing itself through narrative. The real insight for the crypto community is not the stock price, but a consensus: power is becoming the hardest constraint in the AI era, which in turn means that the power plants and power quotas held by Bitcoin miners are long-term assets. No matter how much short-term sentiment kills, the supply-side logic remains intact.
BTC fell back below $80,000 tonight, and I continue to stay out and watch. My approach: stabilize between 7900–7950 then add long positions, if it falls below 78960 continue to wait; before Oklo's earnings report tomorrow morning, I will not add any AI chain-related positions. $ETH $ZEC $BTC #摩根士丹利接入DTCC，证券代币化拓展机构应用 Morgan Stanley has become one of the first major investment banks to access DTCC's tokenization service (DTS), tokenizing U.S. stocks and U.S. Treasury bonds on-chain. The underlying assets remain custodied at DTCC, with full rights preserved, allowing bidirectional switching between the traditional settlement system and blockchain. The covered market value of the underlying assets is approximately $30 trillion, marking the transition of security tokenization from conceptual pilot to institutional-scale implementation.
The core value lies in improving institutional capital efficiency: tokenized assets support 24/7 transfers and rapid pledging, shortening settlement cycles and reducing the collateral scale occupied by institutions. This optimization is particularly evident in businesses like Treasury repos and interbank pledges. This system is a Wall Street native compliance framework, open only to licensed institutions; retail investors cannot participate directly, fundamentally differing from native public chain crypto tokens.
Besides the benefits, constraints are clear: currently, this is only a temporary SEC exemption, not permanent legislation; initial participating institutions are limited, and network access and cross-chain expansion are progressing slowly; the underlying logic remains traditional financial regulation and custody, not permissionless free trading.
On the market front, this benefits the traditional asset on-chain sector and the RWA segment sentiment but is a long-term infrastructure narrative with limited short-term incremental funds. Future focus will track more major banks' access scale, formal SEC regulatory rules, and progress in expanding supported asset categories. $BTC $ETH $SNDK PONS VS STONK: Robinhood Chain and Solana, two major launch platforms, which is more worth investing in?
Recently, a comparison was made again between PONS and STONK. The business models of the two projects are similar, but the token value capture and valuation differences are very obvious.
As of November 5, 2026, according to DefiLlama data:
PONS: circulating market cap about $153 million, protocol revenue in the past 7 days $257,300, 30-day revenue $1.77 million.
STONK: circulating market cap about $96 million, protocol revenue in the past 7 days $443,300, 30-day revenue $4.19 million.
Using a unified 7-day protocol net revenue annualization calculation: PONS has a P/S of about 11.41x, STONK about 4.17x.
30-day annualized cross-validation shows PONS about 7.11x, STONK about 1.89x.
This means STONK’s current revenue valuation is significantly cheaper.
Looking at buyback and burn: PONS uses about 80% of protocol revenue for market buyback and burn; STONK uses about 60% of protocol revenue for buyback and burn.
PONS has a higher buyback ratio, but there are discrepancies between official burn statistics and third-party supply data that need further verification.
STONK has already established a relatively mature buyback and burn record, with public on-chain monitoring showing cumulative buybacks of about $22.11 million and cumulative burn valuation of about $25.11 million.
There are also obvious differences in their futures.#SonyQ2ProfitUp45%
#SonyQ2ProfitUp45% 🚀
Will Sony (SONY) beat quarterly earnings?
Community Poll: YES 97% ✅ | NO 3%
Operating Profit: ¥622.3B +45% YoY - BEAT estimate
Drivers: Gaming + Music structural growth 🎮🎵
My call: YES - Beat
#SONY
#EarningsSeason Tesla fell, and this time Musk bet wrong. The market worries that if the Democrats win, AI data center expansion will be restricted, and storage chip stocks are also falling. Bitcoin is under pressure as well, which I think is normal.
But this time I'm positioning in spot; the next target I favor is 【SOL, spot order at 90】.
Bitcoin is still a buy around 75k; for spot, I will place an order at 【74800】. November has just started; if the price doesn't reach it, I'll go with the flow, but defense must be solid. If the price retraces back to 75600, I will also consider buying spot in batches.
Whether to break even or stop loss, don't stubbornly hold on. For a deeper pullback, I currently see 72k, but this is not an unbreakable bottom line.
Once every 4 years, November is still, in my opinion, an opportunity to buy spot in batches.
In summary:
【Bitcoin spot order at 74800】
【Ethereum spot order at 2230】
【SOL spot order at 90】
Another option is to wait for the Bitcoin 74800 order to be filled before buying altcoins. Place spot orders first; if the price doesn't reach it, just go with the flow. Saw another wallet news tonight
But this time it's not a new app
Samsung Wallet stablecoin account
Galaxy users in the US region who meet the criteria can already use it
Buying, holding, transferring, and receiving USDC are all done within the wallet
The chain is Solana
About 82 million compatible devices in the US
Requirements: 18+ Samsung account, Android 13+
Except New York
Wallet-to-wallet USDC transfers
Samsung does not charge transfer fees here
Can also send to bank accounts in more than 60 countries
Local currencies are supported with varying fees by region
Custody is handled by licensed institutions
The goal is straightforward
No need to download separate exchange software
No need to manage private keys yourself
Stablecoins are increasingly becoming a built-in phone feature 💰
Not just something you see in trading apps 🙂The atmosphere in the offshore market
The offshore market is first siding with the bulls. Hong Kong stocks posted one of the strongest gains this year today, with the Hang Seng Index up +3.67% and the Hang Seng Tech Index up +5.55%. Tencent and Alibaba surged with heavy volume, money flowing into the tech sector; on the A-shares side, the Shanghai Composite rose +0.11% to close at 3,689, and the Shenzhen Component Index gained +1.19%, showing broad gains with some structural characteristics; U.S. stocks also broadly rose last night, with a strong risk-on sentiment across the market. On the macro front, the U.S. midterm elections resulted in a Democratic sweep of Congress, confirming a "divided government" — Trump conceded defeat, blocking the path for tax cuts and fiscal expansion, which in turn preserved the Federal Reserve's independence, giving the market some reassurance. But don’t mistake this for a one-sided bull market: there are still hawks among the voting members calling for rate hikes, and spot ETFs for $BTC and $ETH are seeing net outflows, so don’t confuse short-term swings with a long-term trend.
A quick note on $ETH
$ETH is quoted at 2,388, up +3.03% in 24 hours, with a 7-day range of 2,171.52-2,451.13. It’s following the same script as $BTC: on 11/03 it first dropped to 2,225 then rebounded to 2,451; on 11/04 it retraced to 2,388, first giving a scare then climbing back. However, $ETH is more volatile than $BTC, falling deeper and rebounding stronger. The daily average funding rate turned positive at +0.009%, indicating longs are turning bullish again. This kind of impulsive move requires waiting for it to firmly hold above 2,450 before following on the right side; don’t try to catch the deep V in the middle, as chasing the left side positions often results in getting cut repeatedly inside.I'M WATCHING A BIG SHORT ON $WLD .
EP: 0.3480–0.3520
TP: 0.3300 / 0.3200
SL: 0.3620
Price has been in a clean lower-highs / lower-lows structure since the 0.4184 high.The latest 4h candle is a heavy red rejection that sliced straight through prior support and printed a fresh low at 0.3444 on elevated volume. Sellers are clearly in control
The brief bounce attempts into the 0.39 zone were sold aggressively. That zone is now resistance. As long as price stays below the 0.36–0.37 area, the path of Main focus $BTC | Strategy Long
Hammer drops first
Hammer drops first, go long on $BTC with 2-3x leverage. At the current price of 79,675, take a small base position; if it pulls back to 78,600 (close to MA5 at 78,607), add another position, averaging the cost around 78,900; stop loss pinned at 77,000–78,000 whole number level, cut losses there, no sentimental holding. Target first looks at 80,810 (T1 on the chart), if it holds, then aim for 81,125 (T2). This move is quite "not friendly": on 11/03, a lower shadow wick directly swept down to 75,690 then bounced back above 80,000, like the extreme cold apocalypse false alarm in Apple weather—everyone thought it would freeze to minus thirty degrees, but it fully recovered the next day and kept rallying. The rush to climb is for three reasons: that 11/03 lower shadow solidified the bottom at 75,690, price bounced back above MA3/MA5 resistance, and funding rate flipped from neutral to +0.010%—bulls started paying shorts, sentiment flipped from panic to greed, short-term this odds worth taking a side. Don’t go all in immediately; leverage is both a magnifier and a death sentence, position size is always more precious than direction. Probe lightly first, don’t fire all your bullets at once. Bitcoin is trading near $77,089, struggling to hold momentum after rejection around $80K. The daily chart still shows lower highs, while RSI readings near 40 signal weak momentum—not a confirmed reversal.
Support: $75.7K, then $75K
Resistance: $78K, $80K–$81.2K
A break below $75.7K could invite more selling. Reclaiming $80K would improve the recovery outlook.
My take: Bears have the edge until BTC reclaims resistance. Patience over FOMO.
#DemocratsWinHouseSenate
$BTC $ETH $OKB 🔊【Late Night Market Watch: USDC Quietly Making Big Money, How Deep Is the Water Behind It?】
Folks, I just came across some interesting financial report data. Circle (the issuer of USDC) exceeded revenue expectations in Q3, and the most explosive part is that USDC on-chain transaction volume surged by 49%!📈
The signals behind this are pretty hardcore 👇:
🎯 Off-exchange funds have been "crazy arbitraging"
The surge in transaction volume indicates that people are not only using stablecoins to trade crypto but also that a large number of traditional institutions and cross-border trades are secretly settling with USDC. This is like pumping a massive amount of liquidity into our crypto ecosystem's reservoir 💧.
🛡️ Compliance is the key
In recent years, with various stablecoin crashes, everyone has become savvy. Honest players like USDC, which emphasize transparency and compliance, are increasingly favored by capital. This also reminds us that when playing DeFi or farming yields, the first choice should be those with a clean foundation.
⚠️ A sobering reminder for traders:
Good fundamentals don’t mean a surge tonight! With the market in this mess, the volatility can drive people crazy. Manipulators love to use such external positive news to create a "fake breakout" to lure buyers, then flip and dump the market 🎢.
💡 Trading advice:
Don’t blindly go all-in just because of news. Hold your spot positions well, contract traders must lower leverage, and set stop-loss lines firmly. Surviving until the next bull market is the real skill! $USDC
☕️#CircleQ3营收超预期，USDC链上交易量增长49% $BTC hasn't been happy for even 2 days, and now it has dropped back again 😂 #非农在即，就业数据能否强化12月加息预期？
This morning I was discussing how the whale accounts on Hyperliquid are stubborn, saying their $BTC long positions are 498 million, but the shorts are more than double, with 902 million in short orders.
They said this batch of big players has piled up huge short orders below 80,000, so if the rebound continues with volume, it would be ready fuel for a short squeeze.
Turns out I was the clown 🤡, only happy for one day, the unrealized gains have dropped back again.
Of course, this is normal, after all, the spot ETFs of BTC and $ETH have had net outflows in the past 3 days. Especially BTC, which has had a net outflow of 1.157 billion USD. And yesterday's rebound volume was insufficient, and it didn't bring back institutional buying, so it was inherently fragile.
Whatever, anyway I still have 40% of my position with orders at 75,000 yesterday that didn't get filled. I’ll just take this drop as an opportunity to keep bottom fishing. $CC — Canton Network: The Future of Institutional Finance
The next major blockchain breakthrough may not come from chasing hype. It could come from connecting traditional finance with blockchain technology.
Canton is building around privacy, interoperability, and financial institutions working together on shared infrastructure.
What makes this vision interesting is its focus on real financial activity rather than speculation alone.
I believe institutional adoption will be one of the most impThis round of rally is a short squeeze, not a trend reversal. After the fuel provided by short covering is exhausted, the price naturally falls back near the starting area due to the lack of incremental funds to support it.
ETH's 2340–2350 is a hard ceiling where the Bollinger upper band and trendline overlap; surging up without volume is prone to falling back. A more critical lower position is 2246, which is the true "line of life and death" in the short term; if broken, it will return to the whale cost zone to find support. On the daily chart, the 7-day, 20-day, and 50-day moving averages stretch from 2270 to 2507, layering resistance; the downtrend is only "paused," not "ended" #非农在即，就业数据能否强化12月加息预期？ #0.3151, rebound funds unwilling to touch previous highs
RE rose from 0.3056 to 0.3151, holding the 0.31 line. Funds are only willing to cover this low-level segment, without launching an attack on 0.3214. This is a very clear choice: incremental funds only want to capture the space after the pullback and are unwilling to test the selling pressure above.
FET moved away from the bottom range of 0.1491 to 0.1633, still a bit short of the 0.1667 threshold. The entry funds in the AI sector similarly did not actively touch previous highs, only completing the bottom breakout.
Pulled up the order depth panels of two coins to compare the thickness of sell orders at previous highs.
$BTC $RE $ETH #索尼Q2营业利润增长45%，上调全年业绩指引 Performance shows that inflation in electronic components has significantly compressed profit margins. Although the music business remains stable, caution is needed due to yen fluctuations and weakened hardware profitability. New capital allocation is paused until profit margins stabilize All eyes are on Friday’s US Non-Farm Payrolls report, as the results could influence expectations for the Fed’s next rate decision. 🤔 $BTC has recovered from $75K to around $80.5K, but the $82K resistance remains a major hurdle. If buyers fail to break through, a short-term correction could follow. Meanwhile, $ETH is showing stronger momentum, rebounding from $2,200 to nearly $2,420. However, its next move will likely depend on broader market sentiment. Will the NFP data trigger another major【Elon Musk Bet $450 Million, But Faces Political Backlash】
Elon Musk's political bets are starting to backfire on his business empire, with Tesla and SpaceX both pulling back. After the U.S. midterm elections, the Democratic Party took control of both chambers of Congress, while the Republican candidates Musk heavily supported suffered consecutive defeats. $TSLA and $SPCX immediately faced sell-offs. Musk invested over $445 million in this election cycle, but his political influence failed to deliver the expected results, instead causing investors to reassess the political risks for both companies.
By the close of the U.S. stock market on Wednesday, the market had already shown a clear contrast: the S&P 500 rose 1.6%, the Nasdaq rose 1.4%, but Tesla fell about 3.3%, and SpaceX dropped about 3.8%. On Thursday, SpaceX fell another 7.8% in early trading, priced at $125.35, already below its $135 IPO price. Capital is clearly applying a separate risk discount to Musk-related assets.
This pressure has two layers: at the congressional level, there may be increased scrutiny on government contracts, autonomous driving business, and a potential Tesla–SpaceX merger; at the Texas local level, the Democratic Party's wins in the governor and senate elections also bring more policy uncertainty to Tesla's factory, SpaceX's launch base, and AI data center expansions. What Musk faces next may be business consequences even harder to handle than election losses.
#美国中期选举：民主党赢得国会两院控制权 $FIL
Around October 15, the 6-year vesting period for Protocol Labs and Filecoin Foundation officially ended. According to official modeling, the daily newly circulating FIL volume directly dropped by about 75%, and the annualized new supply sharply decreased from approximately 89 million to about 21-22 million. This is the largest single supply contraction since the mainnet launch.
Immediately following, on October 19, the nv29 Solstice upgrade (FIP-0118) was officially activated. Core changes:
• Block rewards shifted from "almost entirely to consensus mining" to "partially rewarding services that truly bring paying customers";
• Consensus share gradually reduced from 95% to a lower limit of 50%;
• Unfulfilled service shares are directly burned instead of being distributed to others.
This means FIL is transitioning from a high-inflation subsidy for storage supply to a demand-driven plus partial burn model. In the long term, if paid storage volume continues to climb, the burn mechanism will further enhance scarcity.
The current price still hovers around $0.85-0.9, but structural improvements on the supply side have already been implemented. Historically, projects with similar "end of large unlock + significant inflation drop" often undergo value revaluation after digesting short-term selling pressure. FIL is currently going through this process.Hunter Biden said in a CoinDesk interview that most Democrats have only reacted instinctively to the crypto industry, basing their stance on the political support flow within the industry and the president (referring to Trump) himself treating crypto as an opportunity to make money for himself and his family, which he called "completely outrageous."
He believes the problem is not that cryptocurrencies themselves are bad, but that the involvement of these people, especially the president, is very dangerous for the industry. He said that among Democrats who have expressed opinions or taken public stances on cryptocurrency, 90% know nothing about it and have not understood it; he believes the industry has a responsibility to educate them, talking about it like any financial instrument, discussing the good things it can do. #索尼Q2营业利润增长45%，上调全年业绩指引 #SonyQ2GamingAndMusic Sony performed strongly in Q2, demonstrating that the premium PlayStation Network pricing fully offsets hardware cost pressures. The consistently strong recurring cash flow from music streaming provides a highly defensive bottom line. Maintain overweight position. ChargeShorts squeezed, ETF stops the bleeding, non-farm payrolls tomorrow night will decide life or death
BTC 80,500, ETH 2,420. With the election settled, the fear and greed index has rebounded to 50.
The rebound relies on short covering. 24h liquidations reached 992 million, with shorts accounting for 577 million. This is a short squeeze caused by existing shorts stopping losses, not new buying capital.
ETF finally stops the bleeding. BTC net inflow of 74.6 million, ETH net inflow of 53 million (ending continuous outflows). But BlackRock outflowed 200 million, which is rotation between capital products.
Market quality is weak. Altcoins did not follow the rise, capital did not spread to the risk curve, indicating a correction rather than a reversal.
Key macro variable. Tomorrow night’s non-farm payrolls will determine December rate hike expectations; strong data will suppress valuations, weak data will fuel recession fears, both sides are hard to bet on.
Key levels:
BTC resistance above 82,000, support zone between 78,000-80,000.
ETH resistance above 2,450-2,500, support at 2,365.
In short: Shorts squeezed provide the rebound, ETF stops the bleeding but structure remains unchanged. Before tomorrow night’s non-farm payrolls, do not chase longs; wait for BTC to retest 80,000 and stabilize before lightly trying longs, with position control as priority. #AAOI high-speed optical module volume increase, can the Q3 financial report exceed expectations? The market is weak in follow-through, buying pressure is insufficient, support is not obvious, selling pressure continues to dominate, and the short position structure remains intact. It is recommended to take profit on 50%–60% first, and watch if the remaining position can hold the support around 0.072; stop loss reference is set above the opening price 0.0751 to leave room for profit. Those who have not participated need not rush to chase orders, wait for the next round of structure confirmation.
It’s all about market judgment, don’t stare at the screen but hold steadily, hold firmly if the trend exists. Everyone, don’t get emotional, participate rationally in the subsequent rotation 💪$BTC $ETH $CC — Canton Network
The future of institutional finance may not be built on public visibility alone. It may depend on connecting financial institutions while protecting sensitive business information.
That’s where Canton Network stands out. Its focus on privacy, interoperability, and synchronized financial markets addresses some of the biggest challenges facing traditional finance.
The real milestone will be seeing more institutions move beyond experiments and use blockchain infrastructure 11.05 Qiqi Gold Midnight Gold Review: Initial Jobless Claims Data Released, Gold Price Quickly Dips Then Slightly Rebounds!
Evening initial jobless claims data exceeded expectations, gold price plunged under pressure, bottoming near 4092, then buying resumed with a slight recovery, currently fluctuating around 4114. The intraday high resistance at 4146 has appeared, short-term bullish momentum disrupted by the data.
Short-term moving averages are turning downward, MACD green bars expanding, short-term bearish momentum releasing, but after the rapid drop there is a need for correction, so avoid chasing shorts directly for now, beware of repeated shakeouts with bottoming and rebound.
Trading strategy: short-term resistance at 4126–4135, pressure on rebound may allow phased short attempts, first target 4102, breaking below looks toward 4092; support near 4090 below, stabilize before considering long attempts. Midnight market liquidity weakens, volatility may be distorted, strictly control position size and maintain good defense. $XAU #非农在即，就业数据能否强化12月加息预期？ 🔥 In trading, what matters most in the end is not how much you earn, but whether you can truly keep the profits!
📈 After BTC's rebound, the pace has slowed, currently oscillating around 77000. ETFs continue to redeem, putting pressure on market buying; however, Strategy is accumulating against the trend, and the divergence among institutions is becoming more apparent. Both bulls and bears are waiting for new catalysts, with the upcoming non-farm payroll data being a key focus.
💰 My BTC 20x full position long opened at 76282, current price 78446, return +56.75%; LTC long opened at 53.48, current price 54.65, return +43.93%. Both trades currently have good floating profits, but I won't relax vigilance just because of gains. With 20x leverage, even slight adverse market moves can quickly erode profits.
🔍 ETH is currently consolidating around 2260, with the 200-day moving average at 2158 as an important support level to watch. SOL is priced at 92, down nearly 9% in the past 7 days; the 90 level is a key point to watch this afternoon.
🛡️ My approach: observe BTC's consolidation range, wait for capital confirmation on ETH, and first see if SOL can hold 90. Without a clear breakout signal, no rush to add positions; if profits pull back, have a clear protection plan.
⏰ Before the non-farm release, the market may continue to fluctuate—don't let temporary floating profits turn into subsequent pressure.
Brothers, are you more inclined to hold coins and wait now, or continue looking for low entry opportunities? #非农在即，就业数据能否强化12月加息预期？ On the surface, it looks like a broad recovery, but underneath, each is going its own way. In this rebound, who really has support, and who is just being lifted by sentiment? When BTC retook 81,000, my first reaction wasn’t excitement but to look at the temperature differences between sectors. Election-related uncertainties cooled down, and after the bad news landed, it actually became a driving force. Major coins led the recovery, which is correct. But the excitement is superficial; the structure is layered, and this difference is very important. My observation is that the funds this time are quite selective, favoring those with clear accounting. First, look at the DEX track. HYPE is the core leader; the protocol uses most of its income for buybacks and burns, forming a closed loop. The team is also pushing for US compliance, so the long-term story has room for imagination. UNI is a veteran value type; after the UNIfication fee reform was implemented, protocol trading fees are directly used for burns. The v4 multi-chain expansion plus Hooks continuously drives traffic. The token structure is clean, with no large unlocking pressure. The common point of these two is that under narrowing income expectations, they become more valuable because they can generate real cash flow. Next, look at LINK. It is the underlying oracle infrastructure for RWA and institutional asset on-chain, relying on CCIP multi-chain products and institutional asset management integration. It is the preferred option when traditional assets go on-chain. Its explosive power is indeed weak, but the logic is smooth when the RWA narrative warms up. PUMP is the leader in meme issuance infrastructure on Solana, highly elastic but heavily dependent on market sentiment, belonging to speculative psychology repair🔥 BTC did not continue to surge, ETH is sideways, SOL is declining slowly, and the market's real divergence has appeared!
📊 BTC is currently fluctuating around 77000, with the previous rebound momentum weakening. Continuous ETF redemptions are putting pressure on the market, but Strategy is still buying against the trend, indicating that long-term and short-term funds have different judgments. Before the nonfarm payroll data is released, the market may continue to wait for direction.
💰 My BTC long position opened at 76282, current price 78446, 20x full position return +56.75%; LTC long position opened at 53.48, current price 54.65, return +43.93%. Both positions are currently profitable, but with high leverage, market changes are rapid, so protecting profits is more important than showing off gains.
📍 ETH is currently sideways around 2260, with 2158 as a key support level to watch. Gas fees have reached multi-year lows, and on-chain cost changes are worth attention, but this does not directly mean the coin price will rise immediately.
⚠️ SOL current price 92, down nearly 9% in 7 days, on-chain data has somewhat warmed up, but the price remains weak. This afternoon, focus on whether 90 can hold; if it continues to weaken, it indicates that risk appetite among funds has not truly recovered.
🧭 No rush to bet on direction today; first see if BTC can hold steady, then look for rebound opportunities in ETH and SOL.
Do you think the next round of funds will flow back to BTC first, or will ETH and SOL perform? #非农在即，就业数据能否强化12月加息预期？