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#特斯拉发布新一代Roadster，行情走高 #美国CPI与PPI双超预期，年内能否再加息？ 警惕诱多反弹！BTC/ETH关键分水岭已定，盘面暗藏风险
$BTC 本轮反弹暗藏结构性隐患，8.2万为当前多空核心分水岭。昨夜价格下探79775快速收回，8万关口承接尚可，但上方82600–83000区间压制极强，短期难以突破。
PPI数据落地后行情先砸后拉，最低触及79694、冲高至82520，看似强势反弹，实则24小时全网杠杆清算9.29亿美元，其中多头清算高达7.77亿。本轮上涨属于典型空头回补带动，现货资金缺乏持续接力，修复力度极其有限。盘面只有有效站稳8.2万才能确认反弹延续，若跌破81000，大概率再度回落测试8万支撑。
$ETH 短线2400为生死攻防线。自2317低点反弹后，2397黄金回撤位与2400关口重合，是短期强弱核心分界。守住2400可看2450反弹目标，失守则先探2380，弱势行情下存在回踩前低风险。
链上信号偏空明显：大户鲸鱼24小时减持17万枚ETH，市场资金费率同步转负，大资金持续撤退，短期盘面多头势能薄弱，操作务必谨慎。昨天所有人都在追问：8万这道生死关口，还守得住吗？
周五，答案落地——守住了。
本周三轮砸盘，全部直击8万防线：周二80168，周三80033，周四最低摸到79725。
每一次下探的低点不断下移，但触底后的回弹速度，一次快过一次。
三次试探，三种杀跌形态，8万这道大门，始终没有被击穿。
昨天那波最惊心动魄的插针，打到79725，短短几小时就快速收复，重回82000上方，现价82114。
很多人看错了这次的支撑力量：托住盘面的，并不是机构。
近期ETF持续净流出，机构资金还在离场观望。
真正硬扛抛压的，是链上巨鲸。大户抛压已经明显衰竭，在这轮下跌行情里，一直在默默吸纳现货筹码。
市场资金正在两极分化：散户在赎回ETF离场，链上巨鲸却在现货市场持续买入。
所以要认清现实：8万守住是事实，但这是巨鲸构筑的底部，不是机构底。
巨鲸属于长线慢资金，慢钱撑起来的底盘，韧性更强。
巨鲸愿意在这个位置接货，代表价位得到资金认可；
但只要机构资金没有回流，本轮反弹就缺少持续上攻的核心动力。
后续紧盯两个关键信号：
第一，ETF由流出转为净流入，代表机构资金重新进场；
第二，大饼有效站稳83000，才是趋势反转的确认标志。
当前价格82000，距离83000还差一千刀。
两个信号没有同时兑现之前，79700只能算作阶段底部，不能认定趋势反转。
来聊聊，你们觉得下周一开盘，8万防线还能守住吗？$DNA 现在的项目方真是把散户当傻子哄，拿一成多的初始流通盘出来开席，居然还有脸在里写“固定总量、无通胀”。
刚上线的新币DNA总量足足10亿枚，今天TGE只放出来1.3亿枚在外面，剩下高达87%的天量筹码全捏在狗庄手里。接下来整整39个月，每个月都要雷打不动地线性释放往市场里倒货。这叫哪门子的无通胀？这分明是给接盘侠量身定制的三年期分期买单局。
新币向来是开盘即巅峰，现价直接空进去，替项目方接盘这种低流通的空气，不如直接坐到狗庄这边一起砸！凌晨两点把ETH的止盈单撤了回来。持仓成本2180，现在2460，浮盈12.8%，本来挂的单子压在2520。撤掉不是贪，是ETH/BTC汇率今天从0.0288拉到0.0300，这个位置一旦站稳，说明资金在往ETH这条线上偏，我不想在轮动刚起步的时候交筹码。
BTC只涨2.3%，ETH涨5.1%，差距不小。NEAR单日14.9%更直接——高beta在跑，说明场内风险偏好在回暖，不是单纯的BTC独涨。但我不认为这是趋势确认。BTC还在82000附近磨，没有效突破84000之前，我不会加任何新仓，现有的山寨仓位也不追。
我的做法很简单：主仓不动，把ETH的止损上移到2320锁定利润，剩下交给市场。涨了继续拿，跌回来也不至于把这一段的浮盈全吐出去。仓位管理比判断方向重要得多，尤其在这种缩量反弹里。
你们现在是加仓还是等BTC先表态？
关注我，持续分享实盘交易逻辑与仓位思路
#BTC #XAUT 盯 $BTC 的今晚抬头看一眼费城半导体：连续第八天下跌，创下 2006 年 5 月以来最长的连跌纪录。
划重点在「连续八天」。单日大跌是情绪，连跌八个交易日是结构——是机构在一笔一笔往外撤，不是散户在某一根线上恐慌砸盘。上一次这么长的连跌是哪一年，那年之后芯片股又走了什么，自己去对一遍。
做交易最怕把结构性撤退看成「跌多了该反弹」。反弹会有，但大方向没转之前，那只是给你减仓的机会，不是抄底的邀请函。你是怎么看这波芯片股的？CPI 3.7%，比预期只高 0.1%
核心 CPI 环比 0.3%，预期是 0.2%。
这个数怎么算的：
核心 CPI 是把食品和能源剔掉再算。
这两样价格最跳，剔掉才看得清底层。
高 0.1% 不是误差，是没降下来。
容易误读的地方：
市场怕的从来不是 CPI 本身。
怕的是它压着利率不松。
利率不松，$ETH 这种带科技属性的先挨打。
CPI 落地不等于利空出尽。
后面还有 PPI 和官员讲话。
数据没转向前，波动不会自己停。
#美国CPI与PPI双超预期，年内能否再加息？
#$ETH 交易员视角：这波调整里三处反常信号
$BTC｜81000三次下探都有承接
Glassnode显示BTC真实市场均值78000，美现货ETF平均持仓成本81500，和现价高度接近，机构同样处于浮亏区间。
散户恐慌割肉的同时，巨鲸72小时吸筹1.5万枚BTC，贝莱德IBIT昨日净流入1678万美金，恐慌盘面下，有资金在默默接盘。
$ETH｜ETF持续流出，巨鲸逆势大举加仓
ETH ETF此前连续10天流出，但巨鲸72小时增持超16.6万枚ETH，折合4亿+美金。10‑13ETF净流入2484万，流出局面宣告终结。
市场唱衰声不断，大资金却在悄悄布局，典型认知差行情。
$SOL｜盘面躺平，链上数据热度拉满
活跃地址达188万，创13个月新高，链上稳定币供给突破150亿。价格横盘调整，链上生态依旧火热。杯柄结构形态保留，站稳240才会打开主升行情。
老交易员准则：恐慌阶段看链上数据，FOMO行情再看K线。
BTC做底仓，ETH等待ETF持续转正信号，SOL耐心持仓等待突破。
$BTC $ETH $SOL最近 $BTC 又多了个利空，Strategy（原微策略）可能要被MSCI踢出指数了。
很多人一看到这个消息，就会觉得Strategy会不会被迫卖币。
MSCI表达的意思很简单，Strategy现在虽然是一家上市公司，但干的事基本就是融资买BTC，买完继续融资，继续买，与其说是一家经营性企业，不如说更像一个BTC投资工具。
市场很多人说，如果被剔除的话可能会影响大约28亿美金的抛售，查询了下，这里其实抛售的是股票，不是BTC。
所以这个倒是短期不值得担心。
真正需要考虑的问题是Strategy这些年为什么能一直买币？无非就是靠资本市场融资。如果MSTR股价持续承压，估值溢价越来越低，以后再想融资买BTC，恐怕就没以前那么容易了，需要担心微策略未来的购买能力。
最终的剔除名单会在11月11日发出。Level 8 Gale｜CPI PPI Fed Rate Hike Expectations Triple Blow! How Will the Market Move Next?
Data release triggered short covering, leading to a rebound driven by selling the expectation and buying the reality.
The main reason for this PPI surge is oil prices; core inflation is not as scary as imagined. The market did not immediately price in a rate hike, only a delay in rate cuts.
The Fed has two remaining meetings this year: October 27-28 and December 8-9.
For October, the market is starting to speculate on a possible rate hike due to sticky CPI inflation, but this is only market expectation and does not mean a rate hike will definitely happen. I believe the probability of no change is highest! Because a real rate hike would affect the event on November 3!
However, even if the Fed does not hike rates, if the tone is hawkish and signals that high rates will be maintained longer, it will still suppress risk assets.
December is the year-end meeting, accompanied by the dot plot, which will update officials' views on the future rate path and have a stronger impact. It is highly likely there will be another rate hike.
The main market driver is the US Treasury yield. The outcome of the October decision will directly determine the short-term direction of BTC, ETH, and SOL.
Market forecast: first a southward pullback, then a northward move to test 90k.
BTC: 69590—76289
ETH: 2067—2123
SOL: 86—95
This is just a personal opinion, not investment advice. The market is highly volatile; trade at your own risk.
#美国CPI与PPI双超预期，年内能否再加息？
$BTC $ETH $SOL Near 82200, closely watch the volatility switching signals
BTC stabilized near 82200 with a slight rise, local volatility expanded but has not yet reached historical highs.
The core of this rebound is short covering, not new incremental funds entering. The total open interest across the network remains generally stable; funds are just flowing across platforms without large-scale exits.
The 24-hour liquidation volume has increased, with a large amount of long positions cleared earlier; in the past 4 hours, the market reversed and shorts began to be liquidated. Funding rates are all positive, with longs paying overnight costs.
There is a clear expectation gap: many large holders who verbally appear bearish are actually quietly positioning.
The sustainability of this impulse driven by short covering is questionable; going forward, focus on two signals:
• Whether new positions can continue to accumulate
• Whether short-term short squeezes can spread throughout the day
Old chips are gradually exiting, and a new round of competition has not fully opened yet.
$BTC $ETH $SOL# US CPI and PPI Both Exceed Expectations, Will There Be Another Rate Hike This Year?
The leader has something to say
Both CPI and PPI exceeded expectations. PPI year-on-year is 6.3%, expected 5.3%. Month-on-month 1.3%, expected 0.5%. Core PPI also exceeded all expectations. CPI year-on-year is 3.7%, also higher than expected. Inflation pressure is more stubborn than anticipated.
But after Walsh's speech, the bet on a rate hike in October dropped to 15%. He said he does not predict the future nor reveal whether there will be a hike in October. Officials like Daly and Goolsbee also hold cautious attitudes toward immediate action. The market is betting the Fed will not act immediately.
My judgment is that the data is on the hot side, but the Fed will hold steady. Inflation hasn't come down, rate hike expectations are suppressed, US Treasury yields remain high, and risk assets are under short-term pressure. But the momentum to crash the market is insufficient because the market does not believe a hike will happen immediately.
Bitcoin is now fluctuating around 80,000, with 80,000 becoming the dividing line between bulls and bears. A break could trigger stop-loss selling and a downward probe; holding above means consolidation and recovery. After closing my short at 81,500, Bitcoin rebounded strongly, and now I am out of position.
No rush to act. Wait for a pullback near 80,000 to see if it holds, try light long positions if volume shrinks and it doesn't break, stop loss at 79,000. If volume increases and it breaks down, wait for a lower level. Resistance above is between 84,000 and 85,000. Do not chase the rise or kill the dip; set stop losses properly.
The above analysis is time-sensitive; positions must have stop losses set. Good luck to you. $BTC $ETH $ZEC $CRWV opened tonight with a direct plunge of 7.7%. Don't treat it as just another daily fluctuation of a speculative stock—CoreWeave is the most leveraged and externally funded link in the entire AI computing power financing chain. When it coughs, it means the funds willing to keep burning money on AI are starting to hesitate.
The reason I’m holding onto those short positions in my account is that I’m waiting for this kind of signal. While the whole screen is still shouting that AI is the vast frontier, the weakest link in the entire chain is the first to break, and that’s more honest than any candlestick.
For those trading on leverage, remember this: bubbles rarely burst at the most expensive spots; they usually burst first where money is tightest. Do you think this drop in $CRWV is an overreaction or a warning sign?这轮牛市比较稳的几个标的，简单说下逻辑：
$BTC ： 全球资产普跌，美股、韩股都出现明显回撤，但 BTC 相对抗跌，跌幅甚至没到 10%。如果其他风险资产逐渐止跌，BTC 有机会率先走强，后续重点看 10 万、12 万美元，甚至再创新高。
$UNI ： 五年长期洗盘，上一轮牛市表现相对平淡，筹码结构值得关注。本轮又有 CME 期货、Robinhood 链上业务等催化，叠加协议自身的价值捕获预期，重新挑战 20 美元附近的前高值得期待。
$CRCL ： 当前市值约 200 亿美元。Circle 的行情很大程度上取决于稳定币规模增长、利率环境和市场流动性。如果牛市进入增量资金加速流入阶段，当前的利空可能被重新定价。
MSTR：本质上是高波动的 BTC 相关资产，弹性更大，风险基本会比特币差不多，但是收益会更大。
NEAR：AI➕匿名隐私双重概念，强庄控盘，进入市值前十只是时间问题。
#交易之声：你的经验值得被听到 Short-term holders currently hold 4.08 million BTC, which is 422,000 more than the low point in July. The meaning is straightforward: the coins are transferring from long-term holders to newcomers.
The benefit is that new funds are willing to buy at the current price, indicating chip turnover rather than a one-sided exit. However, be cautious because this group has a high cost basis and a short mindset; they tend to flee at the slightest sign of trouble. Their average cost line often acts as a market watershed—if it holds, they continue holding; if it breaks, concentrated selling is likely.
Next, watch three things: whether the holding volume is still increasing, where the average cost roughly lies, and if there is a volume-driven decline. For $BTC, this is not a directional signal but more of a volatility signal: the holding structure is getting younger, and short-term fluctuations will only be amplified."Around 82200, watching volatility switching signals"
BTC stabilized above 82200 early this morning with a slight rise; short-term volatility has expanded but has not yet reached historical highs.
This round of rebound mainly comes from short covering, not from new capital inflows; total open interest remains generally stable, with funds mostly migrating across platforms rather than large-scale exits.
The 24-hour liquidation scale has expanded, with early concentrated long liquidations; in the past 4 hours, the situation reversed, short liquidations have started to increase, funding rates are all positive, and longs are bearing overnight costs.
A very typical divergence between expectations and positions has appeared: many vocal bearish large holders are actually quietly building positions.
Currently, the pulse rally brought by short covering has not yet confirmed its sustainability. Next, focus on two key points:
1. Whether new positions can continue to accumulate
2. Whether short squeezes in the short term can spread to the full-day cycle
Old chips are slowly exiting, and a new round of game has not fully opened yet.
$BTC $ETH $SOLIt's this guy again! He's clearly determined to convert all his BTC into ETH. In less than 24 hours, this whale sold 288.9 BTC, cashing out 23.48 million USDT, then immediately poured every cent into ETH, buying 9,820 ETH in one go. And this is just a single day's operation. Looking over a 5-day period, it's even more astonishing: a total sale of 1,601 BTC, equivalent to 132 million USD, all swapped into 53,095 ETH, with an average entry cost of only $2,497. This move is very clear— in his view, BTC's cost-performance ratio is far inferior to ETH's right now. Over 100 million USD in funds have been aggressively rotated over five consecutive days. Either he got some insider information unknown to ordinary people, or the altcoin season is really about to begin. Historically, such large-scale "selling BTC to buy ETH" actions often signal capital starting to flow out, spreading from the leader to secondary coins. #Tesla releases new generation Roadster, market rallies #US CPI and PPI both exceed expectations, will there be another rate hike this year? #SpaceX's first full quarterly report after IPO#Meta's massive AI investment enters the return verification period. Folks, Meta's earnings report is next week, and the market is focused on one thing: with so much money burned on AI, can the advertising business really hold up?
Q2 revenue was 60.8 billion, up 28% year-over-year, with capital expenditures at 31.1 billion. The Q3 guidance is 61 to 64 billion, but capital expenditures will continue to rise. Zuckerberg's AI investment is the most aggressive among the big seven, often throwing in hundreds of billions of dollars.
Here's the issue. Advertising revenue is Meta's foundation, but whether the growth rate can sustain such high spending is uncertain in the market. If this earnings report shows a slowdown in ad growth while capital expenditures keep soaring, the stock price will face significant pressure. Conversely, if advertising continues double-digit growth and AI investments can tell a story of returns, it will stabilize.
For our BTC, Meta's earnings report is a risk appetite indicator. If it exceeds expectations, tech stock sentiment will recover, and BTC can catch a breather. If it falls short, the US tech sector will collectively come under pressure, and BTC won't escape either. $BTC $META 【Short-term BTC holdings surged to 4.08 million coins: Are there more bottom-fishers or more trapped holders?】
4.08 million $BTC are classified as short-term holders, which looks like a large influx of new funds entering the market. On-chain statistics define short-term holders as wallets holding coins for less than 155 days, which does not necessarily mean these coins were recently purchased, nor does it imply that buyers are currently profitable.
This represents chip turnover: some are bottom-fishing, some chasing the rally, and others exiting during the rebound; all may be counted as short-term holdings. Recently, BTC rebounded above $84,000, but institutional ETF outflows continue to weigh it down. The strong price and incremental funds have not fully aligned.
Going forward, more attention should be paid to whether the unrealized losses of short-term holders continue to increase and whether there is sustained spot buying during rebounds. The 4.08 million coins is neither a bullish signal nor immediate evidence of a sell-off. If the price strengthens, short-term holdings keep increasing, and ETFs turn to net inflows, it would more likely indicate new demand entering; otherwise, this batch of chips could become selling pressure on the rebound path.⚡️Five “data bombs” on the screen at once, don’t rush to take sides.
📉Initial claims: 197,000 → expected 200,000. Higher than expected = cooling employment, slightly bullish; lower than expected = labor force still tight, slightly bearish.
🛒Retail sales: previous 1.1%, expected 0.3%. Too hot risks inflation rebound; too cold means economic cooling. But the previous base was high, so insufficient decline also hides bearish signals.
🏭PPI: annual expected 5.3%, monthly 0.5%. Annual lower than expected is a relief; if monthly exceeds 0.5%, upstream inflation rises again, which hurts risk assets the most.
🏙New York Fed manufacturing: 7.6 → 10.25. Stronger than expected = economy is strong, bearish; weaker than expected = softer, bullish.
🪙Market: $BTC stuck between 80,000—88,000. 88,000 is the two-year chip cost, a rebound means some get out of loss; 80,000 overlaps with ETF cost 81,500, losing it means losing a layer of support. Fear & Greed index 62 → 53, greed is retreating.
$ETH holds 2,350, break below targets 2,262, only above 2,404 stops the bleeding; SOL 100 is the September defense line, break targets 95.8. On October 7, ETF net outflow was 485 million, institutions are also hiding.
🎯Don’t heavily position before data, wait for the cards to fall, set stop loss first. When the market makes a move, we respond. #Tesla launches new generation Roadster, market rises #US CPI and PPI both exceed expectations, will there be another rate hike this year? #Netflix Growth May Slow, Advertising Business Becomes New Focus
⚠️ Netflix is particularly sensitive to earnings reports, especially revenue and next quarter guidance. If Q3 (or Q4) earnings fall short of expectations, the short-term stock price will depend on the degree of deviation and whether guidance is lowered accordingly. A slight miss usually results in a post-market drop of about 5%‑8%, with many institutions choosing to wait and see; if both revenue and advertising income miss and next quarter guidance is below market expectations, post-market declines of 9%‑12% often occur, accompanied by institutions lowering target prices, and the market reexamining the growth logic of subscription price hikes and advertising business; if there is a significant slowdown in growth or weakening profit margins—larger negative surprises—historically single-day drops exceeding 20% and valuation downgrades have occurred. Currently, the market values Netflix based on steady growth and relatively high operating margins. Once growth confidence is damaged, the long-term PE ratio may be further compressed. If the company can only place hopes on ad packages, live streaming, and content cost control without clear implementation timelines, short-term capital tends to withdraw, usually waiting for subsequent earnings reports to recover before strengthening again. Additionally, it is worth noting that often this quarter's data is acceptable, but weaker guidance for the next quarter causes the stock price to fall more sharply. Of course, final performance is also influenced by the broader market, exchange rates, market sentiment, and other factors, and historical trends do not guarantee future results. Last night while watching the market, $BTC once again gently dipped below 80,000, and I clenched my palm. 🫧 But it didn’t stay there long and was quickly pulled back above. Who exactly is this "fake fall" trying to shake out? At that moment, I realized the market wasn’t trading on panic but was repricing a series of macro signals. U.S. Treasury yields, the dollar, and oil prices have all taken a slight breather these days, and risk appetite has warmed up a bit, so $BTC and $ETH experienced a wave of corrective rebound. But here’s the question: is this rebound strong enough to support a trend reversal? My own observation is that this looks more like an event-driven short-term revaluation rather than a complete macro environment turnaround. The yield decline only gave the market a breathing window, but the dollar and oil prices could turn around at any time. Once they strengthen again, risk assets will immediately come under pressure. The transmission chain is actually very clear: macro pressure eases slightly -> risk appetite temporarily rises -> $BTC finds support near 80,000 -> $ETH follows with a rebound but with weaker momentum. The key point here is that $BTC’s resistance is clearly better than $ETH’s; the capital allocation within major coins already reveals a cautious attitude. $ETH has support near 2,350, but the resistance at 2,480 is heavier, and the willingness to follow the rebound is weak, indicating the market’s medium-term confidence in it hasn’t truly returned. The more bullish path is: if U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar continue to weaken, $BTC can hold above 83,00 #ETF and whale funds diverge, can BTC hold $80,000? The underlying logic is not contradictory. ETF funds are driven by macro interest rate expectations; CPI and PPI inflation data exceeded expectations, U.S. Treasury yields remain high, and institutions reduce positions temporarily to control portfolio risk, a short-term tactical move. Meanwhile, on-chain whales are mostly long-term holders who value the allocation opportunity after price pullbacks, accumulating coins in batches during declines, focusing on long-term cycles and indifferent to short-term volatility.
But note: whales bottom-fishing ≠ immediate price rebound. Whales buy gradually in batches and won’t violently push the price up all at once. In the short term, the market lacks incremental ETF buying support, limiting rebound strength, with heavy resistance above; the $80,000 level will be repeatedly tested. If short-term selling pressure is released intensively, the $80,000 support risks being broken; only when shorts are fully cleared and ETF funds flow back can this level be stabilized.
Transmission logic: fund divergence likely maintains wide-range oscillation. Bull-bear battles intensify, and spike moves will increase. If the $80,000 level is repeatedly tested without a decisive break, it indicates strong support below; a volume-backed break would open deeper correction space.
Key follow-ups: daily ETF fund flows, whale address position changes, U.S. Treasury yields, and Nasdaq correlation performance. $BTC $ETH $SNDK MSCI is advancing index inclusion rule adjustments targeting Bitcoin treasury companies. Enterprises holding large amounts of BTC, such as Strategy (MSTR) and Metaplanet, may face the risk of being removed from major stock indices. ⚠️ 📊 JPMorgan estimates: If Strategy is removed from the relevant indices, MSTR stock could face approximately $2.8 billion in capital outflow pressure. It is important to note that this refers to potential capital outflows in the stock market and does not mean these funds will directly convert into BTC sell-offs. 📌 Key dates: 🗓️ November 11: Announcement of the final list of affected companies 🗓️ After market close on November 30: Relevant rules officially take effect 🔍 What is truly worth paying attention to? The core risk is not Bitcoin treasury companies being forced to sell BTC, but that index adjustments may weaken the stock market demand for these companies, thereby affecting their future financing capabilities and the pace of continued Bitcoin accumulation. If corporate financing channels tighten, the market may need to reassess the long-term path of institutional funds entering the BTC market through listed companies. 📈 Going forward, investors should focus on MSCI's final decision, MSTR stock performance, corporate financing ability, and the capital flow of spot BTC. This is not a simple BTC sell-off issue but a question of whether the Bitcoin corporate treasury model can continue to expand. Do you think this index adjustment will affect the market's long-term valuation of Bitcoin treasury companies? $BTC #CryptDon't get carried away with this rebound in the Korean stock market.
Yesterday, the KOSPI dropped 7.57%, triggering a circuit breaker during the session. Samsung fell -9.48%, $xSKHY Hynix dropped -11.06%, and foreign investors sold off 3.62 trillion KRW in one day.
This morning's early session bounced over 2%, which looks like a recovery but is actually short covering plus a scramble to catch the rebound. The key thing to watch isn't how much it rose, but that foreign investors haven't stopped selling—they were still net sellers in the morning session. The South Korean government quickly convened a meeting, saying they will strengthen monitoring of the stock, bond, and foreign exchange markets.
Such statements are mostly for calming nerves, not signals of a fundamental turnaround. On the memory side, although Samsung and Hynix bounced, foreign capital hasn't returned, indicating that big money doesn't really accept this level. The semiconductor correction isn't over yet, and tech stocks overall remain under pressure. This is not good news for $BTC. Global risk appetite hasn't recovered, so the crypto market is unlikely to thrive independently.
However, Bitcoin has been relatively resilient lately because its pricing logic includes a layer of fiat credit hedging, so it doesn't fully follow tech stocks. The 80,000 level remains critical: short-term support is between 81,500–82,000; if broken, look to 80,000; resistance is between 83,500–84,500, which won't be surpassed without volume.
Don't chase this rebound in your trades. Wait until foreign investors stop net selling or the semiconductor sector stabilizes consecutively before considering entry. At this point, watching from the sidelines is safer than jumping in.
#KoreanStockRecoveryRebound CanForeignSellingPressureEase? Observation: Retail investors are bleeding from ETF sell-offs, while whales are frantically accumulating around $80,000
BTC is struggling near the $80,000 mark, and the overall market remains lifeless.
The capital flow is quite fragmented; ETFs saw a net outflow of 3,209 BTC in a single day, equivalent to $258 million, with retail investors fleeing in panic.
However, Bitfinex data shows that since late August, whales have quietly scooped up 60,000 BTC in the $80,000 to $86,000 range.
Chips are rapidly shifting from weak hands to strong hands.
CPI and PPI have consecutively exceeded expectations, and the anticipation of rate hikes still looms overhead, keeping risk assets heavily suppressed.
The $80,000 level has become a psychological battleground for bulls and bears.
This bloodletting process is always brutal, so don’t bet on direction to avoid getting stopped out!
#ETF and whale capital divergence, can BTC hold $80,000? Misconception Breakdown: FIL ≠ ICP, Division of Storage and Computing Tracks
Both belong to the DePIN track, but their roles are completely different and they are not direct competitors.
$FIL: Decentralized Hard Drive
Positioned for the Web3 cold storage market, specifically for storing large-capacity static files such as AI datasets, RWA, NFTs, etc.
Does not run contracts or perform computations; revenue comes from storage orders, miners provide hard drives to earn token rewards, with the core logic being massive AI data storage.
Growth drivers: storage orders, AI archiving demand; pressure: continuous token release selling pressure from miners.
$ICP: Decentralized Server (L1 Public Chain + Computing Cloud)
Storage is just an auxiliary capability, focusing on on-chain computing, capable of hosting complete websites, backend programs, AI inference, enabling full-stack applications on-chain, with built-in chain key cross-chain capabilities.
Growth drivers: application deployment, on-chain AI, enterprise sovereign cloud; pressure: node staking unlocking inflation.
In summary:
FIL stores raw AI datasets, ICP runs AI model inference, and the two can cooperate. $FIL $ICP#VanEck halts progress on Lido staked Ethereum ETF $ETH
This registration statement was filed on October 16, 2025, and withdrawn on October 16, 2026, with no sales in the entire year.
▪️ VanEck submitted a withdrawal request to the SEC, retracting the ETF registration statement and its attachments
▪️ The official reason given is that there are no longer plans to advance the issuance of shares for this product
▪️ The registration statement was originally filed on October 16, 2025
▪️ During this period, it did not receive SEC approval, nor were any securities issued or sold
▪️ The product holds Lido protocol staked Ethereum certificates, not Ethereum itself
▪️ Most listed staking products operate their own validator nodes
The disagreement is not about the withdrawal itself, but whether the withdrawal concerns the product or the underlying asset.
Staking products need to answer two questions: where the yield comes from, and who fronts the money on redemption day. Holding a staking certificate means the fund assumes the operational and penalty risks of the validator node, while the fund redeems based on its own net asset value. Operating your own validator node allows you to control these two aspects, whereas the certificate route depends on the third party's unbonding period.
The direction is to wait and see — re-filing with a different underlying asset means this path remains open; stopping here means certificate-based products are out for now. 📅 NOV 11: THE $2.8B RISK.
MSCI has introduced rules that could exclude Bitcoin treasury companies like Strategy and Metaplanet from major stock indexes.
JPMorgan estimates that removing Strategy from these indexes could lead to around $2.8B in MSTR share outflows — not direct $BTC selling.
📌 Final list of affected companies: November 11
📌 Rules take effect: After the November 30 close
The bigger concern isn’t forced Bitcoin sales.
#TeslaQ3ProfitAndMargins After Bitcoin fell below 80,000, it quickly rebounded, essentially driven by short covering liquidity release rather than fundamental improvement.
The current rebound is basically over, with a high of 82,600 USD, suppressed at the previous strong support level of 82,800 USD—which has now turned into a resistance level.
Currently, the buying support below 80,000 USD is significantly weakening, and new buying has failed to effectively fill the liquidity vacuum, leaving the market facing structural fragility risks.
In other words, if Bitcoin falls below 80,000 USD again, it will be a sharp drop, directly plunging to around 75,000 USD seeking support. 📅 NOV 11: THE $2.8B QUESTION.
MSCI has adopted rules that could remove Bitcoin-treasury firms such as Strategy and Metaplanet from major equity indexes.
JPMorgan estimates a Strategy exclusion could trigger ~$2.8B in MSTR share outflows—not $BTC sales.
Final affected-company list: Nov 11.
Rules effective: after Nov 30 close.
The risk isn't forced Bitcoin selling. It's a tighter pipeline for financing future BTC purchases.
$BTC #CryptoTreasuryDurability In the next month, three major events will happen one after another, here are the key points in advance.
On October 19, CME will launch UNI and BCH futures. This is CME's first time offering futures contracts for DeFi governance tokens, with standard and micro versions, cash-settled, regulated by the CFTC. UNI is currently around 7 dollars, and on-chain data shows a whale withdrawing 600,000 tokens from Binance in one day. To be clear, futures are just a hedging tool for institutions and will not directly drive spot prices. Long-term this is a structural positive, short-term neutral, effectively adding a shorting option.
On October 20, ZEC's NU7 upgrade vote. The main changes are reducing block time from 75 seconds to 25 seconds, allocating 60% of fees to the recycling pool, and phasing out old version transactions. If the vote passes, the mainnet activation is set for November 5. The testnet ran smoothly without major issues. This event is neutral to slightly bullish; if it fails, it will be bearish in the short term. ZEC is currently at 1235, with support at 1175, keep an eye on this level.
On October 21, SOL's Alpenglow mainnet upgrade. It confirms latency reduced to 150 milliseconds and eliminates the old TowerBFT mechanism. This is a medium-term positive but beware of immediate sell-offs upon launch. SOL is currently at 105, with resistance at 125.
#Tesla releases new generation Roadster, market rises #US CPI and PPI both exceed expectations, will there be another rate hike this year? #SpaceX's first full quarterly report after IPO will be revealed $BTC $ETH $ZEC The key point of this passage is: Although Bitcoin has broken through $80,000, the spot ETF has not continuously provided strong buying pressure, so this rebound still lacks an important confirmation signal.
1. What exactly does the ETF capital indicate?
The logic of this analysis is:
Late September: The US spot BTC ETF saw continuous net inflows, providing capital support for Bitcoin's breakthrough.
Since October: Capital inflows and outflows have alternated, and the buying pressure has not maintained the previous strength.
Current signal: There is no sustained, large-scale capital withdrawal, indicating the market may not have fully turned bearish; however, insufficient continuous buying also means the upward momentum may not be strong enough.
According to a market analysis on October 14, from September 17 to 29, the US spot BTC ETF had a cumulative net inflow of about $3.08 billion; as of October 13, the cumulative net outflow in October was about $276 million. This supports the judgment that "buying was strong in September and weakened in October."
#NetflixQ3AdsAndMargins 929 million USD vanished into thin air, but the culprit isn't a crash.
While inflation data screams wildly, the Federal Reserve handed the market a cup of ice water. The US September PPI soared 6.3% year-over-year, and CPI stubbornly high as well; the script should have been soaring rate hike expectations. Yet, Powell deliberately avoided talking about inflation and instead turned to discuss AI's long-term impact, forcefully slashing the October rate hike probability from 50% to 15%.
Hot data, cold officials. BTC barely gasped at the 82,000 level, but this gasp was bloody: $929 million liquidated across the network in 24 hours, with longs contributing $777 million. This is not a return of conviction but a meat grinder of short covering and leverage cleansing. The resistance at 83,500-84,500 is ironclad, and 80,000 below is the edge of a cliff.
Don't mistake tactical breathing for a trend reversal. Energy and services both rise; the root of inflation hasn't been pulled out. The time borrowed by the Fed comes at the cost of the ticking time bomb of inflation.
In this knife-edge blood-licking game, the most tormenting is never the crash but the long agony of the boot hanging in midair. After brief numbness, the next storm is already brewing. $BTC $ETH $ZEC
#US CPI and PPI both exceed expectations, can there be another rate hike within the year? #Netflix growth may slow, advertising business becomes new focus $SOL block time cut down to 200 milliseconds, effective on the mainnet around 10:30 PM on October 9th, with almost no reaction in the market. It closed at 109 on the day it took effect, then fluctuated between 100 and 113, and was around 107 at the time of writing.
This speed-up took seven weeks, reducing from 250 milliseconds to 200 milliseconds, cutting half from the original 400 milliseconds, allowing 5 blocks per second. Order placement and cancellation are faster, slippage is smaller; these benefits will gradually show in transactions and won't turn into a bullish candle on the day of activation.
Most of the drop happened before the upgrade. From October 7th to 8th, it fell from 120 to around 105. BTC also dropped from 85,000 to 82,000 in the same period, indicating the whole market was deleveraging, unrelated to the speed-up. Afterwards, SOL contract funding rates mostly ranged from 0.005% to 0.008%, slightly positive, not hitting the 0.01% cap, unlike the last days of September when it was capped consecutively. There are still bulls, but no one is chasing.
I tend to see this as a good thing. When positive news doesn't lead to a price increase, many interpret it as "dead on arrival," but for that to happen, someone must have rushed to sell first. From late September to early October, SOL stayed sideways between 118 and 122, with no rush to sell. The fundamentals have moved forward, but the price remains where it finished falling; this mismatch favors the bulls.
There is another consensus upgrade activation on October 21st. The 100 level was tested once on October 15th, with an intraday low of 100.56, closing back at 105. This lower shadow is the clearest support currently; as long as it holds above 100, the direction remains upward.Over the past five days, an on-chain address has been doing one thing: selling 1,601 BTC and exchanging it for $130 million, all bought in Ethereum $ETH — more than 53,000 coins, at an average price of 2,497.
It’s not betting on Ethereum itself rising. There are two ways to bet on Ethereum: one is to bet on the absolute price, watching the overall market sentiment; the other is to bet on the price ratio, wagering on the exchange rate recovery of Ethereum relative to Bitcoin. This portfolio swap sold Bitcoin, belonging to the latter.
The conditions for the price ratio are a bit special now, with institutional supply and demand moving in opposite directions on both sides. On the Bitcoin side, ETFs are still bleeding, and treasury companies are distributing out; on the Ethereum side, the amount held by listed companies has reached 6.6% of the total supply, with these positions locked and not entering circulation. With one side leaking and the other accumulating, the price ratio is easier to lift — on the same day, Ethereum outperformed Bitcoin by more than two points, lifting the price ratio from a multi-year low.
But a single address does not indicate a trend. These 53,000 coins are currently at a floating loss of about two points, just recently established and still climbing. Whether the signal holds depends on whether it becomes the action of a group of people or remains just one person’s choice.
2,495 to 2,500 is the pivot for this round, 2,411 is the recently tested low, and 2,580 above forms resistance. #Korean stocks recover and rebound, can foreign selling pressure ease?
- The AI rally in the first half of the year surged too fast; many foreign investors originally came to earn cyclical profits, so the high-level gradual reduction of positions and asset rebalancing is not a short-term panic sell-off;
- The main focus of the sell-off is basically on Samsung and SK Hynix, the two major memory leaders. Once they are sold off, the index will find it hard to completely shake off the pressure;
- The root cause still depends on Federal Reserve expectations + US Treasury yields + Korean won exchange rate: as long as the US dollar side signals tightening and the won is unstable, foreign capital tends to take profits on rebounds.
So can the selling pressure ease?
- There is a chance for marginal easing in the short term: after continuous heavy selling, the selling momentum shows signs of exhaustion, valuations have fallen back to a relatively attractive range, and if memory industry performance can stabilize, some funds will stop mindless selling and switch to watching or short-term replenishment;
- But it is difficult to immediately turn into large-scale sustained inflows: to truly reverse the trend, generally you need to see simultaneously: clear easing of US Treasury expectations, stabilization of the won without large depreciation, upward revision of HBM/memory profit expectations, and confidence from the implementation of Korean corporate value plans #NetflixQ3AdsAndMargins Brothers and sisters
The Director of the US Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, Gould, announced yesterday: the final implementation rules of the "GENIUS Act" will be in place by the end of October.
Many people didn’t take this news seriously, but those involved in stablecoins and exchanges are on high alert. Simply put, this act sets rules for stablecoins: from now on, issuing payment stablecoins in the US requires a federal or state license, reserve assets must be transparent, and they must undergo regulatory review.
The timeline is also clear: from January 2027, issuing coins requires a license; from July 2028, stablecoins without a license will no longer be allowed to be sold to US users on exchanges.
Who is most anxious? Those small stablecoins with opaque reserves, relying solely on credit. Who benefits the most? Leading players like Circle and Paxos who already have licenses, as well as platforms like Coinbase that can continue to use stablecoins as rewards to attract new users.
Last month, the Senate narrowly rejected the stricter "Clear Act" by a 49:50 vote, giving the industry a bit of relief. But relief doesn’t mean resting; how the final rules are written will directly determine the stablecoin landscape next year.
#Tesla releases new generation Roadster, market rises #US CPI and PPI both exceed expectations, will there be another rate hike this year? #SpaceX’s first full quarterly report after IPO will be revealed $BTC $ETH $ZEC $INJ This market situation, what I said this morning needs to be reiterated now.
It surged 28% in 24 hours, with trading volume 3.4 times the usual, an enormous volume. But if you check the coordinates, you’ll know what scary means — 69% higher than 30 days ago, 77% higher than 90 days ago, 187% higher than half a year ago, nearly triple. Those who bought casually half a year ago have now more than doubled their accounts.
The main force pushed from 7 to over 9 in one go, who got blown out? The shorts. Shorts were force-liquidated, buying panic ensued, each candlestick straighter than the last, this is called a short squeeze. The most exciting moments are often when the bag holders start lining up. Huge volume doesn’t equal health; volume at this multiple means someone is using this momentum to offload their holdings to those chasing the highs. $INJ Being bearish on the upcoming market movement does not mean it is worth opening a short position right now. The clearest stance from Ouge in this situation is: Bitcoin has returned to the range, the price sweeps up and down, and in the end, it may still return to the starting point; rather than continuously betting in the middle, it's better to focus on next week and wait for a rebound to set up trading positions. He does not interpret the short-term rebound as a trend reversal, nor does he ignore the bulls' resistance just because the overall direction is bearish. For him, these two things can coexist: still looking for opportunities to short on rallies later, but currently should reduce trading frequency. Direction judgment is one thing, entry position and confirmation signals are another. First, look at BTC. Ouge observes that after the price swept downward and pulled back, it repeatedly oscillated around the opening price during the day. This kind of movement looks more like bulls and bears testing each other rather than one side having taken over the trend. Chasing shorts after a drop or chasing longs after a rise tends to place stop losses right where the next sweep happens. His short-term scenario is that the price might needle down near 81500 or sweep around 83600 before returning to the original position. These numbers illustrate conditions for a volatile range that shakes out both ends, not confirmed breakout targets, nor a call to mechanically place orders at both ends. A direct rebound upward cannot be ruled out either; he does not rule out any particular path. More importantly, after the previous day's daily candle dipped and then recovered, there was a noticeable volume increase. In his interpretation, the bulls are not without resistance, and whether the short-term downward move can smoothly open space remains questionable. Consecutive fewOn-chain｜10/16: Whales quietly accumulating between 80-86k, 78-80k is the defense line
24h net flow: Spot ETF outflow again of 261 million (FBTC 153 million / IBIT 111 million)｜On-chain whale holdings at 3.03 million BTC (highest since 2025-11)
Watching three signals:
① Since the end of August, whales have increased holdings by about 60,000 coins, cost between 80k-86k, the main force supporting this round of pullback
② On 10/15, after probing 79,800, a V-shaped rebound occurred; 78-80k is the decisive zone between ETF selling pressure and whale cost (see orange band in chart)
③ 24h total liquidations on the network at 929 million, longs account for 90%, leverage has been washed out; but OI only dropped 1.54%, no real clearing
Note: On-chain data is delayed, whales can also be wrong; key defense lines are marked in the chart.
This round, are you siding with the whales or the ETF selling pressure?
$BTC #OnChainData
Data is publicly organized for reference only, not investment advice.Conclusion first: Last night I said the bulls were all talk and no action, and tonight the price V-shaped back, with fees still sticking close to zero. This rebound is a solo show by the spot market, with leverage absent. Numbers: BTC 82,024, 24h +1.88%, low point 79,775 pulled back over two thousand three hundred. The 82,600 line at midday still didn't hold. ETH 2,465, +4.75%, SOL 105.6, +3.67%, altcoins actually outperformed the big coin. Fees: BTC 0.0037%, ETH 0.00015%, SOL 0.0034%, all three hovering just above zero. OI 24.6 billion dollars, no volume increase. Honestly, a reversal usually starts with fees climbing first, bulls willing to pay protection fees to chase higher. This current state is called a recovery, not a reversal. Money is rotating into altcoins; on BTC's side, there isn't even anyone adding leverage. Tonight until tomorrow morning, only one thing matters: 82,600. If it holds above that for two hours, the rebound upgrades to a reversal, and my "leverage absent" call is void, I'll admit I was wrong in tomorrow morning's opening. If it stays below 82,600 and fees continue to hover low, that 79,775 low will be tested again sooner or later. In your position, are there many people daring to add leverage now? Recently, I saw Big Brother Maji's trading experience. To be honest, my first reaction was not envy, but rather a feeling of pity. According to data circulating in the community, he managed to grow an account from $56,000 to $12.25 million in just 4 months. That's more than a 200-fold increase! What does that mean? Many traders might never see such returns in their lifetime. But the real story that follows is what truly makes one reflect. 📉 From tens of millions of dollars down to only $20,000 The account's capital changes were extremely dramatic: 💰 Starting capital: $56,000 🚀 Peak account size: $12.25 million 📉 Final remaining: about $21,800 If these figures are accurate, it means the account retraced over 99% from its peak. Having once earned tens of millions, in the end, not even the initial principal was preserved. What is most worth studying behind this is actually a problem in trading: why is it hard to exit when profitable, yet unwilling to cut losses in time? 💡 This involves a psychological concept: the disposition effect. Many traders tend to sell winning positions too early but hold losing positions for too long. However, in high-leverage trading, another situation may occur: after making a lot of profit, one feels they have mastered the market rules and thus keeps increasing position size, hoping to create even higher returns. But the market does not reduce the risk of the next trade just because you made a lot of money before. The psychological impact of an account rising from 1 million to 10 million, and then falling back from 10 million to 1 million, is completely differentDon't get carried away by the rebound, focus on three things today 🧐
$BTC: 82,000 is the watershed.
Last night, 79,775 was pulled back, there is support near 80,000, but 82,600-83,000 above feels like a wall. After PPI, it first dropped to 79,694, then surged to 82,520. Looks fierce, but actually $929 million in leverage was liquidated in 24 hours, with bulls accounting for $777 million. More like short covering, no follow-through in spot. Only a firm hold above 82,000 counts as recovery; if it falls below 81,000, be cautious of testing 80,000 again. 📉
$ETH: 2,400 is the lifeline.
After rising from 2,317, the 0.786 retracement near 2,397 overlaps with 2,400, a battleground for bulls and bears. Holding this level targets 2,450; losing it targets 2,380, and if weaker, watch for a return to previous lows. On-chain whales reduced about 170,000 ETH in 24 hours, funding rates turned negative, big money is withdrawing, don’t pretend not to see it. 🐋
11:30 Wash’s speech is a thunderbolt.
CPI month-on-month 0.6%, PPI month-on-month 1.3%, core PPI year-on-year 5%, inflation is not light. If he remains hawkish, the rebound may be suppressed; if not more hawkish, it’s just a breather, not a dovish turn. October rate hike odds are volatile, market nerves are tight. ⚡
My stance: don’t chase shorts on sharp drops, don’t chase longs on bullish candles. First listen to Wash, then watch 82,000 and 2,400. Avoid the drop, don’t rush to pay tuition in the volatility. 🧘
Personal review, not investment advice. #Tesla launches new generation Roadster, market rises #US CPI and PPI both exceed expectations, will there be another rate hike this year? "Altcoin Market Retreats, Capital Returns to Blue Chips: NEAR, FIL, or SUI — Why I Only Keep SUI?"
Last night, the crypto market liquidation volume reached $930 million, and the capital flow direction has begun to change.
The previously frenzied altcoins are gradually cooling down, and funds are starting to seek more supported positions. NEAR, FIL, and SUI all staged deep V-shaped rebounds, indicating there is indeed support at low levels.
But a rebound does not equal a reversal. Comparing these three coins together, I ultimately chose only $SUI.
Why? Let's break it down one by one.
1. $NEAR: The gains are impressive, but the logic isn’t solid enough
Up 109% in the past 30 days, with a monthly increase of 178% in September alone, the elasticity is indeed remarkable.
The question is, what exactly is driving this surge? Currently, it is mostly driven by AI narratives and short-covering, lacking clear new capital catalysts. Last night, NEAR once dropped 10.1%, so volatility risk cannot be ignored.
Although Grayscale’s AI fund has included NEAR in its portfolio, this fund is a private placement product and cannot be directly equated with short-term spot buying.
Being able to rise is one thing; whether it can sustain the rise is another.
2. $FIL: Supply side improves, demand side still needs validation
The highlight of FIL lies in supply changes.
According to current related data, the six-year unlocking cycle is reaching its maturity point, with annual new supply expected to drop to 22 million tokens, a reduction of about 75%. Additionally, on October 13, PDP will launch on the mainnet, and on October 19 RSI 88! TSLAB volume exploded 70 times, is the Roadster flying night a takeoff or a bull trap?
Tesla Roadster flying demo night rose over 2% in after-hours trading, $TSLA moved synchronously, with 15-minute volume reaching 70.9 times the baseline, sharply increasing capital attention. But RSI6 has soared to 88, seriously overbought, and MACD formed a bullish crossover underwater with volume, followed by strong short-term pullback pressure. Q3 global deliveries of 486,500 units exceeded expectations, providing fundamental support, but the flying demo has historically had limited impact on market value, and Wall Street's reaction is cautious.
On the technical upgrade front, TSLAB has entered the BNB Chain Core Pool through Venus Protocol, with a collateral factor of 60% and liquidation threshold of 70%, opening new narratives for DeFi composability. On the capital side, BNB Chain holders have reached 61,055, with 24-hour trading volume of 1.91M, and strong buy orders.
After the Roadster release, on Hyperliquid $xTSLA rose from 373 by +2.13%. Contract volume was 81.12 million, 24.3 times. Open interest increased from 46.7 million to 82.33 million, +76.3%, far exceeding the price increase—incremental leverage entering. Three major whales built long positions from zero, totaling 3.98 million at an average price of 377.60, a key resistance. The Q3 earnings report on October 21 is a variable.
#特斯拉发布新一代Roadster，行情走高 #Netflix Growth May Slow, Advertising Business Becomes New Focus
Netflix released its quarterly report after market close on the 20th. The market expects revenue to be around $120 billion, with year-over-year growth just over 10%, and profit margins continuing to improve. However, the growth rate itself is no longer as strong, so the future depends on whether membership continues to rise and if advertising can truly support the business.
The market currently prices Yes at over seventy cents, showing optimism. The market has long been aware of the slowing growth; any real upside surprise must come from advertising and profits. Without that, the stock price is likely to suffer.Netflix will announce its Q3 earnings on October 20. I am betting on OKX that this quarter's earnings will exceed expectations (Yes). Currently, Wall Street's expectations for Netflix are not low, but I believe there are still several bullish reasons worth noting👇🏻 1️⃣ The effect of price increases in the U.S. market may be fully reflected this quarter. Netflix's Q3 revenue guidance given in the Q2 earnings report was $12.86 billion. This quarter is the first full quarter with the new round of price increases in the U.S. market fully accounted for in the results. Price increases do not necessarily directly lead to exceeding expectations, as user churn and plan downgrades may offset some of the gains. But if users accept the price adjustments well, average revenue has a chance to improve. 2️⃣ Advertising business may become an additional growth driver. Netflix is no longer just relying on subscription fees to make money; the advertising business is also a growth point worth watching going forward. If advertising revenue growth and the effect of subscription price increases both outperform expectations, then even if user watch time growth slows, it does not necessarily mean the company's revenue and profits will weaken accordingly. Of course, how much profit the growth in advertising business ultimately contributes depends on the data disclosed in the earnings report; we cannot just look at the growth story. 3️⃣ Analyst expectations have recently been revised downward. According to Zacks data on October 15, the market consensus EPS expectation for Netflix this quarter is about $0.82, which has been revised down over the past 30 days to 0CPI and PPI data have all been released, and this wave of inflation expectations has finally landed.
Many people think that once the data is out, the market will make a big one-sided move, but that's not the case.
This time the data shows that inflation is resilient, but not strong enough to force the Federal Reserve to raise rates immediately. The market has already pushed back rate hike expectations, betting that action might only happen in December.
In the crypto space, short-term is likely to see volatile fluctuations with more spikes. Bitcoin is relatively stable, while altcoins like SOL will experience very large swings.
What truly determines the major direction ahead is not the already released CPI and PPI, but the upcoming Federal Reserve officials' speeches and the FOMC meeting on October 28.
Remember, inflation pressure is only delayed, not gone. In a volatile market, be very cautious with leverage and avoid blindly bottom-fishing. #美国CPI与PPI双超预期，年内能否再加息？ $BTC $ETH $SOL