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Don't worry if you're stuck with $BTC at 74,800, the RSI is only 46 and can't really push up. The spike at 76,559 is the ceiling.
The entry at 75,723 was perfect; the spike at 76,559 was pushed back within three minutes—a classic bull trap to unload positions. Whoever chases gets stuck. RSI is just 46.4, it can't even climb the midpoint, and both MA7 and MA25 are pressing down above 75,800. The price can't even touch the moving averages, so what can the bulls use to push it up? The funding rate is still positive at 0.0052%, and retail investors are still betting on a rise. This kind of sentiment is just fueling the bears.
I took a look at the order book; each rebound is weaker than the last. It’s been flat around 75,700 for a while and just wearing people down. The lower Bollinger band at 75,480 is the first decent support, but with this volume, breaking down is just a matter of time. Don’t talk to me about halving narratives or institutional entries; in the short term, just watch price and volume—everything else is a story.
In terms of trading, I’m holding my short positions, with a stop loss set just above 76,300. The first target is 75,480; if that breaks, then directly look at the previous low at 74,890. For bulls wanting to bottom-fish, I advise patience—don’t catch a falling knife before RSI hits 30. This kind of slow decline is the most frustrating. If there’s a rebound near 76,000, that’s a chance to add positions. Don’t be scared. #احتياطي Huge cash reserve for Berkshire, the financial report will reveal the latest developments
This report is important for Berkshire. Everyone is looking at the amount of cash, investments, and share buybacks.
Operating profits from insurance and core businesses will be a strong indicator. If cash remains high and the strategy is clear, the stock will stay stable.
Any major change in capital allocation or weakness in profits will be noticed quickly.Sony's operating profit increased by 45%, but this is not a complete immunity for tech stocks against sell-offs
Sony FY2026
Q2 sales reached ¥3.429 trillion, a year-on-year increase of 10%; operating profit was ¥622.3 billion, a year-on-year increase of 45%. The company's profit performance is strong, sharply contrasting with the steep declines in AI and semiconductor sectors. The market is distinguishing between mature businesses with cash flow and high capital expenditure stories. For $BTC, what really matters is whether risk appetite only punishes overvalued assets.
#索尼Q2营业利润增长45%，上调全年业绩指引 #美国10月非农超预期，12月加息押注升温 #美股遭大幅抛售：费城半导体指数创2020年3月以来最大单日跌幅 $BTC This wave of movement basically confirmed yesterday's judgment: first a sharp rally to clear out short positions, then a reversal to counterattack the bulls, with nearly $3 billion liquidated over two days. The area around 80,000 is very likely the stage top; the sideways movement is not consolidation but a bearish setup. The US market was dragged down by a heavy sell-off in AI stocks, with a large bearish candle wiping out all gains. The 75,000 level is now precarious, and I personally lean towards it not holding, with more room to release downside below.
$ZEC This counter-trend rally looks more like a pump-and-dump. While Bitcoin has broken down, ZEC is stubbornly pulling up, which is hard to justify logically. 1,330 is very likely the top, with heavy resistance between 1,320-1,330. The rally seems more like giving shorts an entry point. Every time ZEC drops, it does so decisively; the strong manipulator repeatedly plays tricks just to harvest another round. In the short term, watch 1,210-1,230; if this area breaks, 1,000 is not out of reach.Small loss right now, nothing dramatic. Price is sitting just under your entry.
Circle’s story still depends on USDC growth and whether they can turn volume into better margins. If the latest earnings showed solid reserve income and controlled costs, this dip can be temporary.
Short term it may stay choppy. Medium term, as long as stablecoin demand holds and they keep expanding payments, the stock has room to recover.
Are you planning to hold through the next moves or cut it?#US October Nonfarm Payrolls Exceed Expectations, December Rate Hike Bets Heat Up
$SNDK $BTC
October nonfarm payrolls significantly exceeded expectations, the probability of a Fed rate hike in December has risen sharply, and the tech and semiconductor sectors continue to be under pressure.
Next, let's look at next week
Monday: CPI sets the short-term direction
Current event probabilities:
Hot (Core CPI ≥0.3%): 60% probability
Neutral (Core CPI = 0.2%): 28% probability
Cold (Core CPI ≤0.1%): 12% probability
tips:
Hot CPI: strong employment + inflation, high probability of a second dip.
Cooling CPI: offsets nonfarm negative impact, leading to a recovery rebound.
⚠️ Trading strategy: Don't rush to bottom-fish! Don't go all in! Don't panic! Wait for a clear capital absorption signal at the previous low before entering the market Conclusion first: Cloudflare reported earnings last night, with Q3 revenue at $782.5 million, up 39% year-over-year (the fastest growth in nearly four years), annualized revenue surpassing $3 billion, and an upward revision of the full-year guidance.
But what I want to talk about is the trade on OKX with $NET perpetual contracts: On 11-06 at 05:00 (the one hour after the US stock market closed), the price surged from 245.59 to 302.28, with an hourly trading volume of $763,000, which is 56.9 times that of the previous hour. Meanwhile, the underlying stock closed last night at 244.51 and is now at 271.35, up 11.0%; the $NET perpetual contract is currently at 270.98, down 10.4% from that high.
Remember these three numbers: ① The full-day trading volume was 8,912 NET, approximately $2.41 million, while open interest was only 888 NET, about $240,000, meaning daily volume was 10 times the open interest; ② The top 20 bid orders total less than $7,900, and the ask orders total $4,600, so to consume $10,000 you’d have to cross multiple price levels; ③ Since 16:00 on 11-04, the funding rate has settled at zero for seven consecutive periods, meaning neither longs nor shorts are paying—there is no holding cost and no chips waiting for you to take over.
Using perpetual contracts to trade earnings reports, having the right direction doesn’t necessarily mean you made money. Will you watch the surge in that hour after the close, or wait until the underlying stock opens to make a move? Before the non-farm payroll data is released, the market is truly trading on expectation differences.
If new employment is below 60,000, rate cut expectations may heat up. For BTC, the key level to watch is whether 76,000 can hold, with a rebound target of 80,000; for ETH, attention should be on the 2200 support, and if broken, it may further retest 2100.
Conversely, if employment data is significantly stronger than expected, the US dollar and US Treasury yields may continue to rise. If BTC falls below 75,000, don't rush to bottom fish; watch the downside at 73,000; for ETH, keep an eye around 2150.
The market has already experienced large-scale leverage liquidations, but the end of liquidations does not mean a trend reversal.
My judgment: Non-farm payrolls determine short-term volatility, while the performance of US tech stocks is an important reference for risk appetite. Before the data comes out, light positions and waiting are safer than blindly betting on a direction.
#BTC #ETH #NonFarm #CryptoMarket
#USJobsBeatExpectations The addition of 86,000 new jobs directly pushed the market's expectations for a December rate hike back to a high level, which was the initial trigger for this round of decline. ADP, as a leading indicator for non-farm payrolls, showed a figure significantly higher than the expected 69,000, causing funds to hesitate to remain in risk assets. The market has already priced this in, and as long as the upcoming non-farm payrolls do not show a sharp weakening, the room for easing expectations will be hard to return. The spot Bitcoin ETF has seen a net outflow of $1.16 billion over three consecutive trading days, with BlackRock's IBIT alone taking $734 million. Institutional funds continue to withdraw at this level, liquidity is being drained continuously, and even slightly larger sell orders can trigger deep pullbacks. As long as this continuous outflow does not stop, it will be difficult for the price to stabilize and rebound; I tend to believe this downward trend still has room to continue. In the past 24 hours, the total liquidation across the network has approached $1 billion, with BTC long liquidations accounting for $87.49 million. Leveraged long positions have been successively wiped out, and the closing orders continue to push the market down, creating a self-accelerating stampede. This chain reaction of selling will not stop on its own unless new buying actively absorbs all the sell orders. The 81,300 level has been repeatedly tested but failed to break through, becoming a very strong resistance. The daily chart is gradually forming a head and shoulders pattern, the EMA30 moving average continuously suppresses the price, and the MACD remains below the zero line. Once the price continues to stay below the moving average🔐 Google's DeepMind AI just found two weaknesses in old 1024-bit RSA — cryptography ages, and every crypto holder should notice. $BTC doesn't use RSA (it's ECDSA), but the quantum clock is real and it's ticking. If the market starts pricing post-quantum risk, $75,000 must hold — lose it and $74,900 then $72,402 are next. Is quantum FUD or the real next narrative? 👇 #BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto$SNDK If the $816 price level is really broken and the actual loss is not recovered, then it is very likely to test the $760 price level, which might take about an hour, but it's hard to say on Saturday and the weekend. It really looks bad for next week.
This is really serious. If even the $760 level is broken, then the final price defense level is down to $700, because this price level is the cost zone for many long positions.
In other words, the price is unlikely to continue to drop further, because further decline would mean hitting the institutions' long positions.
Institutions won't let themselves lose money, so it might touch the institutions' cost zone and then quickly recover. Anyway, this is my current view. Ultimately, you still have to hold at $700 for a long-term position. Specifically, if you can hold, then hold until around $1000.
Third ultimate support.🔻 $BTC $75,529 — the $76,000 rejection is playing out: BTC gave back the OKX $76,065 spike and is drifting toward $75,000 again. The line has held all day — a fourth test into the weekend is the one that matters. Support: $75,000 then $74,900. Resistance: $76,371 then $79,000. Hold or break into the close? 👇 #BTC #Bitcoin #CryptoFunding rates remain positive, but the price drop has not pushed the long positions' cost back to the zero line
Weighted snapshot of open interest from 18 exchanges: BTC approximately +0.0050 ETH +0.0048% every 8 hours, $SOL +0.0067%. At that time, the prices of all three were in a clear retracement range, yet the funding rates remained positive, indicating that longs are still paying. If prices continue to fall and funding rates do not decrease, the crowding risk has not been resolved.
#美国10月非农超预期，12月加息押注升温 #美股遭大幅抛售：费城半导体指数创2020年3月以来最大单日跌幅 #美国新旧国会交接或影响美伊局势 $SOL and $XAU are showing the same weakness, with bears firmly in control.
SOL shorts are enjoying strong profits while most longs remain underwater. Recent buying hasn't been enough to shift momentum.
Gold is also facing heavy selling pressure, with buyers struggling to defend their positions.
I'm bearish on both for now. SOL could see another drop, while gold still lacks the strength needed to attract fresh buyers.
#USCongressIranOutlook $FIL
Decentralized storage has a compelling use case, but storage capacity alone does not establish product-market fit. Filecoin's long-term challenge is connecting available infrastructure with consistent, paying demand. Businesses and developers need dependable retrieval, competitive costs, and straightforward integration. Sustainable storage demand will matter far more than headline capacity figures when evaluating its fundamentals. A black swan event occurred, Bitcoin plummeted at lightning speed It rose 4000 points last night, and dropped 4000 points today Fortunately, before the black swan, Bitcoin faced resistance at the 81000 level and dropped immediately, with a sudden decline of 4000 points Next, we need to watch if the 75000 support level breaks; if it breaks, it will likely head straight to 69888 Yesterday, many teachers were still celebrating long positions, shouting bull market, this is the market You must immedi$JUP
Jupiter occupies an interesting position in Solana's trading ecosystem, where liquidity aggregation and execution quality directly affect user experience. Competition between decentralized trading platforms can be intense, particularly when traders have multiple routing options. Its longer-term strength will depend on retaining users, delivering efficient execution, and converting ecosystem participation into sustainable platform economics.AI valuations are starting to be discounted, and the timing of Anthropic's roadshow has also become uncertain.
Potential investors are questioning the discussed valuation of about $1.5 trillion for Anthropic, citing reasons including quarterly losses, partnership commitments, and insufficient revenue disclosure. AI companies still have room to grow, but the funding market is no longer paying a premium just for the story. $BTC and tech stocks are both affected by risk appetite, and the AI valuation correction may cause capital to focus more on cash flow and balance sheets in the short term.
#Anthropic潜在IPO投资者建议估值降至1.5万亿美元 #美国10月非农超预期，12月加息押注升温 #美股遭大幅抛售：费城半导体指数创2020年3月以来最大单日跌幅 [Market Quick Review] Initial jobless claims data is stronger than expected, quickly cooling rate cut expectations, leading to a collective sell-off in risk assets and a clear weakening of market sentiment. Tonight might just be a rehearsal; the real test comes with tomorrow night's non-farm payrolls.
First, looking at $BTC, quoted at 76121, down 5.20%. It has consecutively lost the 80,000 and 78,000 levels, hitting a low of 76040, with technicals clearly weakening. Support to watch below is the previous low at 75700; if broken, look towards 75,000; short-term rebounds seem more like a window for reducing positions.
Next, $ETH is quoted at 2264, down 6.69%. After a high push to 2450, it retreated back to the starting point. ETF outflows combined with macro headwinds put more pressure on ETH. Support to watch below is 2230; it's not advisable to bottom-fish recklessly.
Finally, $SOL is quoted at 90.24, down 6.68%. It is the weakest performer; after losing the 90 level, selling pressure is firm. The previous low at 89.88 is critical; breaking below it would further amplify risks.
Summary: The data triggered the sell-off, with bears controlling the pace. Don't rush to catch the falling knife before the non-farm payrolls; keep your hands steady and wait for a clear direction.$BTC Congratulations to everyone for hitting 74888 again, precisely reaching 74887 spot, 🔥
#BTC
Simply put, in the past two days, it has fluctuated up and down by 5000-6000 points, but the key levels have not yet been broken. This is mainly influenced by macro news, which we cannot predict, so we can only use technical analysis as a reference. You can trade based on the position on the right side.
75000-75500 is the current short-term dividing line between bulls and bears. If a stop to the decline occurs, a short-term rebound is expected. Holding above 76375 on the minute chart, look for a recovery near 78000-78800, which is also the resistance for the current short-term rebound.
If the 75000 level breaks on the 4-hour chart, be cautious of a further drop toward the 73000 area.
Reminder: Investment carries risks. The views are for reference only and do not constitute any investment advice. Analyze rationally. #美国10月非农超预期，12月加息押注升温 $HBAR
Enterprise blockchain adoption requires a different evaluation framework from retail-driven crypto narratives. Hedera's governance structure and focus on business-oriented applications give it a distinct market identity. Nevertheless, enterprise interest should not automatically be confused with meaningful token demand. The important distinction is whether real network usage translates into recurring economic activity for HBAR.I used to say I would hold $CORE for the long term, even for several years. But my perspective has changed.
Long-term holding only makes sense when the project continues to develop and its fundamentals remain strong. If exchange support declines, confidence weakens, and meaningful progress disappears, blindly holding is no longer a strategy.
I still hope $CORE can recover and prove its potential. But from now on, I'll judge it by its performance, not promises.
#BTCETFOutflowsInFocus $OP
Optimism's broader ecosystem strategy highlights an important question for Ethereum scaling: can multiple interconnected networks create more value together than competing individually? Shared infrastructure and interoperability offer an interesting direction, but coordination introduces technical and economic challenges. Long-term success will depend on ecosystem participation, sustainable incentives, and whether applications benefit from this interconnected architecture.Last night, oil prices rose slightly, but what really dragged down the market were storage chains and semiconductors: the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index recorded its largest single-day drop since March 2020, with $SOXL taking the hardest hit, while Microsoft and Apple were relatively resilient. Risk assets were swept away simultaneously, and the crypto market also faced a round of concentrated sell-offs, with $BTC and $ETH hit first, and high-beta assets like $SOL falling even more sharply. Here's a detail that's easy to overlook: funds did not exit the market but flowed back into gold. This basically rules out the explanation of "liquidity being drained." The previously popular market theory was that leveraged positions urgently needed cash and were forced to sell gold to cover margin calls, but the recent price movements do not support this logic—gold prices attracted buying rather than selling, indicating this was a contraction in risk appetite rather than a systemic cash shortage. The implications for the market are completely different: the former is a valuation and position issue, while the latter is a liquidity crisis. In other words, this downturn looks more like a concentrated clearing of sentiment and leverage rather than a break in the funding chain. Most assets that need to be adjusted have already fallen significantly, and short-term sentiment has become overly pessimistic, which is often a prerequisite for recovery. The key going forward is the quality of the recovery: if the rebound unfolds as expected, the mistakenly sold high-beta assets will recover first; if the rebound is weaker than expected, the market will return to a pattern of volatility and secondary adjustments, where defense is more important than offense. My judgment is: when gold attracts capital, semiconductors plunge to record lows, and crypto is simultaneously swept away, yet there is no evidence of liquidity contraction, the market is actually underestimating$xMU is surging with high-voltage momentum as buyers drive price past local resistance.
Market structure is coiling tightly for another explosive push to the upside.
Buy Zone
675.00 - 696.56
EP
675.00 - 696.56
TP
745.00
798.00
855.00
SL
658.00
Order books are heavily stacked with green bids clearing out overhead ask blocks. Sustained control here will launch a rapid sweep of upper liquidity.
Let's go $xMU
#OKXOrbitTopics . $AAVE
A lending protocol's real strength is tested when market conditions become uncomfortable. Aave's long-term relevance depends on maintaining healthy collateral markets, managing liquidation risks, and attracting sustainable borrowing demand. DeFi growth cannot rely entirely on speculative cycles. Consistent lending activity and responsible risk management are what could separate durable financial infrastructure from temporary market narratives. $ARB
Arbitrum faces an important challenge in the Layer-2 competition: turning technical scalability into lasting economic activity. Lower transaction costs are attractive, but they are only part of the equation. Developer retention, applications people genuinely use, and liquidity that stays within the ecosystem will ultimately determine whether Arbitrum maintains its competitive position.$CORE is positioning for a powerful bullish continuation as buyers defend range low support.
Price structure highlights strong accumulation coiling for the next markup phase.
Buy Zone
0.01280 - 0.01325
EP
0.01280 - 0.01325
TP
0.01450
0.01580
0.01720
SL
0.01240
Selling volume has fully exhausted while buyer interest steadily accelerates. Holding firm above current support triggers a fast upward rotation.
Let's go $CORE
#OKXOrbitTopics . $RENDER
Decentralized GPU infrastructure has an interesting opportunity as demand for graphics rendering and AI computing evolves. Render's proposition connects distributed computing resources with workloads that need processing capacity. However, the real test is whether decentralized infrastructure can compete on reliability, pricing, and performance against established centralized providers. Technology alone does not guarantee commercial adoption.$ONDO
Tokenized real-world assets are pushing crypto beyond its traditional financial boundaries. Ondo operates in a sector where regulatory clarity, asset transparency, and reliable distribution matter just as much as blockchain technology. The opportunity is substantial, but investors should distinguish between growth in tokenized asset supply and genuine demand for accessible, compliant financial products. $IMX
Gaming adoption is a different challenge from DeFi adoption. Players care about entertainment, performance, and accessibility before they care about blockchain mechanics. Immutable's ecosystem has an opportunity to make digital ownership more practical for gaming audiences. Ultimately, sustainable growth will depend on whether games can attract and retain players without requiring constant token incentives.$ONE
ONE surged quite strongly today, but this chart doesn't look like 'the whole market is buying.'
OKX spot moved from 0.001072 to around 0.00159, a 24-hour increase of nearly 48%, with a trading volume of about $2.75 million; perpetual positions are only about $1.58 million, with a fee rate of -0.0151%, meaning shorts are paying. The increase and position size are not on the same scale; the market looks more like a small spot pool was lit up first.
I'm not very willing to say the trend has arrived just based on this percentage. When liquidity is thin, a few active orders can make the increase look very good; but whether it can hold afterward depends on whether the trading volume can continue, not just looking at the top of the gainers list.
For this kind of market, I'd rather wait for it to move more; missing a part is better than mistaking a thin order book for a main upward wave.
#美国10月非农超预期，12月加息押注升温 Account X polypol redeemed tokens from Aave in the past 10 hours, then sold $6,357,000 worth of and stETH on-chain at an average price of 2428. Wallet address: 0x52ee6E1Af57889a513bf65AD7010ED36DA7FAAE3 $ETH $BTC $SOL #美国10月非农超预期，12月加息押注升温 Increase positions increase positions $$BTC $ETH $SNDK #比特币承压，ETF近7日净流出约11亿美元 $ETH
I don't want to just look at 'whales shorting again' for this ETH.
Breaking news says a certain address increased its short position in ETH by about $3.17 million, with the report also giving a cumulative profit of about $21.77 million. To be clear, this is a single address position, not the entire market direction. OKX spot is around 2228, 24-hour low at 2206; perpetual positions are about $1.55 billion, fee rate 0.0026%, longs still paying fees but premium is not high.
What I care more about is that when the price is pressed near the intraday low, the positions haven't obviously retreated yet. Adding to shorts certainly creates pressure, but if the price doesn't continue to break lower, the shorts might just be increasing crowding. I've seen many 'smart money' screenshots in the past, but what can ultimately be verified is how the market and positions move.
Let's keep this observation for now and not take the floating profit of a certain address as a trading signal.
#美国10月非农超预期，12月加息押注升温 I have noticed some changes in $BTC Bitcoin from the perspective of long-term cycles. History is already written, but future changes are diverse. The Bitcoin 4-year cycle can only be used as a reference.
Bitcoin has been cycling since 2013, basically following the pattern of halving — rising — sprinting — peaking — correcting. Then it starts accumulating momentum for a new round of rise, but the duration of each cycle has also changed. Now people say it’s the early stage of a bull market, buying the dips, but even when Bitcoin was at $60,000, not many rushed to bottom-fish. Everyone was waiting for the 4 (ten-thousands), but recently it directly surged to 87,000, and many missed out.
Now I feel it’s different from before. The cryptocurrency market is continuously improving and becoming more regulated. The addition of US spot ETFs has brought some institutional participation into the market. The Federal Reserve’s policies, macroeconomic conditions, and global conflicts are all influencing Bitcoin’s trend. The market participants have changed, and the capital has shifted, so the cycles will also change. We can’t guarantee every market move will follow the script.
I now think that instead of relying on cycles to make money, it’s better to divide your position into many parts and buy some whenever there is a major correction. Of course, you must always believe that BTC is something valuable. Whenever a deep correction occurs, buy some, control your position size, and leave the rest to time.
Time will prove the value of $BTC Bitcoin #交易之声：你的经验值得被听到 #BerkshireQ3CashOutlook
Berkshire Hathaway’s Q3 report will put the spotlight on cash reserves, portfolio moves, buybacks, and insurance profits.
The large cash position may look defensive, but it could also reflect strong capital discipline. With U.S. stocks still trading at elevated levels, Berkshire appears willing to wait patiently for opportunities that offer better risk-reward.
As Abel takes a larger role in capital al location"Burning Is Not a Panacea: Three Platform Token Ledgers"
Taking "burning = price support" as a formula can easily lead to misjudgment. The three platform tokens actually represent three different cash flow scripts.
BNB has revenue, but its foundation is still not strong enough. Q3 network revenue was $54.2 million, a 54% quarter-on-quarter increase, yet daily active addresses dropped 14% to 2.1 million; tokenized stock trading reached $25.6 billion, with 80% concentrated in QQQB. There have been 37 burns totaling 1.646 million tokens, reducing supply to 131.5 million, with a target of 100 million. The revenue structure is relatively thin, so the burn narrative alone is unlikely to drive price increases in the short term.
HYPE's cash flow is the brightest. Cumulative revenue reached $1.34 billion, with 97% of fees flowing back to AF buybacks, having purchased $1.26 billion worth of tokens; annualized buyback is 7.5%, P/E ratio about 13 times, making the model clean. However, the November 6 unlock will release selling pressure of about $760 million at current prices, so it’s reasonable to wait and see before it lands.
OKB is the most "boring": no protocol revenue and no L1 narrative; fixed supply of 21 million tokens, 0% inflation over 90 days. In a flat market, pure deflation actually highlights scarcity value.
Deflation is just a shell; buying demand is the core. Don’t mix the three scripts: BNB depends on whether revenue can grow thicker, HYPE waits for unlock selling pressure to be absorbed, and OKB relies on fixed supply to maintain its narrative. The burn story sounds good, but real cash flow and selling pressure ledgers are more honest.#USJobsBeatExpectations 165,000 jobs added in October.
Economists expected approximately 65,000.
Unemployment rate: Fell to 4.1% from 4.2%.
Wage growth: 3.1% annually.
Previous August and September figures were revised upward by 84,000 jobs combined.
What does this mean for markets?
US Dollar: Could strengthen.
Gold: Could face downward pressure.
Stock market: Strong employment supports economic growth.
Federal Reserve: Strong jobs may reduce the urgency for interest-rate cuts and increase expeValuation has been cut down, $ANTHROPIC is now 1.35 trillion
Bargaining Wall Street has trapped scalper institutions
Hahaha🤣 The financial market has become more interestingLeverage risk is gradually releasing, and BTC is waiting for the non-farm payroll data to guide its direction.
BTC hovers around 77,400, ETH around 2,300, fear index at 34, market sentiment remains cautious.
In the past 24 hours, liquidations totaled $1.254 billion, with longs accounting for 88%, indicating a large-scale washout of bulls. However, short positions have also started to face a counterattack, increasing the risk of continuing to short.
The funding situation has not shown obvious improvement for now; on November 5, BTC ETF saw a net outflow of $430 million, and institutional buying remains insufficient.
Tonight's non-farm payroll is the real direction selector. Stronger-than-expected employment may suppress the crypto market, while weak data could trigger recession concerns.
Key observations: BTC: 76,800 support, 78,500 resistance. ETH: 2,277 support, 2,330–2,350 resistance.
My approach: Don’t rush to take a position before the data release; wait for BTC to firmly hold above 78,500 or confirm the 76,800 support before considering entry. In a choppy market, preserving capital is more important than chasing rebounds.
#USJobsBeatExpectations #Велика готівкова резервна сума Berkshire, у фінансовій звітності буде розкрито останні тенденції All eyes are on Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) releasing its Q3 earnings tomorrow, Nov 7. Traders are watching whether Warren Buffett is continuing to hoard record cash reserves or secretly buying up value opportunities.
High cash reserves usually mean big players are preparing for volatility. Are we getting a market pullback, or is the Oracle waiting for a major dip to buy? 🤔$ETHFI could be approaching a major turning point.
A rounded-bottom formation near $0.259 suggests buyers may be gaining strength. The next key step is breaking the descending trendline.
Potential upside levels:
$0.65 → $1.90 → $3.20
Long-term projection: $8.20
A breakout could change the entire market structure. Confirmation is what matters now.
NFA. Trade responsibly.#RocketLabQ3Neutron Position Daily Report: Risk appetite cools down, mainstream coins shift to short-term defense
ETH faces concentrated deleveraging: $150 million liquidated in 4 hours, $870 million liquidated across the market. ETF net outflows for 7 consecutive days, BlackRock reduced holdings by about $100 million; on-chain USDT holdings dropped 14.35%, but leverage ratio rose to 0.79, funds clearly moving to Tron’s low-fee channel, Tron USDT scale breaks $25 billion record.
BTC retreated to around $76,000, Trump media nearly cleared 4,259 BTC, marginal selling pressure signals worth monitoring.
Regarding SOL, Loanscale suspended after attack, DEX weekly trading volume halved; co-founder toly and foundation publicly disagreed, Ansem opened 20x short positions, sentiment and liquidity both weak.
Summary: BTC, ETH, SOL remain under short-term pressure, waiting for liquidation clearance and capital flow stabilization, not advisable to catch falling knives hastily.
$BTC $ETH $SOL
#非农今晚揭晓，美股大跌后市场如何押注12月加息？
#比特币承压，ETF近7日净流出约11亿美元 $GRT
Blockchain data is only valuable when it can be accessed efficiently. The Graph provides indexing infrastructure that helps applications retrieve blockchain information without independently processing every historical event. As on-chain ecosystems become more complex, reliable data infrastructure becomes increasingly relevant. The important question is whether demand for indexing services can develop into sustainable network economics.$JUP
Solana's trading ecosystem demonstrates why liquidity aggregation matters. Jupiter helps traders access liquidity across different venues without manually navigating multiple platforms. Its broader ecosystem ambitions also create additional dimensions to evaluate beyond trading volume. The challenge is maintaining relevance as competing aggregators improve execution quality and users become increasingly sensitive to transaction costs.$STX
Bitcoin's development landscape continues to explore possibilities beyond basic value transfers. Stacks introduces smart-contract functionality and applications connected to the Bitcoin ecosystem. This creates an interesting proposition, but technical differentiation alone is insufficient. Developer activity, application demand, network security, and the actual usefulness of Bitcoin-based applications will determine whether this ecosystem can sustain long-term growth.$BTC
BTC needs real immediate liquidity to regain momentum
Despite the global open interest rising to about $374.5 billion, the picture remains weak in terms of immediate demand
• Spot Bitcoin funds recorded net outflows of $430.2 million on November 5.
• BTC flows over the last 24 hours showed a net outflow of about $259.6 million
• In contrast, liquidity moved to stablecoins, with more than $302 million flowing into USDC.
• An increase in leverage alone does not mean new money is entering the market; it may increase the risk of liquidation$ETH family, Ethereum's current price is 2220. The candlestick chart just barely stabilized a few days ago, finally giving everyone a glimmer of hope for a bull market, but today it hit you with a big bearish candlestick. @大勇干短线（互动）
This is clearly a fake breakout trap by the main force: first pumping it up to make you think the bull market is back, then when you chase the price up, they hit you with a sucker punch. The price has now dropped back to 2200. This sharp decline indicates that the bulls have completely collapsed, market sentiment is extremely panicked, and don't think this is a bottom-fishing opportunity.
The main force could probe lower again at any time! The EMA short-term bearish alignment is fully formed, and the MACD indicator's downtrend is still ongoing. The candlestick has broken below the middle band and is approaching the lower band, and the Bollinger Bands are widening downward. This is a typical signal of bulls being slaughtered and a one-sided decline $BTC Non-farm payrolls are here again. Will it still be a coin toss this time?
Let's clarify the sample first. Since 2020, on non-farm payroll days, $BTC has moved about 2.1% on average, roughly the same as usual. There is no fixed direction; gains and losses are about evenly split.
The sample also has limitations. After weak data in September, $BTC rose over 2% to about $87,000. After strong data in August, it fell about 3.2% to around $79,600. The directions were exactly opposite; the sample only reflects the past and does not predict this time.
Current comparison: new jobs about 165,000, expected about 59,000 to 65,000. Unemployment rate about 4.1%, expected about 4.2%. The probability of a rate hike in December rose from about 67% to about 76.8%. $BTC first surged to about $76,100, then pulled back to around $75,600.
Patterns rarely determine the direction on the day. Let's first see how the next inflation data and the 10-year yield move before the December meeting.