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🚨 BITCOIN IS FIGHTING BACK — BUT CAN $78K BREAK THE BULLS’ WAY? 👀 $BTC is showing fresh signs of strength! Buyers are stepping in, volume is picking up, and Bitcoin is holding above three rising hourly moving averages. 📈 But the real battle is still ahead. 🎯 The Levels That Matter: 🟢 $77,726 – First resistance 🟢 $77,884 – Next upside target 🚀 $78,000 – The psychological barrier bulls need to break #BTC #Bitcoin #CryptoTrading #USMidtermsPolicyOutlook #DailyOrbit BTC key support range spot phased layout🔥 $BTC rebound pressured and fell back, the high point 78878 encountered resistance and continued to weaken, multiple attempts failed to effectively hold above 78500, the bulls' counterattack strength is seriously insufficient, currently retesting the previous low range again, the overall market is weak and oscillating downward. From the perspective of the large cycle structure, the weekly chart shows four consecutive bearish candles, the monthly chart closes with a bearish engulfing pattern, the short-term market is still grinding and repeatedly shaking out. This round of rebound has never shown a strong breakout confirmation signal, coupled with recent macro uncertainties, there is still a possibility of a slight new low in the short term. But the more panic grinds the bottom, the closer it is to the real opportunity! Core support range focus: 75000—76000! This is the most critical spot layout defense center in this round of adjustment. If external negative factors continue to ferment, be mentally prepared for an extreme spike around 73000 in advance. The market logic must be clear: short-term fluctuations can be pessimistic, but the mid-term bottom must not panic! The current position is suitable for phased low buying, not cutting losses and leaving. As long as the key support is not effectively broken, there is no need to be overly bearish. The end of the bear market is the most mentally grinding, it’s all about holding patience! The oscillating shakeout is to accumulate strength for a new bull market, all the low-level torment is to clear out unsteady chips. ✅ Spot operation ideas are clear Those with sufficient holdings continue to hold firmly; Those with low positions, rely on the 75000–76000 support to add positions in phases! #美国中期选举在即，哪些结果值得关注？ $ZEC bearish sentiment is understandable, but I've noticed many people immediately shout it will break 1000 or drop to 800 as soon as it falls. Looking at the current short positions and average holding prices, many still hold shorts at 1500-1600. How could the market just crash straight down, letting shorts easily take big profits? Currently, there aren't many long positions either, not enough to concentrate a big harvest. Unless the main players distribute all their chips at the high level, which is actually very difficult. For a token like ZEC, the main players can easily collect profits steadily over time; there's no need to dump it all at once. Previously, during that big black swan event, Bitcoin dropped from 82,000 to 76,000, a 6,000-point drop in one go, but ZEC only fell 6 points and quickly recovered 3.8% the next day, showing very strong resilience. Its market cap isn't small, and it has a fundamental narrative. Many people are used to purely analyzing technicals, focusing on support and resistance levels. My view is that, compared to just looking at candlesticks, paying more attention to changes in leveraged long and short positions is more useful. Essentially, it's a market manipulated by players skilled at killing both longs and shorts, fundamentally still playing the altcoin game. In short, blindly bullish or extremely bearish views on this coin are both inappropriate How to view the U.S. midterm elections? The results will be out at midnight!! Many friends are closely watching this election and tend to see it as the core driver of market trends. But it is only a short-term disturbance event, not the foundation of the market. The real control of the big direction still lies with the Federal Reserve's interest rates, inflation levels, and corporate earnings. Before the election results are finalized, policy direction is full of uncertainty, and funds generally remain on the sidelines; once the results are out and uncertainty is released, market risk appetite is expected to recover. 🔺 If the Republicans take both chambers, expectations for tax cuts and relaxed industry regulations will rise, making natural oil and defense sectors more likely to strengthen; 🔺 If the Democrats take control, tax hike expectations will increase, regulatory pressure on technology and pharmaceuticals will intensify, the major indexes will be under pressure, and U.S. bonds are likely to rise. This election has no direct impact on A-shares or Hong Kong stocks, but it mainly affects the storage semiconductor sector $MU $SKHYNIX. Remember not to heavily position during the news night. If the results are close to the polls, it is easy for good news to turn into bad news; if the results greatly exceed expectations, a one-sided market trend may emerge. The market never lacks stories of overnight doubling, but what is rare is that after doubling, you still sit steadily at the table. ⚠️ This is only a personal review of market thinking and does not constitute any trading advice #美国中期选举在即，哪些结果值得关注？ $ETH 2296 broke the upper Bollinger band at 2302 but lost momentum, $ZEC 1226 is even showing a clear bearish divergence at the top, I absolutely won't let go of these two short positions ETH softened after hitting 2308, now at 2296 it's hovering near the upper Bollinger band at 2302, RSI at 75.6 is clearly overheated, and volume hasn't kept up, this is a classic case of weakening after a rally. I entered my short around 2300 and won't let go, stop loss is set above 2315; if it breaks, I'll reconsider, if not, it's like free money for me. ZEC is even more ridiculous, current price 1226 is directly outside the upper Bollinger band at 1225.57, RSI 79.1, the 24h high at 1227.29 is pressing down, this bearish divergence is very clear, I'm holding my short tightly. Funding rates: ETH 0.0092%, ZEC 0.01%, longs are still paying to hold positions, sentiment is hot but not crazy, chasing longs at this level is just taking the bag. BTC 77722 is also stuck just below the upper Bollinger band at 77805, RSI 69.4 is joining the hype, unless BTC breaks above the previous high at 77884, second-tier coins dreaming of independent strength is wishful thinking. My judgment is straightforward: ETH's first target is to retest the middle band at 2268, ZEC looks at the middle band at 1162, take profits on shorts in batches, don't be greedy. If ETH breaks and holds above 2310 with volume, and ZEC closes above 1230, then I'll admit I'm wrong and close positions, no stubborn holding. For now? Shorts are very comfortable, just hold on and that's it.🚨 BITCOIN IS HOLDING ON… BUT WHERE IS THE MONEY GOING? The crypto market is sending a warning that traders shouldn't ignore. 👀 On November 2, US spot crypto ETFs recorded approximately $545.8M in net outflows: 🔴 Bitcoin ETFs: -$398.6M 🔴 Ethereum ETFs: -$139.7M 📉 Market sentiment: Extreme Fear Meanwhile, Bitcoin is still holding around the $77K region. Here's what I'm watching: 🟠 BTC: Can buyers defend $76K–$76.3K? 🔵 ETH: #CryptoMarket #OKX #Trading #ETF #CryptoNews #DailyOrbit The overall market is suppressed by bearish sentiment, compounded by the impact of the Binance hack incident, leading to a continuous weakening of overall risk appetite. This is the most core macro environment at present. After the theft incident, market confidence was hit, and funds collectively shifted to risk aversion. Altcoins and Meme launch tracks, being highly elastic categories, were the first to be sold off. $PONS itself relies on speculative heat and the Meme wealth effect for support, with very high beta. Once the market shifts into a bear market expectation, these thematic coins become the priority targets for fund withdrawal. Even with a built-in buyback and burn mechanism, they cannot withstand systemic selling pressure. Looking at its foundation: the Meme coin issuance heat is rapidly cooling down, and platform transaction fees are declining accordingly. The value anchor of PONS is the number of new listings and transaction fees. The higher the heat, the more new low-quality coins are launched, the more active the trading, and the stronger the buyback support. The low-quality coin cycle comes quickly and recedes even faster. Now fewer new coins are being launched, most crash immediately upon listing, and players are unwilling to rush into new coins. Coupled with the early on-chain subsidy decline on Robinhood Chain, with less external traffic support, platform revenue is further shrinking, naturally weakening the buyback strength. The entire positive feedback loop has loosened. After the heat fades, it is difficult for it to independently drive a market rally. ⚠️This is only a market logic review and does not constitute any trading advice #美国中期选举在即，哪些结果值得关注？ $ETH family, Ethereum current price is 2292. From the chart, ETH has been steadily declining with several rebounds mercilessly crushed, especially the big bearish candle at the end of October that directly created a low of 2172, which probably scared many people at the time. But the good news is, after this bottom test, the market did not continue to blindly drop but formed a sideways consolidation structure at the low level. Simply put, the bears are weakening, and the bulls are starting to organize a counterattack. Although it’s not yet time for a sharp rally, this kind of low-volume sideways consolidation often signals a trend reversal. As long as the key support holds, the upcoming market might be more optimistic than expected. Volatility is compressing, and a directional choice is imminent. If it can effectively break through and hold above the midline, the upside space will gradually open. Using a range trading plus breakout follow strategy: Longs: Light position buy on pullback to 2270-2280 support. Stop loss at 2220, target 2350-2400. If it strongly breaks 2350, add positions accordingly. Shorts: Enter short positions on rebound resistance at 2350-2370. Stop loss at 2400, target the lower boundary of the range. If it breaks below the key support at 2250, follow short lightly. Liying’s logic: Light trial positions in the consolidation range, heavy positions after breakout confirmation #美国中期选举在即，哪些结果值得关注？ #苹果Q4营收超预期，下季度毛利率指引承压 #PalantirQ3营收增长96%，股价不涨反跌 A $6.09M loss and straight back into aggressive longs. That's conviction or a dangerous refusal to accept a bad trade. From a technical standpoint, reopening at a lower entry only improves the setup if the market structure supports a reversal. Otherwise, he's simply resetting his exposure and taking another shot in the same direction. A cheaper entry doesn't automatically make a trade better. Risk management still comes first. $BTC family! Bitcoin is currently priced at 77,580, representing a typical recovery after a sharp drop. The market is at a delicate crossroads: above lies dense trapped positions and moving average resistance, below is the previous low support at 76,270. This sideways consolidation is setting up for the next major move. The 2-hour chart overall remains weak, with the EMA showing a typical recovery phase after a bearish alignment. Although the MACD bullish side is resisting, bears still control the market. The middle band is at 77,411, with the price hovering near it, and the lower band support at 76,303. If the price fails to break above the middle band effectively, it is likely to continue testing support downward. Long and short dual practical strategies: Trend-following short: Short on rebound resistance at 78,000-78,200, stop loss at 78,500, target 76,270-76,500 Counter-trend long: Light long positions on pullback support at 76,300, stop loss at 76,000, target 77,400 Liying reminder: The current long-short battle is intense, strictly execute with stop loss #美国中期选举在即，哪些结果值得关注？ #苹果Q4营收超预期，下季度毛利率指引承压 #PalantirQ3营收增长96%，股价不涨反跌 🔥 Attention: There may be an interesting pattern in the historical trend of the US midterm elections and $BTC. Looking back at the performance after the last three midterm elections: 📍2014: Bottomed out about 71 days later, price around $170. 📍2018: Bottomed out about 39 days later, price around $3,200. 📍2022: Bottomed out about 13 days later, price around $15,500. From these lows, the subsequent gains were: 🚀 $170 → $20,000, over 100 times 🚀 $3,200 → $64,000, about 20 times 🚀 $15,500 → $126,000, about 8 times An interesting detail: the time to bottom shortened each time, being 71 days, 39 days, and 13 days respectively. Historically, the most panic in the market often also breeds the opportunity for the next cycle. This time, will $BTC repeat this pattern? #美国中期选举在即，哪些结果值得关注？ 🚨On the eve of the US stock market opening, liquidity currents surge 8:30 PM On the eve of the US stock market opening BTC repeatedly tests the bottom around 77600 Latest liquidation & order book data Open interest across the network plunges sharply this week Market maker depth nearly halved Spot buy orders severely lacking Price is firmly suppressed at 77600 $BTC | Tug of war at 77600 Previous reference 81500 After a big drop, bulls are severely weakened 78500 turns into strong resistance If the US stock market opens without reclaiming 78200 Beware of a downward spike testing the 76000 defense line $ETH | Weak consolidation at 2220 Previous reference 2450 Stolen tokens selling pressure overhead Spot buy orders scarce Once the 2180 defense line breaks It may accelerate down to 2100 $SOL | Lost the 100 mark, retreating to 93 Previous reference 105 Black swan deleveraging drags it below 100 Absorption depth shrinks significantly Tokens loosen, rebounds likely to quickly pull back Summary Open interest sharply down + market maker depth halved BTC volume shrinks while bottoming, altcoins weaker in absorption Funds still searching for bottom at low levels US stock market opening storm is imminent Stabilizing the bottom has not yet been achieved If this review is helpful, please like! 76000 bottom rebound press 1, directly break through 75000 press 2 This is only a market review, not investment advice #美国中期选举在即，哪些结果值得关注？ ETH 🔷 ETH has fallen back to $2,250! ETF outflows are the next point to watch 📊 ETH is around $2,253 to $2,256, about -1% in 24 hours (KuCoin, Pickaxe); ETH ETF also saw outflows on November 2 (Altcoin Buzz). 🧮 About +11.0% from $2,500, about -11.2% from $2,000 (my own calculation). 🔍 $2,000 is the key support previously mentioned by Coingabbar. Price is near $2,250, whether it can hold, I'm not sure, I might be wrong. 📍 The levels I'm watching: • $2,500: upper round number resistance • $2,250: current level • $2,000: lower round number support Do you think ETH will return to $2,500 first, or test $2,000 first? $ETH $BTC #BTCETHETFOutflows #USMidtermsPolicyOutlook #AppleQ4MarginPressure $BTC $ETH $OKB This is the brutal side of trading volatile assets like $ZEC , privacy coins Price can sweep key liquidity zones, trigger stop losses and force traders out just before reversing. From a technical standpoint, chasing every candle without a clear invalidation level and risk management can get expensive. The chart doesn't care where your entry is. Protecting capital has to come first.$BTC Market Update: $BTC fell 1.04% to $76,938. Despite a rising buy/sell ratio and $2.57B open interest, heavy long liquidations ($8.47M vs. $90K shorts) show strong selling pressure. Repeated dip-buying attempts are getting wiped out, signaling continued bearish momentum. #USMidtermsPolicyOutlook Today, mainstream cryptocurrencies generally pulled back, with $BTC dropping to $77,046, $ETH falling back to $2,268, and $SOL and $DOGE also weakening in sync. OKB's decline was even more pronounced, reaching 3.15%. This downturn seems to be influenced by multiple factors: pressure on US tech stocks, outflows from BTC ETFs, long contract liquidations, plus uncertainty brought by the US midterm elections, causing market sentiment to clearly turn cautious. Notably, OKB's drop is significantly larger, suggesting short-term buying might be weak, but there is currently no confirmation of any specific negative news. I believe there is no need to rush to bottom-fish or panic blindly for now. The focus going forward will be on ETF fund flows and whether market buying can recover. Do you think this is just a short-term correction or the start of a new round of decline? $BTC $ETH $OKB $SOL $DOGE #BTC #ETH #OKB #SOL #cryptocurrency Fear index drops to 20, should BTC shorts be more cautious? When market sentiment enters an extreme fear zone, the most common mistake is to mistake pessimism for a short signal. Currently, the Fear and Greed Index is only 20, BTC is consolidating with low volume near $77,000, and market risk appetite has clearly cooled down. But the fear index measures market sentiment, not price direction. Extreme fear can appear during a downtrend continuation or at a phase bottom. If combined with oversold conditions and crowded short positions, a rebound may trigger short covering, amplifying short-term volatility. My view remains cautiously bearish, but I won’t blindly short at extreme sentiment levels. I prefer to wait for the price to rebound to resistance zones, observe volume, open interest, and funding rates, then look for opportunities with a more reasonable risk-reward ratio. Remember: being bearish is a judgment, chasing shorts is an action. You can be right on direction but lose money if you enter at the wrong time. $BTC #美国中期选举在即，哪些结果值得关注？ #Sony Earnings Preview: How Are the Gaming and Music Businesses Performing? $BTC With the US elections happening today, these are the liquidity levels worth keeping on the radar. These zones align with previous local highs and lows, where larger positions were likely built and stop-loss liquidity has accumulated. Below BTC: $76.2K and $75K. Above BTC: $82.6K, $85K and $87.5K. Expect volatility around these levels. Whichever side gets swept could set the tone for Bitcoin's next major move. 🔥 Don't just focus on GPUs; the next stop for AI might be "where the data lives" GPUs are like engines, but in the inference era, data transport and storage are equally critical bottlenecks. Recently, three US-listed companies have moved to link "compute power—memory—storage" into a single chain. NVIDIA and Oracle plan to expand the Vera Rubin supercluster to multi-exaFLOP scale, with a strong demand vision, but the "expansion plan" does not mean the equipment has been delivered or revenue realized yet; the pace depends on future fulfillment. Micron's HBM4 has been shipped in large volumes to key customers, indicating that high-bandwidth memory is a must-have for AI servers. However, high profits will attract competitors to expand production, and after supply increases, the bargaining power in the memory segment may change. SanDisk's data center business is even more worth watching: a 61% quarter-over-quarter growth conveys more information than a "1-for-8 stock split." A stock split only changes the price per share without creating value; whether orders and profits can continue is the anchor for the storage segment. Among the three, $NVDA is the demand barometer, $MU represents bandwidth elasticity, and $SNDK is the storage catch-up. I am more concerned whether AI capital expenditure can extend from training to inference and continuous updates; compute power, memory, SSD—who will hit the supply-demand inflection point first? Which company do you favor more? #美国中期选举在即，哪些结果值得关注？ #苹果Q4营收超预期，下季度毛利率指引承压 #PalantirQ3营收增长96%，股价不涨反跌 $XAU Gold Market Analysis 11/3 Yesterday, just after mentioning the opportunity for a reversal between 3820-3900, a big bullish candle appeared, rebounding about $90. Currently, it is facing resistance at 3975, a level similar to 4066. If the price cannot break through, it will still be a rebound.🚀 BTC IS RECOVERING — BUT $78,000 IS THE REAL TEST! Bitcoin is showing renewed strength, holding above three rising hourly moving averages as buying volume picks up. 📈 But there's still a key resistance to watch. 🎯 Bullish levels: $77,726 – Immediate resistance $77,884 – Next upside target $78,000 – Key psychological level ⚠️ Support levels: $77,540 – Near-term support $77,327 – Deeper pullback zone #BTC #Bitcoin #CryptoTrading #USMidtermsPolicyOutlook #DailyOrbit #美国中期选举在即，哪些结果值得关注？ Today is the US midterm election!!! Let me talk about the possible outcomes 1. The Republican Party retains control of both chambers of Congress Then Bitcoin will soar, directly breaking through to 87000. This is the most favorable for advancing crypto policies. 2. The Democratic Party takes both chambers Then it's over, various policies and restrictions will be unfavorable to Bitcoin, possibly dropping back near 60000 USD. It may make the CLARITY Act difficult to pass in the next two years!!! 3. If the two parties each control one chamber This is the most likely scenario, slightly positive for Bitcoin, but not much, Bitcoin will also rebound. Which result do you think it will be? $BTC $ETH $ZEC 美国中期选举在即，哪些结果值得关注？ #Circle财报在即，稳定币增长能否兑现收益？ Is tonight's pump a move ahead of expectations, or a pump and dump? What do you think? Stablecoin growth faces challenges, is there still a chance for the next altcoin rally? Circle is about to release its Q3 earnings report, and USDC once experienced redemptions exceeding issuance. What the market truly cares about is not the scale but whether growth can be converted into profit. Looking at the crypto market, BTC (the big brother) is around $77,643, ETH (the slow aristocrat) about $2,296, SOL about $93.18. XRP and PEPE have strengthened in the short term, but SOL and ZEC remain under pressure, showing clear altcoin divergence. My view: Stablecoins are the lifeblood of the market, but capital flow does not mean capital has entered. Earnings reports will show realization, and the market will show support. Don’t rush to chase hot topics; watch volume for breakouts and watch support for pullbacks. Real opportunities are often reserved for those with patience! Personal market record sharing, not investment advice. $BTC $ZEC $SOL #Circle财报在即，稳定币增长能否兑现收益？ $TAO at $226 👀 Two years of lower highs. A rising support line. Price is getting squeezed into a decisive zone. A breakout could open the path toward $500, with $900–$1,000 as an extreme bull-case scenario—not a guarantee. The AI narrative is everywhere, but conviction gets tested when the chart looks ugly. Will TAO finally break this compression, or lose rising support first?Elon Musk spent $446 million to support the Republican Party! With the U.S. midterm elections coming, is BTC about to change again? Brothers, the U.S. midterm elections officially kick off on November 3! This time, it's not just the two parties fighting for Congress; Wall Street and tech billionaires are also betting big! The most outrageous is Musk! As of October 23, political donations totaled about $446 million, mainly supporting the Republican Party! Soros's camp also invested over $100 million, and Bloomberg is also pouring money to support the Democrats! With money burning like this, the Republicans might not necessarily hold on! First scenario: Republicans hold both chambers, making it possibly easier for Trump to push policies later, which could boost sentiment in the crypto market! Second scenario: Democrats take both chambers, escalating policy battles, and BTC might face short-term pressure! Third scenario: The two parties split control of the chambers, limiting policy progress but possibly reducing uncertainty from radical policies. My judgment: This time, I’m not betting on the election results but am more wary of BTC pumping then dumping based on news! Don’t forget, it’s not uncommon for positive news to be priced in early and then realized with a pullback! Who do you think will take Congress this time? Will $BTC $ETH $ZEC rise first or fall first? #美国中期选举在即，哪些结果值得关注？ $SOL One thing was buried in the previous few lines: Bullish has set the initial network for tokenizing stocks as Solana, Aptos, and Ethereum. The press release did not mention any price reaction. On the same day, there was another report: about 3,600 Binance-stolen SOL entered the HitBTC hot wallet. While stocks are being moved onto the chain, stolen coins are being funneled out, all happening within the same hour. SOL climbed back from 90.79 to 93.2, up 0.8% in 24 hours. But the 1-hour volume shrank from 775,000 to 116,000. The fee rate is -0.0009%, slightly negative. Holdings are $337 million, a bit more than yesterday's $326 million. Holdings increased, volume shrank, fee rate slightly negative. This combination looks like shorts are covering, not longs buying. Without volume returning, the 93 level is just a rebound. #美国中期选举在即，哪些结果值得关注？ Midterm Crypto Outlook: 3 Key Signals 1. Congress: Watch House and Senate control. Republican control could favor crypto legislation; a Democratic sweep may slow it. 2. $BTC : Watch Bitcoin’s reaction to election uncertainty and interest rates. 3. $ETH vs SOL: $BTC may show more resilience, while SOL could face higher volatility depending on the outcome. Bottom Line: Don't chase the first post-election move. Watch the expectation #USMidtermsPolicyOutlook $BTC Breaking news says IBIT had a net redemption of $405 million in one day, the largest since June. According to the usual script, this should be a signal to dump. But BTC climbed back from 76386 to 77652, still in the green over 24 hours. On the other hand, more interestingly: after Binance was hacked for 6.3 billion, there was a net inflow of 2.3 billion within 24 hours. ETFs are withdrawing, but money is moving into exchanges. What’s withdrawing is allocation funds; what’s moving in are those ready to act. Look at the details. The 1-hour trading volume shrank from 5972 coins to 1501 coins, price didn’t drop. The fee rate is still +0.01%, and the $2.58 billion open interest basically didn’t move. My judgment: this wave is short covering, not new money entering. I won’t add positions before and after the election, let the volume speak. #美国中期选举在即，哪些结果值得关注？ #美国中期选举在即，哪些结果值得关注？ The United States is currently in a policy negotiation window following the conclusion of the midterm elections, showing an overall pattern of decent macroeconomic data but a highly polarized society. The labor market remains resilient, but inflation stickiness remains high, with rents and energy costs continuously squeezing ordinary people's incomes. The public's real experience is much worse than the surface data, consumer confidence is weak, high interest rates suppress corporate expansion, the AI-driven market trend is increasingly volatile, and the market is highly sensitive to policy directions. Politically, party polarization continues to deepen. If the Republican Party loses the House majority, subsequent administrative order implementation will face significantly increased resistance, and the ongoing tussle between the two parties will continue to constrain governance efficiency. On the foreign front, the approach of strong unilateralism and tariffs continues, while being persistently dragged down by multiple regional conflicts, with fiscal deficit pressure remaining high. For the financial markets, the election brings policy uncertainty combined with the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions, making short-term volatility prone to amplification, and the opportunity cost of risk-averse trades continues to rise. $BTC $ETH $SOL Even with Apple’s revenue exceeding expectations, AAPL bulls and bears are still battling Apple’s FY2026 Q4 revenue grew 12% year-over-year to $114.5 billion, with iPhone revenue up about 17%, both surpassing expectations. There’s plenty of good news, but also some bad news; the market can’t just decide direction based on revenue alone right now. The positive is that the iPhone is still strong, and Apple’s growth continues. The negative is that next quarter’s gross margin guidance is only 45% to 46%, below expectations, with rising storage chip prices and AI service costs squeezing profits. (Selling more doesn’t mean earning more; this calculation still needs to be clear.) AAPL also had a detail this time: EPS reached $2.10, of which $0.05 came from tariff refunds. Revenue growth is real, but whether profits can keep pace depends on future performance. * Revenue: $114.5 billion, up 12% year-over-year * iPhone revenue: $57.6 billion, up about 17% * EPS: $2.10 * Next quarter gross margin guidance: 45% to 46% Today in the prediction event, I chose AAPL to close higher; I remain bullish on Apple. There are indeed many short-term negatives, but as long as iPhone demand and revenue growth continue, I don’t want to turn bearish easily. We’ll see how it turns out, but at least for now, I’m still on the bulls’ side. $AAPL #苹果Q4营收超预期，下季度毛利率指引承压 $BTC has shown red candlesticks for 5 consecutive weeks! If the price stays above 72k, the uptrend will continue from a longer time frame perspective! This period is very similar to the end of 2022 to the beginning of 2023. Will history repeat itself?The midterms could create an interesting split between gold and Bitcoin. Gold responds mainly to dollar weakness, real yields and fiscal uncertainty, while BTC has an additional variable: Washington's approach to crypto regulation. A divided Congress could strengthen the case for both through political uncertainty and a friendlier regulatory outlook for crypto. But neither outcome guarantees a sustained rally. #USMidtermsPolicyOutlook $90 is not the end, more like an emotional checkup. SOL dropped to around 93, do you really think everyone is waiting for a rebound? Let's first bust a common misconception: many people see a 23.2% drop over 30 days and instinctively think "it's dropped enough, time to rebound." But the signals from the derivatives structure are not that gentle. In this round, from 122 sliding down to 90.87, the price moved down in steps, not a one-time plunge, indicating that leverage is being slowly squeezed out, not wiped clean by a single spike. Under this rhythm, the crowd's psychology is often more hesitant than panicked; FOMO hasn't truly appeared yet, but narrative fatigue is quite obvious. 🫧 Data snapshot: - Current price about 93.38, 30-day drawdown 23.20% - 90-day perspective still positive, +26.12%, mid-term holdings haven't fully turned bearish - From previous high 122.07 to low 90.87, drawdown close to one quarter - Upper moving average reference range 97 to 100, the first emotional barrier for a rebound - Around 90 is the most intuitive psychological support currently Momentum signals and risk signals should be viewed separately. The bullish side is: 90 days still positive, indicating this looks more like a deep pullback within a mid-term uptrend, not a complete trend reversal; once 90 holds, the path to repair towards 97 to 100 is smooth, and sentiment can easily shift from hesitation to tentative buying. The bearish side is: the stepped decline means every small rebound may be used to reduce positions, and if leverage on the derivatives side continues to...The market is falling, and buyers keep lining up to catch it. That contradiction is the story. Over the past 24 hours, $BTC slipped 1.04% to 76,938 inside a 76,700–78,867 range, with open interest at 2.57 billion and a buy-sell ratio of 2.52. Read that ratio carefully: nearly two and a half buyers for every seller while price grinds lower. That is not accumulation. That is a queue forming in front of a moving train. The liquidation ledger makes the point brutally. In the last four hours, total l "Market Like Foggy Weather: Don't Rush to Step on the Gas (´･_･`)" The current market is like a foggy day, with blurred vision ahead. Stepping on the gas recklessly now can easily lead to disaster. $BTC: Do not chase before the resistance zone at 78,800–81,000. Without volume breakout, all are just bull traps testing the waters. On the right side, wait for volume to confirm. The floor is at 76,000; if broken, look to 75,000. Currently, the rate is above zero, stuck in the middle, neither up nor down. Acting now risks getting slapped (｡•́︿•̀｡). $ETH: Keep a close eye on 2,200. The 2,100–2,400 range is a weekly demand zone; holding it offers hope to reach 2,600–2,700. Although the current rate is negative (-0.0097%), with bears paying, going long cannot rely on rate alone. Two hard conditions must be met: volume-supported bottom at 2,200 + BTC holding above 78K, both indispensable (๑•̀ㅂ•́)و✧. The macro main theme remains unchanged: the market's bet on December rate hikes is still high. Bank of America and Fidelity both forecast 25bp hikes in December and March next year. The big picture hasn't loosened; don't mistake a rebound for a trend reversal (´･ω･`). On the sentiment side, the fear index is 38; BTC funding rate hasn't turned negative; ETF funds haven't returned; whales are buying but prices aren't following. When bullish and bearish clues clash, holding cash and waiting is safer than forcing a direction. #美国10月非农前瞻：就业增长或牵动12月加息预期 The strangest thing is not how much money the hacker stole, but the way he spent it. The issuer's rapid asset freezing forced him to race against time, resulting in a type of buying on-chain that completely ignores price — this structure shaped by forced buying is more honest than any candlestick chart. $ETH thus passively became the bag holder. The hacker's average purchase price of Ethereum on-chain exceeded $2600, over $300 higher than the derivatives market, effectively giving the entire network a premium. So the reason ETH has held above 2300 in the past two days is not because bulls are strong, but because there is a buyer who simply doesn't care about the price. My judgment is straightforward: do not add positions before 2300 is firmly held; only consider it after it stabilizes. The support logic at this level is not sentiment but forced cash flow. $UNI is the direct source of slippage. The market, which already had limited depth, was forcibly slammed by a large buyer, creating a gap of several hundred dollars. Short-term funds will next reprice the depth of DEX — I won't act on volume-driven declines above $7, but breaking below the previous low warrants reevaluation. The key here is not the price itself, but that the market is beginning to realize liquidity depth is also an asset that can be instantly drained by events. $HYPE, on the other hand, proved another point in this turmoil: derivatives prices are the true anchor, and depth has withstood the test. Currently consolidating around 84, still in a floating loss range over 30 days, I maintain a base position and will add if it falls below 80. The narrative for this asset has quietly shifted — from "new public chain story" to "pricing benchmark under extreme market conditions." Truly worth $ETH has spent its latest candles holding near 2,300 after a steady climb from the 2,240 area. The rising hourly averages remain bullishly aligned, but the 2,308.90 wick shows supply overhead. I’m watching the narrow 2,293 to 2,294 support area. Defending it would keep the consolidation constructive. A sustained push through 2,300 could challenge the high again, while losing support would expose the 10-hour MA near 2,282. Educational only, not financial advice. #PalantirQ3Growth96% Operation suggestions and trend analysis for Bitcoin and Ethereum: 11/4 Bitcoin's 4-hour Bollinger Bands are narrowing, indicating a consolidation pattern before a breakout; the ratio of long to short positions in contracts is relatively high, and the weighted funding rate is close to 0.01. Historically, this combination tends to result in a higher probability of a pullback after a rebound faces resistance. Before breaking this range, the main strategy is to sell high and buy low. There is resistance around 78,700–79,700 where light short positions can be tried, with a stop loss if it rises above 80,000; if it pulls back and stabilizes around 77,500–76,000, consider buying low, and exit if it falls below 75,000. Contract trading carries extremely high risk and requires strict position control with stop losses. Analyst Sheng Ge's operation suggestions: short Bitcoin near 77,600–78,100, target 76,600–76,000; short Ethereum near 2,310–2,330, target 2,220–2,200 #苹果Q4营收超预期，下季度毛利率指引承压 🚨 IS $72K THE NEXT STOP FOR BITCOIN? I’ve been expecting BTC to drop toward $72K. When it rebounded above $79K, I saw a short opportunity despite the criticism. Now the market is moving in that direction. 👀 The next big catalysts are US employment data, especially Friday’s Nonfarm Payrolls. 📉 Weak data could put more pressure on BTC. But nothing is guaranteed. Stay patient, manage risk, and wait for confirmation. #BTC #Bitcoin #ETH #CryptoTrading #DailyOrbit #DailyOrbit Strategy just bought another 811 BTC. Odaily and ChainCatcher report: From October 26 to November 1, the company increased its BTC holdings by 811 coins at an average price of about $80,846, spending approximately $65.5 million. Total holdings rose to 849,327 BTC, with an average accumulated cost of about $75,451. During the same period, ATM sold shares to raise about $164 million and repurchased about $208.2 million of STRC. At the time of writing, BTC is around $77,276. My judgment is that buying volume is shrinking but hasn't stopped—849,327 is just one step away from 850,000 coins, and the treasury is still using ATM to shuffle cash. Do you think it will reach 850,000 coins next week first, or continue to shrink volume and wait? I'll write when the treasury adjusts positions, so follow me. $BTC At the critical level, funds have not returned Bitcoin holds above $78,000, Ethereum rebounds to $2,300; on the surface, it's price recovery, but inside, funds hesitate. $BTC's resilience is somewhat beyond expectations: hacker incidents, large ETF outflows, and cooling rate hike expectations have exerted continuous pressure, yet the drop is still less than 3%, and the gap support remains intact. However, this rebound seems more like short covering driving it, with dense long positions accumulated around 78,556–78,836, and no obvious new buying inflows. Holding the critical level does not mean buying has returned. $ETH is similarly delicate. Regaining 2,300, but spot ETFs have seen net outflows for more than twenty consecutive trading days, with BlackRock's ETHA seeing a single-day outflow of $138 million. The 2,350–2,370 range is the resistance zone where multiple previous rebounds were blocked; standing above 2,300 only temporarily stabilizes the position. Next, the U.S. midterm election voting day and Friday's nonfarm payroll data are approaching, with BTC options implied volatility rising to 43.5%. Therefore, 78,000 and 2,300 are not just price coordinates but psychological stop-loss lines for both bulls and bears: whoever breaks first, loses their chips first. When the direction is unclear, chasing gains or cutting losses is a test of patience. #美国10月非农前瞻：就业增长或牵动12月加息预期 🚨 $ETH Danger Signal! The options market has started buying insurance against a crash, with $1900 becoming the target for bears! Brothers, today is the U.S. midterm election voting day, but more worth watching than the election itself is the pessimistic signal being sent by the ETH derivatives market. 📉 1. Options Market: Bearish Sentiment Clearly Heating Up In the past 24 hours, all of the top six ETH option contracts by volume are put options! The most watched is the put option expiring on November 6 with a strike price of $1900. Currently, ETH is priced around $2286, so $1900 represents about a 17% drop from the current price. What does this mean? At least judging by recent popular option trades, some funds are actively buying downside protection, showing a clear increase in short-term risk concerns. 📊 2. Implied Volatility: ETH Makes the Market More Nervous Than BTC Recently, ETH options implied volatility has risen to about 59%, while BTC is around 51%. The premium on near-month ETH put options is also significantly higher than on longer-dated ones. This reflects the market pricing in increased short-term downside risk. However, note that active put option trading does not mean all traders are short; it may also include institutions hedging their spot long positions. 📉 3. Futures Open Interest Declining in Sync ETH contract open interest has dropped about 2.18% over a recent period, while the price only fell about 0.83% during the same time. The larger decline in open interest indicates some leveraged funds are exiting $BTC Evening Market Tracking: btc is getting a bit strong The US-Iran situation continues to develop Progress on nuclear issues and frozen funds After the news came out, crude oil dropped again Everyone is watching the strong support at 75000–76000 to break But the current news seems not to allow it It seems most of Trump's loss in both chambers has been priced in early We'll know the answer in the next couple of days The only difficulty now is that the right-side signal hasn't appeared yet 7.6 is a buying opportunity, keep holding to play the game, shorting is not recommended anymore Because in this situation, if Trump really loses both chambers, there might be a final dip before a V-shaped rebound, and if Trump wins one chamber, it could directly go up US stocks drag down 📉 Nasdaq 100 enters correction territory, is BTC dragged down by tech stocks? 🌐 Ted Pillows: On Monday, Nasdaq 100 entered correction territory; KuCoin: On November 3, Nasdaq down about -1.07%, S&P 500 about -0.51%; CoinDesk mentioned chip stock sell-off intensifies volatility. 🗳️ US midterm elections voting on November 3, crypto.news mentioned election uncertainty suppresses risk appetite. 📉 BTC fell from about $78,000 to below $77,000, weakening in sync with US stocks. 💡 BTC’s correlation with tech stocks these days is more like "moving together," but correlation does not equal causation. I'm not sure if US stocks will continue to drag down, might be wrong. 📍 What I’m watching: • US stock market close tonight • November 6 nonfarm payroll report Do you think BTC is now following US stocks more, or more influenced by ETF funds? $BTC $ETH #CanBTCHold80K #USMidtermsPolicyOutlook #AppleQ4MarginPressure $BTC $ETH $ZEC Bitcoin was below the 200-day moving average on the US midterm election days in 2014, 2018, and 2022, approximately 35%, 9%, and 22% lower respectively, but this year is different. Currently, Bitcoin's price is about $76,990, which is 5.2% above the 200-day moving average of around $73,169, indicating a relatively strong long-term trend. The 2026 Bitcoin bear market is shallower and the decline occurred earlier, with the main correction concentrated from January to February this year. Martin Lee, head of research at DWF Labs, stated that historical data shows Bitcoin's performance in the first few months after midterm elections is usually volatile or slightly bearish, but it has risen over the following 12 months. He believes the long-term historical trend is favorable for Bitcoin, but short-term volatility still needs caution, especially with the risks from escalating geopolitical conflicts and the continued drag of AI trading on risk assets #TradingVoice: Your experience deserves to be heard $BTC Every bull market, someone says this time is different. 2014, 2018, and 2022 were all U.S. midterm election years. $BTC fell about 56%, 73%, and 64% respectively throughout those years. And in all three years, the fourth quarter closed down. Now 2026 is coming again. I don't believe history will necessarily repeat itself, but do you think 2026 could become the fourth exception? DEX Three Brothers Takeover Review: Who's Really Eating the Cake, Who's Just Holding the Scene? 🍰 The cake of funds fleeing from CEX has fallen, but catching it doesn't mean you can eat it—relying solely on speculative players to hold the scene will eventually lead to losing both principal and interest. $HYPE is catching the most aggressively but is somewhat bloated Both its share and TVL are soaring, which looks like a real benefit. But the problem is the buyback scheme—quite a portion is stuck in custody accounts, not actually burned, so the circulating supply remains as large as before. It was hyped too fiercely recently, and the price is now being suppressed and rubbed down. Don't get carried away chasing highs just because the share is rising; it's easy to end up holding the bag. $ASTER is the most hardworking but also the most strained The product iteration and volume-grabbing strategy is sound. HIP-3 cut fees to capture new markets, carving out territory under Hyperliquid's shadow. But the claim window is open until 11/28, with potential selling pressure looming and TVL sharply falling from its peak. The combination of token structure and the claim window is a double squeeze, making it hard to keep up with the inflow. $UNI is the most stable, quietly working Robinhood Chain's main AMM, fully rolled out v2/v3/v4 plus UniswapX. The batch of US stock users from Binance spillover who want to enter compliantly directly fall into Uniswap pools. It’s onboarding traditional entry users onto-chain, the least likely to be unlocked and dumped. If it doesn’t reclaim $7, I still consider it unpriced. Summary: HYPE has volume but is hollow, ASTER has strength but is gasping, UNI has foundation but is slow. Catching speculative players is a skill; catching real users is the valuable diamond 💎🚨 What Elon Musk really needs to worry about might not be the $TSLA stock price, but the storm of investigations after the Democrats take control of Congress! Brothers, tonight's U.S. midterm elections are the real show! The signals from the prediction markets are already quite clear: the probability of the Democrats taking both the House and Senate is about 76.5%. Note, this is the implied probability from prediction markets and does not mean the final result is confirmed. U.S. voting results will be revealed gradually. But what I’m more concerned about this time isn’t who wins or loses, but the potential risks to several of Musk’s companies. Why? Because once the Democrats take Congress, Musk may face not only political mudslinging but also more tangible commercial scrutiny. 📌 First checkpoint: DOGE Government Efficiency Department old issues Previously, Musk was involved in work related to the Government Efficiency Department, and Democratic lawmakers might launch investigations around government layoffs, decision-making processes, and conflicts of interest. 📌 Second checkpoint: SpaceX government contracts The biggest focus for $SPCX isn’t the short-term stock price, but government contracts, NASA projects, and defense and aerospace launch orders. Hearings can generate news, but what truly affects valuation are contract execution, budget appropriations, and whether future orders change. 📌 Third checkpoint: Tesla subsidies and policy environment $TSLA can’t completely stay out of this either.