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$SOL: Short on the rebound!
Strategy:
· Wait for the price to rebound to the 105.00-106.00 range (EMA5/EMA10 resistance zone) and then enter short.
· The initial target is 103.00 (24-hour low); if broken decisively, look for the 100.00 whole number support. Set stop loss at 108.50 (above EMA20).
Core basis:
1. Perfect bearish moving average alignment: On the 1-hour chart, EMA5 (105.78), EMA10 (106.99), and EMA20 (108.36) are diverging downward, with price trading below all moving averages. Since the high of 121.95, highs have been continuously lower, clearly indicating a weak trend.
2. Severe long liquidation cascade: Figure 1 shows 24-hour long liquidations reaching 43.7 million U, far exceeding shorts. Longs are bleeding heavily, panic is spreading, and without clear bottoming signals, further long liquidations are likely.
3. Pattern breakdown and volume-price confirmation: Price broke below previous lows with volume, forming a typical one-way downtrend channel. Current low-level rebound volume is shrinking, indicating weak long support and heavy overhead resistance. Following the trend to short offers a better risk-reward.
$ETH $ZEC
#CPI and PPI announcements are imminent, testing rate hike expectations The most dangerous moment on the chessboard is not when the king is in check, but when the opponent offers you a seemingly free pawn. $KSM is playing out this scenario right now—up 3.02% in 24 hours, price pushed to 3.14, everyone is talking about a breakout, while my finger is already hovering over the square to sacrifice the pawn.
First, let's look at the formation. The short-term RSI has already risen to 65.7, while our signal threshold is 64, a typical "gap before a pawn promotion." More critically, the Bollinger Bands: the short-term price is at the 92% position, only 0.1% from the upper band, but 1.5% from the lower band—this is not strength, it's a rook pushed to the edge of the board, with a retreat path fifteen times longer than the forward path. The mid-term RSI is 78%, 1.0% from the upper band and 3.6% from the lower band, similarly top-heavy.
Remember this: when the price is only 0.1% from the ceiling but 1.5% from the floor, the odds are already tilted toward the bears. This is not a prediction, it's geometry.
My midgame calculation is as follows: 3.25 is 3.8% higher than the current price, exactly where the opponent is most likely to make a "seemingly reasonable" move. The real weakness lies below. The first target is 2.98, 5.0% down from the current price; the second target is 3.03, 3.4% down. Between these two defense lines lies an open area with no support—a typical endgame structure, broken pawn chain, and a vulnerable king's wing.
As for the stop loss, 3.57, 13.9% above my entry price. Some may ask: why such a wide stop loss? Because a grandmaster never abandons the entire evaluation over the loss of a single pawn. A wide stop loss is not cowardice; it allows room for calculation errors. The real danger is position size, not points.
In this game, I am not fighting for every pawn; I am fighting for the moment the opponent makes a mistake.
📉 Short:
Entry: 3.25 (current price +3.8%)
Take Profit 1: 2.98 (-5.0%)
Take Profit 2: 3.03 (-3.4%)
Stop Loss: 3.57 (+13.9%)
The long-term RSI is only 44.5, neutral to weak, indicating that black has not gained absolute initiative on the big board, so this is a "quick piece exchange after a precise strike," not a crushing endgame. When the target zone is reached, I won’t linger in battle; I will exchange directly and secure the gains.
Sacrificing a pawn is not a loss; it is buying time. And time always favors the one who calculates deeper.《ETH 2500真稳住了？我的空单有点慌》
ETH是真的硬。2500反复砸不下去，还慢慢拱到2520，完全不像要跌的样子。我这个位置追空，现在越看越危险。
本来想赚个回调，结果它横着横着就往上蹭。空单拿得心慌，生怕黄毛一条消息直接拉飞。明天周一，今晚消息面一有风吹草动，涨起来就真完了。
我给自己设了2480，跌到那就走。不贪了，这波追空太急，认。
$BTC 也一样，83000是上周低点，不少人抄底。如果这里都稳得住，说明上方没套牢盘，放量就能拉。真那样，空头更难受。
现在不追多，也不加空。等方向，等确认。今晚盯紧消息，别让一笔单子把心态也爆了。
$ETH $BTC
仅为个人记录，不构成投资建议。BTC Daily Review: Touching Key Resistance, Waiting for CPI to Break the Range
$BTC Daily
The resistance level of 84200 given yesterday was directly reached this morning. The current market is stuck around 84200, with an intraday range of 83462‑84290. The 20-day moving average at 83386 is just below the current price, serving as important technical support.
The market scenario remains unchanged: last week BTC spot ETF saw a net outflow of $681 million, marking the largest weekly outflow since the end of June. Institutional funds continue to withdraw, which is the biggest weakness of this rebound.
Combined with hawkish statements from officials, the market is repricing the possibility of another rate hike by year-end. The 10-year US Treasury yield holds steady at 5.24%, continuously suppressing risk assets.
Key Price Levels Summary
✅ First resistance above at 85000; further strong resistance zone at 86500‑87400
✅ Support lifeline at 83400 (20-day moving average). If this breaks effectively, the next target is 82000
The market will most likely wait for tomorrow night’s CPI data to choose a direction. Before the data release, the overall range remains 83400‑85000.
Intraday operation range reference: 83400‑84800, with stop loss defense at 82900.
Briefly outlining two scenarios:
• CPI meets or is below expectations, with a chance to push up to the 85000 level
• CPI exceeds expectations and rises, with the market likely to directly retest support at 82000$W For this wave of rise, don't just look at the gains; the speculative logic behind it is the key!
Technical upgrades combined with expectations of the next round of token unlocks have quickly ignited short-term enthusiasm. On one hand, clearing out bottom short positions; on the other, attracting off-exchange funds to chase longs, so the market naturally still has the potential to push higher.
But Sister Ting believes that short-term bullishness does not mean long-term optimism. The selling Bitcoin and Ethereum crashed hard today.
Bitcoin directly fell below 81,000, and Ethereum was even worse, breaking through 2,450, dropping nearly 4%.
The whole market looks like a waterfall, with bulls being crushed to the ground. Ethereum's funding rate plunged to negative 39%, and all leveraged longs were completely liquidated.
The slow decline over the past couple of days combined with today's sharp drop has completely crushed market sentiment.
The reason boils down to one sentence: Trump's tariff threats combined with the uncertainty of the midterm elections directly dragged down the entire market.
Don't underestimate this bearish factor; funds are now all seeking safety, and no one dares to catch the falling knife.
Right now, don't rush to bottom-fish Bitcoin and Ethereum; wait until they stabilize a bit before considering it The Reserve Bank of Australia clearly indicated in its latest monetary policy meeting minutes that all committee members unanimously agreed to raise interest rates by 25 basis points. At the same time, the official statement emphasized that to ensure inflation steadily returns to the target range, domestic consumer demand needs to remain moderately constrained for a period. Concurrently, Australia's September NAB business confidence index remained steady at -1, while the business confidence index further declined from the previous -8 to -13.
From a macro fundamental perspective, the unanimous rate hike decision confirms the Australian central bank's firm stance on combating inflation. Although business confidence data weakened, this is a typical technical feature of a tightening cycle aimed at curbing overheated demand, broadly aligning with the transmission path of policies implemented by major central banks globally.
The foreign exchange and fixed income markets quickly digested this hawkish signal, with the Australian dollar showing phase-specific technical support, and the sovereign bond yield curve maintaining a relatively strong oscillation at the short end. The contraction in business expectations further reduces the likelihood of a future inflation rebound, and the market is gradually pricing in the potential tail end of this tightening cycle.
For risk markets such as crypto assets, the central bank's unanimous decision to swiftly clear policy uncertainty is actually a positive signal. Technically, the deleveraging phase nearing its end often indicates that the liquidity bottom is gradually being established, laying a macro foundation for mainstream assets like $BTC to stabilize and rebound at key support levels. $BTC $ETH #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 #机构持续布局，BTC为何仍承压？ The facade of this building is still shining, but the load-bearing structure is already groaning—$JITOSOL is now stuck at a dangerous cantilever node.
The current quote is $97.02, with a slight 24H increase of 1.97%, seemingly stable, but when you spread out the blueprints and look at the details, the flaws are exposed. The short-term Bollinger Band position has already pushed to 87%, with only 0.2% margin left to the upper band and a 1.4% gap to the lower band—this means the price is forcibly squeezed just below the ceiling, with almost no structural room to move upward. The short-term RSI reading is 66.4; although it hasn't hit the overbought red line, it is approaching the 64 warning threshold, and momentum is beginning to show signs of fatigue. The mid-term Bollinger Band position is 51%, at the midpoint, representing a typical "upper layer suspended, lower layer not solidified" state.
The real problem lies in the foundation depth. The long-term RSI is only 50.4, completely neutral, indicating that this 1.97% rise lacks long-term capital as a foundation and relies on temporary support from short-term scaffolding. This kind of structure fears lateral loads the most—once short-term momentum withdraws, the high position at 87% will directly become the starting point of a fall.
My construction judgment: this is a beam that needs reverse reinforcement. The current price is still 1.4% below the Entry at $98.38; the rebound gap must be capped at a higher position before driving piles downward.
📉 Short:
Entry: 98.38 (current price +1.4%)
Take Profit 1: 94.55 (-2.5%)
Take Profit 2: 94.03 (-3.1%)
Stop Loss: 108.25 (+11.6%)
The stop loss is set at +11.6%, which is the structural safety margin I reserved for this project—if even 108.25 is broken through, it means the geological survey of the entire building was wrong from the start, and this is not a correction but a foundation redo. But before that, the short-term overbought pressure combined with the mid-term midpoint downward pull makes the first target of 94.55 with a -2.5% retracement completely workable.
Remember, the whitepaper is a rendering; on-chain data is the rebar reinforcement diagram. This reinforcement diagram now tells me: the upper load is overloaded and needs to be unloaded.$ETH 反弹一百点，不代表跌势停了
$ETH 从2738掉到2406，跌了330点。
反弹一天半，回来一百多点。
这个价位是什么：
2550是整数关，也是空头二次进场的位置。
跌了330点才回来一百多，反弹幅度不到跌幅一半。
这个数怎么算的：
7日线在2580，压在上方。
压力区间2557到2565，支撑先看2500。
破了看2484，再破看2406前低。
反弹幅度不到跌幅三分之一，说明买盘没接住。
压力位没站上，方向就还没换。
挂单挂在2550的，赌的是反弹到此为止。
#机构持续布局，BTC为何仍承压？
#交易之声：你的经验值得被听到 $ETH $BTC
$ETH
周三到周五，美国连续有重要数据公布
周三 CPI，周四 PPI + 零售销售，周五还有沃什讲话
这几天重点盯住通胀数据和市场对美联储降息的预期，数据超预期，BTC可能承压；数据低于预期，也不代表大饼一定直接起飞
真正要防的不是涨跌，而是数据公布前后反复插针、上下扫损
我的思路很简单：数据公布前，别重仓赌方向
数据出来先看反应，不急着追第一根 K 线
结合关键位置、OI 和 CVD，等方向确认再出手
行情机会一直都有，没必要每一波都参与
这种数据密集周，先保住本金，再考虑赚多少钱An Air Force Medical Record: Blowing Wind on the Mountain Top for Months, Only Seeking a Big Needle to Untangle
Patient: Mountain Top Wind Blower. Chief Complaint: BTC, ETH, ZEC short positions trapped, short-term holding turned into long-term investment, accompanied by palpitations, insomnia, and repeatedly watching the market.
Current History: Interest rate hike expectations heat up again, inflation, oil prices, and macro pressures exert continuous stress. Bulls dream of a bull market, bears on the mountain top have been freezing for months.
Diagnosis: Short Position Trapped Syndrome (Chronic Phase).
Treatment Advice: Not seeking to get rich overnight or double profits, only hoping the market shows mercy and gives another big needle. If untangled, promise not to open random orders for three days.
Doctor's Advice: Interest rate hike expectations ≠ market must fall, the market does not turn because individuals are trapped. Others wait for a bull market, we wait for the waterfall; others hope for new highs, we wait to get untangled.
This medical record seems like a joke but actually reveals the bitterness of the bears. CPI and PPI announcements are imminent, interest rate hike expectations face tests, and the battle between bulls and bears intensifies again. But be clear: macro data is only a catalyst, the direction never changes because someone is trapped.
Rather than blowing wind on the mountain top and repeatedly watching the market, it's better to let go of obsession and respond with light positions. The market is always there; surviving longer is the only way to qualify for your own big needle.
$BTC $ETH $ZEC
#CPI and PPI announcements imminent, interest rate hike expectations face tests
#Institutions continue to position, why does BTC still face pressure?
#Voice of Trading: Your experience deserves to be heard Don't be fooled by the 24-hour inflow; short-term funds are actually sneaking out
Checked the market this morning: Bitcoin at 82,600, Ethereum at 2,490, SOL at 107
Seeing the red last night, but short-term funds have been withdrawing all along. The 24-hour inflow is just an illusion
From October 5 to 9, related funds outflowed nearly 1.286 billion. No new money is coming in. It's too hard to rise
Bitcoin at 83,000 is key; if it can't hold above, it's useless. If 82,000 breaks, watch 80,000
Ethereum has been weak after falling below 2,500. If it doesn't improve, watch 2,400
SOL is approaching 105; if it breaks, a faster drop is likely
CPI and PPI are about to be released, interest rate hike expectations are still choking the market, and the Russia-Ukraine energy agreement is also a risk
I'm currently long but completely getting crushed. Looking at this market, I dare not move at all
No volume, no funds; bottom fishing is like catching a flying knife
Wait for the data to land and see if funds really flow back before making a move. Better to miss out than to gamble recklessly
Are you currently holding no position waiting, or rushing in to bottom fish?👇
$BTC $ETH $SOL
#CPI and PPI announcements imminent, interest rate hike expectations face a test #Russia-Ukraine may reach an "energy ceasefire" agreement, progress to be confirmed #Institutions continue to position, why is BTC still under pressure? 昨日开单买入亚马逊$AMZN 其实这次开单有点鲁莽了看的不是很懂 按道理来说资金在反复轮动今天是有资金吸引一些人进来做的可看大盘来说现在位置很尴尬 还是有机会那低位稳妥点 $ETH 和$BTC 昨天暴跌 很多人以为牛来了 抄底结果吃了一嘴牛屎 为啥暴跌呢？油价和美元同时走高推高通胀不支持走牛市 加上美股即将迎来财报季节。资金避险需求较高 后续其实可以重点关注黄金走势。The market turned sour overnight. $BTC dropped to 81,800, the 82K support line was broken just like that. $ETH fell below 2,500, 2,446 is precarious, and 2,400 is just ahead. $SOL failed to break 110 and is now sitting at 105.66.
The panic is real.
The US Dollar Index surged to an 18-month high, short positions in the derivatives market surged, longs were liquidated one after another, and oil prices added to the chaos—WTI broke $94, Brent surged to $107, with the market worried that inflation data will be pushed higher again.
But smart money is doing the exact opposite.
Strategy bought another 250 $BTC last week at an average price of $86,194, bringing total holdings to 848,000 coins. Note this price—it’s significantly higher than the current market price. They are adding positions during the decline, not just talking.
An anonymous whale sold 410 $BTC (about $34.16M) on Hyperliquid and immediately bought 14,341 $ETH (about $36.14M) on DEX. They directly swapped from BTC to $ETH, showing a very clear directional bet.
Hong Kong today listed the second spot $SOL ETF, Pando Solana ETF (2831.HK), bringing the global $SOL spot ETF net assets to about $1.9 billion. New capital inflows are opening, but $SOL is falling—this divergence is worth watching.
Everyone is focused on Wednesday’s CPI.
The market expects overall inflation to hit around 3.7%, driven by gasoline price increases, with core CPI expected to hold steady near 2.4%. Deutsche Bank’s analysis is more detailed: overall CPI may rise 0.57% month-over-month, but core CPI only 0.16%, with year-over-year core CPI dropping from 2.45% to 2.39%. Headline data is hot, core data is cooling.
If core inflation really cools down, this round of sell-off might be an overreaction.
Key levels:
→ $BTC $80.4K, the last line of defense, breaking it won’t look good
→ $ETH $2,400, rebound or free fall
→ $SOL $110, only recovery counts as a turnaround
Core inflation is cooling, geopolitical panic is being priced in, smart money is buying.
Fear has already been released early. Are you selling along or buying along?
#CPI and PPI announcements imminent, rate hike expectations face a test #Russia-Ukraine may reach an "energy ceasefire" agreement, progress pending confirmation #TSMC Q3 revenue hits a new high, what else to watch in the October 15 earnings report? Big drop → rebound → small drop → surge, every time rushing to short before the rebound is fully in place, too impatient, position too heavy! PUMP现货24小时跌约14.3%，永续资金费率暂报+0.005%。欧易北京时间8点41分现货报0.004871美元，24小时成交约1022万美元。资金费率下次在12点结算，当前数字还会变化。
6点那根完整小时线成交约152万美元，是5点的3.6倍，价格从0.005106跌到0.004999美元。7点又收在0.004971美元。8点这根尚未收盘，已触及0.004859美元，创出这三小时新低。我的判断是止跌证据还不够。
最容易误读的是资金费率。正值不能证明多头还在加仓，更不能单独当反转信号。我更关注下一根完整小时线能否收回0.004999美元，成交额能否超过7点的约40.8万美元；如果两者同时出现，我会重新评估偏弱判断。
$PUMP ETH：空头爆仓5.69亿，但有人还在加码空
一个值得玩味的现象：ETH现报2425.72，跌4.08%，但盘口多空比显示82%的人在做空。过去24小时空单爆仓高达5.69亿美元，是多单的4.2倍。
发生了什么变化？ 价格从2497砸到2411，82%的账户押注继续下跌，但空头已被大规模清算，资金费率仍为正（0.00217%），空头还在付费持仓。
为什么值得关注？ 多空比82:18是极端拥挤的空头信号，这种结构下，空头拥挤反而可能成为价格反弹的燃料。但10年期美债收益率已攀升至5.3%，宏观压力不站在多头这边。
更支持哪种观察？ 当前更像空头拥挤后的被动平仓阶段，而非趋势性下跌启动。2411附近是短期支撑，2490上方是空头清算密集区。
接下来盯一件事：10月14日CPI。82%的空头仓位，是等来了解放，还是等来了第二波轧空？$ETH ENA 24h -15.7% 贴着低点趴着
渣打银行将在迪拜托管瑞波稳定币并支持直接交易。看了眼 $ENA，0.204 USDT，24h -15.7%。外围机构这些动作跟它没什么关系。
24h 最高 0.2475 USDT，最低 0.2026 USDT。现价几乎就贴着低点走，从高位滑下来后还没缓过劲。
单日振幅 18.5%，全天成交额 919 万 USDT。这一天的上下跨度确实不小，盘面动静挺大。
7 日 -14.3%，跟今天跌幅差不多，基本就是这一跤摔出来的。合约那边费率到了 -0.0085%，空头在给多头付钱。
横向看关联币，$SOL 24h -6.3%，$ZEC 24h -10.8%。两边虽然都在往下走，但回撤都没它这么深。
腿子提醒腿腿们，现在价格死贴着低点，费率也翻了负，盯盘时多留点余量，别看着跌得多就急着伸手去接。 ⚔️ What is the core driving force behind the surge and sustained high level of U.S. Treasury yields? What is the impact on the prices of interest-free assets like Bitcoin and gold?
Currently, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield is around 5.24%, and the 30-year is around 5.60%.
Whether yields continue to rise depends in the short term on Wednesday's U.S. CPI data, but medium-term pressure remains.
The core consists of four driving factors, intertwined like a rope.
First: AI giants are "grabbing money" in the bond market.
Mega cloud providers are aggressively issuing bonds this year to finance AI infrastructure. Goldman Sachs predicts that AI-related bond issuance could reach $420 billion next year.
The key is: investors buying these corporate bonds will sell Treasury futures to hedge interest rate risk. Each sale pushes Treasury yields higher.
Second: The fiscal deficit shows no signs of braking.
For fiscal year 2026, the U.S. deficit is about $2 trillion, exceeding 6% of GDP.
The national debt is approaching $39 trillion.
The Treasury's bond issuance calendar is fully packed.
With too much supply, yields can only go up.
Third: High oil prices keep inflation expectations elevated.
Middle East conflicts have pushed Brent crude above $104.
Core inflation remains stuck near 3%, well above the 2% target.
As a result, the market does not believe the Federal Reserve will cut rates soon.
Fourth: Term premium is soaring, with the market demanding higher risk compensation.
The 10-year U.S. Treasury term premium has surged to a 12-year high.CPI hasn't been released yet, but prices have already settled.
$BTC is reported at 83406, $ETH at 2550, $SOL at 111.
What does this price level mean: staying flat, waiting for the number on the 14th.
Bloomberg's expectation is overall inflation going up, core inflation going down.
A common misunderstanding: core going down does not mean less pressure.
It just means oil prices haven't seeped into other items yet.
The 10-year US Treasury yield touched 5.36%, the 30-year is the highest since 2002.
With interest rates still high, risk assets can't lift their heads.
The market gives only a 17% chance of a rate hike in October, but 71.6% in December.
I originally thought inflation easing would bring relief, but it doesn't.
The premise for relief is yields bowing first.
Without that premise, sideways movement will continue.
#CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验
#机构持续布局，BTC为何仍承压？ #PIMCO警告10年期美债收益率或达6% $BTC $ETH $CORE core circulating supply went from 71.46% the day before yesterday back to 70.45%. I just want to know where the coins released daily before went? The more they release, the less there is. This is really sophisticated play. My brain is a bit short-circuited now, I really can't figure it out. Does anyone know, brothers?BTC Liquidations: $586 million long positions wiped out in 24 hours
In the past 24 hours, the entire network saw $672 million liquidated, with $586 million in long positions, accounting for 87%. 144,000 people were liquidated, with the largest single liquidation occurring on Binance BTCUSDT, valued at $9.65 million.
What changed? The price dropped from 82,738 to 81,211, a decline of 1.49%, but the long-to-short account ratio was as high as 87%:13%—almost everyone was long.
Why is this noteworthy? This is not a short squeeze, but a long squeeze caused by the longs themselves. 87% of people bet long in the same direction, yet the price moved opposite by 1.49%. The funding rate remains positive (0.00217%), indicating the remaining traders are still paying fees to hold their positions, not giving up.
Which observation is more supported? Currently, it looks more like a passive deleveraging phase for leveraged longs rather than the start of a trend reversal to the downside. Support begins below 82,000, but the resistance at 83,400 has not been tested.
Next focus: October 14 CPI data. Will those still holding wait for relief, or face a second wave of liquidations? $BTC 刚把软件切到后台，它噌一下就往下扎，这是跟我玩捉迷藏呢？早盘刚砸盘时，$DOT 反抽软绵绵，交易量较少，上去根本没人接。
我看到上方压得死，1.2523 附近继续空，提示就一句：别追多，等它自己没力气。结果价格从 1.2523 一路掉到 1.1271，空单 +500.27%，节奏踩准，真得爽。
先平 80%，该落袋就落袋，剩下 20% 成本价保护。继续下杀就让利润跑，反抽回来也别把利润吐回去。
空仓不是罪，乱开仓才是错。
复利的前提是活着，暴富的捷径往往是归零。
还没上车的朋友听我一句，现在不是冲的时候，等下一轮更舒服的位置，我会第一时间提示。新结构出来再看。
$DOGE $XRP 📊$BTC current price $81,408, I still hold a long position opened at $83,030, currently at a floating loss. The funding rate is still positive, longs are still paying, and with open interest decreasing, the sentiment isn't good. I'm leaning bearish this round, looking for an opportunity to short. A) If the price rebounds to $82,859 but fails to hold above it, and then breaks below the $80,166 support, the downtrend will continue, targeting the $79,896-$80,400 liquidity zone; if it holds above $82,859, this bearish view is invalid. B) If it stabilizes near $80,166 first and then holds above $82,859 as support, look for a rebound to $83,172 or even $83,515; breaking below $80,400 invalidates this. The $83,515 level has been tested 16 times with 8 holds, so there's significant resistance above. Plan: take half profits at $80,400, move the stop loss of the remaining position to the cost price. Next, will it continue to drop or first consolidate and recover? #OKXTraderVoices BTC: 87% of people are long, yet the price dropped 1.49%
An extreme signal: The BTC order book long-short account ratio reached 87%:13%, with almost everyone betting on a rise. But in the past 24 hours, the entire network liquidated $672 million, of which $586 million were long liquidations, accounting for a high 87%.
What changed? The price fell from 82,738 to 81,211, a drop of 1.49%, yet the funding rate remains positive (0.00217%)—the bulls are still paying to hold their positions.
Why is this worth noting? Retail positions are extremely crowded on the long side, but the price fell instead of rising. This indicates that active buying is continuously being absorbed, and selling pressure is real. The 10-year US Treasury yield has climbed to 5.3%, and a stronger dollar is suppressing risk assets; the macro environment is not supporting the bulls.
Which observation is more supported? In the short term, it looks more like a passive deleveraging phase after long crowding rather than active shorting. Buy orders start to gather below 82,000, but resistance at 83,400 remains unbroken.
Next focus: October 14 CPI. With 87% of long positions, will they dare to hold through this data? $BTC 1. Survival comes first
2. Everything ultimately is a game of emotions
3. Greed prevails, proving that you are driven more by greed than by fear
4. Fear makes you want to escape, but sometimes you have to take risks
5. Good money management creates wealth
6. Large funds are not for placing big bets
7. Start from the expectation of loss
8. Your wealth will come from your focus
9. When hesitating, confused, and unable to decide, please refer to the first point. 我跟你们说，昨晚这行情看得我直拍大腿。BTC 夜里摸到 84,250，离 84,355 那条线就差一百来美元，结果转头被摁回 81,636，一来一回 2,600 多美元。更刺激的是爆仓：昨天我还说只剩 6554 万、没什么油水可榨，今天一睁眼 3.48 亿，多空一起挨刀——打脸来得真快。先说结论。BTC 现价 81,782，24 小时跌 2.3% 左右；ETH 更惨，现价 2,449，跌 3.4%，刚收回来一天的 2,500 又丢了。过去 24 小时全网爆仓 3.48 亿 美元，多单 1.95 亿、空单 1.52 亿——昨天是 6554 万，今天翻了 5 倍还多。核心就一句话：油价一夜飙到 107 美元叠加明晚 CPI 落地，市场两头挨耳光，两边杠杆都被收拾了一遍。为啥是这个走法，两件事叠一块了。第一件是技术面的：夜里 BTC 往上冲，空单在 84,000 一带被挤掉一部分，价格一路顶到 84,250——离 84,355 的斐波那契 38.2% 回撤位就差一百来美元。然后卖单堆出来了：这条线从 10 月初就没过去过，挂单全堆在这儿，价格一碰就回头。第二件是消息面的：泽连斯基指责俄罗斯还There are two teachers in the crypto circle who should jointly apply for the Nobel Prize in Economics.
Peter Schiff: Bitcoin is doomed sooner or later.
Michael Saylor: Bitcoin represents the future.
When Bitcoin rises, the bullish teacher is right.
When Bitcoin falls, the bearish teacher is right.
When Bitcoin moves sideways, both sides are waiting for the market to prove themselves right.
The most amazing thing is that the market can repeatedly prove them wrong, but the teachers' faith never gets liquidated.
I suggest that from now on, whenever any crypto influencer predicts a price, they should also write:
Under what circumstances would you consider your judgment wrong?
Otherwise, this is not financial analysis.
This is two different sects fighting for the authority to interpret finance. #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验
CPI and PPI are about to be released, and the interest rate hike expectations face a critical test, with BTC's short-term trend being highly sensitive.
The US September CPI will be announced on October 14 (Wednesday) at 08:30 ET (20:30 Beijing time), followed by the PPI on the 15th (Thursday) at the same time. The market expects the headline CPI year-on-year to be about 3.6%-3.7% (previous value 3.4%), month-on-month 0.6%; core CPI year-on-year about 2.5%, month-on-month 0.2%. PPI month-on-month is expected to be around 0.5%.
The impact path on BTC is clear: inflation data → interest rate hike expectations → real yields and the dollar → risk appetite. Core data is key. If core CPI/PPI is below expectations (especially core CPI month-on-month ≤0.2%), it will reduce the probability of further rate hikes, real yields and the dollar will fall back, risk assets will get a breather, and BTC is expected to test the $85,000-$87,000 range. If core data is hotter, it will strengthen the "higher for longer" narrative, even increasing the probability of a rate hike in October, yields and the dollar will strengthen, BTC support at $82,500 may be lost, potentially dropping to $80,000 or even lower. If data meets expectations, bulls and bears will hedge, most likely maintaining a range-bound oscillation, but volatility will significantly increase. August 13: 💥💥💥💥💥 Today's main token analysis!
1 $BTC This morning it has further dropped from the early report's $82,400 to about $81,500, down about 2.65% in 24 hours, with a low near $81,200. Binance BTC OI is about 93,200 contracts, Funding remains around +0.0063%, indicating that although this round of decline has cleared some positions, the long leverage has not been completely washed out. The previous short-term support at $82,200 has failed, now looking again at $80,000–$81,000.
2. ETH and $SOL continue to be significantly weaker than BTC. ETH is about $2,432 this morning, down about 4.2% in 24 hours; SOL about $104.6, down nearly 6%. ETH/BTC has fallen below 0.03, indicating that funds are still actively reducing Alt Beta. Currently, there is no condition supporting a full alt season; without BTC stabilizing first, alt rebounds are prioritized as trades rather than trends.
3. $HYPE has dropped to about $80.9 this morning, down about 6.7% in 24 hours, with a low near $80.45, the first time truly approaching the low region we've been watching for several days. More notably, Funding has turned negative, OI is about 4.18 million contracts, the structure is much more comfortable than above $90. $79–$81 can be the first observation zone, $76–$78 is more comfortable, but do not rush in if BTC continues to break down. 🎯 SETUP FACEOFF
$RAVE: support 0.1629 | resistance 0.1818
$PUMP: support 0.004866 | resistance 0.006036
Verdict: $RAVE is pressing closer to resistance (13% of its range). Breakout or rejection—which setup is cleaner?
$RAVE $PUMP
#crypto
⚠️ NFA — manage risk and DYOR.Last night's breakout was disproved. BTC peaked at 84352, then crashed directly in the early morning hours, currently around 81900, down over 2% in 24 hours, hitting a low of 81800. ETH is down 4% at 2430, SOL down 7% at 104, with strong coins experiencing the harshest catch-up declines. As mentioned yesterday, if it doesn't reclaim above 83500, treat it as a false breakout. The market voted with its feet in the early morning, and those chasing at 84000 were left hanging again. This is the significance of not entering before confirmation. Now the market has returned to the familiar script; the 82500 to 83500 range hasn't broken out but rather pulled back after a false breakout upwards. This pattern reflects short-term bearish sentiment because funds chasing highs are trapped above. A rebound to 83000-83500 will first face selling pressure from those trying to break even. But there's no need to panic. Watch two levels: first, 81000, near last week's consolidation lower boundary—holding on low volume indicates just a pullback; second, 80000 to 80400, previous lows and a secondary buying zone. As long as this area doesn't break down effectively, the double bottom structure is even more solid. The real warning is if volume surges to break below 80000 and fails to recover, meaning the 80400 wick isn't the bottom, and the next support is at 78000. In terms of strategy, hold your spot positions without adding or reducing. The buying discipline remains unchanged: buy near 80000 without hesitation, but only after volume contracts and stabilization is confirmed by seeing support. Don't rush to bottom-fish in futures; catching falling knives and chasing highs are equally dangerous during a downtrend. Before the US stock market opens today, first see if 81000 holds, then watch the attitude around 80000 tonight. Staying put is the best move for now. Near 2460 on October 13, BTC2 short by Qingcang Kong, defend at 2500, target 2405/2360
For those wanting to go long, wait for stabilization near 2400 before entering, defend at 2350, target 2460/2500.
BTC2 has been continuously falling in the short term, current price 2423 still weak, 2460-2500 is resistance above, first watch for support near 2405, if broken, continue to look for downside space.
Strong USD, high oil prices, combined with Middle East shipping risks and US CPI on Wednesday, any news changes could accelerate the market at any time.
9 years trading experience, do not chase sharp drops, look for positions on rebounds.
Direction is important, but risk control must be in place. $ETH $ZEC $W #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 #俄乌或达成“能源停火”协议，进展待确认 #台积电Q3营收创新高，10月15日财报还有哪些看点？ Microsoft plans to build 1 million AI chips on its own. Does this have anything to do with the crypto world?
First question: Whose turf is it taking?
NVIDIA. Microsoft doesn’t want to keep paying tolls to Huang (NVIDIA’s CEO), so developing its own chips means cooking its own meals.
Second question: What does this have to do with the crypto market?
Honestly, not much direct connection. But AI narratives are one of the engines driving this market cycle, and Microsoft doubling down shows the computing power arms race hasn’t stopped; the story continues.
Last question: Should short-term traders panic?
No need. This news doesn’t directly impact crypto prices; it’s more background noise for market sentiment.
What really matters is where the money flows, not how many nanometers the chips use.
To be fair, everyone wants to get on the AI train, but whether crypto tokens can rise along with it depends on whether the funds agree.
Don’t just rush in when you see the word “AI”; first check if the market gives you the green light.
#OpenAI revenue recognition controversy, AI investment returns under scrutiny
#How to upgrade blockchain security under AI and quantum threats? #ASML Q3 earnings announced October 14, EUV orders in focus $NVDA This market pullback is not caused by a single event. There is no new incremental information from macro or industry perspectives; it looks more like existing funds are actively deleveraging themselves. Once liquidity expectations become unclear, high Beta assets are sold off first. ETH's decline is greater than BTC's, and the risk appetite contraction is already reflected in the market. Without new narratives to support it, early profit-taking and high-leverage positions are prone to chain reductions, so prices can only seek more solid transaction support downward.
BTC is currently stuck below $82,000, which is a key battleground. The $80,000 level below is a psychological integer barrier; a decisive break below it could open the way to test $78,000. The $85,000 level above is short-term resistance; only by firmly reclaiming it can we say the correction is over and a new strength phase begins.
ETH is at $2,435, down 2.14% in 24 hours, weaker than BTC, and the ETH/BTC ratio continues to decline. The next key support below is $2,400; losing it would increase the risk of further decline. The resistance above is $2,600; do not lightly talk about a reversal before reclaiming this level.
HYPE is at $80, down 4.66% in 24 hours, with a decline significantly larger than mainstream assets. This coin has relatively thin liquidity and is clearly driven by sentiment. It has strong rebound elasticity but also amplifies losses when falling. Chasing highs carries high risk, so positions must be strictly controlled.
A decline without new narratives tests position management the most. If BTC holds $80,000, then a rebound can be discussed; if it breaks below, risk exposure should be reduced accordingly.
$ETH $BTC $HYPE Who understands, family? Woke up to the sky falling 💔
Long position opened at 2686.31, woke up to it dropping straight to 2431.34.
This is the worst loss since entering the market, lying in bed for half a day unable to recover.
But don’t panic yet, first steady your mindset, endure slowly, there will be a day of recovery. #Russia-Ukraine may reach an "energy ceasefire" agreement, progress to be confirmed #TSMC Q3 revenue hits a new high, what other highlights are in the October 15 earnings report? #Institutions continue to position, why is BTC still under pressure? $BTC $ETH $ZEC Crude oil prices surged to 107, and the entire crypto market shifted from a structural rally to indiscriminate decline 😂, so let's defend first.
1. The three major macro obstacles are now hard to resolve: the 30-year US Treasury yield hit 5.70%, a new high since 2002; oil prices are nearly approaching $110; $BTC ETFs saw a net outflow of nearly $400 million in October.
I originally thought BTC would fluctuate between 82,000 and 81,000 yesterday, but with a risk-free yield at 5.7%, it directly broke below 82,000.
2. Even the speculative coins that occasionally rose last week have mostly undergone significant pullbacks. For example, the three speculative coins from last week $STRK /MAGIC/$NEAR are all being heavily sold today.
Moreover, these speculative coins are dropping much harder than mainstream coins, which is normal. I just said yesterday that they were being heavily speculated on, and the cooling off starts from the most crowded places.
However, I’m quite surprised they’re falling today; I thought the hype would last a few more days since I expected the market to trend upward with fluctuations this week.
CPI data is about to be released, so I’ll wait for the data before deciding. If it falls below 80,000 now, I’ll buy some more at the bottom.The 24-hour decline of SOL has become quite noticeable, but more important than how much it has dropped is understanding: where exactly does the current price stand within this fluctuation? As of 08:31 Beijing time on October 13, 2026, the latest spot trading price of SOL/USDT on OKX is 103.82 USDT, with a rolling 24-hour drop of about 6.69%. During the same period, the highest price was 113.4 USDT and the lowest was 103.05 USDT. Looking at these numbers together reveals a very intuitive phenomenon: the latest price is already close to the 24-hour low, and noticeably farther from the high. What does this mean? Don’t rush to judge the direction yet. 1️⃣ The decline tells you the change, the position tells you the situation Many people, when looking at the market, habitually check the price change first. Seeing a drop of about 6.69%, the first reaction might be that it has fallen quite a bit and wonder if a rebound is coming next. But the decline itself cannot answer this question. The 24-hour price change describes the latest price relative to the reference price 24 hours ago, while the highest and lowest prices reflect the two extremes that the actual transaction prices have reached during this period. They answer different questions. The current SOL price of 103.82 USDT is closer to 103.05 USDT rather than 113.4 USDT. This indicates that within the current observation window, the price is still at a relatively low position. However, being close to the low does not mean the low has been defended, nor does it mean the downside space has disappeared. 2️⃣ The current price is below the hourly close STRK 4h, current price 0.08695
Resistance 0.09709, support 0.08249
After a previous surge, it has continued to decline, with the price having fallen below all short-term EMAs, currently in a correction channel, following the overall market weakness. A rebound that holds above the 0.09709 resistance level is needed to have a chance to reverse the short-term downtrend; if it breaks below the 0.08249 support, further decline is expected.
News: The market is re-evaluating the Starknet ecosystem, discussing its L1 transformation expectations and narrative shortcomings, combined with the current market sell-off, leading to capital flight for risk aversion.
$BTC $ZEC $W
#CPI and PPI announcements imminent, interest rate hike expectations face a test
#Russia and Ukraine may reach an "energy ceasefire" agreement, progress to be confirmed
#TSMC Q3 revenue hits a new high, what other highlights are expected in the October 15 earnings report? The cooked duck has flown away, and I even lost some rice on top. Staring at the market, I really want to give myself a shake—why can't I take profits every time I’m in the green?
$BTC current price 82,480, down 1.4%. It touched 84,200 in the early morning, my account briefly turned positive, and I was planning to push a bit more before exiting. Hesitated for a few seconds, then a big bearish candle smashed it down to 82,300. The breakeven line at 83,800 turned from underfoot to a ceiling. Profit turned into loss, all with just one candle from the main force.
$SOL current price 110.8, down 2.3%. Watching it slide down from 116, I thought it could rebound, but it got stuck halfway down the slope. I placed an order at 112.5, now just above 110, the daily drop was straightforward. Thought I was picking up a bargain, but actually caught a flying knife. The big players seem to be watching my small position closely; every time I buy, it crashes.
$ETH current price 2,515, down 0.5%. Ethereum still has the old problem: it never misses a drop but always plays dead on the rise. It touched 2,560 then softened back, I added two lots, just breathing along with the market. Already worn down with no temper, gains and losses are left to fate.
In the end, greed plus slow hands—these two are what the market specializes in punishing. Next time I profit, I’ll pocket half first and push the rest to breakeven. Don’t let the meat in your mouth fly away again.
Just personal venting, not investment advice.
#CPI and PPI announcements are imminent, interest rate hike expectations face a test
#Russia and Ukraine may reach an "energy ceasefire" agreement, progress to be confirmed
#Voice of Trading: Your experience deserves to be heard Good morning everyone, I originally wanted to post earlier, but around 7 o'clock, the market continued to drop, so I decided to wait until the market stabilizes a bit before posting.
1. BTC/USDT Perpetual / $BTC
BTC continues to fall toward our target price.
Yesterday I predicted there would be a second wave of rise to get closer to the upper trendline, but the price fell back instead.
It's okay, during this time, I didn't hold any long or short BTC positions because the space is limited.
So let's wait and see how the price performs around 80000; this is a place to try going long, with a stop loss at 79500.
If it breaks down, we will continue to see 78000.
For those who need to build spot positions, you can continue to do so now, but as you know, don't fully load your spot positions at once; leave 20%-30% and continue to add gradually later.
2. ETH/USDT Perpetual $ETH
I already reduced half of my ETH position last night.
Because I expected BTC to test upward a bit, driving ETH to rebound slightly, then fall.
This is actually fine; ETH has already reached my target take-profit level this morning, so I took full profit.
Of course, I will continue to watch the price reaction at 2400; I might go long again in the next couple of days, and this time the position can be a bit heavier.
3. SOL/USDT Perpetual $SOL
Trading SOL is cost-inefficient; consider buying spot instead!The $40 billion buyback stopped just like that.
Last night, storage stocks collectively plummeted. Micron fell below 1000, SanDisk dropped 6 points, Hynix fell 3 points, Philadelphia Semiconductor dropped over 2 points, and Bitcoin was smashed down to 81247.
The answer came this morning: Samsung and SK Hynix prematurely terminated the largest buyback plan in history, $40 billion, no more buying.
What is a buyback? It's the foundation of this round of storage market. When a company buys its own shares, it tells the market, "My stock is cheap, I'll back it up." Now that the backing is withdrawn, it's scarier than any bad news.
There's an even more fatal detail. ChangXin Technology announced a breakthrough in 4F² architecture, leading the Korean giants by two years in unit architecture. One side stops buybacks, the other is being chased down—this is a very ugly picture for the Korean duo. Without the foundation, no matter how beautiful the building is, it will shake.
I shorted SNDK and was taught a lesson by the bullish candle at 1791. Since then, when I look at storage, I only watch one thing: how much expectation is priced in. Now not only is the expectation fully priced in, the foundation is also being pulled out. The earnings report is real, the buyback stop is real, both are true, but the price only listens to the latter.
I've been watching the storage sector for over a month, and for the first time, I say, don't touch it in the short term. It's not that I am bearish, but after the foundation is pulled out, it needs to be rebuilt, and you can't rush it.
What do you think, is the buyback termination the exhaustion of good news, or is the cycle peaking?
#VolatilityRadar: Coin Movement Watch $SNDK $BTC $ETH Got up at 6:30 in the morning, checked $ZEC, price was 1208, which hit yesterday's psychological buy target, so I went all in with 6x leverage on the sub-account; while brushing my teeth, I glanced again and got a notification that $BTC dropped below 82000, and $ZEC was already showing an unrealized loss of 150 dollars; no indicators to back it up, just a subjective judgment, since other coins would be dragged down by BTC, I decisively cut losses and cleared the position, then immediately opened a half-size short position, with an unrealized profit of 298 dollars. Because I had to go to work and couldn't keep watching the market, I took profit and closed the position, now holding no positions.Good morning brothers! Yesterday's signal already rebounded to resistance, so be aware that it will retest the support again. If it can't break above 84500, it will only be a regular rebound without a direct breakout. Currently, it looks like it will perfectly complete this second retest. The key support for the second retest remains at 80000. If 80K holds steady, it will continue to oscillate; if it breaks below here, a regular correction will follow. The target for the regular correction is 75000-78000. Reaching this range is still a buying opportunity. For the short term, focus on the strength of the second retest. It hasn't ended yet. This is just my personal opinion for reference!On Monday, the US stock market opened (Columbus Day, bond market closed), overall value rotation overshadowed the surface calm of the indices. The Dow can rise, the Nasdaq is dragged down by tech, and the S&P is almost flat, indicating that funds are avoiding high valuations and seeking certainty rather than a full exit. The Dow Jones closed at 51850.55, up 195 points, +0.38%. The S&P 500 closed at 7807.24, down 4 points, -0.06%, just shy of the October 6 high. The Nasdaq closed at 27245.90, down 120 points, -0.44%. The Russell 2000 fell 0.45%. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index dropped about 2.7%, with the tech sector being the main drag. Eight sectors closed higher, led by energy up about 1.4%-1.5%, with consumer staples and communication services also strong, and financials seeing some buying ahead of bank earnings. Trading volume was noticeably light, reflecting the holiday effect. The market was focused on two things. First, the Middle East risk premium. The Houthi forces attacked Riyadh airport over the weekend and affected oil tankers, pushing Brent crude to around $106.65, up about 1.8%, with energy stocks following suit. Second, AI hardware gave back gains at high levels. Optical and storage-related names continued to digest previously overly optimistic expectations; Lumentum fell nearly 10% in one day, after surging due to "capacity sold through 2029," the market is now questioning delivery and return pace. Software was relatively better; Salesforce rose about 2% after a Bank of America upgrade. The aftermath of OpenAI's revenue discrepancy (about $50 billion versus previously higher figures) is still ongoing, and funds are becoming more selective about pure AI infrastructure stories.10.13 BTC near 82000 with Qingcang support, defense at 82700, targets 80800/80300. Brothers who missed the support yesterday still have a chance to get in today.
Those wanting to go long can wait near 80000 for stabilization, defense at 79400, targets 81200/82000.
BTC 1H has fallen from 86976 continuously, lowest wick at 80344, currently 81422 is just a weak rebound, moving averages are in a bearish alignment, 82000-82500 is resistance above, 80300 is the immediate key support.
USD is strengthening, oil price breaks through 107 dollars, combined with Middle East situation and this week's CPI, any slight change in news could accelerate the market again.
9 years of trading experience: don't chase sharp drops, only look for positions on rebounds.
Don't get thrown off by others making profits; real opportunities require a plan to seize. $BTC $ETH $ZEC #CPI and PPI releases imminent, interest rate hike expectations face tests #Russia-Ukraine may reach "energy ceasefire" agreement, progress pending confirmation #TSMC Q3 revenue hits new high, what to watch in the October 15 earnings report? Before the rate hike, Ethereum surging? I don't believe it.
Conclusion straight up: it won't break through.
Looking at volume, it rebounded about 150 points from 2406 to 2564, but the 4-hour volume actually shrank, and buying power can't keep up. The 2560-2600 area above is a dense zone of trapped positions, combined with the 30-day moving average resistance, every time it approaches it becomes a point for shorts to add positions.
The funding situation is worse: BitMine stopped increasing ETH holdings, validators exiting the queue surged from 166,000 to 851,000, and a large amount of staked ETH will unlock in the next two weeks. Supply increases, demand decreases.
The Fed minutes show most officials support continuing rate hikes, liquidity will only tighten further.
So this rebound looks more like handing chips to the shorts. My short position at 2671 is still open, with a floating profit of 400%. If it breaks 2600, I will add to my position. The short-term support below is 2497; if it breaks, look for 2400.
Surging before the rate hike? I don't believe it.
$BTC $ETH $MAGIC
#TSMC Q3 revenue hits a new high, what other highlights are there in the October 15 earnings report? 币圈早间速报｜10.13
早。
$BTC 总市值重新站上4万亿，24小时整体涨了大概5.6%。过去一小时全网爆仓约2.16亿美金，爆的基本是空单。
简单捋几条重点：
1、币安针对USDe脱锚受损用户，已经赔付2.83亿美金；之前现货出现的“零价”只是显示bug，并不是资产真归零。
2、美联储票委哈玛克表态：政策要转向偏紧缩，倾向小幅度、更频繁去调整利率。
3、英国高院判了钱志敏（蓝天格锐）一案，6.1万枚BTC的追索适用中国法律，涉案资金约41亿英镑，受害者大概率拿不到后续的增值部分。
4、FSB金融稳定理事会提示：全球稳定币还没有经历过大压力行情的考验，跨境监管监控需要加强。
5、港交所今日上新Pando第二只现货SOL ETF，代码2831.HK，管理费0.6%，不做质押、不加杠杆。
交易层面，QCP观点：期权市场现在是防御+看涨两种情绪并存。如果能有效站稳突破87k，下一个目标看94k。84500附近堆着约1.8亿美金的卖盘，82000位置有买盘托底。
本周重头戏，依旧是鲍威尔发言，还有CPI数据。ETH crashed 4.2% overnight! $2411 bloodbath nearly $1 billion, who slaughtered the bulls at dawn?
How large was the slaughter?
According to CoinGlass data, $145 million was liquidated across the entire market in the last hour, with longs accounting for as much as 97.5%, while shorts were almost unscathed. In the past 24 hours, ETH single-coin liquidations reached $58.14 million, with longs making up 64%. The $2411 low just broke through the previously mentioned key liquidation zone at $2401 — if it continues to break down, the cumulative long liquidation intensity on major CEXs will reach $553 million.
Triple pressure triggered simultaneously:
① The Middle East powder keg reignites. Houthi forces attacked Saudi oil facilities, Brent crude rose to $107.25, WTI broke through $94, reigniting inflation concerns and causing risk assets to collectively take a hit.
② US Treasury yields hit a 24-year high. The 10-year Treasury yield reached 5.36%, and the 30-year rose to the highest level since 2002, sharply increasing the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets.
③ ETF outflows for 9 consecutive days. Last week, ETH spot ETFs saw net outflows of $542 million, with BlackRock's ETHA single-week outflow at $477 million, marking the worst record this year. Woke up to find $BTC back at the 81k level again, so it looks like my $BTC long position was closed very well, otherwise I would have started losing 450u.
Trading still needs to focus on higher timeframes (starting from 4-hour candles). I opened a Bitcoin long because the 1-hour candle broke above the 120-day moving average, but at that time the 4-hour candle actually showed a sharp top and pullback signal after touching the 120 MA.
In other words, signals from medium and large timeframes are not aligned, so at this time it's best to pay attention to the larger timeframe, as the medium and small timeframes have too much noise interference.
Meanwhile, my two short positions $MAGIC and bome are starting to show floating profits. Bome shorted from 0.001 down to 0.00077, and it feels like the downside is limited, considering finding a suitable time to close it!
#CPI and PPI announcements are imminent, and interest rate hike expectations face a test