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Haha 😁 Langlang 🌊 shares: Woke up at 5 AM because I had to pee, looked at the needle, 110, and immediately bought Solana $SOL
Then sold at 112.7 in the afternoon, that restraint is impressive. Many people buy at the dip and make profits but get greedy wanting to hold more, only to give back their gains.
This pee hold was worth it, $260 in hand, maybe I should thank my bladder from now on. This luck is unmatched, being woken up by the market in my sleep to get free money Two years ago, my colleagues kept talking about this at their desks.
At first, I just took it as a joke.
Later, when I had some spare cash, I threw in a few hundred bucks.
My first purchase was $BTC.
After buying, the price dropped.
I was staring at my phone late at night.
Then I tried $ETH.
There were so many things on the chain it was overwhelming.
The fees were painfully high.
One transaction took forever and felt like a waste.
Later, I heard $SOL was fast.
I transferred a small amount to try it out.
It was really fast.
But there were also real traps.
Some projects disappeared without a trace.
After losing a few times, I learned to be honest.
Don’t chase trends.
Don’t follow tips blindly.
Don’t touch what you don’t understand.
Write down your private keys yourself.
Don’t give them to anyone who asks.
Don’t click on unknown links.
No matter how tempting airdrops are, don’t connect your wallet recklessly.
Now I only hold money I can afford to lose.
Just leave it there.
When it goes up, don’t get cocky.
When it goes down, don’t panic.
There are many opportunities in this field,
but even more traps.
Living long is more important than making a quick profit.
Don’t borrow money.
Don’t get carried away.
Don’t believe in guaranteed profits.
Leave the rest to time.#TSMC Q3 revenue hits a new high, profit performance to be revealed
#BTC and ETH spot ETFs see simultaneous outflows, is institutional demand weakening?
#Microsoft releases next-generation AI chip, stock price hits yearly high Repeated sharp drops and repeated rebounds—do you think the market is giving you a chance?
Don't be naive!
This is just the manipulative whales testing the selling pressure below, while washing you out.
Look at the latest long-short ratio data: $ETH long accounts still reach as high as 65.79%, while shorts are only 34.21%.
What does this indicate?
It means retail investors rushed in to buy the dip when the price dropped near 2500.
This is the classic human nature trap.
Many people think that after such a big drop, a rebound is certain, so they go all in on longs.
But in this market, you have to think the opposite.
The more crowded the retail longs are, the less likely the whales will pump the price.
They’re not philanthropists—why would they let 65% of people make money?
The answer is simple: these longs are fuel; the whales will keep smashing the price down until they liquidate them all.
Look at the bearish signals on the market: Ethereum spot ETFs had a net outflow of $542 million last week, with BlackRock alone withdrawing $477 million.
On-chain is even more intense: Ethereum Foundation-related wallets transferred 4,393 ETH to exchanges, and F2Pool co-founder Wang Chun also moved 2,160 ETH.
Institutions are withdrawing, big players are running, and buying power has long vanished.
Now the price is grinding around 2500, with moving averages pressing down from above, and each rebound weaker than the last.
This kind of repeated exhaustion pattern will most likely end with a big bearish candle smashing through 2400.
I’m holding my short from 2707; whether profits retract or there are spikes, I’m not moving.
Because I know this pattern too well—retail despair is the only way for a true bottom to appear.
Don’t catch the falling knife, don’t buy the dip; going short with the trend is the hard truth.
How many more days do you think these 65% longs can hold out?
$BTC
$ZEC
#BTC与ETH现货ETF同步流出，机构需求转弱了吗？
#9月CPI公布在即，哈玛克称仍需进一步加息 Did you notice SK Hynix plummeted 7.1%?
Everyone shouldn't just think this is a short-term bubble burst for AI concept stocks; the industry dynamics have actually changed $SKHY
The domestic giant Changxin Memory Technologies (CXMT) has launched a brand-new 4F² DRAM architecture, and high-level HBM products are reportedly being tested by tech giants, directly challenging the monopoly of overseas memory giants.
People used to regard SK Hynix as the exclusive hard currency for HBM tied to NVIDIA $NVDA, but now three major risks are obvious, and the technical defense line has been breached.
Previously, they earned huge profits relying on yield and technology monopoly; now domestic manufacturers are accelerating breakthroughs in architecture and catching up, loosening premium power. Capacity squeeze backfires. Over the past year, they maxed out capacity producing HBM, while general DRAM market share declined.
Once the AI capital expenditure growth of major giants slows down, huge spending and subsequent oversupply risks will be exposed. Competitive pressure from both sides. Samsung and Micron $MUU are aggressively grabbing orders at low levels, ending the exclusive dividend completely.
In the later stage, a short-term sharp drop may be followed by a slight rebound with the broader market, but the golden era of one-sided surge driven by AI concepts is over. The memory sector will undergo intense differentiation; whether Hynix can hold its ground depends on whether it can maintain absolute capacity and yield advantages in the HBM4 generation.
Do you think the valuation ceiling for AI hardware has really arrived?
$SKHYNIX $NVDA $MU
#9月CPI公布在即，哈玛克称仍需进一步加息 Position reflection in the later stage of market rotation: The offense and defense under 20x leverage
Current market structure: BTC consolidating with low volume at a high level (entry 82867, current price 83274), ETH funds overflowing for catch-up gains (entry 2530, current price 2508).
From actual positions, BTC long is currently +9.81%, in a safe zone; while ETH long is -17.54%, under 20x leverage, this is actually less than 1% price retracement but enough to cause psychological imbalance.
From a pure technical perspective, the market logic remains clear:
1. BTC: Resistance at 83000, 81700 is the short-term bull-bear dividing line. If not broken, funds continue to overflow; if broken, rotation ends.
2. ETH: Catch-up rally faces resistance in the 2560-2600 trapped zone, 2470-2480 is short-term support.
In operation, 20x leverage has extremely low tolerance for errors. No further adding positions will be made; strictly set stop losses according to defense levels at 81700 (BTC) and 2470 (ETH). Money from fund rotation is hard to earn; preserving principal is the top priority.
#September CPI announcement imminent, Hamak says further rate hikes still needed
#BTC and ETH spot ETFs see simultaneous outflows, is institutional demand weakening?
#Microsoft releases next-generation AI chip, stock price hits annual high 📈Market Outlook for Midday on October 13th📈
$ETH Strategy:
Break above 2500 with volume to chase longs on the right side, retract stop loss.
Break below 2463 with volume to chase shorts on the right side, set stop loss properly.
Pull back to 2416 to confirm support is valid, add one long; stop loss if it breaks 2380.
Hourly level holds above 2500, target 2550-2606 upwards.
Watch 2568 above for a short position, stop loss if it breaks 2606.
Left side spike orders: long at 2355, stop loss if it breaks 2312.
Resistance above: 2500-2550-2606
Support below: 2463-2416-2380
4-hour level break below 2463 targets 2416-2380 downwards.
Ethereum's second pullback is very precise; the double bottom on the hourly chart is confirmed and has broken the price channel.
Next, it depends on whether Ethereum can return above 2500. Only if it runs above 2500 can this correction stop falling; to continue the rebound, it must break above 2550.
Because the large white box marks a big consolidation area, only breaking above 2550 will the large consolidation structure break through and create a higher high to continue the rebound.
Currently, as long as Ethereum's pullback does not break below 2450, it will not retest the previous low. Multiple retests of the previous low without creating a higher high and then retesting the previous low easily leads to a breakdown.
Watch 2500; only by holding above it can the uptrend continue!
$BTC $SOL
#SanDiskMicronDown, ChangXinTechnicalProgressUnderFocus $XCH artisans with the brands, buyers and researchers looking for them. Chia’s blockchain-backed identity and credentials create a lasting, independently auditable record of artisan verification. This deployment demonstrates how Chia's blockchain infrastructure can support real-world applications that require trusted records of identity, credentials and provenance. ANAAR will feature the network in collaboration with Artisans on September 18, 2026 during London Fashion Week.💡My current three trading strategies and where to keep the bullets
Bitcoin is still grinding around 83000, this round of correction is not yet complete.
I won’t rush to use up all my bullets now; I’m reserving funds for opportunities below 80000. If the price reaches this range, I will choose to increase my position.
The big bull market pattern has not ended; I tend to see this pullback as a shakeout. Once entering, if it moves to around 7.8, I will strictly follow the plan to reduce positions and take profits.
Currently, I choose not to chase SPCX at high prices.
Although the SpaceX story with a trillion-dollar valuation sounds tempting, the price of 167 is not cost-effective. Those wanting to position can patiently wait for a pullback; those who already hold bottom chips should hold calmly and avoid frequent operations.
In contrast, the storage sector’s logic is gradually becoming clear.
Micron is oscillating around 1030, with rigid demand for HBM; next year’s capacity is basically locked in, and contract prices continue to rise.
SanDisk is in the 1580-1640 range, Citibank has set a target price of 2100, and institutions predict the NAND chip shortage pattern may continue until 2028.
My practical operation: gradually switching storage positions to SanDisk, slowly building positions in batches during declines, and firmly not chasing highs.#evernorth Nasdaq closed down 1.05% on its first day
[Old Leek Observation] If you want to bet on XRP, there is one more option, but it may not be more cost-effective
Evernorth closed down 1.05% on its first day on Nasdaq, with a closing price of $16.91. Compared to the first-day price movement, I want to talk more about the choices it offers investors.
This company holds about 473 million XRP, so some might consider XRPN as an indirect way to bet on XRP. But don't forget, stocks and tokens are not the same type of asset.
Buying XRP directly mainly involves risks related to coin price volatility and trading platforms; buying XRPN means facing not only XRP price risk but also company valuation, share dilution, operating costs, and premium or discount relative to net asset value of the stock.
If XRP rises in the future, XRPN may not necessarily increase more; if the market narrows its valuation premium, even if XRP price doesn't fall much, the stock may perform poorly.
Conversely, if the company can effectively manage assets and continuously increase the XRP value per share, the market may be willing to give it additional valuation.
So it cannot simply be regarded as a "stock version of XRP." $XRP JTO has risen for a while but hasn't gone far yet
$JTO I won't consider the rebound within the month as a long-term strengthening for now.
It has risen about 27% in the past month, but still dropped about 14% over the past three months, and fell about 6% in the last week.
Looking at these numbers together shows that the recent rise is still a recovery from an earlier decline.
Looking only at the monthly increase might make the momentum seem good, but over a longer period, the price hasn't escaped the previous pullback.
I want to see if the next rise can surpass the high point of the previous rebound.
If it keeps stopping in the same area, it's just repeating. For now, I acknowledge the rise but am not in a hurry to fully expect sustained growth.
$SEI also can't be judged only by its monthly performance.
It rose about 48% in the past month, but dropped about 8.3% in the last week, and has slightly fallen in the past 24 hours.
I will watch how it reacts to the market recovery.
If others resume rising but it remains stagnant, short-term evaluation should be more conservative. Good past performance doesn't guarantee future prices.
$HYPE currently needs to resolve the pullback within the week.
Latest around 84.55, down about 8.3% in the past week, up about 8.4% in the past month.
Here, I first look at whether the rebound has continuity, without prematurely assuming it will hold a certain round number.
If after rising it retreats less and then continues to push forward, it's worth raising expectations; a single rebound is not enough for now.🚨Weekend Liquidity Trap! Don't Fall for Altcoins' "Fake Rebound"
Liquidity in the market shrinks significantly over the weekend. Many altcoins appear volatile and lively, but entering and exiting positions is actually very difficult. At times like this, maintaining a steady mindset is far more important than rushing to catch short-term opportunities.
BTC current price 83007, the 4-hour price still runs below the Bollinger middle band, indicating a weak rebound after a decline; the trend has not completed a reversal. Strong resistance above 83900, large box consolidation continues, blindly chasing longs carries considerable risk.
ETH current price 2506, following BTC's repair movement, bearish momentum has somewhat weakened, but it has not developed an independent trend. Mainstream coins at this stage are only experiencing a technical rebound from oversold conditions, far from showing strength.
MAGIC current price 0.102, after a previous surge, it has undergone a deep pullback with a single-day drop of 16.63%. Technical indicators formed a death cross at a high level, market sentiment is rapidly fading, selling pressure is heavy, and risk is very high. Do not bottom-fish lightly. Especially with weekend liquidity drying up, volatility in such small coins is amplified, slippage is large, making entry easy but exit difficult.
Overall summary: The rebound space for mainstream coins is limited, and thematic hotspots are fading quickly. Many altcoin moves over the weekend are "visible but unattainable"; rashly rushing in can easily lead to passive positions. Additionally, with the FOMC minutes releasing a hawkish signal, macro-level pressure remains.
Trading approach: prioritize light positions and observe, wait for clear signals from mainstream coins before acting, do not chase upward pulses, and do not lightly bottom-fish on declines. TIA Long Position Strategy | ≤5x Leverage
Core Logic: Modular DA sector leader + 10-30 core contributors unlocking ends supply-side improvement + Fibre mainnet launch expectation, daily chart breaks above 0.55 previous high then retests for confirmation
📍 Ambush Zones (divided into 3 levels)
① $0.575-0.590 → 40% (current price/breakout retest zone)
② $0.545-0.565 → 35% (previous high turned support + EMA7 overlap)
③ $0.515-0.535 → 25% (deep pullback/EMA21 defense line)
→ Average cost ≈ $0.56
🛡️ Hard Stop Loss: $0.495 (daily close below EMA21, structure invalidated)
Stop loss range about 12%, leverage recommended ≤5x
🎯 Laddered Targets
• TP1 $0.65 (+16%, round number + previous dense zone) reduce 40%
• TP2 $0.72 (+29%, channel 1.618 extension) reduce another 35%
• TP3 $0.80+ (+43%, Fibre mainnet launch expectation play) let remaining run
⚠️ Key Events/Observations
• Official announcement of Fibre mainnet launch = main upward wave trigger
• Marginal selling pressure improvement after 10-30 unlocking has been realized, watch subsequent staking data
• Daily ATR about 10%, high volatility, control position size well
• Market BTC needs to hold above $82k, altcoins follow with sentiment support $TIA $BTC $ETH 🍱 Midday Five-Pack: STRK plunges 22%, BTC volume shrinks at the doorstep, OKB breaks 125, ZEC digests gains, RE lies flat
$STRK 0.09265, down 22.29%, ZK Rollup sector hit hard. Layer2 overall liquidity drained amid rate hike expectations, new tokens lack volume support, a single large sell order can drop 20%. Midday liquidity better than early morning, but direction awaits CPI.
$BTC 82904.7, down 0.18%, sideways with shrinking volume near 83000 for three days. Volume nearly halved, bulls and bears holding for CPI impact. ETF saw largest single-day net outflow in three and a half months last week, but price barely dropped, support below.
$OKB 124.51, down 1.14%, broke 125. Platform coin follows the market grind, no independent rally, but more resistant than small coins.
$ZEC 1223.04, down 0.71%, rebounded 8.9% yesterday, slight dip today to digest gains. Privacy coins are volatile by nature, up one day down the next.
$RE 0.44310, down 0.33%, lying flat at 0.44. DeFi insurance and small RWA logic ignored.
This article is for market analysis only and does not constitute investment advice.
#CPI and PPI announcements imminent, rate hike expectations face test Twelve signature dishes have just been served, yet the stove burners in the kitchen remain cold.
Securitize places four top-tier ingredients—Apple, Nvidia, Tesla, and Space Exploration—on Solana’s cutting board, each corresponding one-to-one with real equity, with dividend and voting rights intact, and payments settled instantly in USDC. This isn’t a pre-made dish mixed up; it’s the original broth turned into original food.
But good ingredients never guarantee a good restaurant.
I’ve stood by the stove for twenty years, and what I fear most is when guests order a full banquet, but there’s only one serving window. No matter how beautiful the menu, if there aren’t enough burners, not enough staff, and turnover can’t keep up, guests will flip the table after waiting twenty minutes. That’s exactly the situation now—the digital feast planned in New York hasn’t even been lit, and another contract stall hasn’t put up its sign. The liquidity broth hasn’t even been skimmed clean of foam yet.
Redemption is the real hidden reef. If guests want to return half the dishes, can your kitchen send the raw materials back to the supplier on the spot? One-to-one equity custody sounds solid, but when the day of mass redemption comes, whether the custodian cooperates with delivery and whether the settlement channels get clogged are the invisible spiciness hidden behind the menu.
Apple and Nvidia are the main dishes holding down the table; Space Exploration is the white truffle among the mains—rare, expensive, and inherently illiquid. Tesla is the experimental dish that’s always being reformulated. You cram them all onto one plate, but what about the side dishes? The dipping sauce? The layers of heat?
Without altcoins as seasoning to enhance flavor, without stablecoins as base oil to lubricate, relying solely on twelve pieces of wagyu beef to hold the stage looks impressive in the front of house, but the kitchen is already overwhelmed.
The most fatal thing is when someone sees on-chain US stocks and their first reaction is to leverage up—ten times, twenty times. Let me tell you, that’s not chili powder; that’s devil’s pepper, one gram of which can ruin the entire broth.
A truly good chef knows when to turn off the heat.
Whether these twelve dishes stay on the menu depends on when the burners get lit, whether the refrigerator is big enough, and whether the kitchen can handle returns when guests send dishes back. #securitize12stocksLast night, a fan asked me: Does a whale selling BTC and buying ETH mean that Ethereum is about to start a big rally? I didn't answer directly; I just sent him the 4-hour candlestick chart of ETH. ETH fell from $2769 down to $2406, then rebounded to around $2580, but it has consistently failed to break upward. Meanwhile, the trading volume during the rebound gradually shrank, and a large amount of trapped chips piled up above. Is this kind of movement called about to take off? In my view, it looks more like the market is weak and being forcibly propped up, and it could be pressured again at any time. Many people only focus on the surface phenomenon of whales adjusting their positions. Selling 410 BTC and buying 14,341 ETH looks like asset reallocation. But from another perspective, this could just be funds adjusting risk exposure, trying to find a relatively resistant place, and it does not directly prove that whales are optimistic about a subsequent surge in ETH. Bitcoin itself cannot hold steady; some large funds turning to Ethereum may not be because they are optimistic about Ethereum's upside, but rather an adjustment after pressure on their original holdings. Fund rotation does not equal bullishness, and asset rotation does not mean a trend reversal. Let's also look at the current market sentiment. According to relevant data, the proportion of retail short positions has reached 88%, which is obviously high, and short trades appear quite crowded. But here’s the problem: if there are already so many short sellers in the market, why does the price continue to fall? At least[Pharaoh's Market Watch]
Microsoft is also developing its own AI chips, and its stock price has hit a new high. What does this have to do with Bitcoin?
Pharaoh says directly, Microsoft's move is the first shot in "de-NVIDIA-ization," but it hits NVIDIA and shakes Bitcoin.
First, let's see what Microsoft did. They released the third-generation self-developed AI chip Maia 300, using TSMC's 2nm process, integrating 8 HBM4 chips per single chip, with 18TB/s memory bandwidth and 950 watts power consumption. Microsoft plans to deploy over 1 million units next year and expand to several gigawatts scale starting 2027, becoming the main inference system for Azure. Once the news broke, Microsoft's stock reached a near one-year high, and its market value returned to $4 trillion.
What does this mean for Bitcoin? The short-term capital drain logic remains unchanged, but there's a new variable.
The core purpose of Microsoft's self-developed chip is to reduce dependence on NVIDIA and lower AI inference costs. This is similar to OpenAI's "Mexican Pepper" approach—AI giants are pushing computing costs down aggressively. The lower the cost, the faster AI applications spread, which increases demand for storage and electricity. The long-term logic for storage leaders like SanDisk and SK Hynix actually becomes stronger.
But in the short term, chip stocks are diverging internally. NVIDIA is pressured by the "de-dependence" narrative, Microsoft is rising on its own, and funds are rotating within the AI sector rather than withdrawing.
Remember, Microsoft is building its own path, Bitcoin is on its own road!
Follow Pharaoh, and your wealth won't lose its way! $BTC $ETH $ZEC #Microsoft releases next-generation AI chip, stock hits yearly high Two years ago, my colleagues kept talking about this during meals.
It sounded like a foreign language to me.
Later, I got itchy hands and tried with a few hundred bucks.
My first purchase was $BTC.
Right after buying, it dropped.
It dropped so much that I was checking the market on my phone late at night.
Then I tried $ETH.
The fees were so high it made me grimace.
One transaction wasted half a day.
Later, I heard people hype $SOL as fast.
I transferred a little money to mess around on the chain.
It was really fast.
But the traps were real too.
Some projects were still around in the morning but gone by the afternoon.
After losing a few times, I became honest with myself.
I don’t chase hot trends.
I don’t follow pump signals.
I don’t touch what I don’t understand.
I write down my private keys on paper myself.
I don’t give them to anyone who asks.
I don’t click on unknown links.
No matter how tempting the airdrop is, I don’t connect my wallet recklessly.
Now I only hold money I’m okay losing.
I just leave it there.
When it goes up, I don’t get cocky.
When it goes down, I don’t panic.
There are many opportunities in this field.
But there are even more traps.
Living long is more important than making a quick profit.
Don’t borrow money.
Don’t get addicted.
Don’t believe in guaranteed profits.
Leave the rest to time.#TSMC Q3 revenue hits a new high, profit performance to be revealed
#BTC and ETH spot ETFs see simultaneous outflows, is institutional demand weakening?
#Microsoft releases next-generation AI chip, stock price hits yearly high At 3 a.m., the sound of an aortic dissection tearing and the post-market plunge of the telecom sector share the same frequency. SpaceX has secured Grain Management's nationwide 800MHz spectrum, and the FCC approval is just a preoperative signature; the real bleeding point lies with the three major carriers: T-Mobile lost 5.4%, Verizon dropped 5%, and AT&T fell 6.8%—this is not a correction, but acute ischemia caused by coronary artery clamping.
Let's start with the diagnosis. What is 800MHz? It is the myocardial layer in the low-frequency band, with strong penetration, wide coverage, and good diffraction; a single base station can supply blood for dozens of kilometers. Previously, SpaceX relied on satellites for direct-to-phone connections, essentially an extracorporeal circulation: you depend on the carriers' own vascular network for return flow, and they can tighten the cannula at any time. Now it directly sews this spectrum into its own chest cavity, with star-to-ground dual channels for autonomous perfusion, no longer needing to borrow pathways from AT&T or T-Mobile. This is a leap from "bridge dependency" to "autologous heart transplantation."
So why did the three major carriers fall? The market reads this as revenue infarction. They used to lease spectrum to Starlink, which was a risk-free collateral circulation income; now that collateral is ligated, they face a new donor who doesn't play by traditional vascular anatomy rules. But note—they fell after hours, an episode of stress-induced tachycardia, not structural heart failure. The real infarct size will be seen in the next two to four quarters through two myocardial enzyme indicators: number portability and rural coverage retention rates.
Now let's shift focus to the "cardiac output" issue on the ledger. Satellite direct-to-ground spectrum is like performing two surgeries simultaneously: maintaining constellation perfusion in the sky and laying base stations on the ground. Capital expenditure is a dual-ventricle load; failure of either pump will drag down the whole system. Starlink's current user cash flow is the right heart—low pressure, large capacity; but ground network construction is the left heart—high pressure, oxygen-hungry. Can it cover? The key is whether average revenue per user and spectrum reuse efficiency can raise the ejection fraction above the safety threshold.
$xDELL, this US stock token's linkage logic lies in the hardware perfusion end. Satellite and ground dual-mode networking require massive RF components, edge servers, optical modules, and terminal chips—this "myocardial protective fluid"-type demand will be priced in advance. But tokenized assets have thin liquidity, like a patient just off extracorporeal circulation still hooked to the machine; any blood pressure fluctuation is amplified into violent oscillations, so don't mistake its pulse for real heart function.
Risk stratification must be clear: the first layer is approval risk—if the FCC valve narrows, the entire operating table must stop; the second is technical integration—the latency and success rate of star-to-ground switching cannot tolerate any arrhythmia in the conduction system; the third is price war—if Starlink undercuts carriers with low prices, it may grab users short-term but could push the entire industry's perfusion below critical levels long-term, causing its own ischemia.
From the monitor, the telecom sector's blood pressure is dropping but not yet at the indication for thoracotomy; Starlink is the new donor just pushed into the OR, with strong vital signs and supply capacity to be observed. What really needs caution is not today's drop, but whether the entire mobile communication circulatory system will be rewritten once the spectrum, satellite, and terminal anastomoses all heal simultaneously.
This surgery's extracorporeal circulation has already started, but the aortic cross-clamp has not yet been released. #starlinkspectrumdealVerification Data
- W-USDT-SWAP OKX: last=0.0190, 24h -31.27% (OKX public market API)
- vol24h≈$243M (24h trading volume, worst on the entire list)
- Market breadth: 33 up / 238 down, median -4.80% (sample: USDT perpetuals with trading volume ≥ $1M)
- BTC -0.30% / ETH -1.41% / SOL -3.61% — overall market drop less than 4%, $W single token down 31%
- STRK -22%, BLUR -30%, BOME -24%: batch liquidation in the same sector, not an isolated event
Main Text
Across the entire market, 238 down / 33 up, median -4.8%, $W alone down 31%.
0.019, 24 hours -31%, trading volume $243M, largest drop on the list. This is not a project team exit, nor a token unlock dump — it’s just high-level small market cap deleveraging. BTC still holding at 83k, SOL down 3.6% can be considered "resilient," overall market median only -4.8%, $W single token down 31%, what does this indicate: heavy positions are cutting, small ones are taking the hit.
At this level, is $W a golden opportunity or a value trap? What do you think? $W Even the bots are almost speechless. Fortunately, in the past couple of days, the market has finally shown some signs of a rebound. But don’t get excited too quickly; it’s precisely at times like these that you need to be wary of a spike followed by a drop. Never chase the price just because you see it rising. Everyone knows that scaling in during a pullback is often more advantageous than chasing at the top, but when the price really hits a key level, how many people dare to act? Most say they will buy the dip, but when it actually reaches a low, they start hesitating. The hardest part of trading is never understanding the logic, but sticking to your plan even in panic. 📊 Let me share my current positions: 🔸 BTC: Long average price 82345, current mark price 82658, floating profit about 48U, return +7.63%. At least this time I didn’t blindly chase the high; the entry position was acceptable. 🔸 ETH: Average holding price 2507, currently floating profit 106U, return +16.94%. This rebound performed quite well, and I managed to catch the main recovery trend. 🔸 DOGE: Base price 0.0849, currently a slight profit of 6U, return +1.26%. For now, I’m holding on to see if funds will rotate into the Meme sector later. All three positions are currently profitable, but I don’t feel as relaxed as I imagined. When I shorted ZEC before, I was too stubborn; unexpectedly, the market suddenly surged wildly, and the ROI once reached -593%, forcing me to cut losses halfway up the mountain. This lesson was indeed profound, and once again it reminded meThe New York Times 2026-10-01 Feature: Inside a Billionaire’s Paradise With Crypto’s Most Powerful Ex-Convict Author: David Yaffe-Bellany The core is not a "Q&A interview," but multiple follow-ups by the reporter on Zhao Changpeng (CZ)'s life in Abu Dhabi + judicial documents + business relationship verification. Below is a summary following the article's structure: 1. Life after release - On a June morning, CZ drove a white Nissan SUV to the St. Regis Hotel in Abu Dhabi to pick up the reporter, with a phone mount on the windshield, joking, "This is my Lamborghini." - Lives in a nine-bedroom villa on Saadiyat Island (about $5 million level), with 4 bodyguards, a private chef, and the yacht Da Moon. - The ceiling at home leaks and hasn't been repaired; the children's room has an expensive Steinway piano but he can't play it; due to chronic back pain, he often works lying in bed. - Forbes/New York Times estimate his net worth at about $114 billion; he self-reports real controllable assets of $10–30 billion, saying "$10 million is enough for a comfortable life." 2. From selling a house to buying Bitcoin to Binance - Born in Jiangsu, moved to Canada at age 12, attended McGill University, worked in tech in the US/Japan/China. - In 2013, encountered Bitcoin at a Shanghai card game, sold a three-bedroom Shanghai apartment for about $900,000 to buy Bitcoin in full. - 2017 $FIL As of mid-September, 165 clients have paid service fees through Filecoin Pay, and 31 providers have received payments.
The total amount is 67,312 USD stablecoins, all recorded on-chain.
These data do not include internal Filecoin and test activities.ETH overnight plunged 4.2%, hitting $2,411 and triggering a wave of liquidations! 🔥
📉 多头遭遇重创： 全市场1小时爆仓1.45亿美元，多单占比高达97.5%；ETH过去24小时爆仓5814万美元，多头占64%。
⚠️ 三重利空夹击： 1️⃣ 地缘风险升温： 中东局势再度紧张，布油升至107美元上方，通胀担忧卷土重来。 2️⃣ 美债收益率飙升： 10年期美债收益率升至5.36%，高收益资产吸引力增强，加密市场承压。 3️⃣ ETH ETF持续流出： 连续9天净流出，上周流出5.42亿美元，ETHA单周流出4.77亿美元。
🎯 关键看点： ETH跌破2401美元附近的清算区，若继续下行，主流交易所多头清算压力可能扩大至5.53亿美元。
反弹尚未确认，别急着抄底，先看2400美元能否守住！ 【KORUUSDT Market Analysis: Free Fall, Don't Catch the Falling Knife!】
📊 Brutal Market Situation (4-hour timeframe):
1. Waterfall Decline: 7-day daily drop of -37.84%, 30-day drop of -39%. The candlesticks show continuous bearish movement with almost no rebound resistance. This is the brutal kill zone for 3x leveraged ETFs when the underlying asset falls (if the underlying drops 10%, this drops 30%).
2. Moving Averages Completely Defeated: Price (13.65) is far below MA60 (19.60), and the moving averages are sharply diverging downward, a clear death cross bearish alignment.
3. Indicators Extremely Weak: MACD is deeply below zero with a death cross (DIF -1.20, DEA -0.86), the green histogram (-0.69) continues to expand, showing no sign of bearish momentum weakening.
4. Volume Anomaly: Volume has increased at the bottom, indicating panic selling but also some funds attempting to bottom fish. Remember, during a free fall phase, any attempt to catch the falling knife is just giving away money.
🎯 Key Levels (refer to the chart for the baseline):
· Resistance above: 14.00 (round number) → 16.00 (previous intermediate drop platform) → 19.60 (MA60, difficult to reach in the short term).
· Support below: 13.13 (recently created lowest point). If this breaks effectively, the next psychological support is the 10.00 major level. A daily trading volume of $560 million, so why can't $DOGE's price move up?
This question has really made me curious lately.
According to CoinStats data on October 12, DOGE was priced at about $0.0868, with a 24-hour trading volume reaching $563 million, accounting for 4.2% of the total market cap.
The trading volume isn't exactly quiet, right? But the price only rose 1.28% that day, and over the past seven days, it actually dropped 9.49%.
Money is being tossed back and forth so actively, but when you look at the K-line, it looks like it just woke up from sleep.
Actually, there's a common misunderstanding here.
Many people see an increase in trading volume and assume someone is buying heavily. The problem is, every trade has a buyer and a seller behind it; a $560 million trading volume does not mean $560 million of new funds have entered the market.
If there are always sellers on the upper side and buyers constantly taking them on the lower side, the trading volume can be very large, but the price just won't go up.
I actually think what DOGE lacks right now is sustainability.
It's not hard to push the price up a bit; the hard part is having people willing to keep buying after the price rises, rather than some rushing to dump their previously trapped coins as soon as it goes up a few points.
Especially since the market recently went through a downturn, many people's mindset has probably shifted from "how much can I earn" to "just breaking even would be good enough."
At this point, no matter how big the trading volume is, it all depends on whether the price can keep up. Bitcoin 24-hour data summary: a one-sided long squeeze and an anomaly in the last hour
Spot $BTC $82,710, 24h -1.27%.
**1. ETF**: Net flow on 10-12 is 0, most likely a data gap, do not interpret as "capital neutrality." The informative data is from the previous four days: on 10-07 and 10-08, net outflows were $484.9 million and $244.1 million respectively, totaling -$589.1 million over five days. Institutional side is indeed withdrawing, but concentrated at the beginning of this week; the last two trading days (+$21.1 million, 0) have stopped the bleeding.
**2. Futures**: Open interest is $51.82 billion, up 0.97% from the previous period. Price fell while positions increased, indicating new positions entered during the decline, not just liquidations. Funding rate +0.2778% looks high but is almost unchanged relative to its historical average, so it’s not crowded. The long-short ratio is 60.9/39.1 biased long, which is currently the only obvious vulnerability.
**3. Liquidations**: Total $113.9 million, longs account for 87%, dominated by a cluster of $31.84 million long liquidations within 4 hours. Combined with the high long-short ratio, this is a one-sided long squeeze rather than a two-way shakeout. The liquidation heatmap is unavailable this time, so no "liquidation concentration price" is provided—such figures rely on volatility inference and lack confidence.10.13 $ETH White Paper Thought Sharing:
1. ETH synchronized with BTC's second bottom test at 2407 and stopped falling, but the recovery speed was very fast. Currently, it has returned to the 2500 level, indicating there is still support below, so blindly chasing highs is not advisable.
2. If the rebound to around 2520-2560 shows weak upward momentum, short-term pressure is more likely, and short positions can be considered in batches.
3. If the pullback does not break 2470-80, small positions can observe the rebound; if it breaks below, do not rush to buy.
4. The 2410-2440 range is an important short-term defense zone. If it breaks and fails to recover, weakness will deepen further.
5. Volatility will increase around the CPI release. ETH has greater elasticity than BTC, so try to enter near key ranges.
Trading ideas:
1. Bottom buy long positions at 2380 and hold to break even.
2. Lightly participate in long positions on pullbacks to 2470-2480.
3. Continue participating in long positions at 2410-2440.
4. Enter short positions in batches at 2520-2560 $BTC #September CPI release is imminent, Hamark says further rate hikes are needed #TSMC Q3 revenue hits record high, profit performance to be revealed Bitcoin options volatility has dropped to a five-year low.
I was a bit stunned when I saw this data. How boring is the market now? Even those betting on direction are too lazy to place bets.
Looking back at history, when volatility is suppressed to such an extreme level, there are usually only two paths: either a big bullish or bearish candle directly ignites the market, or it continues to stagnate until everyone forgets about it.
My approach is simple: I haven't touched my spot base position, closed my contracts early, and still holding U. At times like this, betting on direction is no different from throwing darts blindfolded; it's better to wait for it to choose a direction on its own, then follow after the breakout.
Are you still opening positions recently?
$BTC$ZEC What is most feared now might be a sudden flood of "insider information."
As soon as the price moves slightly, someone in the group says institutions are about to buy up, exchanges are launching new products, or even a large holder's wallet transfer is interpreted as preparing to pump the price.
I used to get really nervous when I saw such news, afraid of missing the market. Now I’m used to first looking for the original announcement.
Especially for coins like Zcash, which have high attention and liquidity that can fluctuate sharply in a short time, an unconfirmed rumor is enough to stir up many people's emotions.
The most troublesome part is that by the time the news spreads, the price may have already risen significantly. When you chase in, you find that the so-called positive news is just old news being recycled for hype.
So now when I look at ZEC news, I first confirm the release time, then check if it was officially released by the project team, exchange, or regulatory agency.
If it’s just some blogger saying "according to insiders," I’d rather miss out.
After all, truly valuable long-term developments won’t suddenly lose value just because I buy ten minutes late.
I continue to watch short-term, and only consider participating when there is official catalyst and capital support. Instead of chasing news every day, it’s better to pay fewer lessons from chasing highs.The $87K load-bearing wall cracked—not because of the wind, but because the pump was extracting concrete.
BTC slid from the structural high of $87,000 down to $83,000, and the verticality of this tower has deviated from the design baseline. From October 7 to 8, the US spot ETF construction site saw a net outflow of about $731 million over two days, and on the 9th, only about $21 million of mortar was replenished. This is not normal settlement; the foundation is being hollowed out.
I have been designing super high-rises for thirty years, and what I fear most is not slow construction, but seepage in the basement diaphragm walls. ETFs are the diaphragm walls of this BTC market cycle—the institutional funds are the rebar, and subscriptions and redemptions are the concrete pouring. Now this wall is leaking outward; Morgan Stanley's MSBT still holds BTC on behalf of fund investors, which is equivalent to adding a steel casing reinforcement around the load-bearing columns; Strive plans to use preferred stock financing to expand its BTC reserve vault, which is a typical leveraged continuation of construction—the load increases, but the foundation depth remains unchanged.
The question is: can the long-term demand of the upper structure absorb this wave of selling pressure from below?
First, look at the external environment. Treasury yields and energy prices are both high, equivalent to two huge lateral wind loads acting simultaneously on the tower top. The September CPI on October 14 is the next structural check; any data exceeding expectations will instantly amplify the tower's wind vibration coefficient. The US stock token $xIREN is linked to the main chain, indicating this is not a single building issue but a change in the geological conditions of the entire city skyline.
My judgment is: true long-term institutional funds will not dismantle the load-bearing wall just because of two weeks of ETF outflows. The real risk is not in the net outflow numbers themselves, but whether this building has a sufficient core tube—development activity, real on-chain settlement volume, miner holding structure. These form the lateral force resistance system. If the core tube is solid, $83,000 is just a normal expansion joint release; if the core tube is empty, then the $731 million is just the first batch of construction crews withdrawing.
Right now, everyone in the market is staring at the candlestick chart looking at the facade rendering, but no one is checking the reinforcement drawings and geological survey reports. Historically, every collapsed tower looked quite tall before the accident. #btcetfoutflowpressure🌅 Good morning brothers, the US stock market just closed, and the first thing I do when I wake up is to take a quick look at the K-line.
BTC dropped from 84348 last night all the way down to 82250, now hovering around 82480. Those who didn’t open positions last night are probably quietly happy this morning.
Checked the overnight contract data: 4-hour open interest fell from 2.56 billion to 2.48 billion, the long-short account ratio dropped from 1.92 to 1.52. Price fell and positions were withdrawn, indicating it’s not the shorts aggressively selling, but the previous batch of longs running away. The long-short ratio collapsed faster than the price, this kind of structure usually means the short-term drop isn’t fully done yet.
Funding rates are close to zero, no extreme negative values, no panic to that extent, just a slow, dull cut of losses, longs gradually admitting defeat.
My plan for today: before open interest stabilizes, opening contracts is like giving away money. If it pulls back to around 82000 during the day, I might buy a little; if it breaks below 80000, then consider adding more. On the upside, watch 83500 first; if it can’t break through, just keep waiting.
⚠️ Don’t rush to bottom-fish, wait for structural confirmation. What are your plans today? Let’s chat in the comments. The above is just my personal observation and does not constitute investment advice.
#September CPI announcement imminent, Harmak says further rate hikes are still needed
#TSMC Q3 revenue hits record high, profitability performance to be revealed
#BTC and ETH spot ETFs see simultaneous outflows, is institutional demand weakening? Why do some “smart money copy trades” get the direction right but still end up not making money?
Observing new coin wallets, I separate three roles:
① Early mover addresses: entered positions earlier with lower costs, but that doesn’t mean they are still continuously buying.
② Follower addresses: entered around the same time, possibly related, or just saw the same public signals.
③ Selling addresses: start continuously cashing out to the pool when prices rise.
Just looking at “who bought” can lead to misjudgment. Net capital flow, wallet relationships, and executable depth determine whether an on-chain signal is worth further study.
#OnChainResearch #SmartMoney #RiskManagement$LPT I didn't expect to break even, but it directly brought me into profit. This service is top-notch. The short position this round feels great, brothers.
When the screen was full of green, LPT was under high pressure around 1.845, with strong selling but decreasing volume, and each rebound was weaker than the last. I warned to be bearish and not to catch the fall; short positions can be placed in batches with stop-loss set properly, just wait for it to collapse on its own.
Now the price has dropped to 1.695, short position yield +162.6%, awesome. The earlier hesitation was real, but the outcome is really sweet; those on board should be waking up smiling.
Take profits on 80% first, protect the remaining 20% at cost price, let the profit run with further drops, and don’t let a rebound turn profits sour. Take the big gains first, don’t be greedy for the tail.
The market cures all kinds of arrogance, especially from those who think they are the smartest.
Don’t get inflated by profits, don’t despair over drawdowns.
For friends who haven’t gotten on board yet, listen to me: now is not the time to chase. Wait for a more comfortable position in the next round, I will notify you immediately.
$BNB $XRP #September CPI announcement imminent, Hamak says further rate hikes still needed
Korean stocks plunge triggering circuit breaker, is it better to wait for a rebound opportunity in the short term?
Today the Korean stock market crashed. The KOSPI index briefly fell below 6000 points, dropping over 6% triggering a circuit breaker, Samsung Electronics fell over 5%, SK Hynix dropped over 7%.
What exactly is falling? First, foreign investors have been continuously selling large amounts, with over 1 trillion KRW sold just in this morning session, marking several consecutive days of net selling. Second, Chinese memory chip company Changxin Memory announced progress on next-generation DDR5 technology, raising market concerns about Samsung and Hynix’s pricing power being challenged. Third, US AI concept stocks collectively corrected, combined with Federal Reserve officials hinting at possible further rate hikes, global tech stocks have all been hit by a liquidity drain.
What about the technical perspective? Now falling to around 5900, very close to the previous key support level. Some Korean brokerage firms mentioned that given Samsung and Hynix’s current valuations, the stock price has "fallen a bit too far," leaving room for a short-term rebound. But foreign selling pressure hasn’t completely stopped, shorting risks are high, and catching a falling knife is also dangerous.
My own stance is: short-term leaning towards a rebound recovery, but this is a technical correction, not a trend reversal. October 13
BTC future 48-hour liquidity vacuum zone, strong resistance zone for bulls, 85196-86208, weak resistance zone, 83807-84183, strong resistance zone for bears 80747-80370, weak resistance zone 81782-81665
12-hour liquidation levels, bear price 83660, 19.19 million, current price distance 0.53%, bull price 81897, 36.93 million current price distance 1.59%
24-hour liquidation levels, bear price 84415, 56.01 million, distance 1.44%, bull price 81946, 44.47 million current price distance 1.53%
48-hour liquidation levels, bear price 84415, 70.11 million, current price distance 1.8%, bull price 81946, 44.47 million, current price distance 1.18%
Within 48 hours, the cumulative scale of high leverage long and short positions has been significantly reduced, large-scale liquidation risk is relatively small, recent trend mainly sideways
12-24 hour short-term liquidation still shows bearish tendency, scale risk is relatively small.
Effective range 81429-83807
#September CPI announcement imminent, Hamaq says further rate hikes still needed #TSMC Q3 revenue hits record high, profit performance to be revealed #BTC and ETH spot ETFs simultaneously outflow, has institutional demand weakened? On the radar echo map, a warm and moist air mass from Wall Street is crossing the Pacific Ocean, colliding head-on with the local crypto market's cold high pressure. This is not a drill; this is a live fax.
I've been on duty for thirty years, and what I fear most is not the storm, but the clear sky. US stock token assets are typical cross-border cyclones—forming offshore, with unpredictable paths, and where they finally make landfall depends entirely on the high-altitude guiding airflow.
First, look at the pressure field. Some ask about stop-loss strategies and position management; in our jargon, this is called typhoon defense planning and precipitation area forecasting. Whoever can stand firm in the eye of the storm relies not on courage but on sandbags packed seventy-two hours in advance. Stop-loss is not admitting defeat; it’s an early evacuation from dangerous coastlines; position size is not bravery; it determines how many ships you keep in the harbor. Experienced fishermen survive not because they dare to charge but because before the level 9 winds arrive, they quietly tie three extra mooring lines.
Next, look at the humidity field. Sharing experience itself is like sounding data: a single point reading is meaningless; you must release the balloon to different altitudes to draw a complete vertical profile. A person’s maximum loss is a full observation record of an extreme weather event; their best trade is a successful short-term mesoscale convective system forecast. No matter how refined the theoretical model, without live correction, accuracy is zero.
But one must remind: strong warm moist airflow does not guarantee precipitation will reach the ground. Water vapor, lifting trigger, and unstable stratification—missing any one, the sky remains clear. Market linkage is the same—foreign market leading is warm advection, local capital is the lifting trigger, and sentiment indicators are unstable energy. Only the combination of all three can explode into convective cloud clusters; without local triggering, even the strongest external signals are just passing high clouds. Cross-border assets like $xHOOD have exactly this volatility structure.
One more thing the public often overlooks: the most dangerous is never the storm itself but the calm stability before it. Small pressure gradient, very low wind speed, gray sky; everyone thinks nothing is happening, then a downburst crashes vertically. The reaction window left for observers is often only as long as a single candlestick.
I have reviewed a batch of historical reports; most of the "experience" repeatedly cited is survivor bias. The real data is hidden in stations that have shut down and no longer report. The silent observation stations record the complete climate.
The duty room light is still on, the anemometer has started to turn, yet reports from various places still say clear skies. #okxtradervoices 完了，兄弟们，这次真的被CAP这狗庄套死了！
看着账户里的浮亏，我连觉都睡不好，这单到底该怎么办？要不要跑？
你们看看K线，这狗庄真的是恶心到家了。
$CAP 暴涨后从0.12134直接画门砸到0.08920，然后在0.09到0.10之间死活横盘，就是不给你痛快。
现在的盘面极其诡异，散户做空比例已经高达60%多，做多只剩下30%多。
兄弟们，全网都在疯狂做空，空头极其拥挤，这时候狗庄稍微向上插一根针，咱们这批空头全得被爆！
我现在的空单开仓均价在0.08251，浮亏已经-43.15%了。
但我为什么还在扛？因为现在去割肉，大概率就是割在狗庄暴力洗盘的最低点，正中下怀。
但我不盲目死扛。接下来的计划很简单：止损我就放在0.105上方。只要它真的放量突破这个箱体上沿，我认错离场，绝不让它爆我的仓。
如果它跌回0.089的支撑位，甚至跌破前低，这波利润就能连本带利收回来。
$BTC
$ETH
#9月CPI公布在即，哈玛克称仍需进一步加息 📊 4-hour overall network exchange long-short position ratio BTC overall network all exchanges: Long 49.3%｜Short 50.7% OKX: Long 51.6%｜Short 48.4% ETH overall network all exchanges: Long 50.6%｜Short 49.4% OKX: Long 53.8%｜Short 46.2% ZEC overall network all exchanges: Long 53.5%｜Short 46.5% OKX: Long 53.6%｜Short 46.4% 📝 Core analysis Overall, the long and short positions of the three assets are not one-sided, remaining in a relatively balanced contest. At the BTC overall network level, shorts slightly dominate, but on OKX, longs are actually higher, showing clear capital divergence across different exchanges [Pharaoh's Market Watch]
Everyone is asking Pharaoh why SanDisk and Micron suddenly crashed, and what exactly ChangXin did?
Pharaoh directly says this sharp drop in the two storage giants is due to a double blow from "funding conditions + supply side," with ChangXin's technological progress being the most piercing knife.
First, let's see how badly they fell. SanDisk closed down 5.97% on Monday at $1487, falling six out of seven trading days, about 30% down from the June high. Micron dropped nearly 4%, approaching the $1000 mark, down nearly 20% from its peak, on the verge of a technical bear market.
The first knife: Korean stocks catching down + disappearance of buyback support. Samsung and SK Hynix's $40 billion buyback plan ended early, with Samsung stopping on October 6.
The second knife, and the harshest — ChangXin's 4F² architecture breakthrough. ChangXin President Cao Kanyu announced at the Integrated Chip Conference that their self-developed 4F² DRAM architecture has made key progress, aiming to launch DDR5 RDIMM server memory by year-end. What is 4F²? The mainstream is 6F², so the cell area is cut by one-third, increasing storage density by 50% in the same area. A former Morgan Stanley analyst bluntly said: once China masters the manufacturing technology, its expansion capacity often exceeds the total of other regions worldwide.
But Pharaoh must be fair. ChangXin's HBM3 yield rate is only 25%-30%, while Samsung and Hynix are above 90%. $BTC $ETH $ZEC #SanDiskMicronDown, ChangXin's technological progress is under focus ETH overnight plunged 4.2%, hitting $2,411 and triggering a wave of liquidations! 🔥
📉 多头遭遇重创： 全市场1小时爆仓1.45亿美元，多单占比高达97.5%；ETH过去24小时爆仓5814万美元，多头占64%。
⚠️ 三重利空夹击： 1️⃣ 地缘风险升温： 中东局势再度紧张，布油升至107美元上方，通胀担忧卷土重来。 2️⃣ 美债收益率飙升： 10年期美债收益率升至5.36%，高收益资产吸引力增强，加密市场承压。 3️⃣ ETH ETF持续流出： 连续9天净流出，上周流出5.42亿美元，ETHA单周流出4.77亿美元。
🎯 关键看点： ETH跌破2401美元附近的清算区，若继续下行，主流交易所多头清算压力可能扩大至5.53亿美元。
反弹尚未确认，别急着抄底，先看2400美元能否守住！ The crypto industry sounds the security alarm again. According to relevant on-chain monitoring data, wallets related to Ledger devices sold by hardware wallet dealer CryptoBilis are suspected to have experienced a large-scale asset theft incident. 📊 Key data of the incident: 🔹 **Bitquery:** Tracked approximately $93.2 million outflow, involving 315 wallets across 6 blockchains, with assets mainly including $USDT and $TRX. 🔹 **YFarmX:** Monitored about $94.5 million in related funds, involving 521 addresses across 7 chains. 🔹 **Tether intervention freeze:** Approximately $10 million of $USDT has been frozen. 🔹 **On-chain tracking continues:** As of October 11, about $81 million in funds can still be tracked on-chain, but some funds are reportedly routed through privacy-enabled channels such as Tornado Cash and Zcash. 🔍 What is truly worth attention? Ledger has confirmed that at least one related device contained unauthorized implanted hardware components. According to Ledger, the confirmed cases so far only involve devices sold through the CryptoBilis channel. However, some community members have raised doubts: CryptoBilis had previously appeared as an authorized dealer on Ledger's official website The estimated loss from the CryptoBilis case has been raised to $102 million, involving 324 wallets. Bitquery updated the investigation at 22:00 Beijing time on October 12: 9 additional TRON wallets were found, with a total loss of about 8.8 million USDT.
These funds were transferred out at 04:49 on October 10, representing a supplementary calculation of previous losses, not a new attack today. The study values assets at October 9 prices, counting only assets flowing out from victim wallets, excluding subsequent coin swaps and internal transfers; the number of wallets does not equal the number of victims.
The report also corrected an attribution: the previously so-called "OTC address group" is actually the THORChain public treasury. Some payments linked to Binance belong to other users, and that clue has been withdrawn. The public transit address received involved funds but not every payment from it should be attributed to the same individual.
The case statistics include 203.8 BTC, 1230 ETH, and 59.8 BNB. The three coins below correspond to actual lost assets, serving only as spot navigation. The reasons for theft on each device remain under investigation.
Source: Bitquery update and correction on 10/12, review on 10/13; the image is from the original research page, and the amounts are the agency's estimated investigation figures. #Ledger investigation of Southeast Asia distributor channel fund losses $BTC $ETH $BNB #SanDisk and Micron decline, Changxin Technology progress under focus# The volatility in memory chips reminds us that the correlated risks of altcoins should not be ignored either. UNI is currently bearish, with risk control prioritized over bottom fishing.
UNI current price is 7.298, down 5.3% in 24 hours, with a trading volume of only 19.653 million, indicating low capital participation. The 4-hour trend is downward, having retraced 27.56% from the high, with strong resistance at 7.832 above; although there is a rebound in the 1-hour chart, it is only 6.98% from the low, showing an unstable foundation. The order book buy/sell ratio is 0.98, slightly favoring sellers. The funding rate of 0.0022% indicates weak bullish sentiment. Open interest is 5.783 million coin-based contracts with no panic exits, but also no increase from bottom fishing.
Strategy-wise, if it rebounds near 7.485, a light short position can be tried with a stop loss at 7.625 and a target of 6.885; if it falls to 6.815 and stabilizes, a short-term long can be taken with a stop loss at 6.685 and a target of 7.215. Position size should be strictly controlled within 5% of total capital, and single loss should not exceed 1.5%. Always use stop loss.
—This is only a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Wish you successful trading.—
$UNI#SanDisk and Micron decline, Changxin Technology progress under focus
#SanDisk and Micron decline, Changxin Technology progress under focus $UNI Broadcom and Intel CEOs warn of AI financing pressure, directly suppressing storage chip valuations. SKHYNIX, as a highly elastic target, is the first to be hit. I judge that this round of sell-off is not over; reduce positions on rebounds.
24h plunged 10.6% to 1090.3, with a low of 1081.6 and no way back; both 1-hour and 4-hour charts hit new lows, trend completely bearish. Funding rate 0.2075% still positive, bulls have not surrendered, with 52,000 positions hiding liquidation risk. Order book buy orders 298 vs sell orders 219 temporarily dominant, but volume only 163,000, rebound weak.
Operation: place short at 1112.7 on rebound, stop loss at 1128.5, target 1067.3; if volume breaks below 1081.6, chase short, stop loss 1096.4, target 1042.8. Single position should not exceed 5%, do not hold against positive funding rate.
— Personal opinion only, not investment advice, wish you smooth trading. —
$SKHYNIX #Broadcom and Intel CEOs warn of AI financing pressure
#Broadcom and Intel CEOs warn of AI financing pressure $SKHYNIX Ethereum and Bitcoin both plummeted; this market situation is simply unbearable to watch.
The market has entered a stampede-like rhythm. On-chain data shows,
in the past 48 hours, the net inflow of ETH to exchanges has reached a two-week peak, the total market cap of stablecoins has simultaneously shrunk, and funds are withdrawing from risk assets.
This is not a problem with any single coin; the entire market is bleeding.
On the 4-hour chart, ETH has consecutively closed with long bearish candles, and every rebound is quickly suppressed by the bears. The moving average system has formed a perfect bearish alignment.
The fundamentals are also not optimistic. Before tonight's CPI data release, institutions generally choose to reduce positions and hedge risks.
Rather than saying the market is waiting for the data, it's more accurate to say the market is waiting for a reason to continue falling.
Another data point worth noting: in the derivatives market, long position liquidations have quietly been rising but have not yet reached a peak.
This means if the 2400 level breaks, it will trigger a batch of forced liquidations, pushing the price down even faster.
Buffett also said: "Risk comes from not knowing what you're doing."
At this point, most of the long traders don't really know what they're betting on,
while the short sellers at least clearly understand the direction of the trend.
$BTC $ETH $ZEC
#Microsoft releases next-generation AI chip, stock price hits yearly high Is it about to rebound? BTC and ETH are finally showing some signs of life!
After being beaten down by altcoins for several days, looking at the daily charts of BTC and ETH today, it seems like the drop is losing momentum. Could a rebound be coming?
$BTC: Temporarily stopped falling
Yesterday it hit a low of 80,351, which looked scary, but today it slowly climbed back to 83,368. Looking at the candlesticks, there are two small green bars in a row with fairly long lower shadows, indicating that there is still capital supporting the 80,000 key level. The drop isn’t as sharp anymore, showing signs of stabilization.
$ETH: Struggling at support
ETH is still weak, down 0.78% today, currently at 2,509. The good news is it bounced right off the previous low near 2,405 and is now sitting just above the lower Bollinger Band (2,450). Whether it can hold depends on this move.
Honestly, after getting slapped around by coins like MAGIC and W these past few days, I’m cautious about being blindly optimistic. BTC and ETH look like they might rebound, but the moving averages above are still pressing down, and volume hasn’t fully picked up.
This position is awkward—buying the dip risks getting buried, shorting risks getting caught in a rebound. Personally, I plan to wait and see if it can hold steady tonight. If it can hold 83,000 and 2,500, there might really be a rebound rally; if not, today will just be a pause in the downtrend.
Brothers, do you think this is a rebound or a bull trap? Dare to enter? On the eve of the CPI, $BTC is stuck at 82,000. The US dollar index hits an 18-month high, Brent crude stands above 111, and the 30-year US Treasury yield is at its highest level since 2002. None of these three things are directly related to the crypto world, but they all weigh heavily on the market.
Last week's deleveraging just pushed 84,000 back down to 80,000, with ETFs withdrawing nearly 700 million in a week, marking the largest net outflow since June. The price bounced back a bit, but the derivatives accounts are not settled yet: perpetual contract volume is more than ten times that of spot, prices are falling, longs are still paying premiums, and the options market's premium for downside protection is also rising. The bulls are not wrong, they are just trapped.
82,000 is the level both bulls and bears need to watch tonight. Above, 84,000 and 85,000 are the levels that bounced back twice this week; below, if the 80,000 round number closes lost, the 78,000 area will be the next stop. Before the data comes out, volatility will express the market's stance for you first. 俄美推进柴油供应合作、俄乌能源停火仍存分歧，地缘博弈牵动风险偏好，BSB 这类高波动小币首当其冲承压。我倾向短线偏空，但下方买盘接得较实，盲目追空性价比不高。
矛盾点很鲜明：1小时与4小时均处下行通道，分别距高 -13.92% 和 -17.34%，日线却仅 -8.2%，说明抛压集中在近两日。现价 0.09069 逼近 24h 低点 0.08686，距低仅 2.68%；上方 0.0996 是关键阻力。成交额 231.5 万，前10档买卖比 1.25，买方占优，资金费率 0.0050% 偏中性，持仓 1165 万币本位，未见恐慌平仓。
策略上，若反弹至 0.09585 附近承压可轻仓做空，止损 0.09865，目标看 0.08735；若回踩 0.08725 企稳并伴随买盘放大，可反手试多，止损 0.08465，目标 0.09415。单笔仓位不超总资金 5%，破位即走不扛单。
——仅为个人看法，不构成投资建议，祝交易顺利。——
$BSB#俄美推进柴油供应合作，俄乌能源停火仍存分歧
#俄美推进柴油供应合作，俄乌能源停火仍存分歧 $BSB Big brother Maji just poured another 500 BTC into the market, with the total perpetual position nearing 180 million. This move is really stubborn!
BTC long position at 40x full margin, 536 coins worth 44.83 million, opened at 83772, currently a slight loss of 68,000, liquidation price at 76679. Continuing to average down during the decline, truly the spokesperson for "buy the dip". ETH long position at 25x full margin, 36,000 coins worth 97.21 million, opened at 2674, floating profit of 130,000 but liquidation price at 2574 is very close, funding fees already paid 1.1 million, holding firm. HYPE long position at 10x full margin, 200,000 coins worth 17.21 million, floating loss of 1.01 million, liquidation price at 66.67. Additionally, there are 950 million PUMP coins hidden, the water is very deep.
All four positions are long, with margin of 7.2 million. Extremely bullish, but volatility can easily affect all positions; if one position has trouble, all will be affected. Ordinary people can't withstand a 1% fluctuation on a position over 100 million. Big brother is pulling hard at this critical moment—is it due to news-driven volatility or pure stubborn gambling? Retail investors should just watch and not easily imitate high-leverage full margin positions. Waiting quietly to see if BTC hits liquidation price or rallies for big brother to feast! BTCETH $HYPEAt noon, I was lying on the desk scrolling through my phone when a little brother in the group suddenly popped up and asked me: Bro, isn't SUI about AI? Why does it seem like it's been drained of energy these past few days?
I said, first put down your milk tea and listen to me.
The thing about the SUI chain is real. The foundation invested 30 million dollars in a protocol for AI training data traceability. Simply put, it means the data fed into AI can be traced back to its source, not some nonsense from thin air. The storage layer is handled by Walrus. I acknowledge this story; the direction is right. The AI folks are anxious as hell; sooner or later, the data sources will be thoroughly checked.
But you’re mixing up one thing: having a good product and the price immediately going up are two different things.
Right now, it’s hovering around 0.05. It’s dropped about ten percent over the week. The project team is paving the way upfront, while the price is snoring behind. Do you think they’re paving the way or burying you? You decide.
I’m holding my position. I didn’t run when it dropped, but with how it looks now, I won’t add more either. People who have been liquidated have one advantage—they learn not to argue with themselves.
If you just entered the market, don’t rush to ask me if this is the bottom—I don’t know either. I only know that holding a position you can sleep soundly with is better than anything else. That’s it for noon, the food’s getting cold. $SUI