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ETH is currently pulling back. What I'm focusing on now is: who is falling the least, and who has stronger resistance to the drop? 🛡️
₿ $BTC: Weekly decline -2.9%, has been consolidating sideways for a month. Defense performance is relatively stable, but it’s still too early to say a new upward trend has formed. 👍
⟠ $ETH: Weekly decline -4.8%, monthly decline -6.6%. Short-term performance is weak; I will reduce trading frequency and avoid blindly chasing the rally. 😐
◎ $SOL: Weekly decline -7.3%, current price about $103.7. Approaching $100 does not mean a buy signal has appeared; only after seeing a confirmed rebound will I consider controlling position size to participate. 🙂
📉 $RE: Weekly decline -11.5%, monthly decline -12.6%, overall still weak.
🔍 Institutional dynamics are worth watching:
Deutsche Bank will provide custody services for BTC and ETH, but at the same time, institutional funds are still flowing out.
This indicates that the infrastructure for institutional participation in the crypto market is developing, but it does not mean that funds have started to flow back on a large scale.
Going forward, I am more focused on price resilience, capital flow, and whether rebounds are confirmed by trading volume.
$BTC $SOL
#TSMCQ3RecordProfit $TSLA expectations have all been downgraded, does that mean it will definitely beat? I bet No on #Outcomes.
Tesla will release its Q3 earnings after the US market closes on October 21 (phone call at 5:30 AM Beijing time on the 22nd).
First, profit: Q2 EPS was only 0.33, below the expected 0.44. Auto gross margin is still pressured by price cuts and promotions, which is the biggest variable.
Second, deliveries: Q3 deliveries were 486,532 units, down 2.1% year-over-year. Selling less than last year, profits are unlikely to suddenly look better.
Third, expectations: The market consensus expects EPS of $0.44 and revenue around $27.8 billion, with a 3-cent downgrade in the past 30 days. The bar is lower, but it didn’t even reach last quarter.
My thinking: About 70% of the market is betting it will beat expectations, but I think the pricing is too high, so I’m taking a small position betting the opposite.
Are you betting it will beat or miss expectations? Take a side in the comments. U.S. stocks have been closed for two consecutive days, and funds have all flowed into $BTC, while other coins seem to be continuously bleeding.
₿ BTC: The Most Reliable Safe Haven?
BTC's market cap is about $1.63 trillion, accounting for nearly 60% of the entire crypto market.
In the past two days, BTC has basically been consolidating with low volume near the moving averages, maintaining above the **50-day simple moving average (SMA) at $81,000**.
The RSI is 45.67, in a neutral to slightly weak zone.
If this round of decline effectively breaks below $80,000, it indicates that market panic may further intensify, and I would consider reducing my position by 10%.
⟠ ETH: Pressure Zone of Continuous Bleeding
In the past two days, ETH has been struggling to consolidate above the recent 7-day range bottom at $2,300, with ETF funds continuously flowing out significantly, which is a pressure factor worth noting.
Today's 24-hour trading volume is about $6.2 billion, but ETFs have had net outflows for 10 consecutive trading days, and the price has dropped about 51% from the historical high of $5,000.
I would consider waiting until ETF outflows stop before reassessing whether to increase my position.
✕ XRP: Broke Below Moving Average, Entered Oversold Zone
This time, XRP directly broke below the 50-day moving average, the RSI dropped to 18, entering the oversold area, and the overall trend has clearly weakened.
Last month it had a strong rally, but this month it has been continuously giving back previous gains.
What is even more noteworthy is 🚨Don't just focus on the 222 million long liquidations! ETH is under pressure with 546 million short liquidation zones above it
In the past 24 hours, the entire network liquidated 333 million, with longs at 222 million, superficially showing "longs being besieged." But the liquidation heatmap reveals another side: two short liquidation clusters above ETH total 546 million, while longs below are only 187 million. The powder keg above is nearly three times larger; shorts are stacking explosives beneath their own feet.
$BTC fell below 81,000, ETH lost 2,400; the trigger was Brent crude surging past $110, core CPI at 2.6% beating expectations, rising rate hike bets, and liquidity being drained. ETFs saw a net outflow of 82.41 million yesterday, BlackRock's IBIT outflowed 71.8 million; however, on October 13, the same batch of funds had a net inflow of 175.7 million, so a single product's daily outflow does not equal systemic withdrawal. The Fear & Greed Index is 25, indicating extreme fear.
More importantly: $ETH open interest shrank from 20 billion to 15 billion, leverage has been cleaned out once; BTC at 81,000 held support after three retests. The market prices in "longs liquidated but still more downside," but longs are decreasing and shorts are increasing; crowded shorts are the fuel for the next move.
Traders, don't just watch if 80,000 breaks; watch ETH 2,500–2,510: breaking above will trigger the upper short liquidation cluster, and the short squeeze pulse could be faster than the drop. Shorts think they are chasing the trend, but they are actually loading the next needle.
#US CPI and PPI both beat expectations, will there be another rate hike this year? ⚠️First, a warning: The IEA's assessment of the diesel market is cautious—the real rebalancing may be delayed until 2027. The Russia-Ukraine situation repeatedly disrupts refineries, and Middle East supply is also unstable, keeping diesel crack spreads hovering at high levels.⛽
Diesel is the "invisible foundation" of transportation, agriculture, and manufacturing. When its price rises, logistics costs go up first, followed by food and manufacturing costs, making it harder for inflation to cool down quickly.📦🌾🏭
₿ What does this mean for Bitcoin? The path is: tight diesel supply → stronger inflation expectations → withdrawal of rate cut bets → higher U.S. Treasury yields → pressure on risk asset valuations. $BTC grinding repeatedly between 80,000 and 82,000 reflects this pressure being digested.📉
But looking calmly, diesel tightness is not a new story; the market has already partially priced it in; BTC falling back from 87,000 has also released a lot of panic. What can truly change the trend are the Fed's statements and CPI data; diesel prices themselves are not the steering wheel.🧭
#Tesla launches new generation Roadster, market rallies #U.S. CPI and PPI both exceed expectations, will there be another rate hike this year? #SpaceX's first full quarterly report after IPO to be revealed $ETH How was everyone's weekend rest? There was a rare weekend surge in volume this morning, with Ethereum dipping to 2315 in the early hours, a crisis in the Korean stock market, and huge volume over the weekend.
Looking at the consolidation and recovery from the 2315 level back to 2400, there is still support from funds. After the breakdown and sharp drop, the downward momentum is insufficient, so there shouldn't be a significant decline in the short term.
Considering the sharp drop in the US stock market with no rebound, the situation is likely worse than we imagined. This morning, tech stocks suffered another 5%+ hit. If Korean stocks like koru cannot recover from the danger zone at Monday's open, it could trigger a new round of long position liquidations (koru has over $50 million in long positions around the 10 price level).
The collapse of the Korean stock market signals something similar to the 2008 avalanche. Back then, the Korean stock market fell over 80% in a week; it has already dropped 60% now! #SpaceX上市后首份完整季度财报将揭晓 This round of sideways movement is not simply waiting for data; after CPI and PPI both exceeded expectations, the market is making defensive chip reallocations. Funding rates have turned negative, and open interest contracts have shrunk within a narrow range, with leveraged longs actively reducing exposure; prices seem unchanged, but underlying positions are rotating.
$BTC: Over eighty thousand has been tested many times but always supported; negative funding rates indicate shorts are paying to bet, while whales are adding positions against the trend. The market does not look purely bearish but more like a transfer from weak hands to strong hands. Eighty thousand is the short-term lifeline; holding it maintains consolidation, losing it points to seventy-eight thousand.
$ETH: Weaker than Bitcoin, with continuous ETF outflows and institutions retreating by selling it first. Fortunately, leverage has decreased and shorts are not crowded; if BTC stabilizes, short covering could bring a short rebound, but without ETF bleeding stopping, the rebound is hard to sustain and lacks independent strength.
$XAUT: Gold is one of the few beneficiaries in this risk-off round. With U.S. Treasury yields falling, funds are shifting from crypto ETFs to gold ETFs. In Q3, global gold ETF net inflows hit a record high, and central banks continue to increase holdings. BTC buying is more leveraged and short-term, while gold buying is more for long-term allocation, with patience on a different scale. #特斯拉交付超预期后盈利修复成焦点 "Black Monday" is currently just a risk scenario, not a fact that has already occurred.
If U.S. Treasury yields continue to rise, financing costs and risk asset valuations will face greater pressure; tensions in the Middle East may also amplify risk-off sentiment.
Whether this evolves into a concentrated sell-off depends on whether stocks, crypto assets, and bond yields confirm synchronously after Monday's market open. Before prices give a signal, concerns should not be prematurely concluded as a crash.#Can HBM4 mass production drive SK Hynix's profits to new highs?
Personal opinion, welcome to discuss and correct
HBM4 mass production alone is not sufficient to independently drive SK Hynix's profits to new highs; its impact needs to be judged comprehensively in conjunction with the company's overall strategy and market environment.
On one hand, HBM4, as the next-generation high-performance memory product, has obvious technological advantages, with energy efficiency improved by over 40%, making it a key product under the growing demand for AI computing power. SK Hynix has already achieved mass production and shipment of HBM4 and plans to expand capacity in the second half of the year, which is expected to consolidate its leading position in the HBM market and support profit growth.
On the other hand, SK Hynix has recently proactively slowed the pace of HBM4 capacity expansion, shifting resources to the higher-margin general DRAM sector. The current DRAM market is tight in supply and demand, with prices continuously rising, and operating profit margins significantly higher than HBM. Institutions predict its operating profit margin could reach 78.4% in Q3 2026, with profit expectations repeatedly revised upward.
Additionally, the HBM4 mass production process faces challenges such as yield improvement and equipment delivery, and competitors like Samsung are accelerating their catch-up in the HBM4 field, which may divert SK Hynix's market share.
Therefore, whether SK Hynix's profits can reach new highs depends not only on the scale of HBM4 mass production and customer acceptance but also on its capacity balance strategy between HBM and DRAM, as well as its ability to maintain technological leadership and customer loyalty amid fierce competition. Don't mistake the early rebound for a reversal; BTC, ETH, and SOL all need to first reclaim key levels. Today is cautious, focusing on two points: whether the rebound continues and whether the pullback is supported.
🔶 BTC｜82,000 is the observation line
Only if it holds above 82,000 and the pullback doesn't break below can we look at the 82,600–83,000 resistance zone. If the rebound is blocked and falls back below 81,000, watch out for another test of 80,000. Here, it's better to wait for confirmation and not rush to chase.
📌 There's another hurdle on the news front
MSCI has confirmed the implementation of new rules for non-operating companies, putting Strategy at risk of being removed from related indices; the final list has not been announced. If index funds reduce holdings and depress its stock price, it could affect financing ability to buy coins. This doesn't equal selling pressure, but be cautious during rebounds.
🔷 ETH｜Focus on 2,400
Holding 2,400 and breaking through 2,450 is needed for the recovery to continue. If it fails, first watch for support at 2,380; if weakness continues, guard against retesting the previous low near 2,317.
🟣 SOL｜See if it can keep up
Focus on whether the rebound high can be broken and if the pullback low can be raised. If BTC stabilizes but SOL lags, be more cautious in the short term. Only if it breaks out with volume and holds can expectations rise.
Until key resistance is taken, treat this as a consolidation recovery. Keep a cool head over the weekend; don't turn a single rebound into a hard hold. Weekly drop of about 15%, yet over 65% of $SUI accounts remain long.
Spot price around $0.96; approximately -15.7% over the past 7 days, about -2.3% in the last 24h.
Binance SUIUSDT: about 65.6% of accounts are long.
However, active trades on the same order book lean bearish—taker longs about 35%, shorts about 65%.
Cross-exchange liquidations (Coinalyze 24h): around $1.6 million, with longs about $1.5 million and shorts about $100k.
Funding rate on Binance is about -0.005%/8h (shorts pay).
Accounts remain bullish; the selling pressure comes from active sellers, with leveraged longs being the first to liquidate.
Next to watch: a volume-backed rebound above approximately $1.05 with long positions dropping to around 50/50; or a volume-backed break below about $0.90.
$SUI #SUI太妖了。$AVNT 明明在往下蹭，偏装出“我快到底了”的死相，+128.76%跳出来那秒心痒一下立刻按了减仓。
0.1109空到0.10377，标的-6.46%被20倍拧成满屏绿，看着像战绩，实是站在薄盘口上数钱。买盘一触发、空头回补一叠就是秒抽，小币流动性说没就没。
我主仓走、杠杆降，底仓随缘，不补不追低不反手。后进场别把截图当路线图画。非买卖建议。今天赚的是手快不是眼光，关掉绿字就什么都不是。$BTC $ETH #AI或推GDP至44万亿，投资能否回本？ The latest CoinShares capital report releases signals worth noting. This week, digital asset investment products saw a total capital outflow exceeding 434 million, with institutional risk aversion sentiment heating up.
Observing the single-day capital data of $ETH, on October 16, spot BTC and ETH ETFs both experienced large simultaneous outflows, with Ethereum seeing capital exit for three consecutive days, showing continued short-term selling pressure. $BTC briefly broke below 80,000 intraday, then recovered to fluctuate around 81,000 thanks to buying support. This capital flight is concentrated in top ETFs, indicating some institutions are choosing to reduce exposure to avoid uncertainty.
The market capital shows a split trend: institutions choose to shrink positions for risk aversion, while on-chain whale groups continue accumulating during this phase, with completely opposite directions in operations among different capital types.
The core driver behind this is macro data. Inflation data consecutively exceeded expectations, prompting the market to reassess the Fed's future interest rate path. The high interest rate environment continues to suppress the willingness to go long on risk assets. The long-term fundamentals have not completely deteriorated, but macro bearishness is the main short-term contradiction and will continue to affect market volatility.
Going forward, focus on monitoring the effectiveness of the 80,000 USD support. If this defense line is effectively broken, the market will further open downward space; if the support holds, the market will most likely continue to maintain range-bound oscillation and contest.
#美国CPI与PPI双超预期，年内能否再加息？ #SpaceX上市后首份完整季度财报将揭晓 #机构资金持续流出，BTC能否企稳？ #Netflix growth may slow, advertising business becomes new focus 行情持续走弱的周末，不少多头还在不断加仓，看似勇敢，实则很容易落入主力的洗盘圈套。
$DOGE 当前价格0.0778，多空比值高达3.66，持仓量持续攀升。价格日线持续阴跌，散户却还在不断抄底。一旦跌破0.075关口，大量多单会触发连环清算。
$PEPE现价0.000003839，多空比3.16。资金费率时常翻负，被套的多头不仅承受浮亏，还要持续支付成本。盘面买盘乏力，只能依靠情绪信仰支撑。
$DNA现价0.2615，资金费率为正，但基差处于负值，持仓量快速放大，多头持续付出成本硬扛。多空数据缺失，控盘程度高，贸然进场很容易成为炮灰。
当前盘面共性：多头扎堆拥挤，属于典型的多头陷阱。这个阶段抄底相当于徒手接下跌的刀子。我选择保持观望，保留本金，等这批高杠杆筹码清洗完毕，盘面数据回归合理之后，再考虑入场机会。
#美国CPI与PPI双超预期，年内能否再加息？
$DOGE $PEPE $DNA Ethereum lending saw $1.63 billion in liquidations over the past year, with 89% processed via atomic paths. This figure determines whether RWA can be used as collateral on-chain.
The atomic path means selling the collateral and repaying the debt within the same transaction, funded by flash loans or own capital, completed in seconds.
Why can't the remaining 11% use this path? Because the collateral can't be sold on DEXs. Pools are thin, a large sell causes slippage that eats profits, so no takers.
This is the trouble with RWA. Government bonds, private credit, and real estate lack depth on-chain, so liquidation must revert off-chain: seeking market makers for quotes, solvers stepping in, then returning to close positions.
I think the change is in the liquidation clock—it’s been extended.
Atomic liquidation compresses the bad debt window to zero seconds, off-chain quoting stretches it back to several hours. During these hours, prices keep falling, and the exposure is on the protocol itself.
Therefore, the most easily overlooked cost in the RWA narrative is liquidation depth.
The moat of lending only shows when prices fall: can liquidation be done on-chain? Anyone can offer interest rates, but not depth.
AAVE dropped from 187.86 on October 2 to 149.62, down 20.4%, 10.0% below MA20. The valuation fell, but liquidation capability remains.
Invalidation condition: if a market maker specializing in instant on-chain liquidation of RWA collateral emerges, or the protocol builds its own auction to compress quoting back to minutes, this judgment is void. Repricing only counts when it stands back at 166.31.
Which side are you betting on: RWA first replenishes liquidation depth, or suffers a bad debt event first?
$AAVE $ONDO
#RWAliquidationCrypto KOL CM believes the risk of Strategy being removed by MSCI has already been priced in, and the net mNAV falling below 1 could be an opportunity. MSCI-related funds hold about 13 million shares, accounting for 3.1% of the share capital. JPMorgan estimates passive outflows of about $2.8 billion. $MSTR dropped 9.56% on the day the rule was announced. Two points are overlooked. Existing constituent stocks must fail to meet the criteria for two consecutive annual reporting periods before being removed, so November 30 may not be the actual day of selling pressure. Also, when mNAV is close to 1x, issuing new shares to buy coins no longer increases the coin amount per share, weakening this buying pressure, which impacts $BTC longer than the $2.8 billion outflow. I judge that before November 30, MSTR will underperform BTC, and I will reconsider once mNAV returns above 1.2. The above is a personal opinion record and does not constitute any investment advice.🎯 One platform coin, one unlisted rocket, one high-throughput public chain, three pricing logics
$OKB 114.00, down 1.39 points 🔴
Falling from 117 down to 114, OKB has fully given back its previous premium in this wave. Compared to BNB, OKB has a smaller market cap and higher volatility; it rises quickly when platform traffic is good and falls first when the tide recedes. 114 is the normal level for the platform coin; the burn mechanism runs monthly, and short-term price is tied to the exchange's own trading rhythm, not detached from the overall market.
$SPCX 144.25, down 0.85 points 🚀
SpaceX's first full quarterly financial report after listing has landed, with on-chain shares digesting at 144. Previously, its valuation relied on primary market rumors; now with official quarterly figures available, the market is starting to account for launch costs, Starlink subscription revenue, and profits item by item. 144 is neither high nor low, waiting for the US stock market open to provide a real valuation anchor.
$SOL 102.72, down 0.87 points 🔷
Solana slid from 105 back to 102; this high-beta public chain is retreating along with the overall market. Solana relies on high throughput to support meme and payment use cases; its ecosystem is active but faces many competitors. Without independent catalysts at 102, funds return to BTC and it gets left behind.
This article is for market analysis only and does not constitute investment advice.
#SpaceX's first full quarterly financial report after listing will be revealed When the two curves on the monitor simultaneously rise, the surgeon's hand does not tremble; the one trembling is the person beside him staring at the screen but refusing to call out the numbers.
The September temperature chart has already been posted: the Consumer Price Index climbed to 3.7%, the Producer Price Index rose 6.3% year-over-year and 1.3% month-over-month, and the core readings have all crossed their thresholds. This is not just a fever; it is a simultaneous rise in blood pressure and core body temperature—the peripheral resistance is increasing, myocardial oxygen consumption is rising, and the coronary perfusion window is narrowing in sync. The core indicators have not fallen back, indicating the lesion is not on the skin surface but deep within the circulatory system. From experience, if the core temperature cannot be brought down, it can only mean the source of infection has not been eliminated.
What truly made me put down the surgical forceps was not these two sets of numbers, but the lead surgeon's statement. On October 16, Walsh said he would not make a forecast on the interest rate decision. In operating room terms: the angiography has been completed, the plaques are clearly displayed on the screen, yet the lead surgeon says, "No chest opening for now, let's observe a while longer." Daly and Goolsby cautiously agreed on the sidelines. Once the medication window at the anesthesia table hesitates, the flow of extracorporeal circulation becomes unstable, and the perfusion pressure below cannot be maintained by willpower alone.
Thus, the bet on a 25 basis point rate hike dropped to around 15%, and the pace for the year turned into a waveform with unreadable P waves. This is not an improvement in condition. This is after administering vasoactive drugs, blood pressure barely holding at 90/60—numbers look decent, but the extremities remain cold. To assess perfusion, one must look at fingertip temperature, lactate levels, and urine output. What is the market’s lactate? It is liquidity premium, leverage cost, and those long-duration assets continuously sustained by low interest rates.
Tokenized assets tracking the US stock market are essentially the farthest segment of the extracorporeal circulation loop. When the pressure in the aorta changes, the first to suffer ischemia is never the heart itself, but the toes. Large-cap assets have collateral circulation and redundant blood supply; small caps have only one nourishing artery, and when interest rate expectations cause that artery to spasm, ischemia is instantaneous and silent. By the time the extremities turn black and come to the stage, amputation is the only option. The so-called linkage is never synchronous rises and falls, but within the same perfusion system, the distal end dies first.
I don’t look at sentiment; I look at preload and afterload. Preload is the fiscal side still pumping fluids in; afterload is the financing cost stubbornly not falling. The heart is stretched into an enlarged ball between these two ends, wall tension rises, and oxygen consumption follows. What this ventricle fears most is not a sudden sharp pain, but a continuous, unnoticed wear and tear by everyone.
The monitor does not lie; the one lying is the hand staring at it but refusing to make a diagnosis. #USCPIAndPPITopForecasts The moment the list on November 11 drops, there won't be a trace of smoke on the market, but the chessboard will be forcibly reset — and the forced moves never give the opponent time to think.
On October 15, the index compiler changed the rules, classifying Strategy and Metaplanet as "non-operating companies." This is not a tactic; this is changing the rules of the game. You're in a fierce midgame battle, and the referee suddenly announces that your king can be captured directly from the diagonal — the objection Strategy submitted on the 16th essentially demands the referee explain clearly: how exactly is the coordinate of this diagonal calculated? Meanwhile, Metaplanet remains silent; silence in the endgame is never harmless, it often means the opponent is already calculating the exchange.
JPMorgan's figure is $2.8 billion in passive selling pressure. Amateur players would tremble at this number; those who have truly endured the endgame overnight would first ask: is this $2.8 billion an "exchange" or a "sacrifice"? Passive funds have no judgment; they only move according to the rules — the rules say if you're not at this table, they must leave, regardless of valuation or narrative. This is not an opponent attacking you; this is the physical law of the chessboard attacking you, and physical laws do not accept appeals.
Strategy itself says index funds hold only about 3.1%. This is a typical "I thought I had it figured out" judgment. A 3.1% position is insignificant at the opening, but in a closed loop of "premium financing — premium coin buying — coin price supporting premium," 3.1% is the restraining line: it itself does not move, but it pins all your other pieces in place.
The real battlefield is never in the part being sold off, but in the chain reaction it triggers. Once the financing channel narrows, convertible bond pricing, the window for additional issuance, and the scale of the next purchase all need to be recalculated. You think you're fighting a lawsuit about accounting standards, but in fact, you're playing two blindfold chess games simultaneously: one on the board of ownership statistics, the other on the board of capital costs, and the opponent is best at feeding pieces between the two boards.
The list comes out on November 11, effective after the close on November 30. The twenty days in between are the mandatory move time for both sides — no stopping, no waiting, every move must be made, and every move has already been calculated by the opponent. The connected target $xCOIN will move first; it never tracks company fundamentals but whether that hand will be forced to sacrifice pieces.
This is not an attack; this is a probing check. The opponent only wants to see clearly: will you move the king away or use pawns to block? Moving the king preserves your pieces but cedes initiative; blocking with pawns holds the position but that pawn chain will be permanently broken — every future financing and every newly bought coin will have to go around this gap.
The truly fatal thing is never being removed from the list, but before being removed, changing your original moves just to stay on the list. #strategyopposesmsci#SpaceX's first full quarterly earnings report after going public will be revealed. For SpaceX's Q3 report, I believe the real focus should be on the profitability structure of each business segment, not just revenue growth.
From Q2 data, the communications business under Starlink generated an operating profit of $1.656 billion, but the AI business lost $1.257 billion, and the space business also lost $542 million. This shows that currently, overall profitability is mainly supported by the communications business.
On the other hand, capital expenditures in the first half of the year reached $28.476 billion, far exceeding the $3.466 billion in operating cash flow, reflecting the huge capital demand behind rapid expansion.
The market estimates Q3 revenue to be about $12.89 billion, indicating that growth expectations are already quite high.
I think the key lies in whether Starlink can maintain profitability, whether AI investments will gradually yield returns, and whether Starship can improve the long-term cost structure. Even if the earnings report beats expectations, the current valuation has already priced in future growth.
My conclusion is: I am optimistic about SpaceX's business model in the long term, but I am cautious, even bearish, about the short-term stock price performance after this earnings report. Ultimately, what the market will pay for should be growth that continuously generates cash flow, not just grand future visions. $BCH 永续50倍空单，277开，现268.5，浮盈+153.42%。
思路很朴素：顶部横盘放量滞涨，波动率压到极致，说明筹码准备派发。一根放量阴线直接把价格从 277 砸下来，典型的破位信号，追空不追多。50倍杠杆，止损 285。走势一路向下，不给任何舒服的下车位，盈利直接起飞。
这位置我打算先减一半仓位落袋，剩下的一半止损提到 272 让利润跑。260 能放量跌破就继续拿，跌不动就全平走人。$BTC $ETH #特斯拉发布新一代Roadster，行情走高 #NetflixQ3AdsAndMargins $SKHYNIX vs $SNDK : Is the Semiconductor Sell-Off Overdone?
Both assets are dominated by profitable shorts, but I see an important difference.
SKHYNIX looks particularly vulnerable to further selling. Bears have little reason to retreat, and fresh flows still favor sellers.
SNDK is more interesting. Selling pressure is easing, while deeply negative funding suggests an increasingly crowded bearish trade.
My view: SKHYNIX could test $870. SNDK has better rebound potential toward $1,300 if buyBig Brother Maji has exploded again! All the unrealized profits from a year ago have been wiped out, and he even lost $36.85 million! Why does he persistently refuse to give up going long?
$ETH $HYPE
Big Brother Maji has once again faced a full liquidation! The huge unrealized profits he once accumulated have not only been completely lost but also resulted in a loss of about $36.85 million.
Profit after profit, liquidation after liquidation, reinvesting and reopening positions... When will this cycle finally end?
Why is Big Brother Maji so stubborn about going long? I believe there are four reasons behind it:
1️⃣ The money he once made has become his hardest obsession to shake off
Having made big money by going long on assets like ETH and HYPE in the past, this success experience easily creates path dependency, making him always think the next rebound can replicate past glories.
2️⃣ Faith in ETH gradually turns into a stance
It's fine to be optimistic about an asset, but when going long becomes a belief that refuses to admit mistakes, it’s easy to ignore changes that have already occurred in the market. No matter how good the logic is, it needs to be validated by the market.
3️⃣ High leverage combined with rolling positions amplifies the gambling nature
Using 25x leverage long-term with rolling positions can cause account growth to be astonishing when profitable, but losses will also be rapidly magnified once the market reverses. Even after multiple large liquidations, he still chooses to re-enter, which is a risky preference that raises concerns.
4️⃣ Sunk costs and overconfidence make it hard to truly exit
High-leverage trading easily creates the illusion that as long as the price rebounds slightly, the account has a chance to quickly recover. In the past 24 hours, the entire network liquidated $333 million, with longs accounting for $222 million — the screen is full of long liquidations. But the liquidation heatmap tells a different story: two clusters of short liquidations above $ETH total $546 million, while longs below only $187 million, with nearly three times the powder keg above. Shorts are stacking explosives under their own feet 💣 Trigger recap: $BTC broke below 81,000, $ETH lost 2,400; the direct drivers were Brent crude oil briefly breaking $110/barrel, core CPI exceeding expectations, rising rate hike bets, and liquidity being drained. ETFs saw a net outflow of $82.41 million yesterday, BlackRock IBIT outflowed $71.8 million; but on October 13, the same fund had a net inflow of $175.7 million — a single-day net outflow does not equal systemic withdrawal. The fear and greed index is 25, extreme fear. More critical signals: ETH contract open interest dropped from 20 billion to 15 billion, leverage has been washed out once; BTC’s 81,000 level was tested three times and held. The market is pricing in “more downside after long liquidations,” but longs are decreasing while shorts are increasing. Crowded shorts themselves are the fuel for the next wave. Traders, watch this level: don’t just focus on whether 80,000 breaks, watch $ETH 2500–2510 — an upward breakout will trigger a cluster of short liquidations above, and the short squeeze momentum will be much faster than the drop. Shorts think they are chasing the trend, but they are actually loading the next needle. High leverage is a double-edged sword right now: right direction is meat, wrong direction is a knife. Don’t overleverage your positions. #OKXTraderVConclusion first: BTC only dropped 0.19% in 24 hours, but 191 coins in the entire market are falling, 12 are rising, with a median of -2.73%.
This is the most straightforward language of the 4H K-line at dawn — big coins sideways, small coins declining.
APE is a good example. In the recent 6 4H periods, it steadily fell from 0.1512 to 0.1363, a -9.9% drop.
In the same period, BTC 4H range was less than -0.7%, ETH less than 0.5%.
The key lies in volume structure: 78.85 million → 35.14 million → 17.91 million → 28.62 million → 2.42 million → 2.40 million.
The first 4 periods still had tens of millions in support, the recent 2 periods directly dropped to 2.4 million.
Price drop + volume shrink = no buyers found. It's not that someone is dumping, it's that no one is taking.
After 04:00 AM, Asian morning session hasn't opened, US pre-market hasn't started, it's the thinnest liquidity vacuum period.
Sell orders placed at this time directly consume 1-2% depth, after a big bearish candle, no one is willing to bottom-fish in the following 4 periods.
"BTC didn't move, ALTs all fell" essentially reflects a liquidity ladder, not an organized sell-off.
I don't place orders or chase the dip at dawn, won't act before the 4H candle closes.
Are you guys scared by the steady decline at dawn and clearing your positions, or playing dead waiting until after 08:00 to decide? $APE The current market is in the "high-level repair interruption during liquidity withdrawal" phase. Baseline scenario (about 50%): BTC oscillates between 78–88k to digest macro headwinds; bearish scenario (about 30%): inflation stickiness combined with renewed Fed rate hike expectations, breaking below 76k triggers leverage liquidation; bullish scenario (about 20%): dovish signals from the FOMC on October 27–28 + oil price decline, retesting 87–90k.#特斯拉交付超预期后盈利修复成焦点
Tesla's deliveries exceeding expectations have eased demand concerns, but the market focus has shifted to profit recovery. The key points are whether the gross margin can stabilize, whether the price war will ease, and whether the energy storage and software businesses can scale up. Only when sales growth truly translates into profit improvement will the valuation recovery be more sustainable.Is ETH's transaction fee being cheap necessarily a good thing?
$ETH has a relationship worth looking at separately: the base fee is burned, and the net supply change must be calculated together with new issuance.
Lower usage costs help user experience; for holders, total fees and burn volume still need to be considered, and supply-demand improvement cannot be judged solely by the phrase "cheaper."
My research focus will be on actual usage, total fees, and net issuance. A number of active users or a scaling announcement alone is not enough to replace a comprehensive valuation assessment.
$HYPE has still risen about 107% in the past year but recently dropped about 14.8% in the last month. This shows significant phase differences in price, but one cannot conclude that business revenue has worsened just based on the pullback; price and operational data must be verified separately.
$NEAR has risen about 39.8% in the past month but dropped about 8.9% in the past week. I acknowledge the existing price performance but will not use the increase to prove that business has grown equally; the next step in research should focus on real usage.$SNDK 75x做空，开仓1278.2，标记1261，浮盈100.92%（绝对收益仅+0.01 USDT）。
基本面：SNDK是Backpack在Solana链上发行的锚定美股闪迪（SanDisk）的代币化股票（RWA），并非原生项目代币。闪迪作为AI存储龙头，虽长期受益于AI数据中心NAND闪存需求，但近期Q3财报后“利好出尽”，引发抛售。10月29日财报前市场情绪谨慎。
标的缺陷：该映射代币无真实生态落地与代币经济模型，无分红与投票权。链上深度极差，流动性薄弱，筹码高度集中，行情常与美股正股脱钩，易出现溢价/折价异常。
75倍杠杆下绝对利润极薄。RWA映射代币极易插针。立即平仓锁定利润，放弃高杠杆博弈。$BTC $ETH #特斯拉发布新一代Roadster，行情走高 What truly kills retail accounts is never a sudden crash, but this endless dull knife cutting losses.
Still fixated on the number 1085, fantasizing "It’s dropped so much, it should rebound now, right?"
Look back from the high of 1494 rolling down all the way, how many times did it give you a tiny bit of hope,
only to be followed by an even deeper sucker punch. This is not a shakeout; this is bleeding the bulls.
Look at this 4-hour chart, 1176, 1163, every rebound high is mercilessly moving lower, with dense trapped positions and moving average resistance above.
The current market is like a leaking broken ship, retail investors are desperately bailing water out, while the smart money has long escaped on the lifeboat.
If you rush in to go long now, you’re just catching the last baton.
My short position at 1218.77 is currently comfortably sitting on 548% profit.
Many ask if I’m afraid of a sudden spike up?
Even if the main force tries their hardest to spike up, they won’t hit my bottom line. This is the absolute dominance of high-level trend-following shorts.
As for the recent low smashed at 1076, don’t think it’s some iron bottom.
In an absolute downtrend, previous lows are meant to be broken. As long as the rebound is weak, it signals the bears will continue to press.
Stop blindly guessing the bottom, put away those unrealistic fantasies. This ride hasn’t reached the station yet; triple-digit ZEC is coming soon.
$BTC $ETH $ZEC
#Nasdaq down 5.5% this week, chip stocks down eight consecutive days #NetflixQ3AdsAndMargins
Yes, subscriptions + ads can grow, margin — improve even more.
Revenue growth is slowing (~12% in Q3), but prices, password-sharing, and especially ads (~$3 billion in 2026, doubling) compensate.
Margin of 33.2% in Q3 and 31.5% for the year looks realistic.
The main risk is engagement and competition.
Report on October 20: more important than Q3 itself are the guidance and comments on advertising.Big Brother Maji just fell, and his successor has appeared
Big Brother Maji was just completely liquidated, and someone stepped up to take over
On Hype, there's an address 0x30a…6393e, whose account profits once reached as high as $19.7 million at the end of September. But in just half a month, it directly followed Big Brother Maji's old path
Last night, his $11.74 million ETH long position was fully liquidated, losing $1.08 million in one go. So far, combining his ETH and BTC, he has cut losses totaling $4.5 million
But the most outrageous is his BTC long position
Opened in the early hours of October 16, with 40x leverage to go long on BTC. At first, the position wasn't this large, but as the price dropped, he kept adding, forcefully increasing the position to $187 million.
Now, he still holds a $110 million BTC 40x long position, with an unrealized loss of $287,000
He set a rule for himself: stop loss entirely if it falls below 80,500
BTC is now hovering around 84,000, about $3,500 away from his stop loss line. If BTC really falls to 80,500, this $110 million position with 40x leverage will be even more disastrous than Big Brother Maji's liquidation last night
Making $19.7 million but not exiting, instead adding leverage to hold on to death. The same long position, the same high leverage, the same adding as the price falls
This is not a new retail trader; this is clearly Big Brother Maji's "cyber reincarnation"
What do you think, can he be a bit more dignified than Big Brother Maji?
The above is compiled from on-chain data and does not constitute any trading advice
$ETH $BTC Synchronized surge in the early morning, the trigger has been found
At 3 a.m., $BTC and $ETH rose in sync. The driving force behind this rebound has finally surfaced: Trump's latest public speech combined with Iran's shipping signals—two geopolitical news items landed almost simultaneously.
To rally for the midterm elections, Trump mentioned oil prices at a rally in Kentucky, stating that the 8-month-long Iran conflict will soon come to an end. Once the ceasefire is in place, gasoline prices are expected to fall back to pre-war levels. Almost at the same time, Iran's foreign minister announced a 7-day plan, stating that if conditions are met, normal shipping through the Strait of Hormuz can resume.
With these two signals combined, expectations of Middle East geopolitical tensions quickly cooled. The risk premium on the energy side fell, market risk aversion eased, and risk assets got a breather, triggering the rebound of BTC and ETH.
However, the rebound has a trigger but does not mean the macro risks have been defused. US CPI and PPI both exceeded expectations, and whether there will be another rate hike this year remains uncertain. Expectations before the end-of-month FOMC meeting are unlikely to be fully realized. The easing of geopolitical tensions can relieve short-term sentiment, but sustainability depends on whether funds will continue to support.
In short: The news sparked the fire, but the macro environment is still pressing. $BTC $ETH $STRK #US CPI and PPI both exceed expectations, will there be another rate hike this year? $FIL really makes me laugh to death, FIL pulled up to 1.22 quite strongly yesterday
The dog whales must be crying in panic, afraid they can't sell their chips
The whole virtual machine was like this before, pumped up and crazily selling mining machines, now they find they can't sell mining machines anymore, they're anxious
They directly want to lick the AI cake, but they have nothing to do with AI themselves
Now AI is a bit of a bubble, real storage is falling, hitting a wall and can't continue the act
They just flipped the table, openly dumping, isn't this market a dump now, falling steadily like this
I dare say it will keep falling steadily to 0.75 from now on
Keep falling, I'm not afraid of you buying, buy as much as you wantKFC will switch from Pepsi to Coca-Cola starting in 2027, affecting 3,700 stores in the U.S. Nearly 40 years of partnership lost due to a single shareholders' meeting.
On October 15, the president of KFC U.S. confirmed the switch will start in January 2027 and be completed by spring.
Pepsi acquired KFC in 1986, then spun off into Yum! Brands in 1997, but the supply relationship remained.
The market had already decided the winner. In the past six months, Coca-Cola is up 24.0%, Pepsi down 16.6%, a 40.6-point difference.
On October 15, Pepsi hit an intraday high of 133.15, closing at 128.38, down 3.6% from the peak.
I think this switch really changes the default choice; the purchase volume is a minor issue.
Fast food channels sell the "unthinking first choice." The brand set as default takes away a generation's first order.
The driving force is also worth noting. Yum! Brands is under pressure from Elliott; switching cola is seen as a way to boost customer traffic.
The one who kicked Pepsi out was Yum! Brands' shareholders' meeting.
So the marginal impact on Pepsi is limited. The 40-point difference isn't caused by this alone; the market had already priced in losses in the restaurant channel.
We have to wait for KFC U.S. same-store sales after the spring 2027 switch: if they rise, it shows beverages are the entry point; if not, this logic falls apart, which would actually be good news for Pepsi.
Invalidation condition: if KFC U.S. same-store sales improve for two consecutive quarters after the 2027 switch, the "limited impact" assumption is void.
Which side are you betting on: the end of Pepsi's channel, or an overrated soda?
$PEP $KO $YUM
#PepsiLosesGround #Netflix growth may slow, advertising business becomes a new highlight #Netflix growth may slow, advertising business becomes a new highlight
Netflix's Q3 guidance given in July is revenue of about 12.86 billion and EPS of 0.82, and the current consensus basically follows this number.
The advertising business doubling to around 3 billion this year is the key point; as long as Q3 does not show a significant slowdown and the full-year guidance is not revised downward, the probability of exceeding expectations is high.
So my choice is Netflix YES. $BTC 100倍杠杆捕获回落段，浮盈266%安全垫极厚，但BTC属高波动龙头（受宏观流动性/ETF/巨鲸异动影响大），理论反向波动仅约1%即可触及强平线，结合维持保证金、手续费与资金费率损耗，实盘短时插针/滑点放大时0.8%~0.9%反向波动即可能强平。这会儿反弹遇阻，抛压显现。
BTCUSDT永续100倍空单持仓中，开仓均价83,250，标记价格81,033.8，浮盈+266.16%，高位承压。
自83,250进场，卖盘承接，宏观承压回落。后市两种路径：顺势向下测试；或震荡蓄力再弱。
操作规划：底仓持有，止损严卡83,250保本线（必设移动止盈），浮盈安全垫应对波动，不急全平，强烈建议立即提现本金及绝大部分利润/降杠杆，留极小底仓博弈趋势，100倍下切忌贪婪。$ETH $ZEC #特斯拉发布新一代Roadster，行情走高 Don't be misled by the liquidation leaderboard: ETH still has 546 million short position explosives hanging overhead💣
In the past 24 hours, over 222 million long positions liquidated flooded the screen, making it seem like the “long massacre” is the main story. But the liquidation heatmap tells a different story: two clusters of short liquidations above ETH total 546 million, while long liquidations below are only 187 million — nearly three times more explosives overhead. Shorts are chasing the drop while piling explosives under their own feet🧨.
The trigger isn't complicated: BTC fell below 81,000, ETH lost 2,400, Brent crude briefly surged to 110 USD, core CPI was hotter than expected, rate hike bets intensified, and liquidity was drained. ETF net outflow in a single day was 82.41 million, BlackRock's IBIT fled 71.8 million, but on October 13 similar funds had a net inflow of 175.7 million — a single-day withdrawal ≠ systemic panic. The fear and greed index is 25, indicating extreme market fear😨.
More importantly, ETH open interest shrank from 20 billion to 15 billion, leverage has been cleaned out once; BTC at 81,000 held support after three retests. The market is betting “longs will finish liquidating and then prices will fall,” but longs are decreasing while shorts are increasing. Crowded shorts themselves are the fuel for the next wave⛽.
Traders, don’t just watch if 80,000 breaks; watch ETH 2,500–2,510: breaking above could ignite the short liquidation clusters above, and short squeezes often move faster than drops🚀.
High leverage is a double-edged sword: right direction means gains, wrong means cuts. Don’t overleverage your position; staying alive means there’s a next round🛡️.$STRK 永续。方向：50倍做空。开仓：0.079，现标记价：0.06143，浮盈：1112.02%。
价格已大幅脱离成本区（跌幅约22.2%），浮盈突破十倍，但50倍极高杠杆下，低位剧烈洗盘风险极高（微小反抽即致利润大幅回撤）。技术面看，0.07-0.079区间形成极厚重反压带，大结构极端偏空；然0.06143低位空头获利盘极其丰厚，下方承接与反抽试探必然增强，追空性价比极低，大概率转入宽幅震荡。
1112%利润需极强化锁定。建议防守线上移至0.065-0.067，七成以上仓位止盈落袋，极小底仓保留博弈破低。若放量站回0.07需警惕，站回0.079则结构反转必须离场。空仓者严禁追空，等待反抽确认抛压。$SOL $FIL #特斯拉发布新一代Roadster，行情走高 # Netflix Growth May Slow, Advertising Business Becomes New Focus
Netflix is slowing down in growth speed, not monetization
In the first half of the year, viewing time growth was only about 2%, and after the earnings report, the stock fell more than 8% in after-hours trading — user growth has peaked, and the "betting on hits" model is showing diminishing returns. But the real second curve lies in advertising:
① More than half of new registered users actively choose ad-supported plans, and the base of ad members is already established; ② Starting in 2026, the advertising tier will see systematic price increases, turning low-cost plans from customer acquisition tools into monetization entry points; ③ Advertising marginal costs are extremely low, and once a critical point is passed, operational leverage will be considerable.
Risks: Advertising inventory and pricing are still ramping up, and hit uncertainty is increasing.
In short: Netflix is shifting from a "user count narrative" to a "per-user value narrative," with advertising as the key variable for valuation reassessment. Sun Yuchen's address received 7.2 trillion PEPE 22 hours ago, valued at $28.44 million. This is the first time this address has moved PEPE since June 2024.
The funds came out from Poloniex's multisig address. Poloniex is an exchange associated with him, so transferring out from their own multisig is more like an internal allocation.
Let's break down the numbers. 7.2 trillion tokens account for about 1.7% of PEPE's circulating supply, and $28.44 million equals 17.6% of PEPE's global daily trading volume.
PEPE is currently at 0.00000383, down 1.7% in 24 hours, which is 28.5% lower than 0.000005359 on September 22.
I think this news has been misread.
Transferring out from an exchange multisig address is essentially a withdrawal, not a position build-up. He didn't buy on the market; he just moved coins from custody to his own wallet.
Interpreting a transfer as a buy signal is the most common misreading in on-chain analysis.
What really matters for trading implications is the next step: will he deposit back to an exchange?
If these coins appear in any exchange hot wallet within 7 days, that would be a sell signal; if they just sit there, this news has no price impact.
I’m not chasing this. The real ceiling for meme coins is never who holds them, but who is ready to sell.
Invalidation condition: If this address transfers PEPE back to an exchange, the above judgment of no trading implication is void, and then it should be considered selling pressure.
Which side are you betting on: a build-up signal or just custody relocation?
$PEPE
#OnChainActivityGrayscale's decentralized finance (DeFi) fund has rebalanced its DeFi portfolio:
Increased holdings of $UNI and $ENA by over 5%, reduced $AAVE
I guess this is based on expectations for UNI's fee switch and ENA's stablecoin yield narrative, though AAVE's fundamentals are solid. It might just be profit-taking, increasing UNI and ENA by over 5% while reducing other positions. This rebalancing shows Grayscale is betting on leading DeFi protocols, with a pretty clear direction.
#TradingVoice: Your experience deserves to be heard After CPI and PPI both exceeded expectations, this round of sideways movement looks more like passive defense rather than simply waiting for data. Funding rates turned negative and open interest narrowed, indicating leveraged longs are actively reducing risk; prices haven't moved much, but chips are quietly changing hands.📊
$BTC: The 80,000 level has been repeatedly tested and supported; the negative funding rate means shorts are paying to bet, while whales are increasing holdings against the trend. The market doesn't look bearish in trend, but more like weak hands passing chips to strong hands. 80,000 is the short-term lifeline—holding it means continued consolidation, losing it points to 78,000.🧱
$ETH: Weaker than BTC, ETFs continue to bleed, institutions are retreating and reducing exposure here first. But leverage has decreased and shorts aren't crowded; if BTC stabilizes, short covering could bring a short-term rebound. Without ETF bleeding stopping, the rebound is hard to sustain, and Ethereum still lacks the independent strength to rise.⚠️
$XAUT Gold: A rare beneficiary amid risk-off. U.S. Treasury yields have fallen, funds are shifting from crypto ETFs to gold ETFs, with global gold ETF net inflows hitting a record high in Q3, and central banks continue to increase holdings. BTC buying is more short-term leveraged, gold buying is more for allocation, with patience on a different scale.🥇
Conclusion: The essence of the sideways movement is defensive rotation, not a directional choice. #USCPIandPPIbothexceededexpectations, will there be another rate hike this year? #Netflix growth may slow, advertising business becomes new focus $ETH 100x空单浮盈204%，开仓2423.22，标记2373.69。绝对利润仅0.04U。
链上数据：ETH全网实现价格约2450，当前价低于全网平均持仓成本，全网深陷浮亏，抛压心理沉重。筹码呈“鲸买散卖”分化：巨鲸逢低吸筹，但中小散户持续割肉离场。验证者退出队列归零，质押抛压减弱，但短期缺乏上涨催化。
技术面：2370附近测试支撑，2300为关键防守。
高倍杠杆+极低利润=定时炸弹。鲸鱼底部分布不代表马上反弹，100倍下一次插针就归零。$BTC $ZEC #特斯拉发布新一代Roadster，行情走高 Tesla's next-generation Roadster is generating excitement, but the market may be pricing in future possibilities rather than near-term earnings. Short term: The Tesla × SpaceX narrative could fuel speculation around futuristic performance, autonomous driving, robotics, and aerospace synergies. Mid term: Production timing and commercial viability remain key uncertainties. The real test is whether these innovations translate into sustainable revenue, stronger margins, and improved free cash flow. Last night at 11 PM during the review, I watched the NFP's -65.8% K-line for a long time. I set a rule for myself: narrative coins without cash flow support should not exceed 3% of the total position in a single trade. This time I just hit that line; a 65% drop only took away less than 2% of the total funds, and the overall account drawdown was 0.9%. The rule isn't pretty, but it saved me today.
Looking at mainstream assets: BTC at 81,161, down only 0.3% in 24 hours; ETH at 2,378, down 1.5%. This comparison really tells the story — liquidity hasn't left the market, it's just contracting into the most core assets. ETH/BTC continues to weaken; I don't think it's that ETH itself is weak, but more like the market is waiting for a cash flow story that can settle accounts clearly, rather than another round of empty narratives.
So my approach lately has been simple: keep mainstream spot positions unchanged, put some ETH into staking and liquid staking, earning about 3% annualized, which is more comfortable than repeatedly getting stopped out in altcoins. I also look at those double-digit APYs in DeFi, but only as risk exposure, not as a source of income. When the market doesn't give you opportunities, holding without losses is itself a form of return.
How much position do you still dare to leave for narrative coins?
Follow me for continuous sharing of live trading logic and position strategies
#ETH #DeFi #staking #BTC
#OKXProphet Today, due to the market bleeding, $STRK, $BCH, and $NEAR all dropped.
STRK suffered the worst drop, plunging 11%. Its market cap is only 478 million, but the turnover/market cap ratio reached as high as 87%. This indicates that the whales are selling off, and there are very few retail buyers taking over. It is already 98.5% below its ATH, so it's advised not to touch it.
BCH is the most stable, only slightly down 0.5% following the market trend. It is basically fully circulating now, with a turnover/market cap ratio of just 2.5%, indicating clean chips and that not many people played it before.
Essentially, it still moves with BTC, but the narrative is too old and there's not much to play with.
NEAR has also given back the gains from previous hype, dropping 3%. It can only serve as a flexible position relying on AI storytelling. It has the largest market cap, but unlimited inflation is a ticking time bomb, and it is 76.5% below its ATH.
If it holds above 5, there is still hope; if it breaks below 4.3, it loses significance.
BCH is worth holding, NEAR should wait for a pullback, and STRK should be avoided.