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#10月FOMC利率决议即将公布
Tonight's script is very simple. The plan for the first half of the night is to short Bitcoin down to around 80000, even 79800, which is a buying opportunity, with a target near 82200.$BREV Let me summarize the current situation.
Entered at 0.08489, now at 0.0823, +61%. Short position.
First, the bad: 0.082 just broke, only by 0.36%, almost like it didn't break. This kind of "just barely breaking" usually ends with a spike down, triggering a bunch of stop losses, then pulling back. I've been fooled by this level several times tonight, so I'm not excited.
Now the good: It touched a low of 0.07961 during the session, indicating there is real selling pressure downwards, not just grinding. Also, 0.0796 was recovered, meaning there was buying support—this support has been tested once, making it more reliable than untested support.
My action: I closed most of my main position. The fallback is 3.15%, with 20x leverage this is just a thin line; no need to risk 61 points for a little extra profit.
Levels: Resistance at 0.085, support at 0.08. If it breaks above 0.085, I clear out; if it breaks below 0.08, I look at 0.0796, and if it breaks further, then 0.075. Sitting tight in between. $BTC $ETH
#10月FOMC利率决议即将公布 SK Hynix's "precedent is set," which is positive for the AI industry narrative, but it also brings some validation pressure to the three major cloud providers! As mentioned earlier, SK Hynix's financial report validates the sustainability of AI capital initiation and extends the future of AI hardware to 2030, proving that there is more room for imagination in future capital expenditures. More importantly, SK Hynix's willingness to pay dividends demonstrates the company's confidence in its ability to maintain profitability in the future. As an upstream semiconductor AI equipment industry player, the positive financial report will inevitably drive the downstream industry to some extent, most directly benefiting Google, Amazon, and Microsoft. #10月FOMC利率决议即将公布 Microsoft: SK Hynix's financial report is positive for Azure + AI Services + AI infrastructure utilization. Google: Demand is positive, but there is a trap. SK Hynix's financial report is positive for Google's revenue, but storage premiums may compress Google's profit margins, so Google's benefits should be viewed with relative caution. Amazon: The logic is simple—strong demand for SK Hynix → strong AI server deployment → strong AWS infrastructure demand, but this also poses a challenge to Amazon's free cash flow. On the other hand, the upstream semiconductor hardware industry has proven the expansion capacity of capital expenditures. Downstream cloud providers and end AI commercial enterprises must bear another narrative pressure—whether the speed of spending money and making money can be proportional. Therefore, the three major cloud providers need to focus on the logic of AI capital expenditure → AI revenue → AI profit to see if it can form a perfect closed loop. No今晚真正要盯的不是利率数字，是鲍威尔张嘴那一瞬间的语气。 预期都提前计价了吗，还是市场只是在假装淡定？ 看盘到现在，我反而没那么在意结果本身。BTC 贴着 80K 附近横着，表面像在等，但那种安静不太像放松，更像大家把仓位先收回来一点，谁都不想在高波动前当那个先冲的人。ETH、SOL、ZEC 的波动更明显，说明边缘风险偏好还在，只是承接深度明显跟不上情绪的热闹。 - 利率大概率已被消化，真正会动价格的是十二月路径的措辞和记者会里的边角语气 - 偏鹰的意外更容易打到高 beta 板块，ETH 和 SOL 的回撤弹性会比 BTC 更夸张 - 若措辞偏软，反弹会先出现在大市值，再慢慢传到山寨，节奏不会一步到位 我自己的理解是，这一晚更像跨市场联动下的情绪重定价，而不是单一事件驱动。美债收益率和美元若同步走强，风险预算会被压一压，BTC 的 82K 就变成需要量能确认的位置，而不是随口喊的目标；反过来，若语气温和，ETH 2,400、SOL 110、ZEC 1,350 这些位置更像情绪修复的检验点，不是无脑追的理由。表面热闹和真实承接之间的落差，才是今晚最容易被忽略的地方。 偏多路径需要看到回#FOMC decision will be announced tonight, but I'm more concerned about what they say after the pause
At 2 a.m. Beijing time on October 29, the Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision. The latest U.S. consumer confidence rose to 91.7, making me more eager to hear how policymakers assess economic resilience. For this meeting, I will separate the interest rate outcome from the future path: first listen to the 2:30 a.m. press conference for statements on subsequent rate hikes, then observe the two-year Treasury yield and the dollar. If rates remain unchanged but the market raises expectations for future hikes, BTC and tech stocks could still face pressure. I will reserve judgment on the initial price reaction until after the press conference concludes.Gold is about to break through, and the bulls are celebrating wildly! This wave of the market perfectly exemplifies "trend is king."
$XAU has shown strong recent momentum, breaking resistance on the hourly chart continuously, rising from 4001 to 4063, with bulls continuing their advance. The fundamentals are supported by global central banks increasing holdings and risk aversion driving demand, making gold assets favored again.
I established a long position at an average price of 4001, with a floating profit of 154%. The logic is a breakout above the previous high followed by a pullback confirmation, supported by volume, holding the position awaiting further rise.
Current price is 4063, short-term indicators are overheated, caution for a pullback after a spike. The mid-term target is 4100, with 4010 as the key support-resistance dividing line. $BTC $ZEC $BLUR short position, let me explain my thinking.
Shorted at 0.008568, current price 0.008244, floating profit 75%. The logic is simple — it broke below the previous low structure, so I followed the short. It has dropped 3.78% so far, the direction is correct.
But there's one thing I need to clarify: the retreat limit is only 3.93%.
What does that mean? If it rebounds 3.93%, this 75% profit will be wiped out completely. So I took profits on my main position first, this is discipline, no negotiation. Many people want to "hold on" after making a profit, but I can't — the margin is too thin, I can't hold it.
0.0082 just broke, the range is pitifully small, it's a probe. Looking up to 0.0085 (3.11%), if it stands back above this, the short logic is invalid, I admit I was wrong. Only breaking 0.008 counts as a real breakdown, then look for 0.0075.
That's it, keep the base position, move stop loss above cost, no adding positions. $BTC $ETH
#10月FOMC利率决议即将公布 AI pulled the Nasdaq up, so why did Bitcoin only follow halfway?
On October 28, AI sentiment drove the Nasdaq up 1.18%, and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index rose over 2%. Bitcoin only increased by 0.95%, hovering around $80,900, and even briefly dipped below $80,000 during the Asian session.
Tech stocks are rising, but crypto is barely keeping up.
There is a straightforward logic behind this.
The most certain growth narratives in the current market are AI and chips. When capital seeks certainty, it prioritizes assets with realized earnings and order support. Although Bitcoin correlates with tech stocks, on the eve of the Federal Reserve decision, its pricing is more about trading the "interest rate path" and "risk appetite" rather than specific industry growth.
Hence, this divergence occurs: chips are trading AI demand, while Bitcoin is trading macro uncertainty.
Here lies a pitfall.
Many see tech stocks rising and assume crypto will surge as well, so they increase positions before the decision. But crypto often reacts more sensitively to macro events and is more likely to move in the opposite direction after news breaks. Leveraged users are especially vulnerable to being wiped out in an environment that "seems to show improving risk appetite."
What’s truly worth watching is not whether rates move tonight, but the post-meeting statements hinting at the December path and whether capital will continue to flow from high-certainty assets (chips, AI) to risk assets (crypto).
If the flow is not obvious, Bitcoin will likely continue to consolidate around $80,000; if the flow begins, we may see more sustained follow-through gains.
How do you view this divergence now?
Do you think the rhythm difference between tech stocks and crypto is temporary or will last for a while? Have you adjusted your own positions accordingly?
$BTC #FederalReserve #AI #Macroeconomics #OKXPlanetBrothers, another on-chain data worth paying attention to has come out.
The realized market cap of $BTC Bitcoin has rebounded from the low point, increasing by 31 billion USD. Many people see this data warming up and their first reaction is that it will surge, but don't be too optimistic yet.
Previously, at the 2025 peak, this indicator was also rising. Behind it were long-term holders who took advantage of the lively market to sell their chips to newcomers chasing in. In simple terms, it was profit-taking.
So the rise of this indicator does not necessarily mean it will continue to rise later; it only indicates that more profits are being realized in the market now.
Next, focus on two key points: first, whether this indicator can continue to rise; second, when new funds enter, whether the price can hold the gains and not be crushed by a bunch of profit-taking.
In a volatile market, the biggest taboo is to blindly be bullish based on a single data point. Old whales can cash out at any time, so positions must be controlled and don't rush blindly. $ETH $SOL
#10月FOMC利率决议即将公布 Rising back to 81,000, don't be too quick to celebrate; this wave looks more like positions unloading rather than new money coming in.....
BTC rose nearly 1.3% in 24 hours, but OKX contract positions actually dropped by almost 6%, and the long-short account ratio fell from 2.23 to 1.87. Price is going up, positions are going down, so the number of people chasing hasn't really increased!?
Thursday at 2 AM is the FOMC. I'm watching the 80,845 level; if it holds, then look at 81,823. If it falls back, don't force it🤣
#10月FOMC利率決議即將公布 $MSFT, will the market continue to pay for AI investments, or start questioning the returns? The company is scheduled to release earnings after the close on October 28. Investors will focus on cloud growth, AI product usage, and the balance of capital expenditures. If revenue and profit margins can prove that the investments form a closed loop, the valuation is supported; if investments rise but monetization lags, I will downgrade my assessment of the AI premium. My first reaction is not excitement, but fear of missing out. A broad rally too easily makes people mistake greed for judgment 🫠
Bitcoin broke above $81,000, mainstream coins broadly rallied before the Fed decision, with HYPE and ZEC leading the gains. I see this as a warming of sentiment, not confirmation of direction: the decision hasn't been made yet, holders may be busy looking for positive signals, while onlookers fear missing out.
I also have to guard against confirmation bias and not substitute rising prices for validation. Seeing this wave, is your first reaction fear of missing out, or fear of a reversal after the decision?Check $DOGE here. The 1H chart rallied from $0.07660 to $0.08064, but sellers have pushed price back to $0.07966. The uptrend remains visible, though short-term profit-taking is kicking in.
Entry: $0.07950-$0.07970
SL: $0.08070
TP1: $0.07900
TP2: $0.07850
TP3: $0.07800
Holding $0.0790 could support recovery. A breakdown may deepen the pullback. Wait for confirmation.$PEPE fans have probably seen this news by now, so don't rush in impulsively.
In short: the PEPE spot ETF filing update is just a submission of revised materials ≠ approval. It's an expected positive, but the certainty of it actually happening is very low.
To be clear, it's just supplementing materials, not SEC approval. This is the first time a #Meme coin is trying to follow the same ETF regulatory path as BTC and ETH. Those passed because they have asset narratives backing them, but PEPE is driven purely by market sentiment consensus as a meme, with no underlying business. The SEC's review threshold for this type of asset is much stricter, and the chance of rejection is quite high.
The usual pattern now is that once the news comes out, there's a pump as many rush in to take a chance. If the SEC then pours cold water on it, a large amount of profit-taking will cause a dump.
So, my advice to fans is to speculate cautiously, never go all-in betting, and prioritize risk avoidance.
#谷歌云业务增长82%，AI投入回报如何？ $BLESS maintaining strong upside momentum after a sharp price expansion. Holding above the nearby support zone could attract further buying pressure.
EP
0.01120 – 0.01155
TP
0.01210
0.01270
0.01340
SL
0.01085
The bullish structure remains attractive as long as buyers defend support. A breakout above nearby resistance could open the door to another upward move.
Let’s go $BLESS
#StrategyQ3BTCGains $BCH Damn it! This BCH chart is giving me a headache. Around 297, the manipulative whales are faking moves back and forth, washing out retail traders who are crying out loud. The candlesticks have been shrinking in volume and moving sideways for a long time; it's clear someone is quietly accumulating. This wave is purely a game of tactics, with no news support, relying entirely on the battle at the order book. My straightforward plan as a veteran: gradually build positions around 297.15, set stop loss below 290, admit defeat if it breaks down, and if it holds, target around 310. Don't chase the highs; wait for a pullback. Those who want to follow, keep an eye on the market card below, control your position size, and always use stop loss. How long do you think these manipulative whales can keep grinding? 👇👇👇#谷歌云业务增长82%，AI投入回报如何？
My subjective judgment: The probability of a decline after the earnings report is about 55%, and the probability of an increase is about 45%. This is a subjective estimate based on current information, not the result of a statistical model.
There are three main reasons:
1. Market expectations are already high. The market expects Q3 revenue to be about $128 billion, with Google Cloud revenue expected to approach $29 billion. Even if the performance exceeds expectations, if the margin of excess is not large enough, the stock price may still fall.
2. AI capital expenditure is the biggest hidden risk. The 2026 capital expenditure guidance has been raised to $195 billion–$205 billion. If management continues to increase investment without providing clear return expectations, the market may choose to take profits.
3. Stock price reaction is more important than earnings numbers. The market looks not only at this quarter's performance but also at cloud business profit margins, free cash flow, and future guidance. The options market expects the stock price to fluctuate about 6% around the earnings report.
My trading inclination: short-term bearish, but I do not recommend heavy short positions directly. If the stock price rebounds weakly after the earnings release and breaks after-hours support, consider following the trend to short; if the cloud business significantly exceeds expectations and the stock price rises with volume, promptly abandon the bearish view.
In a word: I am more cautious about the realization of positive news rather than simply betting on underperformance. The key this time is not how much Google earned, but whether the market believes the AI investment can bring sufficient returns.$APR holding strong momentum following its recent upward expansion. Consolidation near current levels could help establish a stronger base for the next move.
EP
0.04380 – 0.04480
TP
0.04650
0.04800
0.05000
SL
0.04250
The bullish outlook remains valid while APR holds its demand zone. A confirmed breakout above resistance could bring additional upside momentum.
Let’s go $APR
#RobinhoodQ3ProfitFalls Macro background: After the FOMC, the real test is just beginning
The FOMC itself did not create surprises, but PCE (October 29) and about $11 billion in options expiring (October 30) followed in quick succession, forming the real source of volatility this week. Pricing in the options market has already reflected a defensive bias: implied volatility of put options (44%) is higher than that of call options (38%), with traders paying a premium for downside risk.
Geopolitical and tech stock disturbances have not dissipated either: Brent crude oil fluctuates around the 117 range, Nvidia fell about 8% this week, Meta dropped 9%, and the suppression of risk appetite is systemic $BTC $ETH $ZEC #微软Azure增长43%，AI商业化能否提速？ Sun Yuchen has become the largest individual holder of $PEPE, holding tokens worth 51.25 million USD in a vesting wallet, according to Arkham data.Yushu Technology's third-quarter revenue continued to grow, but profit performance showed divergence.
In the third quarter of 2026, the company achieved revenue of ¥665 million, a year-on-year increase of 69.93%; net profit attributable to the parent company was ¥113 million, a year-on-year decrease of 17.37%, and net profit excluding non-recurring items also declined by 17.42% year-on-year.
Looking at the first three quarters, revenue reached ¥1.817 billion, a year-on-year increase of 55.71%; net profit attributable to the parent company increased by 270.54% to ¥387 million, but net profit excluding non-recurring items decreased by 18.78% year-on-year.
Revenue is growing, but third-quarter profits are under pressure, and the high growth in net profit attributable to the parent company in the first three quarters is not reflected in net profit excluding non-recurring items.
#宇树科技On CHIP, the volume of a single hourly candle expanded to 9.52 times the average of the previous 24 closed hourly candles, yet the price dropped from 0.05603 to 0.05153. OKX spot trading from 19:00 to 20:00 was about $509,800, down approximately 8.0%.
At 20:25, the price rebounded to 0.05214. My judgment is that the sell orders dominated at 19:00, and the current rebound is not enough to indicate the downtrend has ended. The 20:00 hourly candle has not closed yet, and the current volume of about $98,000 cannot be directly compared to the previous full hour.
The buy and sell depth within 1% of the price is about $73,100 and $75,000 respectively. Order book entries will change and cannot be considered as already executed support. If the 20:00 close is above 0.05153 and the next hour's pullback holds above that level, I will reassess the continuation of selling pressure; if it first breaks below the 20:00 low of 0.05063, the current rebound has not held.
$CHIP $SNDK Sandisk evening short-term trend analysis:
The current price is around 1363. From the market perspective, the price has risen steadily from 1230 to around 1375 where it encountered resistance; on-chain funds show dense sell orders around 1380, indicating short-term pressure from bears, but there has been no significant pullback, instead stabilizing around 1360, suggesting decent support below. #10月FOMC利率决议即将公布
According to Guan Ge, this main upward wave trend is not yet complete, and another rally is expected after the US stock market opens tonight.The 75x liquidation was on points, not money
In the simulation account, a 75x full position was liquidated twice overnight.
The loss was only 248 and 188 practice points.
First, understand the leverage:
75x means if the price moves about 1.3% against you, the principal is gone.
A full position means staking the entire account balance.
So it's not that the market dropped a lot, but the room to withstand losses was originally narrow.
Next, look at the asset:
$SNDK, a small-cap stock with large volatility, is more likely to be liquidated first at the same leverage.
$NVDA surviving a 50x position means the asset is more stable and can withstand it.
Losing points doesn't hurt, but with real money at the same leverage, the result is the same.
#Meta融资增至975亿美元，英伟达认购30亿
#$SNDK $NVDA Check $OKB here. The 1H chart has climbed from $107.63 to $111.30, but sellers have pushed price back to $110.48. Momentum remains bullish, though resistance is emerging near the recent high.
Entry: $110.30-$110.50
SL: $111.40
TP1: $109.80
TP2: $109.20
TP3: $108.50
A break above $111.30 could extend the rally. Losing $110 may invite a deeper pullback. Wait for confirmation.Replacing "Crypto" in the name with "Frontier," my first reaction was also: Is crypto VC turning around? But downplaying crypto in the name VS capital exiting crypto are really two different things. According to the material, a16z has expanded the investment scope of the new fund, and Chris Dixon clearly stated that they will continue to invest in crypto.
I think this feels more like competitive pressure for crypto entrepreneurs rather than a signal of exit. Focusing on crypto VS covering frontier technology means projects might be competing for the same pool of funds. My guess is, if investment options increase, then just telling the story "we are a crypto project" will be harder to impress investors; what problem the product actually solves will become more important.
So I wouldn’t interpret the renaming directly as negative news, but I also wouldn’t see it as positive: continuing to invest doesn’t mean crypto is still the sole protagonist. Are you on the side of "expanding scope brings new opportunities," or on the side of "crypto projects will be split in attention"? After the Federal Reserve FOMC meeting, the interest rate decision will be announced at 2:00 AM on October 29, followed by a press conference by Powell at 2:30 AM. According to CME's "FedWatch" data, the probability of maintaining the interest rate this week is 92.8%, with a 7.2% chance of a 25 basis point hike; by December, the probability of maintaining the rate is 16.4%, a 77.7% chance of a 25 basis point hike, and a 5.9% chance of a 50 basis point hike. The core game is not the decision itself but the wording of the post-meeting statement that will set the tone for December's policy. Bitcoin is highly sensitive to interest rate expectations, and the next phase's direction is more likely to be determined by the interest rate path. Additionally, Brent crude oil, due to supply concerns, once approached $117 per barrel before falling back below $114. Nvidia fell about 8% this week, Meta about 9%, and risk assets overall are under pressure. ETF capital flows show significant divergence: Bitcoin spot ETFs saw a net inflow of about $442 million this week, with $110.3 million inflow on Monday all from BlackRock's IBIT, indicating a marginal reversal in capital flow; Ethereum spot ETFs had a cumulative net outflow of $1.26 billion in October, close to a historical monthly outflow record, with institutional preference for ETH allocation clearly weaker than BTC. The directional choice around the 80000 level previously warned by Wintermute may become clearer after the FOMC. Focus on BTC support defense near 79500 and ETH near 2333 #谷歌云业务增长82%，AI投入回报如何？
On October 29, at 5 AM, Google delivered its report!
From the chart, we can see cloud growth at 65%-75%, annual spending reaching 210 billion, free cash flow turning positive, search up over 15%...
The most aggressive of the seven points is spending: while competitors remain inactive, Google dares to spend like this, firmly believing the window is theirs.
So I boldly predict that Google's earnings report will beat expectations by 90%
Now Google's forecast is nearing the end, with volatile buy-in points; buying at the bottom is a guaranteed profit! To start with the conclusion: $ZEC is now at $1300, up 4.3% in one day. What’s moving today isn’t the price, but the supply side and product side converging simultaneously, while the European channel has just been blocked.
Three things are happening at once: ① The NU7 mainnet activates on November 5 at block height 3,543,405, reducing block time from 75 seconds to 25 seconds. ② Co-founder Sean Bowe proposes reallocating 8% of ZCG’s block subsidy into the network sustainability reserve, locking it from circulation until 2028; ZCG holds 91,453 ZEC worth about $111 million. ③ CoinShares’ Zcash ETP (ZCSH) was suspended on its first day of listing on Euronext Paris today, officially due to "operational settlement requirements," awaiting central securities depository support for settlement.
The money side is another story: OKX perpetual contracts have a 24-hour nominal volume of $949 million, while spot is only $77.86 million, a 12x difference; open interest is $163 million. The price is driven by leverage, not spot consensus. Thirty days ago it was still at 1587, now 1300, down 18%; still 59% below the 2016 all-time high of 3191 — today marks the tenth anniversary of that peak.
Will you wait for NU7 to launch before buying, or use leverage to bet on November 5?AI tokens are no longer telling the same story; the spoils are being divided unevenly.
$NEAR at 4.649, up 4.03% in 24h, with trading volume jumping from the usual tens of millions directly to 93.5 million, RSI at 49.5, and funding rate at 0.0084%—real money is competing.
$TAO at 255.6, up 1.75%, down 17.07% over 30 days, still paying off debt.
$WLD looks bad, at 0.4387, down 0.99% against the trend, down 24.91% over 7 days, losing a quarter of its value in a week. The same AI narrative, one hits the daily limit up while the other crashes, indicating the market no longer recognizes the term "AI concept" but only focuses on the part where users are actually active.
My view: The era of sector premiums is over; next comes the blood test. NEAR's volume is worth watching; avoid buying WLD in the downtrend channel. Robinhood's performance didn't meet market expectations, yet Robinhood Chain surged significantly, which makes me a bit suspicious. The company's results are not ideal, but the crypto world can still be lively, which isn't surprising. What I want to understand first is, what exactly is the relationship between what ordinary people buy and Robinhood? In the futures market, a famous brand doesn't necessarily mean the contract is the same thing. Here, the name carries the same brand, but what rights do you actually have when holding it, or did you just buy into the hype?HOOD, Q3 revenue records growth, why does profit margin remain key? Robinhood announced quarterly net revenue of 1.424 billion USD, up 12% year-over-year, possibly related to a 19% increase in trading, but diluted earnings per share fell 16% to 0.51 USD. Active transaction volume and net inflows indicate strong platform demand, while costs and investment expenses affect profit conversion.
#Apakah pertumbuhan bisnis perdagangan Robinhood dapat berlanjut? Bullish (wait for the right side) — On the daily chart, two consecutive closes above 0.194 with volume ratio ≥1.0, and BTC closes back above daily E21 (81,866); enter on pullback to 0.190-0.194, defense line at 0.1858 (2×4h ATR outside), targets at 0.209 / 0.221 / 0.233, with R:R to TP2 approximately 3.3 $FET The 80,000 mark was just reached, and the shorts were the first to be "bloodied."
In the past 24 hours, about $147 million worth of liquidations occurred across the network, with shorts accounting for as much as 66.7%. Ethereum shorts contributed the largest single liquidation. This is not a bull party; it's leveraged shorts being collectively forced back at the psychological 80,000 level.
What happened? Bitcoin repeatedly tugged near $80,000, shorts bet on a "false breakout," but the price did not fall back, forcing stop-loss orders to trigger in a chain reaction.
Why is this worth noting? Shorts make up nearly 70%, indicating a large concentration of inverse leveraged positions around 80,000, showing significant market divergence. But the contradiction is: Bitcoin ETF daily inflows just turned positive, while monthly cumulative inflows remain a net outflow of about $202 million. The daily chart is recovering, but the monthly chart hasn't reversed.
Which observation is currently more supported? It favors "leveraged liquidation at a key level" rather than a trend reversal. Shorts being cleared doesn't mean bulls have taken over; it just means the pressure has temporarily shifted direction.
Next, watch one thing: After the Fed decision, will 80,000 be confirmed as the bottom by liquidation, or will it be the ceiling of this rebound? Feel free to share your judgment in the comments. $BTC Can meme coins revive the Core blockchain?
@Coredao_Org is a blockchain supported by Bitcoin, supporting $BTC staking and DeFi, but not meme coins.
However, $CORE's activity has dried up. Core's current DeFi TVL is about $3.7 million, a sharp decline from the hundreds of millions in 2024-2025.
@RobinhoodCrypto Chain has demonstrated the potential of meme coins. After its launch, this Layer 2 chain reached a TVL of over $312 million within two weeks, mainly driven by meme trading.
The meme craze can increase Core blockchain's transaction volume, fees, and wallet creation in the short term. However, for Robinhood, this looks like a long-term pull, with the chain's TVL entering the billion-dollar level.
Should the Core community leverage meme coins to revive the blockchain? 08:00 with 924,000 contracts, 09:00 another 777,000 contracts, totaling 1.7 million contracts pushed 12.02 up to 13.09, the only real move today.
Then eleven bars (10:00~20:00) totaled 2.206 million contracts, 30% more than those two bars, but the price only moved from 12.97 to 13.09, a 0.13 increase. The same amount of money moved the price by one full unit earlier, but only 0.13 later, efficiency is over 40 times different—not because no one is pushing, but because someone is absorbing it above.
At 18:00, 230,000 contracts pushed to a 24h high of 13.40, closing at 13.29; at 19:00, 240,000 contracts smashed it back to 13.11, the 13.40 level was a sell order. Current price is 13.09, still 3.4% away from MA20 at 12.655.
Break 13.03 (1H volume ≥ 200,000) and rebound to 13.22~13.32, short with stop loss at 13.44, target 12.86 with odds 2.4, 12.72 with odds 3.2.
Close above 13.40 (1H volume ≥ 250,000) and pull back to 13.30~13.36, go long with stop loss at 13.14, measured target 13.94 with odds 3.2.
Do not trade between 13.03~13.40.
$KORU
(Not investment advice, trade at your own risk) $AVGO, what evidence is needed next for the rise of AI hardware stocks? On Monday, the AI rally drove the Nasdaq higher, and the market is still assigning greater weight to infrastructure demand; true sustainability depends on orders, gross margins, and customer concentration risk. If demand growth translates into cash flow, I will accept valuation expansion; if capital expenditure growth outpaces returns and long-term interest rates rise, stock prices may adjust before earnings do."它是小仓试方向——赚不到大钱，也不该亏钱。"
$WLD 50倍空，0.4465→0.4299，+185.89%。开它的理由很朴素：这个方向还成立，价格突破之后在低位走，是个可以继续跟的位置。仓位小，亏也亏不到哪去。
试仓单的意义不在盈利数字。 185%不算什么，它的价值在于：用锁死为零的成本，保持对这个方向的参与感。
代价我也清楚：反向空间还有0.74%，山寨的插针随时能吞掉它。所以我对它的态度跟老单完全两样——
老单：锁住利润，留一点跟着跑。
新单：先活下来，再谈别的。
上方关键压力就在不远处。破了清仓落袋，继续新低就跟着跑。
小仓试方向，大仓守成果——这两件事我从来分开做。
$BTC $ETH #10月FOMC利率决议即将公布 Brazil's largest private bank Itaú Unibanco has officially opened crypto trading and custody, initially supporting 15 assets. The significance is not just "another bank buying crypto," but that the entrant is Brazil's largest asset manager private bank, serving mainly high-net-worth clients.
Previously, for this type of client to add crypto assets, the path was quite inconvenient: either opening accounts on overseas exchanges, bearing exchange rate and compliance risks themselves; or using local small platforms, enduring liquidity and withdrawal frictions. Now Itaú has integrated trading and custody into its counters, allowing clients to buy and hold crypto within the familiar bank app.
The asset list structure is even more noteworthy. $BTC and ETH are standard, but also included are SOL, XRP, LINK, AVAX, as well as DeFi blue chips like AAVE and UNI, L2 tokens ARB and OP, and even tokenized gold PAXG. This is not a perfunctory list but a basket tailored to client allocation needs.
Behind this is the implementation of new regulations by the Central Bank of Brazil, clarifying compliance and custody requirements. With regulatory certainty, the largest funds are the first to move; what they fear is not volatility but unclear rules.
This is not just a bullish market signal but a change on the demand side: high-net-worth clients' funds entering through licensed banks, with $BTC holders shifting from retail to allocation-type investors. This kind of capital enters slowly and exits slowly.
Note: BTC-USDT, ETH-USDT, SOL-USDTUsing 2x spot leverage with a small amount of capital? It's possible, but it can accelerate your demise. A fan asked: "Please advise, Du Ge, I have a small capital allocation in BTC, CRCL, MSTR, and I want to open 2x spot leverage on all of them. Is that okay? Will the risk be very high? Thanks~" One principle: hold long without leverage, use leverage without holding long. Long-term positions are not low leverage, they are zero leverage. Once you use leverage, you risk being stopped out by price spikes; the price will revert, and your position will be gone. When BTC's pledge rate was 50% on 3/12, it already breached liquidation prices. Fortunately, AnYin has a no-liquidation mechanism. It's like having 100 units, borrowing 50 units, and getting liquidated means BTC doesn't have to drop 50% to liquidate. A 50% spike to quickly recover is totally possible when liquidity is poor. Can you believe it dropped more than 30% for two consecutive days? On 3/12, BTC quickly dropped from 10,000 to 3,000, then quickly pulled back to 6,000, and your position was gone... Many industry veterans were eliminated in this wave. The 2013 125 five ministries document, 2017 94, 2020 312, 2021 519, 2022 crash waves (Luna, Three Arrows, FTX, AnYin... crashes), 2025 1011... all are ruthless. The targets you chose are fine. If you really like leverage, just buy $MSTR, no need to add extra leverage. Respect the market, avoid on-exchange leverage, and give your life a higher fault tolerance. Have you ever been liquidated by a spike?"Bullish on Alphabet ahead of the print! 🚀 Holding a 'Yes' position on Google beating quarterly earnings. With consensus estimating revenue around $127.8B (~25% YoY growth) and EPS around $3.00–$3.03, strong growth in Google Cloud and Search ad revenue could easily push them past expectations. Small temporary dip in P&L, but looking for a solid beat! 📈" Let's talk about $PONS tonight. As of 20:12 Beijing time on October 28, PONS ranked 5th in CoinGecko's hot search. OKX spot price is 0.2891 USDT, up 17.6% in 24h; the entire network's 24h trading volume is about 59.9 million USD, with a market cap of approximately 195 million USD, showing very active turnover.
News: Pons officially announced it has been listed on Robinhood Wallet's Web3 service list. Users can directly access Pons within the wallet to issue tokens and trade on the Robinhood Chain. Additionally, 80% of platform fees are used for buyback and burn, with the official claim that 32% of the total supply has been burned.
My view: PONS is essentially the beta ecosystem of Robinhood Chain. This time it's a solid, entry-level positive compared to previous pump rumors based on grants. Whether it can establish a trend depends on Robinhood's subsequent ecosystem actions and on-chain activity. The buyback strength ultimately depends on platform revenue. "The 191% on the screen is just a number; 0.95% is the reality."
$XRP up over 100 times, from 1.2928 to 1.3175, +191.05%.
Don't be fooled by the percentage. With 100x leverage, the underlying asset only rose 1.91% to generate this 191% paper gain. Conversely: if the price pulls back just 0.95% from the current mark price, this 191% unrealized profit will instantly vanish.
The death of a high-leverage long position is never a trend reversal, but volatility. A normal market fluctuation or a profit-taking by bulls is enough to turn this juicy gain into thin air.
My trading logic is never driven by greed. There's only one move: firmly push the stop loss above the cost line, turning this position into "a tiny amount the exchange owes me." If it doesn't exit, set a deadline; funding rates will turn inertia into losses.
Survive, and the numbers are truly yours. $BTC $ETH #10月FOMC利率决议即将公布 $ZEC
The pan-European exchange has suspended CoinShares' ZEC ETP, but my first reaction is not panic. This kind of thing is not the first time in Europe; it usually relates to liquidity or compliance reviews, though the details weren't specified this time.
Coincidentally, the price didn't cooperate. It was around 1246 24 hours ago, now at 1298, with an intraday high touching 1330. Even though the ETP was suspended, the on-exchange price actually rose 4%.
When one compliance channel closes, demand doesn't necessarily disappear; it just squeezes back into the on-exchange market through licensed channels. The supply is fixed, so I tend to think that in the short term, only a few groups are playing with this coin — outsiders can't get in, insiders can't get out.
To see where it goes next, just watch the trading volume.
#10月FOMC利率决议即将公布 $BTC
Here's a detail: Everyone is waiting for tonight's Federal Reserve decision, but BTC's fee rate remains at 0.01%, unchanged. When it really matters, leveraged funds have gone quiet instead.
The current price is hovering just above 81,200, with less than a $50 difference between OKX and Binance quotes. The 24-hour low was 79,862, the high touched 81,820 before turning down; the 81,800 level was tested twice today but didn't hold. Open interest is $25 billion, which isn't low.
On the options side, short-term bearish sentiment is retreating. But on the other hand, statistics show whales have reduced over 8,000 BTC in 24 hours, worth more than $600 million. Retail investors are regaining confidence, while big wallets are moving out—these two charts together are quite interesting.
I won't make a move until the direction is clear; if I'm itching, I'll just watch and enjoy the show without spending money. After all, I never manage to catch the exact moment the decision drops.
#10月FOMC利率决议即将公布 Reviewing SK Hynix's financial report — revenue growth is not the focus; the AI business logic has been validated, perfectly "hitting" the core focus of this quarter's report! The earlier text at dawn already clarified the highlights of SK Hynix's financial report: Look at HBM4 growth, look at the HBM order situation for 2027, look at DRAM prices, then look at operating profit, the 2027 guidance in the conference call, and shareholder returns, etc. SK Hynix's financial report basically scores full marks. 1. HBM4 officially replaces HBM3E; Q4 shipments and revenue will exceed the previous generation HBM3E, meaning Q4 will complete the product iteration, and 2027 will enter the HBM4-dominated phase, securing the company's future revenue. 2. Orders for 2027-2028 are locked in with 14 major customers signing long-term supply agreements, including global large GSPs. The key point is that the currently signed orders already cover more than 50% of total capacity for 2027-2028, indicating that AI capital expansion visibility extends from 2027 into 2028. 3. Traditional DRAM is also profitable; server DDR5 sales have grown significantly, 321-layer TLC eSSD sales have expanded, and the storage supercycle narrative continues. 4. The company's future guidance sees the storage supercycle extending to 2030. Even if we worry this expectation is exaggerated, conservatively we can still see the first half of 2028, and currently, we are only in the second half of 2026, so the future potential is opening up. 5. Capital expenditure will continue to expand in 2027.$ZIL 0.001995, after seven years, there's barely anything left at this level. The most unusual point today is this: such a big incident—bridge and proxy contracts compromised, CEO directly resigns and leaves—yet it still managed to rise 2.6%. Normally, this kind of news would cause a crash, but instead, it edged up a bit. Looking at the volume, it's only 40% of usual, the 24-hour trading volume is as thin as paper, with just a few million in the market cap; anyone can sweep a few trades and draw a red candlestick. This rise isn't because anyone is optimistic, it's because no one is selling—chips are all tucked away in corners, no one is taking them and no one is dumping. The story will indeed hurt some funds in the pool, but whether it affects the token price is another matter. $ZIL 一位教师借入40万资金买入meme币和山寨币，如今仓位已腰斩——同一时间，他的HYPE持仓却浮盈近10%。这笔账的真正刺痛之处不在亏损本身，而在于杠杆放大了错误的方向选择：场外杠杆没有强平机制，看似安全，实则把“选错标的”的代价拖成了慢性失血。😬 这轮周期最容易被低估的叙事，不是杠杆工具本身，而是山寨币内部的分化已经彻底改写了游戏规则。美股链上资产不再是普惠式上涨，而是极度撕裂——只有极少数标的能跑出来并活下来。近两个周期里，能跑赢$BTC 的山寨币几乎绝迹，连$ETH 这位山寨龙头都未能幸免。行业环境变了，买错山寨币在这一轮不只是亏钱，而是出局，且难以翻身。 这就引出一个反直觉的结论：场外杠杆的正确用法，恰恰是让场内策略变得极度保守。既然场外已承担了资金成本与时间风险，场内就不该再叠加标的筛选风险。全部仓位配置$BTC 并非懒惰，而是在分化市场中把“选币”这个最大变量直接删掉。尊重风险、对认知之外的事物保持谦卑，不是口号，是仓位结构问题。 真正的信号在于：当山寨币整体无法提供超额收益、连龙头都跑输大盘时，资金向$BTC 集中的趋势会自我强化。$HYPE 的逆势表现说明个别标的仍有机The overall market sentiment is slightly warm, with funds active in some altcoins (SOL/DOGE), while mainstream coins are resting.
$BTC 81197 (slightly up 0.35%) — consolidating at a high level, direction unclear.
$ETH 2356 (slightly up 0.23%) — moving with the market, tending to fluctuate.
Control your impulses, observe more: the current volatility is too small, the risk-reward ratio is very poor, not trading is the best trade. Don’t trade just for the sake of trading.
Watch $BTC closely at 80000 (strong support) and 81500 (short-term resistance).
Watch $ETH closely at 2300 (support) and 2400 (resistance).
Follow the trend: go long on breakouts (with volume), short on breakdowns (with volume). Set stop losses strictly!
$SOL
#10月FOMC利率决议即将公布
#SK海力士Q3营收首破100万亿韩元
#RobinhoodQ3营收增长，净利润下降 Google Cloud's business growth of 82% indicates that AI investments are paying off, but SOXL's triple leverage amplifies volatility. My judgment is to follow momentum for the short term without betting on direction. After a 10.7% rise in 24 hours, the price is 104.37; it is still rising in the last hour but only -0.65% from the high, while the 4-hour chart is -26.24% from the high. There is divergence between large and small timeframes, so chasing longs requires waiting for a pullback. The top 10 order book buy/sell ratio is 0.89, with sellers dominant. The funding rate at 0.0000% indicates that bullish sentiment has cooled. The turnover of 5.265 million is relatively thin, posing liquidity risks. Strategically, lightly go long on a pullback to 101.83, stop loss at 99.47, target 105.19; if it rallies to 105.37 but stalls, reduce position. Single position size should not exceed 20%, and exit unconditionally if stop loss is hit.
— This is only a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Wishing you successful trading. —
$SOXL#谷歌云业务增长82%，AI投入回报如何？
#谷歌云业务增长82%，AI投入回报如何？
$SOXL