#مؤشر أسعار المنتجين في الولايات المتحدة لشهر أكتوبر على أساس سنوي 6.5% أقل من المتوقع
About مؤشر أسعار المنتجين في الولايات المتحدة لشهر أكتوبر على أساس سنوي 6.5% أقل من المتوقع
تُظهر بيانات مكتب إحصاءات العمل الأمريكي أن مؤشر أسعار المنتجين (PPI) في أكتوبر ارتفع بنسبة 6.5% على أساس سنوي، وهو أعلى مستوى خلال أربع سنوات، لكنه أقل من توقعات السوق. بعد صدور البيانات، ارتفعت العقود الآجلة للأسهم الأمريكية بشكل مؤقت، حيث ارتفعت عقود مؤشر S&P 500 الآجلة بنسبة 0.43% وعقود مؤشر ناسداك الآجلة بنسبة 0.72%. لا تزال المناقشات مستمرة حول ما إذا كان الاحتياطي الفيدرالي سيرفع أسعار الفائدة في ديسمبر، حيث يرى البعض أن التضخم لا يزال متماسكًا وأن مصداقية الاحتياطي الفيدرالي قد تضررت، بينما يركز بعض المتداولين على تأثير تغير توقعات خفض الفائدة على BTC وغيرها من الأصول ذات المخاطر.
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مؤشر أسعار المنتجين في الولايات المتحدة لشهر أكتوبر على أساس سنوي 6.5% أقل من المتوقع المنشورات الشائعة
📊 PPI came in cooler than expected. The Fed’s 50 bps rate-hike scenario just lost some momentum.
The US released its October 2026 Producer Price Index (PPI) on November 13, showing a smaller monthly increase than economists expected.
📉 PPI data:
- Monthly PPI: +0.3%, below the +0.4% forecast.
- Annual PPI: +6.5%, below the +6.6% forecast.
- Annual inflation accelerated from 6.3% in September.
- Core PPI: +0.3% MoM and +5.0% YoY, matching expectations.
🏦 December Fed rate-hike expectations (LSEG data cited by TechFlow):
- 25 bps hike: 91%, up from 86%.
- 50 bps hike: 9%, down from 14%.
Market angle: Softer-than-expected monthly producer inflation reduced expectations of an aggressive 50 bps hike. However, annual PPI accelerated to its highest level since November 2022, so inflation pressure remains a concern.
The market is leaning toward 25 bps instead of 50 bps. That’s a smaller punch from the Fed, not a promise of a rate cut. 👀
Will the PPI relief be enough to ease pressure on Bitcoin and other risk assets?
U.S. PPI drops ~25 minutes after this post. Bitcoin already broke the floor.
$BTC ~$69,200 at 20:05 ICT on Binance, −5.1% in 24h, after a $67,568 low. $70,000 is the first test; reclaiming $71,113–$72,000 = repair. A close under $67,568 = no floor yet. October PPI lands 20:30 ICT (BLS); September printed +1.3% m/m. A hot print feeds rate-hike fears.
NFA.
#Bitcoin #PPI
Buying before PPI, or after?
The Fed is the real story behind this crash. Core CPI beat forecasts for a third straight month and the hawkish chorus is getting louder — $BTC is paying the price at $68,749. December is the next catalyst: a hawkish Fed keeps $67,568 in play, but PPI came in cooler at +0.3% — the data isn't all hawkish. Reclaim $70K and this turns into a relief rally. Is December a hike or a hold in your book? #BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto
MS Awan
#FedHawkishChorus Higher interest rates could put pressure on stocks, Bitcoin and other risk assets.
The US dollar and Treasury yields could benefit from a hawkish Fed.
Crypto Market Impact
A stronger US dollar and higher interest rates could create selling pressure on Bitcoin and altcoins. However, market reactions will depend on upcoming inflation data and Fed decisions.
My Take: Investors should watch the December Fed meeting closely. A more hawkish stance could increase volatility.
TODAY: 🇺🇸U.S. stocks RETRACED their early gains within 30 minutes of the market open.
Stocks opened SLIGHTLY higher after October PPI rose 0.3% month over month, below the 0.4% forecast, and while $NVDA recovered some recent losses during pre market.
The indexes then PULLED BACK from early-session levels:
• Dow −0.46%
• Nasdaq Composite −0.64%
• S&P 500 −0.55%
Despite the SOFTER monthly reading, annual wholesale inflation accelerated to 6.5% from 6.3%, keeping inflation concerns in focus.
