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taishiro
taishiro
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There is another detail worth considering: altcoins are still struggling significantly against BTC, with the median of 100 altcoins down 16% over the past year. That tells us capital rotation remains heavily tilted towards Bitcoin. I'm not convinced history will repeat itself tick for tick, but dismissing the mid-cycle correction thesis simply because the drawdown has lasted nine months is premature.
taishiro
taishiro
九个月的下跌显然考验了信心,尤其是在山寨币持有者中。但这里的历史对比值得更仔细地观察。 在2016年和2020年,比特币都经历了显著的中周期调整,然后才恢复了更广泛的上涨。当前的图表显示了类似的平行走势,宏观比率表明市场可能正在经历另一个相对疲软的时期,而不一定是进入长期熊市。

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