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France’s 10-year yield reaching about 5.14% and moving above the US equivalent is notable because it puts fiscal credibility back into Europe’s market pricing. The 175 bp gap over German bonds shows investors are distinguishing sharply within the bloc.
Moody’s Aa3 affirmation offers some restraint, but its negative outlook leaves budget negotiations central to the next move. Spillover is possible if that distinction starts to weaken.
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