Web山大王
Web山大王
长期关注 Crypto、AI、美股与宏观趋势。 相信 BTC 是数字黄金，也相信市场与万物皆有周期。坚持以价值发现为锚、以周期思维应对波动；OKB Holder，长期主义践行者。 专属社群已开启，点击右上角「群聊」即可加入。群内定期分享市场观点、交易策略与福利活动，期待与你一起交流、洞见周期。
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On Monday, the crypto market was hit by another liquidation wave, with leveraged long positions evaporating over $1 billion overnight, instantly ramping up market panic.😱
$BTC has been continuously falling from above $75,000, hitting a low near $73,500, and is currently consolidating around $74,000. The key support zone is between $73,000 and $75,000; only if this holds can a rebound occur. The daily chart is still suppressed by short-term moving averages, with bears temporarily in control.
$ETH fell even harder, dropping below $2,100 overnight and reaching as low as around $2,060. The short-term support to watch is between $2,050 and $2,100; if broken, it may further test the $2,000 level. Bearish sentiment is rapidly spreading in the market.
Additionally, Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang publicly admitted to an affair, prompting the board to launch an overnight investigation involving espionage suspicions, dragging down tech stocks and the crypto market together.😮💨
The news of Jensen Huang's affair just broke out, and Nvidia's stock price immediately dropped, with Bitcoin also plunging. Once again, we retail investors are paying the price. 🙄️
$BTC is fluctuating around 75,900-76,000, with 76,000 as a short-term resistance level. The 74,800-75,000 range is the last defense line for the bulls. If it breaks below, it could easily test the 200-day moving average near 73,000. The fear and greed index has already dropped to 28.
$ETH is consolidating around 2,230, with 2,200 as a key support. If it can't hold, it may test 2,100. Funds are clearly seeking safety and reducing altcoin positions.
This sudden drop was first triggered by a cooling of AI sentiment in tech stocks, followed by the Jensen Huang incident. On the surface, it's a personal life issue, but in reality, it shakes the trust in the AI chip leader, dragging Bitcoin and Ethereum down with it. 🥲
#美国10月非农超预期，12月加息押注升温
The weekend market was completely still, watching the market almost made me fall asleep 🥱
But this kind of calm is often a sign of a storm coming. It's best not to act rashly now; wait until the market opens on Monday and then adjust according to the direction.
$BTC is currently oscillating narrowly between 75,000 and 76,000. The 75,000 level below is a short-term key support; holding it can provide some breathing room. Once it breaks, it will likely continue to decline.
$ETH is around 2240, with support currently seen at 2200–2170, and resistance clearly at 2250–2450. Leverage on both sides of the contracts hasn't been fully cleaned out yet. Although the funding rate isn't high, any slight disturbance can easily trigger a chain of liquidations.
On Tuesday night next week, the US October CPI will be released, and on Friday, the PPI. The market currently has high expectations for a rate hike in December. If inflation data turns out hotter, interest rate pressure will increase further, putting significant stress on crypto assets.
Everything depends on next week's performance!
The crypto space has been really boring these past couple of days 🥱! No decent market action over the weekend, and the overall market is weak and choppy.
Tech stocks and AI concepts in the US stock market got hit especially hard, dragging the crypto market down with them.
$BTC is currently around 75,000-76,000, with the daily chart having broken below key moving averages, facing significant resistance above. If the 75,000 support doesn't hold, the next levels to watch are 73,000 or even lower.
$ETH is near 2,200; the previous uptrend pattern has already been broken, and the rebound strength is weak. If it continues downward, around 2,000 might be the next target. There are no clear reversal signals at the moment.
Spot ETFs have seen large net outflows for several consecutive days, and leveraged longs have been heavily liquidated. Liquidity is thin over the weekend, making a decent rally even harder.
Hopefully, there will be better trading opportunities next week! 🤪
Wishing everyone a great weekend～
#美国10月非农超预期，12月加息押注升温
The weekend has arrived, how will the market move these two days?🤔
Many in the group thought last night's nonfarm payrolls only increased by about 65,000, but the actual increase was 165,000, nearly double, and the unemployment rate also fell back to 4.1%.
As a result, the market's expectation probability for a 25 basis point rate hike in December quickly climbed to around 77%.
$BTC fell to around $74,900 last night, then quickly rebounded, currently fluctuating narrowly between $75,800 and $76,000. The short-term key support level to watch is the $75,000 integer mark; if it breaks below, it may fall to $74,000 or even lower.
$ETH once dropped below 2250 yesterday, hitting a low near 2200, and has now rebounded to the 2240-2250 range. It is closely linked with BTC but with greater volatility. Short-term support is at 2200-2220; if broken, it may accelerate down to 2150.
No important economic data will be released over the weekend, but market sentiment is still digesting the impact of the nonfarm payrolls, so a big move is unlikely.
The direction confirmation will depend on next week's CPI data.
Last night's nonfarm payroll data was simply incredible! 🙄️ October's nonfarm employment increased by 165,000, far exceeding the market expectation of about 65,000, more than doubling it! The unemployment rate also fell from 4.2% to 4.1%.
The data is so strong it's almost excessive, 😤 instantly pushing the probability of a December rate hike to around 70-80%.
$BTC first surged to around 76,100, then quickly retreated, currently oscillating between 75,500 and 76,000, with key support still around 75,000; if it breaks below, it may further decline.
$ETH fell below 2,300 and is now hovering near 2,230, with a decline noticeably greater than Bitcoin. The Fear and Greed Index has dropped to 28, clearly indicating a bearish market sentiment.
With such strong employment data, the probability of a Fed rate hike at the December meeting is rising again. Tough times ahead for the crypto market!
#美国10月非农超预期，12月加息押注升温
At 9:30 tonight, the U.S. October non-farm payroll data will directly determine whether the Federal Reserve will continue to raise interest rates next. 🤔️
The market has just undergone a major sell-off, and leveraged positions have basically been cleared out.
$BTC has plunged from over 80,000 down to around 75,000, hitting a low of 75,200, currently around 75,600. 76,000 is the short-term buyer's cost line; once broken, it is very likely to sweep lower again. Trading volume has clearly increased, and the bulls have been heavily liquidated.
$ETH is even more intense, directly dropping to around 2,220, clearly stronger than Bitcoin. 2,200 is the current key support level; if effectively broken, 2,100 will come into view. Overall, it still follows Bitcoin's trend, but the capital attitude is obviously more cautious.
Combined with ongoing turmoil in Middle East oil transportation and energy infrastructure, and fluctuating interest rate expectations, tonight's market volatility is bound to be significantly amplified.
Watching many well-known big players' contracts getting liquidated one after another, no matter how impressive past performance is, if position management is inadequate, the tuition fee will have to be paid sooner or later. 🤔️
#非农今晚揭晓，美股大跌后市场如何押注12月加息？
Over $1 billion liquidated in the contract market in the last 24 hours, nearly 200,000 people forcibly liquidated, bulls almost completely wiped out.😱
I guess many woke up and were dumbfounded when checking their accounts!🙄️ Is this really still the early stage of a bull market?!🤔️
Liquidation basically means playing leverage too aggressively. When the market moves sharply, if your margin is insufficient, the system will automatically force close your position. That moment is truly the most desperate!😩
$BTC has short-term broken key support, with very high trading volume currently. The $75,000 level below is a strong recent support; as long as it holds, there is a chance for a rebound.
$ETH looks equally bleak, with around $2,200 as an important defense line. Next, it depends on whether the non-farm payroll data can reverse the downtrend and turn things around!
Liquidations clear leverage, spot is not afraid!🤣
Only those holding assets can laugh last.
The spot Bitcoin ETF has seen a cumulative net outflow exceeding $1 billion over the past few trading days. This indicates that institutions and large holders are still continuously reducing their positions. 🙄️
At the same time, some mining companies are also selling off their Bitcoin holdings and accelerating their transition to AI data centers. Core Scientific has clearly stated it will completely exit self-mining operations by Q4 2026 to focus on AI computing power hosting, with MARA, Riot, and others making similar moves.
Additionally, with the Democrats taking control of both houses of Congress, market expectations for increased regulatory pressure have risen.
$BTC is currently trading in the $75,000 to $81,000 range, hitting a low near $75,000 today, showing clear divergence between bulls and bears. The key support lies between $75,000 and $76,000; if broken, the downside could target $72,000 or even lower.
$ETH is fluctuating between $2,200 and $2,400, dipping near $2,200 today. Support is expected around $2,200 to $2,150. If Bitcoin fails to hold its key levels, ETH’s decline could accelerate.
Moreover, the non-farm payroll data will be released tomorrow, with the market generally expecting around 60,000 new jobs. Volatility is sure to be significant once the data is out.
It is recommended to manage your positions carefully and wait for the non-farm data to settle and the direction to become clear before making moves.
The key to survival in the crypto space has never been about making quick trades to earn money; this is especially true for contracts. Staying alive is the most important thing.
Last night before going to bed, Bitcoin was still steadily above 80,000, but this morning when I opened my eyes, the screen was all red, and my heart instantly felt cold.😮💨
US tech stocks, especially AI concept stocks, collectively plunged, directly dragging the crypto market down with them.
$BTC crashed from above 80,000 down to around 75,000, hitting a low of 75,500, a drop of nearly 6%. The short-term key is whether 75,000 can hold.
$ETH was even weaker, falling directly from above 2,400 to above 2,200, dropping over 7%. Nearly $1.1 billion worth of liquidations occurred across the network in just a few hours, with over 200,000 positions liquidated, the vast majority being long positions.
Today's market situation is really speechless, 😓 we can only hope tomorrow's non-farm payroll data can give the market some confidence. The discussion among friends in the group is extremely intense!
#非农在即，就业数据能否强化12月加息预期？
