孤星追月
孤星追月
1、2026年6月开始从1000u陆续投入了总计7000u，到8月打到了14万u，9月归0，陆续提款了大概23万多rmb，这里面基本没有遇到极端行情，所以我能赚钱； 2、截止2026年10月25日，账面亏损3万u。最近几只暴涨的币我下判断总体没有问题。让我爆仓的币IRYS，如果仓位管理合理，我会大赚的，毫不吹牛的这样说； 3、2026年10月25日开始，彻底推翻之前的重仓模式，彻底改变，单个仓位10倍杠杆，投入总资金的2%～5%； 4、最近开始学习，看书、看知识博主的视频，补充理论知识； 5、这个市场机会无限，但为什么赚钱的是你？ － －更新于2026年10月25 07:32
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🤩Some of my views:
1. Heavy positions lead to certain death. No matter how skilled a trader you are, there’s no chance of exiting profitably because you can’t always be right. One small mistake can ruin you, not to mention extreme market conditions;
2. If you have little capital, don’t touch stocks. Don’t join the trading market just for the hype; restraint is also a skill. Stocks are relatively long-cycle assets, and once your funds are locked up, you can’t make other moves;
3. Don’t try to predict highs or lows—no one can do it. The key to timing your entry is position size. If your position is small enough, you can enter at any time you want;
4. Unwind losses. If I’ve been stuck for a long time, going from losing 1000 to losing 100, and there’s a chance to break even or make a small profit, don’t try to recover it all at once. Instead, reduce your position to avoid risk. The opportunity has already been given; such chances don’t come often;
5. Win with light positions. If you can control your position size well, you will 100% make money;
6. Keep a calm mind. ❣ Don’t watch others making thousands or tens of thousands in one trade, especially all-in types. What does that bring you? It stirs up desire and unbalances your mindset, making you lose control of your actions.
+136.56
+430.03%Snapshot at Nov 05, 2026, 14:45
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❗❗I keep advising group members every day: don't heavily invest; the survival chance in the contract market with heavy positions is 0, 0, 0!
I mentioned when it was over 23 RMB, some who made money never withdrew; unrealized profits are just a dream, purely gambling, a life-risking game that makes me shudder.
I don't want to say discouraging things, I can only sigh: everyone has their own fate.
I'm a risk-taker myself, with poor position management, but I keep adjusting to balance my positions. I've avoided many speculative coins, but it's still far from enough; you need to avoid every one, and only light positions can ultimately win.
If you can't manage positions well, everything is empty talk. This is a deep lesson from my failures, and I'm improving, but not thoroughly enough yet. Recently, heavy losses in $BTC and $INTC were also due to heavy bets; I was wrong.
Don't blindly worship anyone, especially gamblers; the philosophy they bring is also gambling. Being wrong ten times but right once to make money is such a ridiculous idea that misleads others.
❣ For full positions with 10x leverage, at most invest 5% of total capital; 1% to 3% is relatively reasonable. If you are super confident, you can invest 10%.
Start with 1% to 2% of total capital, for example, investing 10u out of 1000u, then add positions based on the situation. Don't add when making profits; add when floating losses occur. The adding ratio can be stepped, for example, add at every 5%, 10%, 20%, 30% increase, etc. The smaller the price increase, the less you should add. For example, if the adding interval is 5%, add 0.2%; at 10%, add 0.4%, and so on.
+381.42
+99.11%Snapshot at Oct 31, 2026, 13:13
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How to place a limit sell order❓❓❓
Let me share my view, it's not based on guesswork but on analysis
Taking the recently closed $SOON as an example, you can see it has been oscillating within a range for over 20 days, which is relatively regular.
If it breaks upward, whether successful or not, placing a sell order near the longest upper shadow lines in this area is a reasonable position.
The difference is that higher positions may not get triggered, so to ensure it gets triggered, the position can be set slightly lower. If the breakout fails, shorting is, of course, a better choice.
For take profit, choose a point around the middle to upper part of the entire oscillation range, roughly slightly above 0.32, to ensure profit-taking. Naturally, the higher you go, the safer and faster it is.
This trade made a profit in just 4 minutes. This is my common method for placing limit orders; historical data is the theoretical support, not just guessing a number out of thin air.
For everyone's reference and discussion.
+29.64
+49.46%Snapshot at Oct 29, 2026, 13:26
$ZEC has a small short position, probably holding for a long time, no moves for now
$INIT is currently long, mainly based on the 200 million trading volume, but so far there hasn't been a single or consecutive long candlestick. This indicates most shorts are still present, especially those with heavy leverage positions, they might still be holding.
So I judge there will be at least one more rapid surge forming a 15-minute bullish candlestick.
$BTC continues to short, 100x 50u, if stop loss hits, the loss will be 150.
#美国10月整体与核心CPI双超预期
+205.86
+793.17%Snapshot at Nov 11, 2026, 03:15
$PIEVERSE
Altcoins are my specialty. I used not to go long, but now I've changed my mindset to trade both long and short. Once I identify the direction, I act on it, and if the stop loss hits, I accept it.
I've shared a lot of altcoin experience; if you study it carefully, you will definitely make money.
$BTC is a bit uncertain; I will short it with a stop loss at 75756.
$CAP short 10x with 100u, long-term; quickly add to the position during rapid rallies to make profits, then reduce back to 100u.
#RocketLab财报前瞻：Neutron火箭进展如何？
+212.96
+135.77%Snapshot at Nov 10, 2026, 05:02
#SoftBank bets heavily on OpenAI, can the Q2 earnings report deliver impressive results?
$PIEVERSE
😵 Let go of obsession
There are many things we may never do well, and some coins may never make money before exiting.
For $KORU, I opened more than 20 positions continuously from June to August, only one was at a loss. After that, going long was all losses. With the trend in the US stock market, I decisively gave up.
For $UNITREE, has someone been trying to short it from the second day it started rising until today? This is a stock, and sector rotation doesn't end that quickly. This is my basic view on stocks. You simply can't judge how long this round of the market will last. If you think it's the top, then it definitely isn't.
For $BTC, many people are bottom-fishing, but this is probably not the bottom. There are a large number of long positions stuck around 79,000 and 80,000, which are hard to unwind in the short term.
+38.64
+69.63%Snapshot at Nov 09, 2026, 09:01
$BTC With the global stock markets leaning bearish, it's unlikely that Bitcoin can start an independent rally and keep going up.
❣ Stocks have sector rotation and are highly cyclical; if you have little money, don't touch it, as funds can get stuck. If everyone thinks that's the bottom, then it definitely isn't, otherwise everyone would be making money. Do you believe that yourself?
$AKE rose by several thousand percent before listing on exchanges, but once listed, it's a different story. Many coins need to be viewed from a macro perspective, not a micro one. You need to see from what level it fell. Even though it has risen quite a bit these past few days, the daily-level increase is nothing significant; it's still at the bottom.
Trading strategy: Short sellers can only take small swings and need to wait for opportunities; don't think about long-term positions and keep positions small.
$CAP can be held long-term with a small position.
#软银重金押注OpenAI，Q2财报能否交出亮眼成绩？
+18.44
+60.23%Snapshot at Nov 08, 2026, 17:26
$BTC hasn't been making big moves recently
$AKE is bullish❗❗❗
Based on two points:
1. Trading volume exceeds 30,000, with at least 750 million in total network volume (OKEx multiplied by 2.5)
2. Currently consolidating sideways, occasionally breaking downwards, giving bears a false signal; during this period, a large number of retail short sellers enter, and only when many retail shorts are liquidated and stop losses are hit will the price drop.
All of this is based on my experience, having seen it too many times. I'm not 100% sure it will continue to rise, but the probability is very high.
The timing for shorting is far from here, that's my judgment. Whether I'm right or not, time will tell.
+21.29
+9.90%Snapshot at Nov 06, 2026, 19:02
🤩Currently, these two are helping me stabilize.
$XAU $BWET
#非农在即，就业数据能否强化12月加息预期？
+528.53
+265.75%Snapshot at Nov 05, 2026, 18:09
$TRUTH
I keep trading repeatedly, constantly adjusting my positions, with a position size roughly between 100 and 370, 10x leverage.
I don't plan to hold any longer; it might still drop. I close my positions just to manage risk and secure profits.
I'm not used to holding onto a single coin stubbornly; once I've made enough profit, I exit. There are many opportunities in altcoins.
$CAP still has a lot of room to fall, but that doesn't mean it will drop smoothly.
+642.74
+75.91%Snapshot at Nov 03, 2026, 17:31
