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Apexxx.
真要给大饼现货做对冲，我暂时不会用预测市场。看着都能表达看空，合约跟着价格走，事件单却得卡着截止时间和结算条件看。赔率更像大家用钱投出来的判断，也会被情绪和流动性带偏。我有点嫌麻烦：大饼跌了，事件却没满足条件，现货的窟窿没补上，还多花了笔钱。然后我还得回去翻条款，看自己到底漏了哪句……
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