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Cato_KT
Cato_KT
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看到评论区小伙伴讲到,本周科技股虽然出现大幅度调整,但是美股指数整体并没崩,科技股流失的市值去了不少蓝筹股 这点其实很早之间就给大家推荐了这个指数,很直观的就可以察觉到美股资金板块轮转的情况——TradingViwe上直接输入 SPHB/SPHQ然后回撤,就会出现这个指数 SPHB涵盖高风险高Beta 股票ETF指数,对市场波动最敏感的100只高Beta股票,而SPHQ则是涵盖蓝筹股,偏向盈利能力、资产负债表质量较高的公司 所以,一般SPHB/SPHQ 比值上涨,意味着美股风险偏好好,比值下跌,则意味着风险偏好下降,资金轮转走向防守 而SPHB/SPHQ 比值不变,或者SPHB SPHQ只是集体下降,同时伴随着美股指数下跌,则意味着美股整体下跌,此时要么是金融风险,要么是经济风险爆发! 而一般发生这种情况,则可以看到黄金、美元、美债价格上涨,主要是寻求避险!#加密行业协同守护资产安全
Cato_KT
Cato_KT
It's the weekend, and market sentiment has relatively calmed down. Now we can review the current US stock and crypto markets. In the US stock market, macro-wise, high interest rates and widening credit spreads are observed. At the meso level, although the AI narrative remains healthy in trend, short-term capital expenditures and revenues are imbalanced, causing market concerns about ROIC, leading to valuation adjustments in the overall narrative. At the micro level, tech stock earnings reports are unfavorable, and major tech companies are increasingly showing issues, heightening market worries. Compared to the US stock market, #Bitcoin currently faces fewer problems. Although it is also under macro pressure and its narrative is not outstanding, it has no fatal flaws. The recent hack of a leading exchange is actually a good opportunity for clearing out. After calming down, how many difficulties does #BTC still face in the future? Compared to the US stock market, whether it is valuation adjustment needs or industry narrative, things seem to be much better. Therefore, I still agree with one viewpoint — as long as no continuous risks emerge afterward, this event actually marks the start of a new crypto bull market. Alongside the US stock market valuation adjustment, whether accompanied by US stock risk appetite or crypto bottom consolidation, the upward potential currently looks much greater than the downside! #美联储官员释放加息信号,12月预期仍存分歧

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