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100U → 1000U ♻️ 交易就是循环复利，赚了继续滚，亏了重新来。 这里记录真实交易、行情判断和复盘。 欧易官方个人社区已开启👇 一起聊行情，一起找机会，一起循环复利。
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$XAU has climbed back above 4100, while $BTC is still struggling around 75000. Has the market's choice become clear?
Gold XAU has finally seen a decent rebound, climbing back above 4150. Looking at BTC, the current price is around 75500, having dropped significantly from the previous high of 81199, with a recent low dipping to 73385. After the low of 73385, there was indeed some capital support. But don't rush to call a reversal.
Right now, BTC looks more like it's undergoing a recovery after a sharp drop. The 75450–76000 range is a resistance zone to watch closely. If it can't hold above this, the rebound could quickly turn into another decline; if it can break through with volume, there’s a chance for further recovery.
Now, about gold.
There are several clues behind this XAU rebound worth noting:
First, uncertainty remains in the Middle East situation. The security of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz and progress in Iran-related negotiations could cause the market to reprice geopolitical risks.
Second, after the US midterm elections, changes in the congressional power structure have led the market to reassess fiscal spending, US policy toward Iran, and subsequent regulatory directions.
Third, the recent decline in the US dollar and Treasury yields has provided support for non-yielding assets like gold.
So my current understanding is:
Gold’s rebound is driven by a combination of safe-haven sentiment, and expectations around the dollar and interest rates; BTC’s weakness is still influenced by ETF capital outflows, leverage liquidations, and a decline in market risk appetite.
This doesn’t mean gold will definitely continue to rise, nor does it mean BTC has no chance.
Just now, how many people's stop losses and leverage positions were wiped out together?
This morning while watching the market, I saw $BTC $ETH suddenly drop sharply with a big bearish candle, hitting a low of 73385 directly.
Before the market could even catch its breath, the price quickly pulled back above 75500. The most tormenting part of this move is not the drop itself, but that you simply don't have time to react.
Looking at the 15-minute chart, this plunge was accompanied by a clear surge in volume, followed by consecutive bullish rebound candles. The current price is around 75541, back above the Bollinger middle band at 75397.
The news side is also unsettled.
According to the latest Reuters report, the crypto market fell to a more than two-month low on Sunday, with BTC once dropping near $73708. Regulatory uncertainty after the US midterm elections and Binance's previous roughly $6 billion security incident continue to affect market confidence.
I am now more inclined to view this sharp drop as a quick rebound after a concentrated release of selling pressure, but one thing must be made clear: a single candlestick cannot determine whether it is big money bottom-fishing or a combination of short sellers taking profits and low-level buying pushing the price.
So I won’t call a reversal just because of this big bullish candle.
What’s really worth watching is: after the rebound, can the price hold steady in the 75300–75500 range, and can the volume continue to keep up?
If it’s just a momentary pullback and then falls below the middle band again, this rebound might just be a breather in the downtrend; if it can hold and continue to reclaim 76160, then market sentiment has a chance to truly recover.
Taking a look at OKEx market this morning, there's an interesting detail.
$BTC is hovering around 75716, barely moving, and $ETH is also lingering near 2234. At first glance, the market seems to have stabilized.
But looking further:
$OKB dropped 0.89%, SOL fell 0.15%, DOGE declined 0.31%, BCH plunged 3.19%, and XRP barely managed to stay positive.
This indicates one thing: BTC holding steady for now doesn't mean the selling pressure across the entire market has ended.
Looking at recent news:
The US spot BTC ETF saw significant outflows on November 6, with a single-day net outflow of over $500 million from crypto ETFs, and a total outflow exceeding $1.1 billion this week. Meanwhile, US employment data beat expectations, tech stocks in the US market faced sell-offs again, and the pressure on risk assets hasn't disappeared.
An important upcoming date is November 10, when the US will release October CPI data.
If inflation remains hot, market expectations for a Fed rate cut might be affected again; if the data eases, risk assets might get a breather.
So now I'm focusing more on three things:
1. Whether BTC can firmly hold key levels again, rather than just oscillating around 76000.
2. Whether ETF outflows have noticeably narrowed.
3. Whether ETH and major altcoins can keep pace with BTC, instead of each moving independently.
I'm increasingly convinced that the market today can't just focus on BTC's single candlestick.
$BTC This wave really feels like a bucket of cold water poured down.
After closing my long positions near 80400 earlier, I didn’t rush to chase back. Looking back now, that decision at least helped me avoid the sharp drop that followed.
It smashed down from around 81199, hitting a low of 74800. After consecutive large bearish candles, although there was some small rebound, it hasn’t yet reclaimed the middle Bollinger band. We can’t assume the market is stable just because of a few small bullish candles for now.
This decline isn’t just about issues within the crypto space itself.
After the US midterm elections, BTC once surged to 81000, but then $SPY and the semiconductor sector suddenly took a heavy hit, and $QQQ also dropped sharply. Risk capital started to retreat, dragging BTC down with it. What’s worse, leveraged long positions were heavily liquidated, with over $1 billion cleared across the market in 24 hours, mostly longs.
In short, the brief optimism brought by the elections was quickly crushed by the market’s risk aversion.
I’m not rushing to guess the bottom now; I’m focusing on three key levels:
74800: The low point of this drop, whether it can hold is critical.
73886: The 4-hour Bollinger lower band; if it breaks further down, the correction might not be over.
77677: The Bollinger middle band; only if it reclaims this level can we say there’s some short-term recovery.
No need to give back the profits I’ve made just to prove I was right.
A market drop isn’t scary; what’s scary is reaching out to catch every fall. Opportunities will always come; first, stabilize the rhythm.
Yesterday, I closed my $BTC long position around 80400, and now it really feels like I dodged a bullet.
At that time, the price rebounded from above 76000 all the way to above 81000. The market looked quite strong, and many people were waiting for it to continue surging. But the market turned around faster than flipping a page in a book, with a big bearish candle smashing the price back down to around 76000.
I don't have much to brag about; being able to exit around 80400 yesterday at least allowed me to pocket the profits I had made. After trading for so long, I increasingly feel that how much you can earn is one thing, but whether you can take the money away is another.
This drop is not just a simple technical correction.
After the US midterm elections, with the Democrats taking both houses of Congress, the market began to reassess crypto regulation and AI industry policies; then the US tech stocks faced sell-offs, the AI sector cooled down, and risk assets came under pressure. On top of that, the previous Binance security incident impacted the market, and over the past 24 hours, more than $1 billion worth of crypto derivatives positions were liquidated, delivering another heavy blow to the bulls.
Right now, I'm actually not in a hurry to enter the market.
We need to see if the support around 75500 can hold, and then look at the support near 74780. Only if the price can climb back above 78000 should we reconsider the strength of the rebound; if it continues to break down with volume, there might be more turmoil ahead.
Exiting yesterday doesn't mean I'm completely bearish; today's drop doesn't mean it's immediately a bottom-buying opportunity.
The market offers opportunities every day; there's no need to participate in every single move.
Is this a shakeout of high leverage before a new buildup, or is the rebound over and the real second bottom just beginning?
+19.32
+539.57%Snapshot at 06 Nov 2026, 05:38
This wave of $BTC has given me a decent rebound to wait for.
The long position entered around 77300 has already moved from floating loss to floating profit. The second long order placed at 76188 was also successfully filled.
Looking back now, the fill at 76188 was quite thrilling. BTC once dipped to around 75690, the worst moment on the chart when no one knew if there was more room below. Fortunately, I didn’t go all in at once but placed orders in batches as planned.
BTC has now risen above 80800, reaching a high of 81199. The 1-hour Bollinger middle band is at 78993, the upper band at 81420. The price has clearly returned to a strong range but is also close to the upper band resistance.
On the news front, the US midterm election results are in, with the Democrats taking both chambers. When the results first came out, BTC briefly dropped below 76000, then made a V-shaped rebound back above 81000. The market is trading not just on the election results themselves but also on whether subsequent crypto regulatory legislation will be affected. Risk appetite has returned, but policy uncertainty remains.
The first two long positions have already secured some profit cushions. The next priority is to protect profits rather than chasing every big bullish candle.
The orders from 77300 to 76188 were all pre-planned limit orders, not just excuses made after the price rose.
What do you think? Will BTC break through 82000 directly this time, or will it first consolidate and shake out around 81000?
+22.01
+614.70%Snapshot at 05 Nov 2026, 06:44
I entered a long position near 77300 on $BTC, and finally turned from floating loss to floating profit.
Now around 77800, based on the entry price, there's about a $500 price difference. Honestly, seeing it turn green feels good, but it's not time to celebrate yet.
Looking back at this trade, the price dropped to around 76360 after entry, which was indeed tough. Fortunately, I didn't panic buy on the dip or hastily overturn my judgment due to the floating loss.
Looking at the 1-hour chart now, the price has climbed back above the Bollinger middle band at 77318. The next resistance to watch is near 78188, then the previous high at 78831. There is a rebound, but whether it can continue to strengthen depends on subsequent support.
We can't ignore the news either. The US midterm election voting has ended, and the market is awaiting the results of congressional seats. The election could impact future US crypto regulations, especially the much-watched crypto market structure legislation; meanwhile, recent ETF outflows and confidence issues from the Binance security incident have not been fully digested. The current market is not just about technicals; once news breaks, volatility can increase at any time.
My current thinking is simple: 77300 is my cost basis, not the market support level. First, see if the middle band can hold, then observe if 78188 and 78831 can be gradually taken out. If the rebound weakens, I will protect profits and won’t get greedy just because I’ve just broken even.
Trading is quite interesting; floating losses test patience, floating profits test greed.
$BTC At this position, I'm getting in first.
The initial position is already entered; I’m not planning to go all in at once, nor am I in a hurry to prove I caught the bottom.
Looking at the 1-hour chart, it has fallen from 81944, rebounded near 78400 but was pushed down again, now hovering around 76900. The Bollinger middle band is near 77405, the lower band at 76439, and the price is still below the middle band, so it’s not exactly strong in the short term.
But what I want to bet on is whether support can form near the previous low at 76260, and whether there will be a decent recovery after this drop.
My plan is simple: start with a small position to test the waters. If it continues downward, I will add in batches within the pre-set range, not impulsively increasing position just because of one bearish candle. If the previous low is effectively broken, the original judgment needs to be reassessed, and position size and risk must not get out of control.
To be clear, this trade hasn’t yet played out.
I’m not afraid of buying a bit early; what I fear is being wrong on the direction and refusing to admit it.
At this position, do you think it’s a second test of the bottom after the drop, or the end of the rebound and a continuation of the search for the bottom?
The initial position is in; now let’s see how the market answers.
Woke up this morning to check the market, and $BTC is back around 77915.
Earlier it dipped as low as 77555, then quickly pulled back up. This kind of market is really exhausting. You say it's weak, but when it drops, someone steps in to buy; you say it's strong, but the high at 78207 hasn't been surpassed yet, and the 15-minute candlesticks keep tugging back and forth. Chasing in is easy to buy at the peak of short-term sentiment.
The biggest impact on the market these past two days is still the Binance security incident. The latest news is that Binance has resumed partial asset withdrawals, claiming about 95% of the stolen assets have been replenished. However, after resuming withdrawals, user fund outflows have clearly increased. Reuters reported that net outflows on Sunday once exceeded $3.5 billion, while Binance said the outflows are gradually returning to normal levels. In short, the situation is easing, but market confidence still needs time to recover.
Looking at the chart, the Bollinger middle band is around 77815, the upper band about 77970, and the lower band about 77661. The price has now climbed back above the middle band, so there seems to be a short-term rebound, but the resistance between 78000 and 78200 still needs to be overcome; below, first watch if the 77660 area can hold, then the low at 77555.
What I'm most conflicted about now is: I'm afraid of chasing longs at the tail end of the rebound, but also afraid that if I hesitate, it will break through directly. Having experienced sudden sharp drops, I realize sometimes making a little less profit isn't a big deal. The worst is being driven by market emotions—fearing missing out when it rises, rushing to bottom-fish when it falls.
This time, I'll focus on the levels first, not rush to guess the direction. Only after holding above 78200 will I talk about continuation of the rebound; if it falls below 77600, a reassessment is needed.
