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诸葛投研✊
Influential Creator
美股昨天科技股暴拉，BTC却连关键整数位都没摸回去，这种盘面背离才是最直观的信号。为什么传统风险资产涨了、加密却还在震荡？
$BTC 美股反弹大饼不跟，因为ETF的慢性失血。上周 IBIT 为主的现货ETF净流出约12.82亿刀。今晚 21:30 CPI出炉前，市场贴着7.5万这道线和加息预期对赌，CPI的热读数把12月加息预期推到80%以上、7.5 万立刻再承压。
$ETH 比 BTC 还弱，现货ETF已经连续八个交易日净流出、合计640百万刀，ETH/BTC 落到八月中旬来最低。我的态度：高贝塔在这变成了向下弹性，2300 收不回我看弱，突破 2346 才触发 9.32 亿空单清算。
$SOL 磨在86一带，Jump Crypto链上质押了45万枚是长线信号，可同一地址 122.3 万枚转进 Coinbase Prime 又是悬顶卖压，费率也转负。我的判断：等非农和 CPI 两关过完它该领涨了。
CPI 之前，美股涨而 BTC 不跟，本身就是最诚实的抛压指标。
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Today’s market buzz
1#BTC fell below $75,000 before the US October CPI release
2#AI stocks pull back: UBS says position reset, Bank of England warns of crash risk
3#Trump says the possibility of a large-scale strike on Iran is low, oil prices plummet
