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星辰大海➠
我一直有个困惑:为什么链上那种"胜率 100%"的地址,总能被吹得跟神一样。
这次是 ETH。某地址在 10 月 18 日到 11 月 6 日做了 7 轮多单,7 轮全赢,11 月 9 日又加了 4223 枚,持仓到 2.45 万枚,值 5201 万美元。听起来确实唬人。
可它一共就打了 7 把。7 把全中还全是一个方向,行情顺着它的时候,这不算本事。就像有人连赢七次石头剪刀布,你也不会觉得他能预测未来吧。我不是说它不行,我是说这个"100%"跟你我理解的胜率,压根不是一回事。
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