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Kane Hu
Kane Hu
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恭喜看过这篇文章的兄弟们了。 我们的大闪迪到达了第一接单位置,只有2U之差, 这次下跌是对于11-05下跌的二次探底确认。 接下来可以做多持仓观看, 跌破795就可以离场等待下一个点位。 #
Kane Hu
Kane Hu
Is SNDK done for?
Answering in two parts: 1. Has the short-term low point (1–3 weeks) arrived? Most likely yes (around 804), but one more confirmation is needed — on 11-05, the stock showed the most extreme panic signal combination in its history. 2. Has the mid-term bottom (safe to hold) arrived? No — it has only been 2 trading days of decline; historically, similar collapses take 15–28 days to confirm. This is a "panic low," not a "trend bottom." You can speculate on a rebound but should not treat it as a base position. Historical statistics: What happened after this pattern? I analyzed all periods since this stock's listing where the "20-day drawdown > 20%" occurred, and observed the performance after the low points: 2025-11-21 183.0−20.0% 48.71.49x+20.4% 2026-03-09 517.0−11.8% 49.81.07x+20.7% 2026-07-29 998.2−24.2% 24.31.68x+47.6% 2026-11-05 804.0−26.7% 27.63.38x under observation. Key conclusion: In the past three occurrences of "RSI < 30 + deviation from EMA8 over 20%" extreme lows, rebounds within 20 trading days were +47.6%, +20.4%, and +20.7%, respectively. The current extreme level (−26.7%, 3.38x volume) exceeds all previous ones.

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