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我的币比我的命还惨
有人又问：中东局势升级、沙特24小时空袭上百次，避险资金该不该涌向比特币和黄金？这轮“战争买避险”的惯性剧本恐怕要失效。
链条并不复杂：冲突推高油价，战争溢价重新点燃通胀预期，央行降息空间被压缩。本周英国央行已加息25个基点，市场对12月美联储加息的押注升至八成。于是，这轮地缘冲突在定价层面更像“加息催化剂”，而非单纯避险事件。黄金与BTC因此常同步承压，而非同步走强。
所以，别把战火当成多头护身符。地缘风险越升级，越要看油价—通胀—利率这条传导链，而不是条件反射式买入所谓避险资产。
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