Post
Yuvi.
$XLF
利率维持高位，对金融股究竟哪边更重要？
美国就业仍有韧性，意味着金融机构面临的需求和信用环境未必迅速恶化。但利率变化对资产收益与负债成本的影响并不同步。
银行可能获得较高贷款收益，也可能为了留住存款提高付息。保险、支付和资本市场业务对同一宏观环境又有不同反应。
我关注净息差与信用成本，而非简单押注高利率。若存款稳定、坏账受控，盈利韧性提高；若融资成本上升快于资产收益，或贷款损失增加，板块仍可能承压。
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