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韩9515
#Oklo核能供电布局距离商业化还有多远？ Oklo目标2027年底至2028年落地首台Aurora钠冷快堆供电项目，测试堆已实现临界，拿到DOE场地许可、燃料配套在推进，订单绑定数据中心，叙事贴合算力零碳需求。但最大卡点在NRC正式商用牌照，钠冷堆本身存在泄漏安全隐患、HALEU燃料成本偏高、融资消耗大。乐观看2028跑出示范机组；规模化商业化大概率延后至2030年后，示范成功不等于可低成本复制放量，监管与经济性是两大变量。
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