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Crypto陈
先泼点冷水,我不会把负费率直接当成抄底信号。别急着兴奋,空头付钱,不等于价格就该反弹,我更担心市场把收息机会误读成见底证据。
据Hyperliquid永续合约公开行情,当前资金费率绝对值最高的是$WLD:-0.0065%/小时,年化约-57%,24小时跌8.15%。我的理由有两个:负费率说明空头向多头付费,不代表现货买盘回来了;年化是按当前费率折算,费率会变,不能把它当成能锁住的收益,价格下跌也可能吞掉收到的费用。
当然,多头也可能对。如果价格不再创新低,费率仍明显为负,我会重新评估空头拥挤带来的反弹风险。这是我的推测,不是已发生的转向。我先盯价格能否企稳,不拿负费率给自己壮胆。

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