Post
六月雪
芯片三兄弟今天集体跪了：AMD -10%、高通 -10%、Intel -6.5%，费半一片绿。
表面看各跌各的——高通手机芯片收入同比掉26%，苹果自研基带继续抽血；Intel 还背着18A烧钱+PC疲软；AMD 纯属被AI叙事连坐。
底层就一件事：市场尺子换了。之前量"AI故事大不大"，现在量"现金流回不回得来"。中期选举后监管趋严、数据中心审批预期收紧，资本开支叙事先挨一刀。
不是需求证伪，是估值挤水分。短期别接飞刀，等杀完这波，看谁Q4指引先稳住——稳住的那个，才是真龙头。
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