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燕燕其音
这消息偏顺风,能提振风险偏好,但我不把它当强趋势的确认。
过去90个美国交易日,比特币有一半跑赢标普500;历史上美股在期中选举后录得上涨。我做趋势守三条:看相对强弱,五成胜率不算压倒性优势;看持续性,单个窗口还不够;看市场验证,选举后的历史涨势不能替代当下走势。
趋势是最好的朋友。我等强势延续,不拿历史替当下拍板。

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