Post
broshao
我能理解为什么有人说预测市场比民调准。问大饼后面涨不涨，随口喊看多没啥成本，真要为判断掏钱，人就会挑剔些。赔率里揉进了这种犹豫，也能随新消息变，不用等下回调查。但我也没觉得它就多神，盘口冷清时，大单照样能推着赔率跑。看着概率突然跳了，我还得琢磨：这是有人知道新消息，还是单纯钱多啊？
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