
Post
我的币比我的命还惨
资金面:ETF“失血”未止,期货“避险”升温 📉🧭
① ETF:月度净流出,承接力有限
10月美国现货比特币ETF整体呈净流出,月度规模约5亿美元级,延续年内多次负月表现。10月30日单日净流出2.337亿美元,FBTC等产品承压明显。月末恐慌释放时,10月31日单日净流入1.35亿美元,成为罕见承接方,但一日回流难抵全月失血。💸
② 期货:逆价差透出避险偏好
11月2日至3日到期的近月比特币期货低于现货,形成逆价差。该现象并不常见,更多反映短期避险需求上升,而非杠杆做多情绪。Deribit期货曲线整体平坦,未对杠杆头寸加收额外溢价,说明杠杆资金缺乏推价动力。🧊
整体看,ETF资金面偏弱,期货定价偏谨慎,市场短期上行动能不足。⚠️
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